Baltimore Ravens Predictions for Playoffs and Best Bets with Super Bowl Odds
The Baltimore Ravens have been atop the AFC standings since Week 10 and are the clearcut favorites to emerge from a crowded AFC playoff picture. Lamar Jackson is the runaway MVP favorite, and a fully rested Ravens squad will be confident they can oust the upstart Texans in the divisional round. CJ Stroud may have been able to defuse a talented Browns defense. However, on the road against the league’s best defensive unit, his task will be even tougher. The Ravens have been silencing the doubters all season long. And with some solid odds available in the playoffs, can we justify a bet on the AFC favorites? Let’s find out.
Odds to win the divisional round: -425
Odds to win the AFC: +115
Odds to win the Super Bowl: +275
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Team Breakdown
The Ravens are a solid team on both sides of the ball and have everything they need to make a deep Super Bowl run. Quarterback Lamar Jackson is the runaway favorite for NFL MVP and will likely be taking home his second career MVP award at the season’s end. Jackson posted career bests in completions and completion percentage, as he threw the ball more frequently, while still scrambling for valuable first downs when needed. The dual-threat quarterback started 16+ games for the first time in his career, as late season injuries disrupted potential playoff runs in recent seasons. Not only did Jackson do enough to win the MVP award, but he did so without an elite set of wide receivers. Zay Flowers had a great rookie campaign, but he was the only Raven to eclipse 600 receiving yards on the season. Running back JK Dobbins went down in the opening week of the season, and the loss of Mark Andrews exactly two months ago hasn’t slowed down the perennial Super Bowl contenders. The fact that Andrews still has the second most catches on the team, despite missing the final 6 games of the season, further emphasizes the Ravens depth, with Nelson Agholor, Odell Beckham Jr, Rashod Bateman, and Isiah Likely all hauling in 30+ catches this season. Center Tyler Linderbaum has been the cornerstone for a solid offensive line, earning his first career Pro Bowl selection with his solid campaign. Overall, as long as the Ravens have a healthy Jackson at quarterback, they will remain among the league’s best offenses.
On defense, the Ravens get even better. They allowed a league low 16.5 PPG and are a big reason as to why the Ravens earned the number 1 seed in the AFC. Jackson and the offense may steal the spotlight, but the Ravens defense is what will carry them to a potential Super Bowl appearance. It all starts in the middle of the field. Roquan Smith and Patrick Queen were both selected to the Pro Bowl, and the tandem of linebackers gave up no easy yards to their opposition. They led the team with 84 tackles a piece, while chipping in one interception each. Going deeper, free safety Geno Stone led the team with 7 interceptions, good for second in the league, but it wasn’t him that anchored the secondary. Kyle Hamilton earned his first Pro Bowl nod, thanks to his quick thinking down the field and active hands on defense. Overall, the Ravens are an elite defensive unit that not only led the league in PPG allowed this season but was the second-best defense in a season since the NFL added the 17th game. Their ability to generate turnovers, limit explosive plays down the field, and get their offense back out there has led to a 13-4 record, and the Super Bowl will be firmly in their gaze.
Path to the Super Bowl
The Ravens will have to navigate a crowded AFC playoff picture but have the benefit of home field advantage throughout the postseason. First up is the upstart Houston Texans. Rookie signal caller CJ Stroud won his first playoff game with a dominant display over the Cleveland Browns. The Ravens quality pass defense will be able to limit the Texans effectiveness through the air, but a fearless Texans team will not back down when the lights shine brightest. The Ravens superior quality will prevail, but the Texans will not go down without a fight. In the divisional round, Baltimore will welcome either Buffalo or Kansas City to town. The Bills and Chiefs square off at Highmark Stadium, and these two teams are no strangers to each other, with the Chiefs eliminating the Bills in 2 of the last 3 seasons. Both teams will be perennial contenders with their star quarterbacks, but strong defenses for both sides have been major difference makers. Regardless of who emerges, the Ravens will face an even tougher test than the Texans in the AFC Championship Game. In the Super Bowl, it’s difficult to predict who will survive in the NFC, but the 49ers are the overwhelming favorites to do so. A battle between the two Super Bowl favorites would be nail biting. However, whoever wins the NFC will be confident they can dispatch the Ravens in the big game.
Best Bets
The Ravens are absolutely deserving of the short price tags on offer for them, and I expect them to lift the Super Bowl trophy. The -425 odds on them to beat the Texans is not worth playing, but the plus money on offer for them to win the AFC is mouthwatering. Assuming they lean on their league leading defense to keep the Texans in check, they will absolutely be the favorites at home against the Bills or Chiefs. I’m shocked we are getting +115 on this bet, as a -425 ML bet against the Texans, parlayed with a -120 bet in the AFC Championship, represents +115 odds on offer. However, Baltimore will almost certainly be bigger favorites than -120, and are absolutely the bet to make. Finally, the +275 odds available for their Super Bowl victory is another solid option. Baltimore will be massive Super Bowl favorites against anyone other than the 49ers. And considering they stomped on San Francisco already this season, it’s very reasonable to expect a 50/50 game in Las Vegas. Baltimore is no longer the +1800 underdogs they were pre-season, but their strong defense and MVP caliber play from Jackson ensures there is still plenty of value at +275.
Pick: Baltimore Ravens to win the AFC +115, and the Super Bowl +275
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