Welcome to Doc's Sports Service 5 Dimes Banner
spacer  
spacer spacer
Welcome to Doc's Sports Service spacer
Welcome to Doc's Sports Service Welcome to Doc's Sports Service
Welcome to Doc's Sports Service
Click Here to Purchase Doc's Picks
Baseball Picks   |   NASCAR Picks   |   WNBA picks
Football Picks   |   NFL Picks   |   Soccer Picks
spacer



Live Lines and Odds NFL Odds
spacer
College Football Odds
spacer
NBA Odds
spacer
College
   Basketball Odds

spacer
MLB Odds
spacer
NHL Odds
spacer
WNBA Odds
spacer
CFL Odds
spacer
Boxing Odds
spacer
Golf Odds
spacer
Soccer Odds
spacer

Free Picks by Sport Free MLB Picks
spacer
Free NASCAR Picks
spacer
Free NFL Picks
spacer
Free College Football Picks
spacer
Free NBA Picks
spacer
Free College Basketball Picks
spacer
Free NHL Picks
spacer
All Free Picks
spacer

Handicapping Matchup Reports NFL
spacer
NCAA Football
spacer
NBA
spacer
NCAA Basketball
spacer
MLB
spacer
NHL
spacer

Scores NFL
spacer
NCAA Football
spacer
NBA
spacer
NCAA Basketball
spacer
MLB
spacer
NHL
spacer

Schedules NFL Schedule
spacer
College Football Schedule
spacer
MLB Schedule
spacer
Monday Night Football Schedule
spacer

Upcomming Event Coverage 2014 Heisman Trophy Odds
spacer
MLB Futures Odds
spacer




5Dimes Banner
spacer
spacer
Home
spacer
View Picks
spacer
Why Doc's Sports?
spacer
Our Betting System
spacer
Sports Betting Strategy
spacer
Message from the GM
spacer
Our Commitment
spacer
Customer Comments
spacer
Free Picks
spacer
Contact Doc's
spacer

The Advisory Board
Our Commitment
spacer
Doc's Sports
spacer
Robert Ferringo
spacer
Allen Eastman
spacer
Raphael Esparza (VSI)
spacer
Indian Cowboy
spacer
Jason Sharpe
spacer
Strike Point Sports
spacer
Mike Davis
spacer

Betting Systems
11th Hour Sports
spacer
The Prop Machine
spacer

Recomended Sportsbooks Bovada Sportsbook
spacer
Bodog Sportsbook
spacer
Sports Interaction
spacer
5Dimes Sportsbook
spacer
BookMaker
spacer
Sportsbook
spacer
Carbon Sports
spacer
WagerWeb
spacer
BetCRIS
spacer
BetOnline Sportsbook
spacer
GT Bets
spacer
SuperBook
spacer
SportsBettingOnline.ag
spacer
Sportsbook Bonus
spacer

Handicapping Resources
Mobile Website Directions
spacer
2014 NFL Season Win Totals Predictions
spacer
2014 College Football Season Win Totals Predictions
spacer
Weekly NFL Survivor Pool Picks
spacer
Sports Betting Money Managment
spacer
Handicapping FAQ
spacer
Sports Betting 101
spacer
Sports Betting Tips
spacer
Parlay Calculator
spacer
Sports Betting Systems
spacer
Parlay Cards
spacer
Gambling Terms
spacer
2014 Archives
spacer
2013 Archives
spacer
2012 Archives
spacer
2011 Archives
spacer
2010 Archives
spacer
Doc's Affiliate Program
spacer
Doc's Writer Bios
spacer
Doc's rss feedDoc's RSS feed



spacer
spacer

Daytona 500 Betting and Handicapping: Props Odds and Picks
by - 2/22/2013

Share |
Spring Cup driver Jeff Gordon

The green flag drops on the 2013 NASCAR season Sunday, as it always does, with the Daytona 500, also known as the “Great American Race” and the “Super Bowl of NASCAR”. It’s truly the only sport that opens its year with its marquee event.

Clearly the big news this year is Danica Patrick, who made history last weekend in qualifying by becoming the first woman to win the pole. She was able to avoid any potential disaster to her car in Thursday’s Budweiser Duels. Had Danica wrecked her car, she would have had to switch to a backup and would have been sent to the back of Sunday’s field. Instead, Patrick finished 17th in her Duel race after falling to the back and racing conservatively for much of the race. She will race a full Sprint Cup schedule this year for Stewart-Haas Racing, and everyone wants to know if she will wreck boyfriend Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (not a teammate) if it benefits Patrick (or vice versa).

