Notre Dame at St. John's Picks and College Basketball Odds
by Dave Schwab - 1/14/2013
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish will look to get back to their winning ways this Tuesday night at Madison Square Garden when they tangle with the St. John’s Red Storm in a Big East Conference matchup. The game is set to tip off at 7 p.m. (ET) and it will be broadcast nationally on ESPN2.
The Irish had things on cruise control over the past two months with 12-straight wins, but that all came to an abrupt end this past Saturday with a 65-58 loss to Connecticut as 8.5-point favorites at home. The loss dropped them to 14-2 straight up on the year and 8-5 against the spread. The total stayed “under” the 135-point line in that game after going “over” in their previous four contests.
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St. John’s has now lost four of its last five games after coming up on the wrong end of a 67-51 showdown against Georgetown as a one-point home underdog this past Saturday. It comes into this conference matchup 9-7 SU overall but just 1-3 in Big East play. The Red Storm are 4-7 ATS this season with the total staying under in their last three games.
Notre Dame at St. John’s Betting Storylines
Notre Dame has been able to run off 14 wins in its first 16 games behind an offensive effort that is averaging 75.6 points a game while shooting an extremely impressive 50.8 percent from the field. This is currently the fifth-best shooting percentage in the nation. Jack Cooley has been unstoppable at times with a team-high 15.1 points and 11.1 rebounds while shooting 61.1 percent from the floor. He has gotten help from Jerian Grant (12.6 points and 5.2 assist) and Eric Atkins (11.6 points and 7.1 assists).
The team as a whole is converting on 41.8 percent of its attempts from three-point range and hitting 68.8 percent of its shots from the foul line. Defensively, the Irish are holding their opponents to an average of 61.1 points a game and pulling down an average of 37 rebounds a game.
If St. John’s is going to have any chance at keeping pace with Notre Dame in this game, it is going to have to find a way to outperform its current 43.5 percent shooting from the floor. The team is averaging 67.9 points a game, but it has only surpassed that total twice in its last nine outings. The Red Storm is matching the Irish under the boards with 36.4 rebounds a game, but they are giving up an average of 66.6 points to their opponents.
Pulling off an upset at home in this game could fall squarely on the shoulders of D’Angelo Harrison, who has carried much of the scoring load so far with an average of 20.6 points a game. Jakarr Sampson is the only other St. John’s player scoring in double figures. He is leading the team in rebounds with 6.8 a game.
Notre Dame vs. St John’s College Basketball Betting Odds and Trends
The Fighting Irish are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games but 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU loss. The total has stayed under in 21 of their last 29 games on the road.
The Red Storm are 1-4 ATS in their last five Big East games and 1-4 ATS in their last five home games. The total has stayed under in five of their last six conference games.
Head-to-head in this matchup, the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings and the total has stayed under in seven of the last eight games between the two. Notre Dame has lost three of the last four meetings SU and is just 2-7 ATS in the last nine.
Notre Dame at St. John’s Predictions
The past trends in this series certainly do not favor the Irish, but current form does. Look for them to bounce back quickly from Saturday’s loss to the Huskies with an impressive win on the road that easily covers the current six-point spread.
Read more articles by Dave Schwab
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