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Super Bowl Squares Pool Strategy
by Aaron Smith - 2/1/2010

Wilson Football.

The Super Bowl is the most popular sporting event of the year, so getting everyone involved in a little Super Bowl betting pool is generally a pretty simple task. The typical Super Bowl squares sheet will have 100 squares sold with each square costing the same amount of money. All 100 squares will contain a different number. Numbers are drawn and each number between zero and nine will be used both up and down on the square. The second number in the score of the Super Bowl game is always the number that is used to determine who the winner is. For example, if the score were Indianapolis 21 and New Orleans 17 then the winners would be one and seven.

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Around here the goal is always to get an advantage over the competition. In Super Bowl squares the real object of the game is to give everyone a chance, so there is only so much that can be done as far as Super Bowl squares pool strategy. That being said, making sure you have that little edge over the rest of the group is still vital. What is the best strategy when playing a Super Bowl Betting Square?

The amount of strategy that can be used in a Super Bowl squares pool is largely dependent on the rules that are in place for the competition. If your particular pool allows you to select which square you receive then there is a whole lot of strategy involved and you need to make your selection of your squares as soon as possible. If squares are drawn at random there is less strategy that can be used, but if you are able to see which squares are gone you can still utilize some important strategy.

What exactly is the strategy when participating in a Super Bowl squares pool? The strategy revolves around the probabilities of particular outcomes occurring. If you go into the pool armed with the knowledge of which squares have the highest likelihood of winning based on past outcomes you are definitely a leg up on your competition. The post by Doug Drinen at Sabernomics.com back in 2005 is a priceless post for those of you entering into a Super Bowl Squares Pool this year. Doug examines the probability of each square winning the pot, all the way from a 3.8 percent chance for seven and zero or zero and seven to a .04 percent chance for the square two and two. Clearly you don’t want to have two and two in your pool or you are essentially beat before the game gets started!

Additionally, you’ll need to know if your pool pays out part of the pot by quarter. If this is the case, the value of the zero and zero square jumps in a big way. Most pools have started paying small amounts on the score at the end of each quarter, so Drinen updated his post in 2008 to include the value of each square given a 10 percent payout at the end of the first three quarters and 70 percent for the final game score. As you can see the value of zero and zero is tremendous for winning the first quarter and the value of three and zero has also been boosted nicely by the quarter-by-quarter probabilities.

Concluding this NFL commentary check out Doc's NFL season predictions page. Doc's Sports Super bowl trophy page is and excellent NFL resource as well. When it comes to betting NFL our Super Bowl team ranking feature is a must for any NFL fan. For more NFL articles and free picks visit our homepage and view the "Doc's Daily Medicine" section.

The bottom line is you need to know exactly how your Super Bowl Squares Pool is going to be run. If you are able to select squares, jump on the zero and seven and seven and zero. Also, if there are payouts by quarter, get on that zero and zero square quickly. A Super Bowl Squares betting pool is designed to give everyone an even chance, but the truth is you can have a big leg up on the rest of the field if you know the probabilities of each square winning!