IC's Daily Notes and Calculus Model Predictions
Super Bowl Selection to come Today! Super Bowl Winner last year - Includes a vast number of Props on the Super Bowl Card! (another hockey winner yesterday, back to back winning hockey days, down day in Basketball)
Site Revamp today: Pass in all sports Today: We will be releasing a new Video Format starting tomorrow, with research on every NBA, Major College Basketball Conference and NHL Games. We are combining the written research and the daily video to one element for 1 stop shop. This will increase more content for clients, the video up sooner and increase accuracy due to more research being done everyday for clients. It is more work on our end, but we are excited to move to this next format b/c this is the next phase we need to move to really increase success and content for our clients. We have won in the NBA/NHL this year and have had great success in College Ball last year, and are excited to win in all 3 sports this year as well.
*Conference Play: 42-29 (57%) for +3970
*March Madness; +1900
2013 College Basketball Season Documented: (62-45, 58% for +4420), Spreadsheet: http://www.docsports.com/pdf/2013-cbb-ic.pdf , 2011 College Ball Season Results: (81-55, 60% for +8400) http://www.docsports.com/pdf/2011-cbb-ic.pdf (7-0, 9-0 and 18-2 Run highlights to last year)
2014 NBA Season: 49-35 (57%) (+2860) - Winning 23 of 30 Weeks (Remarkable +20,500 since March of 2012) - 7* Winner on Denver on Wednesday and 7-Unit Orlando +11.5 Outright on Monday! - 2013 NBA Season: 94-62 (60%) for +12,890 (#1 in the Country) (Documented Spreadsheet) http://www.docsports.com/pdf/2013-nba-ic.pdf - Best in the Country: +19,160 since March 2nd, 2012 in NBA
2-0 Sunday Basketball Sweeep!
NBA: Indiana -2 over Orlando (106-99) (W)
College Ball: Ohio State -9 over Indiana (W)
Hockey: 6* Winner on Tuesday! (Carolina Under) (Winning Season) and 81-53 (+5528) Dating back to last year
BEST NBA/CBB Combined Season in America in 2013: (156-107, 59% for +17,310) Join for the Entire College Ball and NBA Season Today! (Spreadsheets Above)
*28-12 (69%) in Step-Outs
*2nd Half of Season: 53-34 (62.5%) (+8310)
*Playoffs: 24-13 (66%) for +4710
*Only 156 NBA Selections per
Back to Back NFL Future Wins:
2014: 8* NFL Future: Steelers Over 8.5 Wins - Win by Week 15
2013: 7* NFL Future: Over 7.5 Wins - Win by Week 15
Comp Winners: 60-35 Subscribe on Youtube! 7 Straight Comp Winners! Youtube Subscribers will get more Free Premium Selections and Features. Check Daily Video for rest of Research and Leans for the Day.
Thursday's Video: To come by 3pm est (Starting Friday, Video will be released by 10am Eastern) - 7 STRAIGHT COMP WINNERS! (PREMIUM: CALGARY/BUFFALO UNDER TUESDAY!) (Premium Tuesday: Calgary/Buffalo Under, Premium Monday: 'Over' Texas/Iowa State, Premium: Indiana over Orlando on Sunday, Richmond +6.5 Saturday, Premium Indiana Pacers +3.5 on Friday, Premium Indiana State +13.5 Thursday, 60-35, 32-21, 428-282 (60% in Comps for nearly 2 Years!).1 of the Most Watched/Subscribed Youtube Oddsmakers in Country! Over 800,000K Views! Subscribe on Youtube for Free Prediction Winners Sooner Each Day! Previous Football Videos and Predictions: http://www.docsports.com/free-sports-picks-daily-videos.html
NFL Week 15 Research Video:
Daily Comp Video: (Loaded by staff by 9am daily)
Site/Stats below will be updated by Monday afternoon. thank you.
FOOTBALL:
2 of 3 Winning Football Weeks:
2014 Playoffs Step-Outs: 2-0 (+1400)
2 More Football Selections this Week!
7* NFL Playoffs: Seattle -11 over Carolina (Ez-W)
7* NFL Playoffs: Carolina -6.5 over Arizona (Ez-W)
6-2-2 NFL Run (11-6 with NFL Top Plays last 17 NFL Weeks!) (3-1 with NFL Total Step-Outs)
Back to Back Winning Football Weeks!
