Welcome to Doc's Sports Service Sports Interaction Banner
spacer  
spacer spacer
Welcome to Doc's Sports Service spacer
Welcome to Doc's Sports Service Welcome to Doc's Sports Service
Welcome to Doc's Sports Service
Click Here to Purchase Doc's Picks
Baseball Picks   |   NASCAR Picks   |   WNBA picks
Football Picks   |   NFL Picks   |   Soccer Picks
spacer



Live Lines and Odds NFL Odds
spacer
College Football Odds
spacer
NBA Odds
spacer
College
   Basketball Odds

spacer
MLB Odds
spacer
NHL Odds
spacer
WNBA Odds
spacer
CFL Odds
spacer
Boxing Odds
spacer
Golf Odds
spacer
Soccer Odds
spacer

Free Picks by Sport Free MLB Picks
spacer
Free NASCAR Picks
spacer
Free NFL Picks
spacer
Free College Football Picks
spacer
Free NBA Picks
spacer
Free College Basketball Picks
spacer
Free NHL Picks
spacer
All Free Picks
spacer

Handicapping Matchup Reports NFL
spacer
NCAA Football
spacer
NBA
spacer
NCAA Basketball
spacer
MLB
spacer
NHL
spacer

Scores NFL
spacer
NCAA Football
spacer
NBA
spacer
NCAA Basketball
spacer
MLB
spacer
NHL
spacer

Schedules NFL Schedule
spacer
College Football Schedule
spacer
MLB Schedule
spacer
Monday Night Football Schedule
spacer

Upcomming Event Coverage 2014 Heisman Trophy Odds
spacer
MLB Futures Odds
spacer




Sports Interaction Banner
spacer
spacer
Home
spacer
View Picks
spacer
Why Doc's Sports?
spacer
Our Betting System
spacer
Sports Betting Strategy
spacer
Message from the GM
spacer
Our Commitment
spacer
Customer Comments
spacer
Free Picks
spacer
Contact Doc's
spacer

The Advisory Board
Our Commitment
spacer
Doc's Sports
spacer
Robert Ferringo
spacer
Allen Eastman
spacer
Raphael Esparza (VSI)
spacer
Indian Cowboy
spacer
Jason Sharpe
spacer
Strike Point Sports
spacer
Mike Davis
spacer

Betting Systems
11th Hour Sports
spacer
The Prop Machine
spacer

Recomended Sportsbooks Bovada Sportsbook
spacer
Bodog Sportsbook
spacer
Sports Interaction
spacer
5Dimes Sportsbook
spacer
BookMaker
spacer
Sportsbook
spacer
Carbon Sports
spacer
WagerWeb
spacer
BetCRIS
spacer
BetOnline Sportsbook
spacer
GT Bets
spacer
SuperBook
spacer
SportsBettingOnline.ag
spacer
Sportsbook Bonus
spacer

Handicapping Resources
Mobile Website Directions
spacer
2014 NFL Season Win Totals Predictions
spacer
2014 College Football Season Win Totals Predictions
spacer
Weekly NFL Survivor Pool Picks
spacer
Sports Betting Money Managment
spacer
Handicapping FAQ
spacer
Sports Betting 101
spacer
Sports Betting Tips
spacer
Parlay Calculator
spacer
Sports Betting Systems
spacer
Parlay Cards
spacer
Gambling Terms
spacer
2014 Archives
spacer
2013 Archives
spacer
2012 Archives
spacer
2011 Archives
spacer
2010 Archives
spacer
Doc's Affiliate Program
spacer
Doc's Writer Bios
spacer
Doc's rss feedDoc's RSS feed



spacer
spacer

NBA Handicapping: Miami Heat ATS Trends
by - 2/8/2013

Share |
Chris Andersen of the Miami Heat

The Miami Heat are currently in the middle of their first title defense and are being led by their superstar LeBron James, who is having another juggernaut of a season. “The King” is currently averaging 26.8 points, seven assists, and 8.2 rebounds per game and is leading the league in player efficiency rating with a 30.64 mark. If a gambler did not pay close attention to the NBA ATS standings, it would be fair to assume that the Heat were blowing out opponents and covering most of their spreads. And it we did assume as much, we would be wrong. The Miami Heat’s ATS record has been under .500 all season and is one of the worst in the entire NBA.

50% Match Play Reward
Reduced Juice Wagering
Click Here to signup with 5Dimes

Let’s look at why this is the case. Miami just won a championship, has one of the better records in the league, and is being led by the best player in basketball — why don’t they have a better ATS record? There are rarely simple answers when it comes to sports betting, but let’s take a closer look at the Miami Heat’s ATS record and try and figure out why they are not covering spreads.

Miami’s ATS record

The Heat currently have a 22-24 ATS record and are below .500 in almost every ATS category except for home ATS record — where they have a 12-11 mark — and as an underdog. The team is 10-13 away, 20-24 as a favorite, and 2-0 as an underdog. Just by taking a quick glance we notice that Miami has only been an underdog twice in 46 games. No other team in the east has been an underdog less than nine times, while the Heat have been an underdog only five percent of the time. No matter how good a team is, it’s almost impossible for them to be an actual favorite every night. Even the 72-win Chicago Bulls team lost 10 games.

The Heat have been the favorite a whopping 95 percent of the time, and the only other team in the league to even come close to that mark is the Oklahoma City Thunder. Miami has been favored in 44 games this season by an average of 7.4 points but have only been beating their opponents by an average of 4.70 points per game. The obvious assumption to make, after taking a look at the team’s lines, is that oddsmakers are severely overvaluing the Heat. Miami is an NBA glamour team in the middle of defending a championship and has three of the best players in the league. The team is probably receiving a large chunk of the betting action, and the oddsmakers know that the public will continue to bet them even if their lines are a bit inflated.

Another area where the Heat are having trouble covering lines is with large spreads of six points or more. Miami has been favored by more than six points 30 times this season and have covered only 12 of those games for a 36-percent rate. The team has also been a favorite of eight points or more 19 times this season, which is a ridiculous 41 percent of the time.

The Miami Heat are having another very good season and could be on there way to another NBA title. However, this team is just not a good choice at the betting window. The team is giving up an average of over seven points per game to their opponents and not coming close to covering those lines. The Heat are in a position where they are getting their opponents best shot every night, and the bullseye on their collective back is stopping them from covering spreads. The best idea for gamblers is to stay away from the Heat or else find a large line and take the points. Remember to bet wisely, and may the spread be with you.

Read more articles by

Share |

Most Recent NBA Handicapping Articles