IC's Daily Notes and Calculus Model Predictions
NBA Starts in 4 Days! (October 28th)
#1 NBA/CBB (Insane) Combined Season in America!
156-107 (59%) for +17,310 Last Year (Spreadsheets below) - We believe we can do +20,000 Combined between NBA/CBB this Year! Early Bird NBA/CBB Packages Up! (Limited Time Only!)
"IC-263 Basketball Process" - Our Selective yet Simple, 1 Play per Day Approach which led to the #1 Basketball Season in America!
7* SEC Selection: South Carolina vs. Auburn (6-2, 75% in SEC this Year) (Saturday @ 7:30pm!)
7* NFL Total Selection! - Bears vs. Patriots (Sunday @ 1pm) (4-1 with NFL Top Plays) Similar to 8* Winner on Giants/Eagles Under earlier this year (24 pt. Differential Winner)
*28-12 (69%) in Step-Outs
*2nd Half of Season: 53-34 (62.5%) (+8310)
*Playoffs: 24-13 (66%) for +4710
*Only 156 NBA Selections per year
College Basketball - Our Best Sport - 2013 Season, 62-45 (58%) for +4420, Documented Spreadsheet: http://www.docsports.com/pdf/2013-cbb-ic.pdf
*Conference Play: 42-29 (57%) for +3970
*March Madness: +1900
*Record Breaking January: 21-10 (68%) for +5180
*Winning 4 of 5 Seasons (+9950)
*We only do 107 College Ball Selections per Season
*81-55 (60%) in 2011, for +8400 (#1 in America per Selection) - Winning each of 5 Months
Baseball Season: (+3644 and 55% Overall) - Congrats on Winning Year, We'll look to close at +4500.
Hockey: 10-5 (66%) on Season, 6-1 Run, 47-24 (+4410) Run
2* Thursday: Minnesota -180 over Arizona (2-0) (W)
Comp Winners on Insane Run! 7-1 Run & 15-3 Complimentary Run!
Friday's Comp: (BYU vs. Boise State) (Miami in blowout yesterday) (7-1 Comp Run, 15-3 Run Now!) Football Video for Week 8 NFL and Major College Football games (50+ Football games, Posted!). 399-259 (60% in Comps for nearly 2 Year!). 1 of the Most Watched/Subscribed Youtube Oddsmakers in Country! Over 720,000K Views! Subscribe on Youtube for Free Prediction Winners Sooner Each Day! Previous Football Videos and Predictions: http://www.docsports.com/free-sports-picks-daily-videos.html
(Free) NFL Week 8 & College Football Games Predictions, Week of October 24th, 2014:
8* NBA Future Video for 2014 Season: (Released!)
Daily Comp Video: (Loaded by staff by 9am daily)
7* SEC Selection! Auburn vs. South Carolina (Saturday @ 7pm est)
(6-2 with SEC Selections)
7* NFL Selection (Bears vs. Patriots) (Sunday @ 1pm est)
*4-1 with Top Play Football Selections!
Week 7 NFL: 7* Lions -2.5 over Saints (24-23) (L)
Week 6 NFL: 8* Under 51 Eagles/Giants (27-0) (Ez-W)
Week 5 NFL: 8* Giants -4 over Falcons (30-20 (Ez-W)
Week 4 NFL: 5* Niners -4.5 over Eagles (26-21) (W)
Week 3 NFL: 4* Seahawks -4.5 over Broncos (W)
Goal: +6000 & 58%-62% (Winning 6 Straight Sports, and Football will make it 7 Straight!)
5-2 Football the Previous Week for (+900) and a bit of an up and down week. We look to close the week on a high note with the 7* Winner and make it a winning Football Week as we head into Monday Night Football (probably will give selection for free on Video). We win the big 8* Selection easily with the Under 52 Eagles/Giants in a 24 point differential. We look to keep rolling and make it 3 straight winning Football Weeks and 3 straight college Footblal Winning Weeks. We will continue the 1 selection coming from every college conference (SEC, Big10, Big12, Pac and ACC) with 2 NFL Selections as well.
.We're excited about a big Football Season and sure its an absolute thrill to have the #1 Winning Season in America in the NBA at 94-62 (62%) (+12,890) and to win in College Ball (+4400), go +6000 in Soccer since February 1st and to win in the World Cup as well as to have a winning Baseball and WNBA Season. But nothing compares to winning in Football. Football is King. We would love to translate all this winning this year into success on the Gridiron and we can't wait for the season to start in just 1 Week!
