St-Pierre vs. Shields Odds for UFC 129
by Tim Furious of BetUS - 4/19/2011
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Let’s face the truth about UFC 129 before you’re pummeled in the jaw by predictions on the betting lines because all fight fans are going to watch it, and most of us are going to play it in the sportsbooks because it’s a big ticket event. The UFC would have you believe that the main event featuring Jake Shields and welterweight champion Georges St-Pierre is a slobber knocker in the making, but I couldn’t care less. We all know what we want to see as fans, and it isn’t St-Pierre decimating another would-be contender to his coveted title.
The build up for St-Pierre-Shields has been somewhat epic. In a WWE style montage that depicts Shields sitting in front of a wall with all his wrestling medals, fight trophies, belts and newspaper clippings, the UFC attempts to make Shields look like a viable contender. Even my girlfriend turned to me after seeing the promo asking, “Wow! Who is that guy?!”
My response was simple: “An overrated fighter who came over from Strikeforce and should’ve lost his debut, but the judges handed him the fight for no apparent reason to put him in a title fight against St-Pierre.” Like any good boyfriend, I had to burst my girlfriend’s bubble. My readers and my girlfriend share one opinion about me: I’m a complete jackass.
Shields’ 24-4-1 SU fight record has been built over 12 years and he hasn’t lost a fight since losing to Akira Kiluchi in December of 2004. He’s beaten Dan Henderson, Jason Miller and Paul Daley recently and is the obvious choice to fight St-Pierre who has dominated the welterweight division of the UFC with an eight fight winning streak.
It has to be asked, however, if the real MMA fight community really cares about this fight. BetUS has St-Pierre listed as a -450 favorite over Shields who has +325 underdog odds of his own. On paper, and in reality, this fight shouldn’t be much more than the French-Canadian champion proving that he’s the best in the business for the umpteenth time.
Even more interestingly, BetUS.com has odds up for the dream bout involving St-Pierre that fight fans have been pining over for years. That would be the one pitting St-Pierre against Anderson Silva, where the Brazilian middleweight workhorse is -180 over St-Pierre at +150.
Those odds went up after Silva and St-Pierre both won their last fights because it’s been almost laughable how dominant these two have been in their respective weight classes. We ask time and again after each of their defenses when these two will finally fight because it’s what we want to see, and the UFC has been very transparent that their first priority is giving fans what they want.
I’m always exited to see St-Pierre fight because he puts on a great show more often than he doesn’t. The welterweight division is never short of challengers, but it has consistently been bereft of serious contenders. Koscheck, Hardy and Thiago Alves all pushed St-Pierre for five rounds, but all lost by unanimous decision.
It’s hard to imagine Shields being anything more than another stepping stone for St-Pierre, who is 2-0 SU when fighting in Canada. But a stepping stone to where? He’s already one of the greatest fighters of all time. St-Pierre has proven that he deserves to be at the top of the conversation when it comes to pound-for-pound awesomeness. What else does he have left to prove?
There are very few certainties in sports, but St-Pierre defending his title successfully has become one of them. The UFC can do their best to try and make me care about Shields as a contender, but real fight fans lost interest in this title matchup when Shields won a narrow and unjust decision over Kampmann.
Fans and bettors alike will be left asking the same question after this St-Pierre fight as we always do: When is Silva-St-Pierre happening? Stop making us wait, Dana. This is 2011. Fans are more impatient than ever and we’ve all danced to the same post-fight song when St-Pierre beats up a pretender like Shields. The welterweight title defense is getting boring. Give us something exciting.
