Welcome to Doc's Sports Service Bovada Banner
spacer  
spacer spacer
Welcome to Doc's Sports Service spacer
Welcome to Doc's Sports Service Welcome to Doc's Sports Service
Welcome to Doc's Sports Service
Click Here to Purchase Doc's Picks
Baseball Picks   |   NASCAR Picks   |   WNBA picks
Football Picks   |   NFL Picks   |   Soccer Picks
spacer



Live Lines and Odds NFL Odds
spacer
NBA Odds
spacer
College
   Basketball Odds

spacer
MLB Odds
spacer
NHL Odds
spacer
WNBA Odds
spacer
CFL Odds
spacer
Boxing Odds
spacer
Golf Odds
spacer
Soccer Odds
spacer

Free Picks by Sport Free MLB Picks
spacer
Free NASCAR Picks
spacer
Free NFL Picks
spacer
Free College Football Picks
spacer
Free NBA Picks
spacer
Free College Basketball Picks
spacer
Free NHL Picks
spacer
Free World Cup Picks
spacer
All Free Picks
spacer

Handicapping Matchup Reports NFL
spacer
NCAA Football
spacer
NBA
spacer
NCAA Basketball
spacer
MLB
spacer
NHL
spacer

Scores NFL
spacer
NCAA Football
spacer
NBA
spacer
NCAA Basketball
spacer
MLB
spacer
NHL
spacer

Schedules NFL Schedule
spacer
College Football Schedule
spacer
MLB Schedule
spacer

Upcomming Event Coverage 2014 Heisman Trophy Odds
spacer
MLB Futures Odds
spacer




Bovada Banner
spacer
spacer
Home
spacer
View Picks
spacer
Why Doc's Sports?
spacer
Our Betting System
spacer
Sports Betting Strategy
spacer
Message from the GM
spacer
Our Commitment
spacer
Customer Comments
spacer
Free Picks
spacer
Contact Doc's
spacer

The Advisory Board
Our Commitment
spacer
Doc's Sports
spacer
Robert Ferringo
spacer
Allen Eastman
spacer
Raphael Esparza (VSI)
spacer
Indian Cowboy
spacer
Jason Sharpe
spacer
Strike Point Sports
spacer
Chad Matthews
spacer
Mike Davis
spacer

Betting Systems
11th Hour Sports
spacer
The Prop Machine
spacer

Recomended Sportsbooks Bovada Sportsbook
spacer
5Dimes Sportsbook
spacer
BookMaker
spacer
Sportsbook
spacer
Carbon Sports
spacer
WagerWeb
spacer
BetOnline Sportsbook
spacer
GT Bets
spacer
SportsBettingOnline.ag
spacer
Sportsbook Bonus
spacer

Handicapping Resources
Mobile Website Directions
spacer
2014 NFL Season Win Totals Predictions
spacer
Weekly NFL Survivor Pool Picks
spacer
Sports Betting Money Managment
spacer
Handicapping FAQ
spacer
Sports Betting 101
spacer
Sports Betting Tips
spacer
Parlay Calculator
spacer
Sports Betting Systems
spacer
Parlay Cards
spacer
Gambling Terms
spacer
2014 Archives
spacer
2013 Archives
spacer
2012 Archives
spacer
2011 Archives
spacer
2010 Archives
spacer
Doc's Affiliate Program
spacer
Doc's Writer Bios
spacer
Doc's rss feedDoc's RSS feed



spacer
spacer

College Football Predictions: Ohio State at Michigan State Odds and Picks
by Alan Matthews - 9/26/2012

Share |
Ohio State University running back Carlos Hyde

I have to admit I am a tad leery on previewing a Michigan State game again as the Spartans are responsible for two of my ATS losses this season. But No. 20 Sparty’s matchup with No. 14 Ohio State is pretty clearly the game of the day Saturday; the only other all Top-25 matchup (ESPN/USA Today poll) is Baylor-West Virginia in the Mountaineers’ Big 12 debut, and there will be plenty of big games involving WVU to choose from later this season. ESPN GameDay will be in East Lansing, so that’s the clincher.

In my weekly look-ahead story, I have belabored the point that the Big Ten is pretty lousy this season. Only the Buckeyes, Northwestern and Minnesota are without a loss heading into this weekend’s conference openers. I still believe the Spartans are the banner-carriers for the Big Ten because OSU is ineligible for postseason play. Michigan State, the +200 Big Ten favorite at Sportsbook.ag, has just one game remaining vs. a team currently ranked – Nebraska – and the game is in East Lansing. MSU does have to visit Michigan and Wisconsin, and both could well be ranked by the time those games roll around.