7* NFL Playoffs: Seattle over Carolina (Ez-W)
2* NFL Playoffs: New England -7 over Baltimore (L)
7* NFL: Carolina -6.5 over Arizona (Ez-W)
3* Bowl: Kansas State -1.5 over UCLA (W)
3* Bowl: Iowa +3 over Tennessee (L)
8* Pittsburgh Steelers Future Wins - Back to Back NFL Future Wins with Steelers Over 8.5 Wins this year and Chargers Over 7.5 Wins in 2013.
Post Here
Goal: +6000 & 58%-62% (Winning 6 Straight Sports, and Football will make it 7 Straight!)
We continue to roll along nicely here in the NFL with back to back winning Football Weeks and we look to make that 3 straight winning weeks on the Gridiron. Perfect 2-0 with NFL Step-Outs as well and we look to make it 3-0 with NFL Step-Outs in the Playoffs as we continue to have a good Playoff Season. We have had just 3 selections in Football the last 2 weeks and the selectivity has worked well for us and we looked to add to that this week with 2 more selection on the docket.
NBA:
7-Unit Selection Today! (8pm) (Chicago vs. Orlando)
8-2-2 Run in the NBA!
Goal this Year: 60% and +13,000 +12,690!
#1 NBA Season in 2013: 94-62 (60%) for +12,890
3* January 10th: Orlando +14 over Portland (103-92) (Ez-W)
2* January 9th: New Orleans -1 over Memphis (106-95) (Ez-W)
2* January 7th: Over 200.5 Orlando vs. Denver (93-90) (L)
2* January 6th: Detroit +8 over San Antonio (105-104) (Outrihgt-Win)
3* January 5th: Over 199 Charlotte vs. Boston (Push)
2* January 4th: Detroit -3 over Sacramento (114-95) (Ez-W)
3* January 3rd: Denver -1 over Memphis (114-85) (Ez-W)
3* January 2nd: OKC -7 over Washington (109-102) (Push)
3* January 1st: Chicago -11 over Denver (106-101) (L)
3* December 31st: Phoenix +7.5 over OKC (137-134) (W)
3* December 30th: Detroit -1 over Orlando (109-86) (Ez-W)
3* December 29th: Brooklyn -1.5 over Sacramento (107-99) (Ez-W)
Winning 22 of 28 Weeks in the NBA
8* 2014 Basketball Future Video:
32-15 (70%) for +11,170 with Step-Outs
2013: BEST NBA Season in America Last Year! (94-62) (60%) (+12,890)
+17,250 since March 2nd, 2013 (#1 in America)
Step-Outs: 28-12 (69%) Overall
2nd Half of Season: 53-35 (62.5%) for (+8310) (#1 in America)
Playoffs: 24-13 (66%) for +4710 (#1 in America)
Great run in the NBA as we are 8-2-2 over our last 12 selections and this includes a nice selection on Orlando +14 over Portland on Saturday. Let's continue to keep it rolling as we look to move to 24 of 30 winning weeks this week.
It is well documented with our success in Basketball as we had the #1 NBA Winning % in America last year and the #1 NBA/CBB Season last Year! We have a unique and special way of coming up with our own lines and given that we love fading the public, it works extremely well for the NBA and Basketball in general. This includes going 60% in the NBA last year for +12,890 which is nothing short of spectacular combined with success in College Ball (+4420) and success in WNBA for near +21,000 for the entire Basketball year doing just 1 Play of the Day! We can't wait for this year's NBA Season and College Ball Season! We have won 2 of 3 years in the NBA and 4 of 5 years in College Ball including 2011, when we went 60% and +8100 (spreadsheet on right hand side). Join us for both the NBA and College Ball this year as our goal last year was go go +8000 in both sports combined and we hit +17,310. We are going to likely another big success this year focused just our NBA Theory and Big12, SEC, Pac, Big10 and Top 25 Basketball teams.
COLLEGE BASKETBALL:
Goal: 60% and +8400 like we did in 2011 (81-55, +8400)
Our Best Sport! We only do 107 College Ball Selections Per Year!
*Conference Play: 42-29 (57%) for +3970
*March Madness; +1900
*Record Breaking January: 21-10 (68%) for +5160
*Winning 4 of 5 Seasons (+9950) in that Span!
