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Will Bengals-Patriots Be Highest Total of the Year?
by SPORTSBETTING.COM - 09/27/2007

Fans and bettors of the Canadian Football League are used to football totals that are regularly posted in the 50s and the high-scoring games usually generate a lot of excitement, a ton of points and an almost ridiculous number of punts.

However, in the NFL totals are usually much lower since the league is built upon stiff defense and much more strategy is involved. The average posted total when the sportsbooks closed on Week 1 was 39.9 and in Week 2 it was just a tad bit higher at 40.7.

But then the Bengals and Seahawks had to go and throw the grade out of whack in Week 3 with a posted total of 50.

It is true that Qwest Field in the state of Washington, where Seattle plays their home games, is situated almost 100 miles from the border of Canada, but the 50 that was hanging on Sunday's game still seemed a bit out of place.

Cincinnati and Seattle ended up staying under the number (the total reached only 45) but in Week 4 the Bengals are hosting the Patriots, an offensive juggernaut that is currently outpacing Seattle by a whopping 17.4 points per game. And most of the bettors out there could probably guess what was coming next…

A higher total, of course! More offense means more points, and throw in the fact that the game between New England and Cincinnati is scheduled for Monday Night Football and this could be one of the highest scoring contests of the season!

But betting totals is never that easy, so let's take a look at some trends for this matchup to see if anything major stands out.

  • The Patriots have played eight overs and one under in their past nine games overall.
  • The Patriots have recorded six overs and one under when following a game in which they scored 20+ points.
  • The Patriots last 19 games on turf have produced 15 overs and four unders.
  • The Bengals have a record of six overs and one under the last seven games when hosting a team from the AFC East.
  • New England and Cincinnati have played three overs in a row since 1994 and the past three matchups between these teams in Cincy have all gone over the total.

Yikes, maybe this game will be a barnburner.

Judging by the early handle the sportsbook has taken in, this game will probably be the highest posted total of this young season by kickoff. A lot of the early money is coming in on the over. And if the scoring does climb into the stratosphere, who knows where the numbers could be headed for the remainder of the season?

- In Week 5, the Bengals get a bye and the Patriots are at the Browns. Cleveland had 51 points in their Week 2 win over the Bengals but the Browns also had a big day against the Bengals in 2004, scoring 48 points. It took Cleveland 33 games before they could break 30 again, so we won't look for any records in this contest.

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