Super Bowl Squares Pool Strategy
by Aaron Smith - 1/25/2011
The popularity of the Super Bowl means that getting a Super Bowl contest of some kind together is usually a simple task. One of the most popular ways for everyone to get involved now is a Super Bowl Squares betting pool. The typical Super Bowl Square will have 100 squares sold with each square costing the same amount of money. All 100 squares will contain a different number. The second number in the score of the Super Bowl game is always the number that is used to determine the winner. For example, if the final score of this Super Bowl ends up being Green Bay 24 and Pittsburgh 21, the winners would be four and one.
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In a Super Bowl Squares Pool the real object of the game is to give everyone a chance to win, even if they don’t know much about the game. If you have done your homework on how the Super Bowl Squares betting pool works, you can still have the upper hand in this competition. At Doc’s Sports we are all about helping you get an edge on the competition, so let’s take a closer look at exactly how the average Super Bowl Squares Pool unfolds.
Exactly how much strategy can be used in the Super Bowl Squares Betting Pool is tied directly to how the rules are set up in the individual pool. If your particular pool allows you to select which square you receive, then strategy is crucial and you should move to select your squares as soon as possible. If the squares are drawn at random there is less chance to use strategy, but if you are able view which squares are already taken you can still use some of this same strategy.
What exactly is the strategy when participating in a Super Bowl Squares Pool? The strategy revolves around the probabilities of particular outcomes occurring. Statistics gurus are the ones who have figured out the probability of each outcome, and that is the information you’ll want to have going into this contest. Past outcomes allow us to see which squares have the highest probability of winning. Doug Drinen, a terrific statistics guru from of Sabernomics.com, put together a terrific post back in 2005 regarding the probabilities of each square cashing in. After crunching all the numbers, it turned out that seven and zero or zero and seven have a 3.8 percent chance of winning, which is the single highest mark on the board. The square two and two gives you a .04 percent chance of winning. Basically, if you get square two and two in your pool, you might as well just consider your entry a donation into the pot.
Does your pool pay out by the quarter? If your pool does quarterly payouts, the value of the 0 and 0 square jumps in a big way. Another square that becomes extremely valuable is the three and zero square. If you are a part of a Super Bowl Betting Squares pool that does quarterly payouts, jump on these squares right away and you’ll have a healthy edge on your competition.
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The bottom line is that you first need to know exactly how your Super Bowl Squares Pool is going to be run (click this link for info on how to set up a Super Bowl Squares pool). If you are able to select squares, select the zero and seven and seven and zero squares as quickly as possible. Also, if there are payouts by quarter, get on that zero and zero square quickly. A Super Bowl Squares Betting Pool is designed to give everyone an even chance, but just as is the case with most contests, if you are well-prepared you can have a leg up on the rest of the competition.