2011: #1 College Ball Season in America: (81-55, 60% for +8400)
Winning each of the 5 Months in College Ball!
Documented Spreadsheet: http://www.docsports.com/pdf/2011-cbb-ic.pdf
9-7 Run for us in College Basketball as we have put together a small positive run but we look for a bigger run and we look to do that starting this week. Let's look to pick up a decent winner on Monday and to keep it rolling. Let's look to duplicate our successful 2013 season where we went 65-45 (58%) for +4450 as we have won 3 of 4 winning college ball years coming into this season.
It is well documented that College Basketball is historically our best sport. We come off a strong season in which we went 62-45 (58%) (spreadsheet above) for +4400 and look to do even better this year. This includes winning 4 of 5 seasons and having multiple seasons where we finished #1 in the Country. In 2011, we went 81-55 (60%) for +8400 (spreadsheet above) winning every single month in a dynamic year. We can't wait for College Basketball start as combined NBA/CBB we went 156-107 (59%) for +17,310 which is #1 in America and can't wait to see if we can do +20,000 this Year!
HOCKEY:
2014 Season: Winning Season!
6* Winner on Montreal Recently
5* Winner! (Florida -130 over Carolina)
72-39 (66%) for +7219 dating back to last Season
2014: 7* NHL Future Video on Washington Capitals (Updated on Season Records pending selection)
2012 NHL Playoffs Sheet: (Record, 22-11, 66% for +4000 Playoffs!) NHL: http://www.docsports.com/pdf/2012-nhl-ic-playoffs.pdf
2012 NHL Season: (Winning Season): NHL: http://www.docsports.com/pdf/2012-nhl-ic.pdf
We have not stepped out recently on the Ice as we have been pleased with the standard selections and treading a little bit lately. Though we are excited about stepping out this week with some quality selections and we're looking forward to going on a great run on the Ice. Given the success we had in Baseball we are having similar success in Hockey on the money-line sport (2014 Baseball: +3900). Let's look to keep rolling.
The BEST Basketball Odds Service in America!
2013 NBA CBB + WNBA (201-146, 58%) = +20,820!
2013 NBA: (94-62, 60%, +12890) - documented spreadsheet- http://www.docsports.com/pdf/2013-nba-ic.pdf
2013 College Ball: 62-45 (58%) for +4420 - documented spreadsheet - http://www.docsports.com/pdf/2013-cbb-ic.pdf
2013 WNBA: 45-39 (54%), +3510
Soccer:
11-4 with 6* Soccer Selections dating back to last year
11-5 Lifetime with 6* Soccer Selections! (2-0 Win last Weekend with Lille over Nantes!)
Good 2-0 sweep this weekend and we'll look to build on that this weekend. Let's look to do 3-0 or better this weekend as well. Let's put together another winning season as we've had solid success in Soccer (+3500) and a winning world cup (+1188). Early in the soccer season and we're looking forward to have a successful upcmoing week.
Baseball:
Winning 2013 Season! (+3924) Congrats!
Baseball 2013 Season Results: 107-83 (56.3%) for +3924 - Documented Spreadsheet - See you next Season! http://www.docsports.com/pdf/2014-mlb-ic-pdf.pdf
Recap Video: Post Here
3-0 with Baseball 8-Unit Playoff Selections!
8* October 28th: Over 7 San Francisco vs. KC Royals (10-0) (Hits Early!) (Ez-W)
8* October 21st: Over 6.5 San Francisco vs. KC Royals (7-1) (Hits in 7th Inning) (Ez-W)
8* October 10th: Over KC vs. Baltimore (8-7) (Hits in 5th Inning) (Ez-W)
May: 22-10 (69%) for +4149 (#1 Month in America)
Fantastic way to wrap up the season on a positive note as we win yet another 8-Unit selection in the playoffs and end the season 107-83 (56.3%) for +3924. Let's look forward to a great year next year as we look to have back to back successful baseball seasons!
WNBA:
Winning 2013 Season! (+3510)
2013 Overall: 45-39 (54%) for +3510
2014 Goal: 56% and +5000
Documented Spreadsheets To come:
Recap Video: Post Here
Great year for us in the WNBA for a solid ROI as we predicted a solid year of Women's Basketabll. We have consistently done well in the WNBA over the years and we look to make it back to back winning WNBA years this upcoming season. Our Goal for 2014 is going to be a bit more ambitious as we seek 56% and +5000 on the Season.
