Fourth Down and Inches - Football Predictions Report
by Doc - 10/5/2010
Our College Game of the Year won as expected with Iowa dominating Penn State, 24-3. The Hawkeyes defense was my biggest base for choosing this selection. Their front four may be the best in the country. The line came in somewhat low because of Iowa’s poor showing at Arizona a couple of weeks ago. Keep an eye out for this club, as they may be the best team in the Big Ten. The Hawkeyes have this week off before a grinding Big Ten schedule. However, Iowa does get Wisconsin, Michigan State and Iowa at home. Could they run the table? I certainly would not be surprised if that was the case. I will keep my eye out for a couple of these matchups, as a few more big plays for us are in the horizon.
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Iowa’s opponent last week, Penn State, is the most overrated team in the conference in my opinion. The Lions do have a very favorable schedule, as they have only two road games remaining. On Nov.13 they must travel to Ohio State and this will likely be a beat down since Ohio State will be coming off a bye. I will be looking closely at the line in this game, as I really do question if Penn State will be able to score in that encounter. Not enough can be said about Coach Joe Paterno and what he has done at Penn State and for college football in general. But it seems now that Joe Pa is confused on the sideline, which was evident by his failure to call a time out at the end of the first half at Iowa. He will go down as the best and he will get his 400th win this season. I would hope after this occurs he will turn the program over to new blood once this season is completed.
There are some great matchups again this week in college football. One game that has got my attention is Alabama at South Carolina. The Crimson Tide are coming off a blowout victory against Florida while the Gamecocks are coming off a bye. Not only does this game feature two talented teams, but it also has two legendary coaches in Steve Spurrier and Nick Saban. I have to consider the home team in this game since they are getting more than a touchdown. I look for Coach Spurrier to come out with a very good plan of attack, and remember that the home team has won eight of the last 10 matchups. I see a real battle in store for Saturday.
The big game this week in the Big Ten has to be the battle of Michigan. Most people are probably looking at the Wolverines, as they will be looking for revenge. Michigan lost to Michigan State in 2008 and 2009, but they have not lost three straight to the Spartans since 1965-1967. Will Michigan be able to keep that streak going? Not so fast, my friend! I do not like the Wolverines defense and I believe that the Spartans have the defense that will be able to contain QB Denard Robinson. The Wolverines stock soared after they beat Connecticut and Michigan. However, the have been playing cupcakes the last three weeks and I am not at all impressed with the points and yardage they have been giving up. I expect QB Kirk Cousins to torch their secondary. My only choice in this game would be to take the dog.
Spanning the globe in college football, the game of the day had to be Tennessee at LSU. LSU mismanaged the clock down the stretch and appeared to lose when the snap was botched on a shotgun play. But after some helmet throwing and field rushing, the officials got buzzed upstairs and noticed that Tennessee had 13 defenders (11 is legal), and thus a penalty was called giving LSU one more play. LSU made the most of that and ran in the next play giving them the victory. I really felt bad for Coach Derek Dooley, as he was lifted up by his players when it appeared that Tennessee had pulled the upset. In retrospect, the proper call was made since they did have two extra men on the field. However, one might also argue that a personal foul should have been called on the LSU lineman who threw his helmet.
This week Tennessee is back on the road again playing Georgia in a game where both teams desperately need a win. The Dawgs are coming off a loss to Colorado and Coach Mark Richt is squarely on the hot seat with a 1-4 record and they are 0-3 in the SEC. Georgia enters this game at Sanford Stadium as a 13-point favorite according to the college football lines. This is one game I will stay away from and it would not surprise me if Tennessee wins this one straight up or gets blown out by 30 points.
Moving to the NFL, Doc’s Sports rebounded from a 0-4 week two weeks ago to go 4-0 this week. The only team that remains unbeaten in the league is the Kansas City Chiefs, who sit at 3-0 after having a bye last weekend. The Chiefs still do not get much respect, as they are an eight-point underdog this week in Indianapolis. After this game the Chiefs must head to Houston and will be another sizable underdog in that game as well. The Chiefs are for real and have a good chance to win the AFC West since San Diego appears to have taken a major step backwards.
This is an important week for many teams, but it’s a must win for the San Francisco 49ers. Many might assume that at 0-4 their season is already over, but remember that 2-2 is winning the NFC West and the 49ers have only played one home game and one divisional game. They still have a lot of talent, but Coach Mike Singletary is squarely on the hot seat. He appears to be a great speaker but I question his Xs and Os. But despite being 0-4 straight-up, the 49ers are 2-2 ATS and we will likely have a selection on this Sunday Night Football Game against the Eagles. The status of QB Michael Vick is also something that we have to consider.
I have a US Cellular Blackberry phone and it is amazing how much sports information I can receive at the touch of a finger. If you want to pay the money, you are able to watch play-by-play of every college and NFL game on your phone. The past Sunday I was duck hunting with my friend and I was able to keep one eye on the ducks and one eye of the late afternoon NFL games. This phone is certainly a good NFL handicapping too.
Speaking of a good handicapping tool, our own Web site, www.docsports.com is of the best sports Web sites in the country. Our staff does a great job across the country giving you up-to-the-minute scores, lines, injuries, and the latest information available about each college and NFL game. If you would like to something else on our site, please drop out staff an email or give me a call personally. We strive to make this one of the best sites available on the Internet.
This week we will be going with our Revenge Game of the Year (6-unit play). I had Iowa circled over Penn State before the season started and had this revenge game also circled. I really like this homer’s chances and I would be disappointed if we do not get the win with our top selection for the third straight week. I know where my money is going and I hope you will be aboard.
That’s it for this week