Sunday, July 17, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: David Price vs. Masahiro Tanaka
The Boston Red Sox visit Yankee Stadium on Sunday to play the New York Yankees. The probable starters are David Price for the Red Sox and Masahiro Tanaka for the Yankees. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at -105 and New York at -105. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Red Sox have a 47-36-5 over/under record and a 45-43-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Yankees are 40-49-0 against the run line and have a 40-40-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 45% of the time.
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The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 50-38 record, including 20-18 on the road. Starting pitcher David Price has a 9-6 record with an earned run average of 4.34 and a WHIP of 1.19. He has 140 strikeouts over his 124.1 innings pitched and he has given up 121 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.42. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.83 and they have given up 237 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen while being struck out 301 times and walking 107 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.71 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.61 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.41. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 762 base hits and 386 earned runs. They have allowed 105 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 283 batters and struck out 753. They walk 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.25.
As a team, Boston is batting .291, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .276 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .474 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .358 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.35 hits per game. Xander Bogaerts comes into this game hitting .327 and his on-base percentage is at .386. He has 118 hits this season along with 66 runs scored and 58 runs batted in. He's struck out 59 times and has walked 34 times. Mookie Betts is hitting .303 and he has an on-base percentage of .342. He has totaled 118 hits so far while scoring 75 runs and he's driven in 59. He has walked 24 times and has struck out 56 times. The Red Sox have 911 hits, including 216 doubles and 106 home runs. They've stolen 59 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. Boston has walked 312 times this season and they've struck out 627 times as a unit. They've left 666 men on base and have a team OPS of .833. They score 5.62 runs per contest and have scored a total of 495 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 23-19 home record and a 44-45 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.23, Masahiro Tanaka has a 6-2 record and a 1.11 WHIP. He has 93 strikeouts over the 117 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 108 hits. He has allowed 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.32. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have given up 223 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the Yankees bullpen while being struck out 327 times and walking 76 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.83 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.08 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.45. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 766 base knocks and 386 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 119 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 215 hitters and struck out 787. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.10.
As a team, they are batting .251, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .250 average at home. The Yankees hold a .395 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.46 hits per contest. Carlos Beltran comes into this matchup batting .298 and he has an OBP of .336. He has 90 hits this year along with 45 runs scored and 58 RBI. He's struck out 60 times and has walked on 17 occasions. Jacoby Ellsbury is hitting .276 and he has an OBP of .345. He has collected 82 hits so far while he's scored 38 runs and drove in 29. He has earned a walk 30 times and has punched out 43 times. The Yankees as a unit have 753 base hits, including 133 doubles and 93 homers. They have 44 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 13 times. New York as a team has walked 254 times this year and they have struck out 617 times. They've had 597 men left on base and have an OPS of .707. They score 4.2 runs per game and have totaled 374 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 47-36-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 45-43-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 40-40-9 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 40-49-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
07/15/16 P Junichi Tazawa Shoulder 15-day DL (7/4)
07/10/16 P Sean O'Sullivan Knee 15-day DL (7/10)
07/09/16 P Craig Kimbrel Knee 15-day DL (7/7)
06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
New York Yankees
06/10/16 1B Chris Parmelee Hamstring 15-day DL (6/10)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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