2013/2014: Best year of Odds in our Career!
8 WINNING SPORTS! (#1 in America in 3 Avenues!)
2013 NBA: 94-62 (60%) for +12,890 (#1 in America) [3 of 4 Winnning Seasons]
2013 College Ball: 62-45 (58%) for +4420 [4 of 5 Winning Seasons, +9950]
2014 WNBA: +3510 (45-39, 54%, Winning Season)
2013 NBA/CBB: +17,310 (156-107, 59%) (#1 Combined both sports)
2013 NBA/CBB/WNBA: +20,820 (#1 Combined 3 sports)
2014 Baseball: +3924 (107-83, 56.3% Overall, Winning Season)
2013 Soccer: Winning Euro Season: +3500
2014 World Cup: +1188
MATH MODELS + MOTIVATED TEAMS + DETAILED WRITE-UPS
THURSDAY'S PENDING PREDCTIONS:
2* COLLEGE: UT-CHATTANOOGA VS. MERCER (THURSDAY 7PM) (4 OF 6 WINNERS) (#1 in CBB/NBA IN AMERICA IN 2013, 156-107, 59% for +17,310)
3* NBA: LAKERS VS. BULLS (THURSDAY @ 10:35PM) (INDIANA -2 ON SUNDAY, INDIANA +3.5 ON FRIDAY) (23 OF 29 WEEKS, 21-8 (71%) FOR +3100 IN EPIC NOVEMBER! ONE OF THE BEST NBA SEASON IN AMERICA IN 2013, 94-62 (60%) FOR +12,890
3* HOCKEY: PASS - STEPOUT SELECTION TOMORROW (BACK TO BACK WINNING DAYS) UNDER 5.5 CALGARY TUESDAY) (6-UNIT CAROLINA UNDER ON TUESDAY, WASHINGTON ON MONDAY) (42-31 (57%), WINNING SEASON, 71-40 +6340 DATING BACK TO LAST YEAR)
Previous Analysis:
7-Unit Play. #707. Take Orlando +11.5 over Chicago (Monday @ 8:05pm est) (Outright Win) 121-114, 18.5pt. Differential)
We took Orlando on Saturday and waited for Orlando on Monday as well. Orlando is a team that will surprise you and they play hard for their coach and they get up for elite teams in the East as well as the West. Note that we took Orlando at Portland as they got up for Portland with the big net of 14 points and was able to hang tough from start to finish in that contest. Much is the same here as Chicago comes off a big win against Milwaukee as Pau had a breakout game and look for Chicago to continue to play well but still have a little bit of a let down here. Chicago is aware that they need offensive prowess if they are going to be able to hang tough with the rest of the east and in particular the Wizards and Hawks. But per this game, Orlando is a very good defensive team who is young and athletic and they likely step up here and play well against Chicago on the road. Orlando of course does not win many games straight up and another draft pick will go a long way for this squad, but this team is improving and if you take a look at how well they have hung in against the better teams in the league, it suffices to say that they are a decent dog. If Orlando can nearly beat Portland on the road, then they can certainly step up against a Chicago team who they fell short to earlier this year at home 98-90. Orlando has covered 3 of 4 in this series as well as 7 of 10 overall as Orlando gets much more excited about this game than the other way around. Note that it took 40+ from Pau to help beat Milwaukee as they won by 8 points, but prior to that this Chicago team has struggled with big lays in general. The Magic are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games when facing teams with a winning record (such as Portland on Saturday) and 7-2 ATs when facing a team with a winning percentage of greeater than 60% on the road and the Bulls are 2-8 ATS when facing teams with a winning percentage of less than 40% as well. Let's roll with Orlando as they likely fall by 6-8 points this evening.
