Georgia (10-2) vs. Hawaii (12-0)
Conference Matchup: SEC vs. WAC
Date: 8:30 p.m., Tuesday, Jan. 1
Location: Louisiana Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Spread: Georgia -8.0
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Who will be the Next Boise State?
Much like George Mason forever changed the NCAA Tournament two years ago with their miraculous run to the Final Four, Boise State rocked the BCS foundation in college football with its stunning upset over traditional powerhouse Oklahoma last year in the Fiesta Bowl. Now, fans, bettors, and bowl executives everywhere are constantly scouring and scheming to set up another situation.
This year the media darlings are Hawaii, the WAC champions and the only undefeated team in the country. Heisman finalist Colt Brennan and a high-flying offense that manages 46.2 points per game led the Warriors. Hawaii's defense also took a strong step forward this year and is currently ranked No. 35 in the country.
So, will Hawaii be the BCS Buster this year? Not if Mark Richt, the motivational master, has anything to say about it.
Richt is a stud in the coaching world, a non-nonsense teacher and tactician that has gone 4-1 straight up and 3-2 against the spread in his last five bowl games. He has experience, a precocious backfield in Knowshon Moreno and Matthew Stafford that will both be looking to make a statement on a national level, and a team that feels slighted because it wasn't invited to play in the BCS National Championship game. Looks like a recipe for a blowout to me.
But I'm sure that's what Oklahoma was thinking last year as well.
Hawaii can cover if: If they can sneak in the backdoor while Georgia's guard is down. Georgia is just 1-6 ATS as a double-digit nonconference favorite. If this number gets up to 10 then I think the Warriors have a shot. Also, if UGA is up big in the fourth quarter and starts a premature celebration then Hawaii is proficient enough on offense to put up a couple garbage TDs and make the final score look a bit more respectable.
Hawaii is 17-6 ATS on turf while Georgia is just 1-4 ATS. Playing in a dome does work to Hawaii's advantage because it accentuates the Warriors speed. I don't think that Hawaii has anything that the Bulldogs haven't seen in games against LSU or Florida, but it also won't hurt Hawaii's cause.
Georgia can cover if: If they play their game and don't take Hawaii for granted. The Bulldogs are big and nasty and have played as well as anyone in the country over the past two months. I think Richt will have them prepared for Colt Brennan and now it's just up to the players to come into the game with the same edge and focus that they have had against teams like Florida and Auburn.
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The Bulldogs did lose, outright, to a West Virginia team that was able to blind them with speed two years ago. Don't think that Richt has let his boys forget about it. Regardless, the Bulldogs have been one of the best bowl bets on the board over the last decade, posting a 7-3 ATS mark over that span.
Notes: Georgia has covered in five straight games while Hawaii is 2-5 ATS in its last seven. The Warriors are also 4-7 ATS as a road underdog since 2003 and 10-15 overall on the road during that span. … Georgia is 15-7 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 and Hawaii is 7-18 ATS against a team with a winning record.
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