Welcome to Doc's Sports Service Sportsbook Banner
spacer  
spacer spacer
Welcome to Doc's Sports Service spacer
Welcome to Doc's Sports Service Welcome to Doc's Sports Service
Welcome to Doc's Sports Service
Click Here to Purchase Doc's Picks
Basketball Picks   |   Hockey picks   |   NBA picks
Football Picks   |   NFL Picks   |   Breeders Cup
spacer



Live Lines and Odds NFL Odds
spacer
College Football Odds
spacer
NBA Odds
spacer
College
   Basketball Odds

spacer
MLB Odds
spacer
NHL Odds
spacer
WNBA Odds
spacer
CFL Odds
spacer
Boxing Odds
spacer
Golf Odds
spacer
Soccer Odds
spacer
Week 7 NFL Odds
spacer
Doc's Rotation
spacer

Free Picks by Sport Free NFL Picks
spacer
Free College Football Picks
spacer
Free MLB Picks
spacer
Free NASCAR Picks
spacer
Free NBA Picks
spacer
Free College Basketball Picks
spacer
Free NHL Picks
spacer
All Free Picks
spacer

Handicapping Matchup Reports NFL
spacer
NCAA Football
spacer
NBA
spacer
NCAA Basketball
spacer
MLB
spacer
NHL
spacer

Scores NFL
spacer
NCAA Football
spacer
NBA
spacer
NCAA Basketball
spacer
MLB
spacer
NHL
spacer

Schedules NFL Schedule
spacer
College Football Schedule
spacer
College Basketball Schedule
spacer
MLB Schedule
spacer
NBA Schedule
spacer
NHL Schedule
spacer
Monday Night Football Schedule
spacer

Upcomming Event Coverage Monday Night Football Picks and Predictions
spacer
2014 Heisman Trophy Odds
spacer
MLB Futures Odds
spacer




Sportsbook Banner
spacer
spacer
Home
spacer
View Picks
spacer
Why Doc's Sports?
spacer
Our Betting System
spacer
Sports Betting Strategy
spacer
Message from the GM
spacer
Our Commitment
spacer
Customer Comments
spacer
Free Picks
spacer
Contact Doc's
spacer

The Advisory Board
Our Commitment
spacer
Doc's Sports
spacer
Robert Ferringo
spacer
Allen Eastman
spacer
Raphael Esparza (VSI)
spacer
Indian Cowboy
spacer
Jason Sharpe
spacer
Strike Point Sports
spacer
Mike Davis
spacer

Betting Systems
11th Hour Sports
spacer
The Prop Machine
spacer

Recomended Sportsbooks Bovada Sportsbook
spacer
5Dimes Sportsbook
spacer
BookMaker
spacer
Sportsbook
spacer
Carbon Sports
spacer
WagerWeb
spacer
BetOnline Sportsbook
spacer
GT Bets
spacer
SportsBettingOnline.ag
spacer
Sportsbook Bonus
spacer

Handicapping Resources
Mobile Website Directions
spacer
Weekly NFL Survivor Pool Picks
spacer
NFL Power Rankings 2014
spacer
NFL Office Pool Picks
spacer
Sports Betting Money Managment
spacer
Handicapping FAQ
spacer
Sports Betting 101
spacer
How To Betting Articles
spacer
Sports Betting Tips
spacer
Parlay Calculator
spacer
Sports Betting Systems
spacer
Parlay Cards
spacer
Gambling Terms
spacer
2014 Archives
spacer
2013 Archives
spacer
2012 Archives
spacer
2011 Archives
spacer
2010 Archives
spacer
Doc's Affiliate Program
spacer
Doc's Writer Bios
spacer
Doc's rss feedDoc's RSS feed



spacer
spacer

Super Bowl Opening Point Spread and Totals Line
by Nicholas Tolomeo - 1/20/2014

Share |
Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Golden Tate

Well before Richard Sherman tipped a Colin Kaepernick pass into the hands of Malcolm Smith on Sunday night to clinch Seattle’s trip to the New Jersey to play Denver in Super Bowl XLVIII, the Seahawks were already favored against the Broncos.

In futures markets last week, oddsmakers stated Seattle or San Francisco would be 1.5- to two-point favorites against Peyton Manning and the Broncos. By the time Russel Wilson kneeled for the final time and Seattle’s 23-17 win was official, sportsbooks opened with Seattle -1 against Denver, while others listed the game as a pick.

Free $60 in Member Super Bowl Picks No Obligation Click Here

Quicker than Sherman could get cut off by Erin Andrews during his postgame rampage, money came pouring in on Denver, and books quickly adjusted, moving the Broncos to favorites on Sunday night, and by Monday morning the consensus line at most sportsbooks was Denver -2, with Denver -3 also widely available.

The Peyton Manning effect is a strong one, enticing both sharp and square bettors alike, most of whom were burned by the Broncos Sunday afternoon against the heavily-backed Patriots. While it is tough to guess where the line will ultimately settle, it would be hard to imagine Denver becoming anything more than a three-point favorite or anything worse than a “pick”.

Locking in Seattle at +3 at a price of -110 if available could be a way to secure the best possible line and even  set up a potential middle in case the line begins to correct and head back to a pick as Super Bowl week approaches.

If prior Super Bowls are any indication, oddsmakers will not be afraid to get on or off the key number of three. In 2011 Green Bay moved from -2.5 to -3 throughout the week, and in 2012 New England fell from -3 to -2.5 as the game approached.

Despite the steady movement of the point spread, not even 24 hours after the matchup had been set, the early-bird wagers that have already been placed will represent a drop in the proverbial bucket in the grand scheme of the total Las Vegas and offshore handle.

As far as the Super Bowl total, oddsmakers find themselves in a unique situation with an outdoor game in New York where weather could very easily play a factor. The total opened in the tight range of 47.5-48. There was no major movement on the total, with most books maintaining either 47.5 or 48 from Sunday night into Monday.

With the No. 1 defense in Seattle playing the No. 1 offense in Denver, moves on the side could very well have a correlation to moves on the total as much as it has to do with the weather, with positive Denver perception moving the total closer to 50 and vice versa. As the Super Bowl gets closer and there is more clarity on a forecast, expect to see the total be more liquid than the side, which will have a hard time moving.The Super Bowl is the most widely gambled on NFL game of the year, and even though the public historically backs the “over,” recent history shows that the total can slip down as the week goes on.  Over the last three Super Bowls, the opening total fell by kickoff, and two of those games were played in domes.

Get free picks from any Doc’s Sports handicapper – there is no obligation for this offer and no credit card required. Just sign up for an account, and you can use the $60 in free picks for any Doc’s Sports Advisory Board handicapper and any sport. Click here to get started now.

Share |

Most Recent Super Bowl Betting Articles