3-Unit Play. #709. Take Monmouth +4.5 over Rider (Monday @ 7pm est) (55-54 Outright Win)
This is a game that Monmouth could win outright and we'll roll with them here on the road. Note that Monmouth has lost to this team the last 9 times they have hooked up so the hunger and motivation is more than there and each time this team has been getting closer including losing both times last year once in overtime and the second time by 11 points. The Monmouth Hawks are the same team that has hung so tough this year against the likes of West Virginia losing by 11 points on the road, losing by just 5 points to Maryland on the road and had beaten Canisius and Niagara on the road before falling short to Quinnipac at home. Rider to their credit is rolling right now having won 6 in a row and 8 of their last 9 contests. They too have played against some of the heavyweights this year such as Michigan State, Kansas and others. But what we get here is a top 120 offensive team in Monmouth facing a top 200 offensive team in Rider who is a team outside the top 200 in turnover percentage as well. Look for a competitive game here but the line is relatively low here for good reason as look for a highly competitive game here but look for Monmouth to have a great shot at winning this contest Outright this evening.
7-Unit Play. #106. Take Carolina -6.5 over Arizona (Sunday @ 4:35pm est) (Ez-W)
Carolina is the public dog here as Arizona has been good to backers consistently for the year. You have an Arizona team that went 11-5 ATS this year against a division that saw San Francisco struggle a bit and a hungry Cardinal team that did not want to be denied the opportunity of the playoffs like last year. A very charismatic coach that guys love to play for that now has to hit the road to face a 7-8 team which has to be irritating. But the Panthers really showed a lot of brass by going into Atlanta and blowing out the Falcons in a game that left little doubt as the Panthers had plenty of revenge. Arizona beat this team 22-6 as well in 2013 so these Panthers are well aware of how good Arizona is. But with a lack of offensive production and a QB that is being thrown into the playoff fire that's difficult to do. Sure the Cardinals lost by just 3 to the Niners but the Niners have struggled all year with injuries. They also lost to a strong defensive front in Seattle 6-35 at home and this is a team that lost to Atlanta 18-29 on the road as well. Carolina's strength is their defensive line and linebacking core. That should be enough havoc to wreak on the young quarterback. Plus the Panthers are surging late which is what teams want to do near the end of the season not stumble into the playoffs like Arizona. Note that this team just beat Atlanta 34-3 on the road, beat New Orleans 41-10 on the road, beat Tampa Bay 19-17 and Cleveland 17-13 as well. This team has gotten healthier, has some swagger and should find themselves as a NFL surprise winning this game as they feel disrespected much like Seattle did as a sub .500 team who hosted a playoff game and who ended up beating New Orleans at home. Watch for that similarity here as Carolina gets up and their defense helps them carry the day as our models have Carolina by double-digits in this early playoff tilt.
7-Unit Play. #754. Take Xavier -7 over Seton Hall (Wednesday @ 7pm est) (Winner)
We roll with Xavier here as they have a unique advantage of really stepping up and doing well. See, these small conferene teams need to have quality wins just in case they do not do well in conference tournaments and maybe they have a shot at an at large bid. Xavier sports a top 15 offense overall and a top 15 effective field goal percentage as well. Hall beat this team both times they played them last year but things have changed a bit this year. Note that Xavier is one of the best offensive teams in the nation sitting at top 25 in 3 point shooting, top 15 in effective field goal percentage, top 20 in 2 point field goals and top 45 in free throw shooting as well! With this team coming off a very poor performance against Depaul who is outside the top 175 in the power rankings and not doing well, this is a great spot for them to bounce-back against a top flight team. For as good as Seton Hall is, note they are one of the worst free throw shooting teams in the league and have a huge let down opportunity after a big win over Villanova in extra time. This is a team that has already lost by 18 to Georgoa on the road and 9 points to Wichita State - which believe it or not Xavier is not far from the power ranking system to Wichita State. Let's roll with Xavier who is fuming from a poor loss to Depaul and you have a Hall team that is likely on a let down and Xavier of course looking for revenge to boot with the better offensive prowess at home. We have Xavier likely do well by our models against the Hall this evening.
