10 College Basketball Handicapping Tips from 10 Different Expert Handicappers
by Doc's Sports - 8/25/2015
Doc's Sports Service is the most trusted and well-respected sports information company in the United States. Below you will find a list of 10 basketball handicapping tips from 10 of the top college basketball handicapping experts in the country. Our service is second-to-none in terms of both results and customer relations. In our fifth decade of existence, Doc's Sports is the gold standard in the sports information industry.
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We offer our clients top college basketball predictions at one fair price. Our college basketball handicappers release a full slate of college basketball picks at 11 a.m. EST daily. Every one of our college basketball handicappers has a different style, but all have enjoyed vast success in professional football.
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Here are 10 college basketball handicapping tips from our team:
DOC'S SPORTS - The nonconference portion of the college basketball season is still one of the most profitable times of year in any sport. Sure, everyone wants to bet the big neutral-site games in Maui, the Bahamas, or New York City. But I would much rather prefer BCS Conference teams playing a mid-major on their home floor. Neutral-site nonconference games are much more unpredictable and usually feature shaper lines, and thus these are the type of games I like to avoid. Wisconsin playing Marshall at the Kohl Center seems much more inviting. The main reason for this is that the officials are selected and paid for by the home team and tend to give them the edge in calls in hopes that they will be hired back for future games. This does not happen as much during conference play with the officials being hired by the conference, but nonconference play is a completely different story. Do not be afraid to lay a big number with the home team, and expect them to be shooting many more free throws in that one. Get $60 in free member picks - no obligation - click here
ROBERT FERRINGO - The 2015-16 season will mark the 10th season I've released my college basketball picks at Doc's Sports, and I have been one of the most successful college basketball handicappers in the world this century. I'm going for 10 straight winning nonconference seasons and 10 straight winning regular seasons, and a big part of that is one of the maxims that I've helped create and refine: Relative Conference Strength. The key to RCS is understanding that all college basketball is relative and that understanding how the different leagues stack up to one another is a determinant in how teams will play against one another. This is critical in the nonconference and March Madness portions of the season. You could have a seventh-place team from the Mountain West facing the third-place team from Conference USA. But if the Mountain is much deeper and more competitive then they are going to give that CUSA team a run. This sounds a lot easier than it actually is. Because to have a true grasp you need to follow all 351 college teams throughout the season. I do. But most people simply don't have the time.
ALLEN EASTMAN - I think it is very important to ignore the Top 25 polls in college basketball and to have your own power rankings. The public gets so wrapped up in what a team is ranked. But a lot of the teams that are in the Top 25 at the start of the year are nowhere to be seen by March. Three of the stats I like to focus on when I am creating my own power rankings are field goal percentage, three-point percentage and turnovers. These three stats really help you find out which teams have the best guards. And guard play is so, so important in college basketball. Focus on the guards, and that is where the money will be. Get $60 in free member picks - no obligation - click here
RAPHAEL ESPARZA - Small schools mean big money. Just like in college football, you want to look at the small schools. It's no secret that in college basketball home-court advantage is huge. But lack of action on those smaller schools can give you outstanding betting value. Bettors always tend to bet the TV games, and smaller conferences don't always get televised. The best times to bet the smaller schools are on Wednesdays and Saturdays because those are the bigger days in college basketball, and trust me the oddsmakers are looking at the "key games", not the smaller schools, so soft action can produce big winners.
STRIKE POINT SPORTS - Strike Point Sports specializes in college basketball mainly through their emphasis of handicapping consistently across the board and around the country. SPS isn't jaded by the power conferences, rather they really hone in to find the best lines and selective match-ups from lesser leagues where the value lies. This is a tip they really suggest others to consider during the college hoops season. Be mindful of every single game as potential for your money. Just because certain games aren't on ESPN or getting national coverage, that doesn't mean you wouldn't be wise to invest and put your time and energy into them. Do your research, especially on the weekend. When there are 200+ games each Saturday, oddsmakers simply cannot devote equal attention to all these matchups, thus leaving soft lines open to bettors. These usually are within mid-major leagues and those conferences that don't have all the eyeballs and cameras each week. So this upcoming season, be open to new teams and consider them just as potentially profitable as a Top 25 team or Final Four game. Money is money at the end of the day, and it doesn't matter who helps you earn more of it. Get $60 in free member picks - no obligation - click here
INDIAN COWBOY - We want to focus and share one main theory that we use in handicapping college basketball. It is called the "active underdog over theory". The active underdog theory is essentially taking an underdog that you believe will be an active underdog (either due to revenge against a team from an earlier season loss, coming off a double-digit loss, losing outright to a team they were heavily favored against, etc.) and taking the 'over' with this team. So you expect a team that is looking to exceed expectations over the line currently constructed for them. So anytime that you think a team that is an underdog is going to exceed expectations against a team then take the 'over'. This is because if the underdog is highly motivated as we discussed for revenge, coming off a double-digit loss, or losing outright to a team they were favored straight up against, then certainly they will be motivated to exceed the amount of points they are expected to score in their next game.
JASON SHARPE - The goal is to find games where you strongly disagree with the final score. Most power rating handicappers will see a game that Western Michigan loses by 14 points to USC when they were a 14-point underdog and decide because the final score matched the point spread there's no reason to move the power rating for WMU. If you do the work and notice that WMU lost it's best player for most of the game due to foul trouble or that WMU led the entire game before losing the lead late to USC as USC ended up hitting all 12 of their last 12 free throws in the game to end up winning by 14, then you are most likely onto something good. The idea is to try and find a legitimate reason to strongly disagree with what the final score was. If you felt WMU should have lost by only five points instead of the 14 points they did lose by then you are going to obviously move up your WMU power rating some. In the end this will give you a much better team power rating of these lesser-known teams than the linesmakers, and you will be betting with a big edge overall. Get $60 in free member picks - no obligation - click here
MIKE DAVIS - Much like college football, motivation matters in these games. Also, good coaching and overall good team morale is very important as it's a long season. I like to read local newspapers and talk to local writers about the teams, especially the smaller conference teams. Home teams with great crowds are often very good value plays versus heavy favorites. Guard play is critical in college hoops, and handicapping the guards in each game is very important.
ALAN HARRIS - Read up on the teams. This can't be stressed enough when it comes to college hoops. With 340 or so teams playing Division 1 basketball, one needs to be ahead of the oddsmakers, especially on Saturdays when almost all of these teams are in action. Of course, both you and the guys behind the counter will get info on all the big injuries and suspensions, but it's in the smaller schools in the smaller conferences where you can really make your money if you are ahead of the game. Our advice would be to target on a few of the smaller conferences out there and really know the players, the coaches and their tendencies. Read as much as you can on a daily basis on these schools. Twitter and the Internet are your two best friends when it comes to college hoops. Find out who the beat writers are and read everything that they put out. A small tidbit about the sixth man for Radford or Elon having the flu the last few days could determine a winning or losing bet for you.
VERNON CROY - There are so many college basketball games every week, so find a few smaller non-featured games and handicap them. You will find great value in the smaller conferences where the books do not generally keep tight lines. The featured games usually have very tight lines because the books expect the most action on those games. So unless you have endless hours to handicap the featured games, leave them to the professional handicapper to do the work for you. Get $60 in free member picks - no obligation - click here
Here is a list of handicapping tips and picks from the other sports we offer: