Welcome to Doc's Sports Service Betonline Banner
spacer  
spacer spacer
Welcome to Doc's Sports Service spacer
Welcome to Doc's Sports Service Welcome to Doc's Sports Service
Welcome to Doc's Sports Service
Click Here to Purchase Doc's Picks
Baseball Picks   |   NASCAR Picks   |   WNBA picks
Football Picks   |   NFL Picks   |   Soccer Picks
spacer



Live Lines and Odds NFL Odds
spacer
College Football Odds
spacer
NBA Odds
spacer
College
   Basketball Odds

spacer
MLB Odds
spacer
NHL Odds
spacer
WNBA Odds
spacer
CFL Odds
spacer
Boxing Odds
spacer
Golf Odds
spacer
Soccer Odds
spacer
Week 3 NFL Odds
spacer
Doc's Rotation
spacer

Free Picks by Sport Free MLB Picks
spacer
Free NASCAR Picks
spacer
Free NFL Picks
spacer
Free College Football Picks
spacer
Free NBA Picks
spacer
Free College Basketball Picks
spacer
Free NHL Picks
spacer
All Free Picks
spacer

Handicapping Matchup Reports NFL
spacer
NCAA Football
spacer
NBA
spacer
NCAA Basketball
spacer
MLB
spacer
NHL
spacer

Scores NFL
spacer
NCAA Football
spacer
NBA
spacer
NCAA Basketball
spacer
MLB
spacer
NHL
spacer

Schedules NFL Schedule
spacer
College Football Schedule
spacer
MLB Schedule
spacer
NBA Schedule
spacer
NHL Schedule
spacer
Monday Night Football Schedule
spacer

Upcomming Event Coverage 2014 Heisman Trophy Odds
spacer
MLB Futures Odds
spacer




Betonline Banner
spacer
spacer
Home
spacer
View Picks
spacer
Why Doc's Sports?
spacer
Our Betting System
spacer
Sports Betting Strategy
spacer
Message from the GM
spacer
Our Commitment
spacer
Customer Comments
spacer
Free Picks
spacer
Contact Doc's
spacer

The Advisory Board
Our Commitment
spacer
Doc's Sports
spacer
Robert Ferringo
spacer
Allen Eastman
spacer
Raphael Esparza (VSI)
spacer
Indian Cowboy
spacer
Jason Sharpe
spacer
Strike Point Sports
spacer
Mike Davis
spacer

Betting Systems
11th Hour Sports
spacer
The Prop Machine
spacer

Recomended Sportsbooks Bovada Sportsbook
spacer
5Dimes Sportsbook
spacer
BookMaker
spacer
Sportsbook
spacer
Carbon Sports
spacer
WagerWeb
spacer
BetOnline Sportsbook
spacer
GT Bets
spacer
SportsBettingOnline.ag
spacer
Sportsbook Bonus
spacer

Handicapping Resources
Mobile Website Directions
spacer
Weekly NFL Survivor Pool Picks
spacer
NFL Power Rankings 2014
spacer
NFL Office Pool Picks
spacer
Sports Betting Money Managment
spacer
Handicapping FAQ
spacer
Sports Betting 101
spacer
Sports Betting Tips
spacer
Parlay Calculator
spacer
Sports Betting Systems
spacer
Parlay Cards
spacer
Gambling Terms
spacer
2014 Archives
spacer
2013 Archives
spacer
2012 Archives
spacer
2011 Archives
spacer
2010 Archives
spacer
Doc's Affiliate Program
spacer
Doc's Writer Bios
spacer
Doc's rss feedDoc's RSS feed



spacer
spacer

NFL Conference Championship Player Props Odds and Betting Picks
by - 1/18/2013

Share |
ray rice

Well, as has been the case for most of the past decade, both No. 1 seeds failed to make it to conference championship weekend in the NFL playoffs. In fact, we came only about 31 seconds from both failing to do so this season, but Atlanta’s Matt Ryan showed why his nickname is “Matty Ice” with last week’s game-winning field goal drive against Seattle for the NFC’s top-seeded Falcons.

There are almost too many props to go over, but let’s start with the old favorites: most passing, rushing and receiving yards along with highest-scoring team at Sportsbook.ag. Last week, I loved the Patriots to be the highest-scoring team, and probably 95 times out of 100 a team that scores 42 points as New England did will win any playoff weekend. However, last weekend’s 276 points combined were the most scored ever on any playoff weekend. Whereas no team topped 24 points in the wild-card round, no team had less than 28 in the divisional round. The Niners won the week with 45 against Green Bay thanks to a historic performance from QB Colin Kaepernick in his first playoff start.