50% Match Play Reward
Reduced Juice Wagering
Click Here to signup with 5Dimes

It was pretty evident both teams were looking ahead last Saturday. Ohio State beat UAB, probably one of the 10 worst teams in the nation, 29-15 in Columbus. The Blazers were still within six points with six minutes remaining, and they outgained Ohio State by nearly 60 yards and held the ball for almost eight minutes more. Meanwhile, the Buckeyes offense struggled against a defense that gave up an average of 44 points and 477 yards in its first two games.

MSU bounced back from a loss to Notre Dame with an ugly 23-7 win over Eastern Michigan, also one of the 10 worst programs in the country. Heisman candidate Le’Veon Bell had a career-high 253 yards for Sparty, but it’s somewhat concerning that MSU had to give him the ball 36 times against such an overmatched opponent.

Ohio State at Michigan State Betting Storylines

Let’s get to the two key injuries here. Ohio State running back Carlos Hyde hasn’t played since the second quarter of the second game of the season with an MCL strain but will return. Thus, it would be the first time all season that Urban Meyer has his top three offensive weapons -- Hyde, hybrid back Jordan Hall and quarterback Braxton Miller – on the field at the same time. Can you say triple-option?

For Michigan State, star defensive end William Gholston will be good to go. He did not play until the second half Saturday after not practicing all last week with an unspecified injury.

The Spartans need Gholston at full strength because they aren’t going to score many offensive points. Andrew Maxwell hasn’t been great in place of departed Kirk Cousins, completing just 56.6 percent of his passes for three TDs and three picks. To be fair, all of MSU’s top receivers from last year moved on with Cousins. Thus, there’s little doubt that OSU will load up to stop Bell. Notre Dame did that and held the Spartans to three points as Maxwell couldn’t make the Irish pay.

On the other side, OSU’s offense has been rather inconsistent itself. With the dual-threat Miller, the Buckeyes can run, but they still aren’t very dangerous through the air, ranking No. 99 in the country in passing yards per game. Miller has been much more accurate in his sophomore season, but he hasn’t seen a defense anything close to Michigan State’s yet. The Spartans lead the Big Ten in total defense (233.5), scoring defense (11.8) and rushing defense (69.3 ypg) and are No. 2 against the pass (164.3 ypg).

Last year in a 10-7 Michigan State win in Columbus, the Spartans overwhelmed the OSU offensive line with nine sacks. The Spartans allowed just 178 total yards and 35 yards on 39 rushing attempts. Miller was 5-of-10 for 56 yards with a pick before being replaced. Bell had 50 yards on 14 carries for MSU, while Maxwell never left the bench.

That victory snapped MSU’s seven-game losing streak in this series. The Buckeyes have won three straight games in East Lansing, with the Spartans’ last win in 1999 (the teams didn’t play in 2009-10; OSU hasn’t visited Spartan Stadium in four years).

 

Ohio State at Michigan State Betting Odds and Trends

MSU is a three-point favorite, according to college football odds, with the total at 43 on BookMaker. The Buckeyes are 1-3 ATS this season and 2-2 “over/under”. Spartans are 1-3 ATS and 0-3-1 O/U.

Ohio State is 0-5 ATS in its past five games following a win. Michigan State is 5-1 ATS in its past six after a win and also in its past six vs. teams with a winning record. The over is 4-1 in both teams’ past five Big Ten games. The road team has covered in the past four meetings.

College Football Predictions: Ohio State at Michigan State Picks

For what it’s worth, OSU was 0-3 on grass fields last year and this is its first on grass in 2012. This also is the Buckeyes’ first road game and they were 1-5 outside of Columbus in 2011, but that team didn’t have Meyer. It’s the first time that MSU’s Mark Dantonio and Meyer, both Ohio natives, will face off as head coaches.

I love the under here as both quarterbacks will struggle to throw the ball. This is one of those games that likely will come down to turnovers or bad penalties. I’m going to cast my lot with Michigan State one more time, although a push wouldn’t surprise me in the least.

Doc’s Sports wants to give you a great offer to try out our expert college football handicappers for free with no obligation, no credit card required and no salesman ever! These are the same college football picks that our clients receive from any of our Advisory Board handicappers and you can get $60 in picks credit in minutes. Click here for more details and to take advantage of this free $60 picks credit today.

Share |