NFL Picks: Jets at Titans Predictions and Betting Odds
by Trevor Whenham - 12/13/2012
It would be too much to say that this is the worst “Monday Night Football” game ever. It’s certainly not the best one, though.
Tennessee is wildly inconsistent, and they have lost their last three and looked underwhelming doing it. At this point they just aren’t a very good team, as their 4-9 record suggests. New York’s record is better at 6-7, but the team is a ridiculous circus and seemingly completely out of control. They have won two games in a row, but I don’t remember a winning streak that has been less impressive or has inspired less confidence. Their QB situation is uncertain - and that’s being very kind - and there are problems pretty much everywhere else on the field - with the notable exception of the secondary. As yet another sign of the chaos mentality of the team, they claimed Braylon Edwards off waivers this week - just a couple of weeks after Edwards had openly and aggressively bashed New York in the media.
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Jets at Titans Betting Storylines
Playing at home is supposed to be an advantage, but it certainly hasn’t been for Tennessee. They have dropped four of their six games at home this year, and the two wins were by just a field goal - one coming in overtime. They have lost their last three at home as well. All three of those losses have been to significantly better teams than the Jets, but the last two in particular - to the Bears and Texans - were one-sided. There is really no good reason to give the Titans a whole lot of credit for the location here. The Jets have gone 3-3 on the road, and they have won their last two, so they can be reasonably trusted on the road - at least as much as they can be trusted at all right now.
The Jets’ defense is terrible. There is no way to sugarcoat it. Mark Sanchez has been lousy, but he keeps getting chances - in part because no one else has done any better in their limited opportunities. They are 30th in the league in both passing yards and total yards, and they are averaging just 18.8 points per game - the 26th worst total in the league. Their running is their offensive strength, but even that isn’t overpowering. The good news for them, though, is that Tennessee is just as bad defensively as they are offensively. Only one team has allowed more points per game, and they are 27th in yards allowed. The Jets are never an easy offense to trust, but if they are going to look competent in any game it will be this one.
The one thing that the Jets can do well is stop the pass - only two teams have given up fewer passing yards per game. The Titans pass better than they do pretty much anything else this year, but that doesn’t at all mean that they pass well. Tennessee has struggled to score points consistently, and if the Jets are able to perform at their typical level against the pass then this could be a low-scoring tilt.
Jets at Titans NFL Odds and Betting Trends
The Titans opened as one-point favorites, and that has since moved up to two points. A solid majority of bets have come in on the Titans - largely because of the amount of negative media attention the Jets get - so the line movement isn’t surprising. The total opened at 42.5 and has fallen by a point since then.
The Titans are 0-5 ATS in their last five games in December. New York has covered each of the last five meetings between these teams. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The “under” is 4-0-1 the last five times Tennessee has played as home favorites.
Jets at Titans Predictions and NFL Picks
I wouldn’t touch either of these teams unless I was desperate. They have too many issues. I’d lean towards the Jets if I absolutely had to, but I don’t think it’s attractive at all. What is attractive, though, is the under. I don’t trust either team to score, so they should comfortably remain under the total.
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