Instant $250 Free Bonus Bet from Bovada -
CLICK HERE

This week the Pats are +120 favorites against Baltimore (+450 long shot). I don’t like New England here as the temperatures will be below freezing by kickoff, and it’s supposed to be quite windy. The Ravens held that high-powered New England offense to 23 points in last year’s AFC title game loss, and the Pats lost Rob Gronkowski last week for the rest of the season with a re-broken forearm. Nope, the choice has to be either San Francisco (+200) or Atlanta (+400) in the cozy comforts of the 72-degree Georgia Dome. Because I believe the Niners win something like 28-24, they are the pick.

Last week’s rushing leader was Kaepernick with a ridiculous 181 yards, an NFL record for a QB in any game. Kaepernick wasn’t a betting option then, but he is now at +350. The Falcons allowed the most rushing yards per attempt by opposing quarterbacks than any team in the NFL this season. But they will 100 percent make Kaepernick beat them with his arm, so don’t bother there. Also, because of the weather at Foxboro, I have to recommend Baltimore’s Ray Rice at +250 (co-favorite with Niners’ Frank Gore) in what should be a run-heavy Ravens attack. New England kept Rice in check in last year’s AFC title game with 67 yards on 21 carries. But in the Ravens’ Week 3 win over the Patriots, Rice had 101 yards on 20 carries (he averages 97.3 vs. New England in the regular season over his career). And last week, Rice led all running backs with 131 yards on 30 carries. I expect a similar workload this week unless Rice starts fumbling again as he did against the Colts in the wild-card round.

Seattle’s Russell Wilson won last week with an NFL playoff rookie-record 385 passing yards in the loss to Atlanta. I liked Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers against the Niners, but he disappointed with 257. This week, Brady is the even-money favorite. Frankly, Brady hasn’t been as good as Joe Flacco recently in the postseason. I like Ryan at +300. Don’t believe the Falcons will be able to run on the Niners and that Ryan will throw around 40 times. He topped 40 attempts seven times during the regular season and passed for at least 301 yards in five of those. His confidence should be soaring after his first playoff victory.

Seahawks tight end Zach Miller won last week with 142 receiving yards, while I liked the Niners’ Michael Crabtree at 7/1. He finished with the third-most at 119. Crabtree is a +600 second-favorite this week along with Atlanta’s Roddy White and Julio Jones and New England tight end Aaron Hernandez. The favorite is the Pats’ Wes Welker at +400. Certainly, Welker and Hernandez should see more balls with Gronk out, but Brady will still spread the action around. Ditto with Ryan and all his excellent Falcons targets, including Tony Gonzalez (+1000). I see no reason not to take Crabtree again. He now has three 100-yard games in his past four, and Kaepernick clearly loves him – to the detriment of Niners tight end Vernon Davis, who rarely sees the ball.

I always enjoy historical props, and with the Ravens and Patriots staging the first AFC title game rematch in the following season since the Broncos-Browns in 1986 & 87, there are a handful at Bovada comparing last year’s game to Sunday’s. Brady was fairly lousy in last year’s win – admitting he “sucked” – by throwing for 239 yards, no TDs and two picks. He is at -60.5 yards (-125) against that total on Sunday. No Gronk, and Brady has topped 299.5 yards passing in just two of the past six games. Take the +60.5 at -105.  

Rice is at -7.5 yards (-125) against last year’s 67-yard total, and I love that one. You can also get Rice at -4.5 rushing yards (-115) against Patriots running back Stevan Ridley. Jump on that as well. Ravens receiver Anquan Boldin had 101 yards receiving in last year’s title game and is set at -25.5 yards (-125) this time around. After a pretty mediocre regular season, Boldin has been a factor in Baltimore’s past three games. But I don’t see him getting 76 receiving yards. Take the -25.5. I would also jump on Welker at -17.5 yards (-125) against Boldin (-105).

Finally, who scores the first touchdown of the AFC title game? The two starting tailbacks, Rice and Ridley, are 13/2 favorites. I think I would double up here in taking Welker at 15/2 and the field at 13/2 – on the latter, if any defensive player or special teams player does it you cash in.

In the NFC title game, Gore (13/2), Kaepernick (15/2) and Atlanta’s Michael Turner (15/2) are the favorites. I like the Falcons’ Gonzalez at 8/1. It’s the first conference championship game for Gonzalez and potentially the career finale for the first-ballot Hall of Famer. The greatest receiving tight end in NFL history did score Atlanta’s first TD last week, and I believe he does it again.

Doc’s Sports is offering $60 worth of member’s NFL picks absolutely free – no obligation, no sales people – you don’t even have to enter credit card information. You can use this $60 credit any way you please for any NFL handicapper on Doc’s Sports Advisory Board list of expert football handicappers. Click here for more details and take advantage of this free $60 picks credit today.

Read more articles by

Share |

Most Recent NFL Handicapping Articles