Welcome to Doc's Sports Service Bovada Banner
spacer  
spacer spacer
Welcome to Doc's Sports Service spacer
Welcome to Doc's Sports Service Welcome to Doc's Sports Service
Welcome to Doc's Sports Service
Click Here to Purchase Doc's Picks
Baseball Picks   |   NASCAR Picks   |   WNBA picks
Football Picks   |   NFL Picks   |   Soccer Picks
spacer



Live Lines and Odds NFL Odds
spacer
College Football Odds
spacer
NBA Odds
spacer
College
   Basketball Odds

spacer
MLB Odds
spacer
NHL Odds
spacer
WNBA Odds
spacer
CFL Odds
spacer
Boxing Odds
spacer
Golf Odds
spacer
Soccer Odds
spacer
Week 2 NFL Odds
spacer
Doc's Rotation
spacer

Free Picks by Sport Free MLB Picks
spacer
Free NASCAR Picks
spacer
Free NFL Picks
spacer
Free College Football Picks
spacer
Free NBA Picks
spacer
Free College Basketball Picks
spacer
Free NHL Picks
spacer
All Free Picks
spacer

Handicapping Matchup Reports NFL
spacer
NCAA Football
spacer
NBA
spacer
NCAA Basketball
spacer
MLB
spacer
NHL
spacer

Scores NFL
spacer
NCAA Football
spacer
NBA
spacer
NCAA Basketball
spacer
MLB
spacer
NHL
spacer

Schedules NFL Schedule
spacer
College Football Schedule
spacer
MLB Schedule
spacer
Monday Night Football Schedule
spacer

Upcomming Event Coverage 2014 Heisman Trophy Odds
spacer
MLB Futures Odds
spacer




Bovada Banner
spacer
spacer
Home
spacer
View Picks
spacer
Why Doc's Sports?
spacer
Our Betting System
spacer
Sports Betting Strategy
spacer
Message from the GM
spacer
Our Commitment
spacer
Customer Comments
spacer
Free Picks
spacer
Contact Doc's
spacer

The Advisory Board
Our Commitment
spacer
Doc's Sports
spacer
Robert Ferringo
spacer
Allen Eastman
spacer
Raphael Esparza (VSI)
spacer
Indian Cowboy
spacer
Jason Sharpe
spacer
Strike Point Sports
spacer
Mike Davis
spacer

Betting Systems
11th Hour Sports
spacer
The Prop Machine
spacer

Recomended Sportsbooks Bovada Sportsbook
spacer
5Dimes Sportsbook
spacer
BookMaker
spacer
Sportsbook
spacer
Carbon Sports
spacer
WagerWeb
spacer
BetOnline Sportsbook
spacer
GT Bets
spacer
SportsBettingOnline.ag
spacer
Sportsbook Bonus
spacer

Handicapping Resources
Mobile Website Directions
spacer
Weekly NFL Survivor Pool Picks
spacer
NFL Power Rankings 2014
spacer
NFL Office Pool Picks
spacer
Sports Betting Money Managment
spacer
Handicapping FAQ
spacer
Sports Betting 101
spacer
Sports Betting Tips
spacer
Parlay Calculator
spacer
Sports Betting Systems
spacer
Parlay Cards
spacer
Gambling Terms
spacer
2014 Archives
spacer
2013 Archives
spacer
2012 Archives
spacer
2011 Archives
spacer
2010 Archives
spacer
Doc's Affiliate Program
spacer
Doc's Writer Bios
spacer
Doc's rss feedDoc's RSS feed



spacer
spacer

NFL Draft Predictions: SEC First-Round Picks Props
by Alan Matthews - 4/25/2011

Share |
Patrick Peterson, formerly of the LSU Tigers

Is there really any doubt that the Southeastern Conference is the premiere conference in college football? It’s certainly not an argument when you look at the overall quality of teams. After all, an SEC team has won the past five National Championships, and Alabama and LSU will both be among the favorites this coming season.

Shoot, the SEC is even the king of recruiting as well because kids want to play with the best. For example, in the 2011 signing class rankings, there were a whopping seven teams among the Top-15 rated classes: No. 2 Alabama, No. 3 Auburn, No. 6 Georgia, No. 10 LSU, No. 12 Florida, No. 13 Tennessee and No. 15 South Carolina.

Get up to 100% Bonus
at Wager Web!
Use Code DOC200
Click Here

But what about SEC players in the draft? Does all that talent translate to the NFL like it did back in, say, the heyday of the Miami Hurricanes?

Last year the SEC had by far the most players drafted overall with 49. The Big Ten was second with 33. However, the SEC didn’t have the most first-rounders in 2010. It had seven. The Big 12 had eight players taken in the first round, including the first four overall. But that haul was largely because that 2009 Oklahoma team was stacked with first-rounders (Sam Bradford, etc.).

This year, Sportsbook.com offers a prop on how many first-rounders the SEC will have. The ‘over/under’ is eight (a bit surprised they didn’t add a half to avoid a push). Looking at most NFL mock drafts by the experts, it seems a sure thing that the SEC will have five of the first seven players off the board: Auburn’s Cam Newton, Alabama’s Marcell Dareus, Georgia’s A.J. Green, Alabama’s Julio Jones and LSU’s Patrick Peterson.

OK, so will either two or four more SEC players go in Round 1? Two for sure, according to my NFL Draft predictions. Auburn’s Nick Fairley was at one point considered possibly the top overall pick after his dominating national title game performance against Oregon, but his stock has dropped him to around 8-10. Florida offensive lineman Mike Pouncey will go in the first round just like his brother Maurkice did last year to Pittsburgh. So that makes two out of the eight SEC first-rounders.

The next three top-rated SEC players, in whatever order, are Alabama running back and former Heisman winner Mark Ingram, Mississippi State offensive tackle Derek Sherrod and Arkansas quarterback Ryan Mallett. Georgia linebacker Justin Houston is also a fringe first-round player.

The ‘over’ eight players is a -160 favorite, and I believe that’s the only way to go. Ingram is a lock and probably will be the only running back taken in the first round. In fact, that is also a prop at Sportsbook.com, with the ‘over under’ 0.5 running backs in Round 1. Totally jump on the ‘over’ on that one at -145. In addition, the site mentions the ‘over/under’ on Ingram’s draft spot at 32, which, of course, is the final pick of the first round. Cash in on the ‘under’ at -130. Another Alabama player prop is the ‘over/under’ on where Jones goes – it’s listed at 9.5. There’s no way Jones lasts past both Ohio teams so take the ‘under’ (Even) on that one as he probably goes No. 6 to Cleveland.

I also wrote a total number of first-round quarterbacks story here at Doc’s, in which I mentioned Mallett’s stock is dropping but that his physical skills will be too appealing in the late first round to pass up – even if a team has to trade back into the first round to get him. Most mock drafts also have Sherrod going in the final few picks of Round 1 as well. So we should be looking at a minimum of nine SEC players in the first round if not 10.

Share |

Most Recent NFL Draft Articles