Donald Trump for President Odds
by Richard Gardner | Bodog Sportsbook Manager - 4/25/2011
Donald Trump is a lot of things. Rich. Opinionated. Arrogant. All of those apply. But presidential? It’s looking more and more like Trump is going to take a run at the highest office in the land.
At Bodog we’ve posted odds on whether the self-promoting real estate developer and reality TV star with the hairpiece could actually pull off the unthinkable. We’re giving Trump 25/1 odds to be the next President of the United States.
Clearly he’s not the favorite to be elected by American voters. That would be the current man in the White House, Barack Obama, at 4/7. After that, it’s Mitt Romney (8/1), Tim Pawlenty (16/1) and Mitch Daniels (20/1).
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But with the economy on the minds of many, is it really such a stretch that a man with tremendous name recognition that’s best known for making piles of money could strike a chord with the public?
According to Pulitzer Prize-winning syndicated columnist Charles Krauthammer, yes, it’s a huge stretch. Writing in the Washington Post, Krauthammer calls Trump a “spectacle” and opined that the “Lions have a better chance of winning the Super Bowl” than Trump has of becoming the next leader of the free world. Maybe Krauthammer hasn’t heard of Matthew Stafford and Ndamukong Suh? Or maybe he meant the BC Lions of the Canadian Football League. (For the record, we’re giving Detroit 35/1 odds to win the 2012 Super Bowl, so Krauthammer isn’t that far off.)
We’ve booked a few small wagers on Trump to be elected president and a few more on his odds to be named the Republican nominee (12/1). But so far most of the action has been on Obama and Romney.
Besides Trump and Sarah Palin (22/1 odds to be elected president), Romney probably has the highest name recognition of the Republican candidates that are considered serious contenders. Mike Huckabee (25/1) and Newt Gingrich (30/1) are also names that will ring a bell with a few voters. Granted, that’s not saying much. According to a recent poll by the Pew Research Center, approximately half of all Americans couldn’t even name a single Republican candidate that they've been hearing a lot about.
The lack of a compelling GOP candidate is one of the reasons Trump’s name has been coming up so much in the polls. People have heard of the guy. Everyone knows who Donald Trump is. Not everyone knows who Tim Pawlenty is.
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