100% Bonus
Get up to $200 Free
Limited time offer
Exclusive to Doc Sports
(Some Restrictions Apply)
Click here to join Sports Interaction now

Bovada has a few Patrick props:
--Yes she will she finish in Top 3: 11/2
--Yes she will finish in Top 5: 7/2
--Yes she will finish in Top 10: 3/2
--Will she be leading after the first lap is complete: yes at even and no at -140.
--Who finishes higher, Stenhouse Jr. or Patrick, both at -115.

Kudos to Patrick for winning the pole, but that hasn’t been a good thing of late. The last pole winner to win the 500 was Dale Jarrett in 2000. Here are the results for the past five pole winners: Carl Edwards eighth, Dale Earnhardt Jr. 24th, Mark Martin 12th, Martin Truex 11th and Jimmie Johnson 27th. The best result for a pole winner since Jarrett’s win was Bill Elliott finishing fifth in 2011. Overall, pole winners average a 16th-place finish since Jarrett. Since 2000, Daytona 500 winners had an average starting position of 15th. Matt Kenseth holds the record for starting the farthest back, at 39th and winning the race (2009).

I would probably take the even-money value on Patrick leading after the first lap, but I’d go “no” on all those other five props. She finished 38th and off the lead lap a year ago after starting 29th. Patrick didn’t have a Top-15 finish in 10 Sprint Cup races.

Keep in mind that all books take the odds down during practices because a crash can change everything – should Patrick crash in practice Friday, for example, she would still go to the back of the field. BookMaker offers an “over/under” of 9.5 cautions, with both at -120. The record is 16 in 2011, while in the past five Daytona 500s the average number has been nine cautions overall. I like under.

At Sportsbook.ag, you can bet on the winning manufacturer. Chevrolet is an even-money favorite with a Toyota at +160 and Ford at +350. Interestingly, Chevy was considering leaving NASCAR had the circuit not developed the new Generation-6 car that debuts at Daytona.

Chevy has to be happy right now. Seven of the top nine starters for the Daytona 500 will be Chevrolet SS race cars, including Patrick’s, Tony Stewart’s and the Hendrick Motorsports super-team led by Jimmie Johnson, Jeff Gordon and Earnhardt Jr. A Chevy has won the race just once in the past five years -- by Jamie McMurray in 2010 -- but leads with 41 wins overall at Daytona (including summer races). A Ford had won the Daytona three of the past four years, including Kenseth last year. A Toyota never has, but that’s what Kenseth is in now. Kyle Busch, looking for his first Daytona 500 win, is too, and he and Kenseth are among the favorites. The top Ford drivers should be Greg Biffle, reigning points champion Brad Keselowski and Edwards. Take Chevrolet.

You can also bet on several five-driver groupings and the top finisher at Sportsbook.ag. The top group is Earnhardt Jr., Gordon, Johnson (first three all +325), Busch (+300) and Stewart (+300). Junior won the race in 2004 and has the best overall finish in all Daytona races among active drivers at 14.5. Gordon, meanwhile, has six overall victories at Daytona, tops among active drives, although he hasn’t been that much of a factor of late. Daytona has been a house of horrors for Johnson since his 2008 500 win. He has just one Top-15 finish in nine races there since. Take Junior as he excels at restrictor-plate tracks Daytona and Talladega. I also like him at +350 for a Top-3 finish and under a finish of 12.5 (5Dimes).

The “Speed Row 2” grouping at Sportsbook.ag is Kevin Harvick (+280), Kenseth (+300), Keselowski (+325), Kasey Kahne (+325) and Denny Hamlin (+350). Harvick won this race in 2007 and one of Thursday’s Duels. He has the second-best average finish of 15.4 behind Earnhardt Jr.  Keselowski, Kahne and Hamlin haven’t been good at the track, so, really, this comes down to Harvick or Kenseth, who haven’t finished worse than third in the past three races at Daytona. Harvick doesn’t have a Top-5 finish since his win in the 2010 summer race. Take Kenseth.

Finally, on “Speed Row 3” you have Biffle (+280), Edwards (+300), Patrick, Joey Logano and Kurt Busch (all +325). Edwards has the best average finish of the five at 16.6, although he’s looking for his first win at Daytona. Busch used to be a Top-10 regular at Daytona but has been 35th or worse in the past two races. I like Logano, who finished ninth in last year’s 500 and has been in the Top 10 in the past three races there overall.

Doc’s Sports is offering $60 worth of member’s picks absolutely free – no obligation, no sales people – you don’t even have to enter credit card information. You can use this $60 credit any way you please for any handicapper and any sport on Doc’s Sports Advisory Board list of expert sports handicappers. Click here for more details and take advantage of this free $60 picks credit today.

Read more articles by

Share |

Most Recent NASCAR Betting Articles