There have never been two undefeated teams this late in an NFL season, so the New Orleans Saints and Indianapolis Colts are in some uncharted waters…uncharted for them and for the league. Both will face significant challenges in this week’s matchups, with the Saints having the bigger test.
It seems sort of fitting that New Orleans is hosting the New England Patriots on Monday night, in what will be one of the largest wagered on games of the year. After all, the Saints are aiming for a 16-0 regular season this year (and better including the playoffs), while the Patriots went 16-0 during the 2007 regular season.
The game will take place at the Superdome, with online sportsbooks currently sporting a line of 1.5 on the home team. This game opened with New Orleans as a 3-point favorite, but the sports betting community has been lining up on the Patriots most of the week, feeling they have the team to deal Drew Brees and crew their first loss. The Over/Under line is at an eye-popping 57, the highest line of the season so far.
Both teams can put up points, but hitting 57 or more means each side has to hit the scoreboard on most of their possessions…could happen with these two potent offenses facing defenses with some holes.
New Orleans has a record of 7 overs and 3 unders in their last 10 home games.
The Saints are a tough team to beat at home, as they boast a mark of 9-1 straight up in the last 10 and are 7-3 ATS over that stretch. But the Pats can brag about their road record, as they’ve put together a mark of 9-2 ATS in their last 11 away games.
Looking at these two in head-to-head matchups, the Saints are 6-1 ATS the last seven times they’ve met, but bear in mind very few of those games were recent, as it dates all the way back to 1986.
These games have produced 6 overs and 1 under.
The Saints have been profitable when favored by 2-points or less, going 8-1 SU and ATS in their last nine in that situation, with a notable 10 overs and 1 under in those games.
SPORTSBETTING.com is reporting 72% of the action so far is on the road team Patriots.
As referenced above, the boys from the Bayou aren’t the only ones taking aim at perfection as the Indianapolis Colts are also 10-0.
The Colts will look to go 11-0 with a road game against the Houston Texans—Indy is a 3.5-point road fave with the Over/Under established at 48.
Indianapolis has dominated Houston in seven road games on the scoreboard, going 6-1 straight up, but bettors care about ATS numbers, and there Houston has the edge. The Texans hold a 5-2 ATS record in those seven meetings.
The last eight times these two have met, whether in Houston or Indianapolis, have resulted in a lopsided straight up win mark for the Colts (7-1 straight up), but like above, Houston has been adept at covering the spread vs. this divisional rival. The Texans are 6-2 ATS in those eight games.
These two have a record of 7 overs and 1 under the last eight times they’ve faced each other.
Houston is 7-3 both SU and ATS in its last 10 games when an underdog of 4-points or less.
Indy is 8-2 ATS and 9-1 SU in its last 10 road games overall.
Bettors are split so far on this one, as 56% of the action has come in on the Colts.
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