7-Unit Play. #723. Take VCU -7.5 over Tennessee (Friday @ 6:30pm est) (85-69) (Ez-W)
Shaka Smart is always aware when his team faces quality squads in order to show the prowess of his small conference school. Though this school is ranked 16th to start the seaosn make no bones about it every chance this team gets to take down a major conference school they take up the opportunity. It does not matter if Tennessee is not returning its starting to coach or the fact they do not return any of the major players from last year's strong NCAA run. The fact that Tennesee is and the Orange is on the floor itself will get VCU up for this game. VCU returns a lot of talent and we have had this game spotted for some time as Coach Smart is uniquely aware of every major conference team his team hast lost to and when he was coach of this team a few years ago they went 28-12 in a very good year losing to Butler after winning 5 straight contests that year in the NCAA Tournament. One of the teams they lost to earlier that year was indeed Tennessee by a score of 77-72. With that in mind, returning a slew of players and the talent on this team is sound, look for Smart and his guys to be well prepared for this game as Tennessee is in a bit of disarray since the departure of their coach and quite a bit of talent. The public is also split on this contest because they remember the Tennessee of last year but this is not the same Tennessee, same coaching staff or same set of players that led them to their strong season last year. VCU is hungry this year, and the opportunity to kick things off right in a big way, is a great opportunity for them to do well right out of the gate this early evening. Coach Smart will likely have his players well prepared as the Tennessee offense will take some time to gel whereas VCU will likely roll from start to finish here per our models.
7-Unit Play. #724. Take Portland Trailblazers -8.5 over Oklahoma City (106-89) (We called 15-16 point win below, it was a 17 point differential) (Winner)
This is a small public fade but we love to take NBA teams that have a great deal of motivation as this is a league that relies on motivation. This is why you see the ebbs and flow of a league that is constantly in action, teams that dominate, then get trucked the next day and teams that get slaughtered the day before that will show up the next day to a team that is not as motivated as much. You would think guys that get paid this much money would be motivated each and everyday but that's just not the case in the NBA unless of course you run an organization like the Spurs or Clippers becuase of their two respective coaches who we have a great deal of respect for. Per this game, OKC of course is without Durant and if you looked at their preseason games they were dismal without him. Preseason is of course pre-season but it can tell you a great deal about a team. This is a team that lost to New Orleans by 24 points, Toronto by 19 points, Minnesota by 18 points and Utah by 14 points. Note that Utah is outside the top 25 in our power rankings. Do you really think that Portland cares that OKC is without Kevin Durant? Of course not. This team lost the last two times they played against OKC and are more than motivated to take it to Westbrook, Ibaka and everyone else on this team with Durant on the bench. The Thunder have no sync in their offense as Russell gets his own and his shots but there is on cohesiveness. Combine that with the Blazers being motivated from losing terribly to the Spurs in their last game, with that strong motivation, with revenge against OKC, with a decent public fade and given the preseason results of late, don't be surprised here to see Portland get off to a strong start in the highly competitive west as each and every game will decide seeding and the fact if a team will even make it to the playoffs. We like Portland by double-digits here as we see a 15-16 point differential this evening.
8-Unit Play. #276. Take Under 51 NY Giants vs. Philadelphia (27-0) (24 pt. Differential) (Ez-Winner)
This is a fantastic public fade on a Sunday Night game which is part of the reason why we are stepping out here. The latest consensus poll had this over about 80% but the fact is that these two teams are more defensive minded than people would like to give them credit for. The last time these two teams met, if you remember we stepped out last year on the Total in this game for a 5-unit play on an Under of 49 points and the final score was 15-7 in Giant Stadium on a total of 49 points. Now, the total sits at 51 in a similar type of game. Both these teams have gotten their act together as you see a 3-2 Giant team on the road at Philadelphia. These are the games the Giants thrive on. The last time on primetime they demolished Washington 45-14 Outright. Then they scored 30 points on Atlanta's defense at home. But, Philly's defense is much better than folks give them credit. Throw out the Rams game where they gave up more than 30 points. They were probably looking ahead to this game and its hard to get up for the Rams. But, against elite teams with strong prep, they gave up 26 points to San Fran on the road. This Giant defense also gave up 17 points to Houston at home and 25 points to Arizona in which they were skewered for that loss. Notice, the line in this game is just 2.5 indicating that they are expecting a strong performance from the Giants on the road here. The Giants coaching staff will pride itself on keeping Kelly's offense in check for the most part and will likely challenge Foles to beat them in the air which their cornerbacks will thrive on. Note the Under is 9-2 for the Giants when facing teams on the road with a winning home record. The Under is also 6-2 for the Eagles after allowing 250 yards in their previous game in passing yards and the Under is 4-0 in Philadelphia as well to boot. Look for this contest to be a 24-21 type of final as it lands in the mid 40's rather than the low 50's in which it is set per our models.
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