SEASON STARTS IN 4 DAYS!
8* NBA Future Released! (On Above Video)
2013: #1 NBA Oddsmaker Last Year! (94-62) (60%) (+12,890)
Goal this Year: 60% and +13,000 Again!
+17,250 since March 2nd, 2013 (#1 in America)
Step-Outs: 28-12 (69%) Overall
2nd Half of Season: 53-35 (62.5%) for (+8310) (#1 in America)
Playoffs: 24-13 (66%) for +4710 (#1 in America)
2011: #1 in America: College Basketball: 60% and +8000 (Top Winning % in America)
It is well documented with our success in Basketball as we had the #1 NBA Winning % in America last year and the #1 NBA/CBB Season last Year! We have a unique and special way of coming up with our own lines and given that we love fading the public, it works extremely well for the NBA and Basketball in general. This includes going 60% in the NBA last year for +12,890 which is nothing short of spectacular combined with success in College Ball (+4420) and success in WNBA for near +21,000 for the entire Basketball year doing just 1 Play of the Day! We can't wait for this year's NBA Season and College Ball Season! We have won 2 of 3 years in the NBA and 4 of 5 years in College Ball including 2011, when we went 60% and +8100 (spreadsheet on right hand side). Join us for both the NBA and College Ball this year as our goal last year was go go +8000 in both sports combined and we hit +17,310. We are going to likely another big success this year focused just our NBA Theory and Big12, SEC, Pac, Big10 and Top 25 Basketball teams.
2014 Goal: 60% and +8000 like we have done in Years' Past!
Our Best Sport! We only do 107 College Ball Selections Per Year!
2013 College Basketball Season: 62-45 (58%), Documented Spreadsheet: http://www.docsports.com/pdf/2013-cbb-ic.pdf
*Conference Play: 42-29 (57%) for +3970
*March Madness; +1900
*Record Breaking January: 21-10 (68%) for +5160
*Winning 4 of 5 Seasons (+9950) in that Span!
2011: #1 College Ball Season in America: (81-55, 60% for +8400)
Winning each of the 5 Months in College Ball!
Documented Spreadsheet: http://www.docsports.com/pdf/2011-cbb-ic.pdf
It is well documented that College Basketball is historically our best sport. We come off a strong season in which we went 62-45 (58%) (spreadsheet above) for +4400 and look to do even better this year. This includes winning 4 of 5 seasons and having multiple seasons where we finished #1 in the Country. In 2011, we went 81-55 (60%) for +8400 (spreadsheet above) winning every single month in a dynamic year. We can't wait for College Basketball start as combined NBA/CBB we went 156-107 (59%) for +17,310 which is #1 in America and can't wait to see if we can do +20,000 this Year!
Season: 10-5 (66%) Overall and 5-1 Run!
44-25 Run (+4400) Dating back to Last Year!
2* Thursday: Minnesota -180 over Arizona (W)
7* Wednesday: Washington -150 over Edmonton (L)
3* Tuesday: Nashville -150 over Arizona (4-3) (W)
3* Monday: Under 5.5 Tampa Bay/Edmonton (3-2) (W)
3* Sunday: NY Rangers -115 over San Jose (4-0) (Ez-W)
2* Saturday: Washington -210 over Florida (1-0) (W)
3* Friday: Florida -115 over Buffalo (1-0) (W)
Thur: 7* Loss on San Jose -115 over NY Islanders (L)
3* Wed: Boston -115 over Detroit (3-2) (W)
3* Tue: Nashville -175 over Calgary (3-2) (L)
3* Mon: Ottawa -110 over Florida (1-0) (W)
2* Sun: NY Rangers -175 over Toronto (6-3) (L)
3* Sat: Islanders -120 over Carolina (5-3) (W)
3* Fri: Under 5.5 Florida vs. Tampa Bay (3-2) (W)
2014 Goal: 55% and +5000
2014: 7* NHL Future Video on Washington Capitals (Updated on Season Records pending selection)
2012 NHL Playoffs Sheet: (Record, 22-11, 66% for +4000 Playoffs!) NHL: http://www.docsports.com/pdf/2012-nhl-ic-playoffs.pdf
2012 NHL Season: (Winning Season): NHL: http://www.docsports.com/pdf/2012-nhl-ic.pdf
Decent winner on the ice with Minnesota bouncing back at home and winning 2-0 over Arizona. We are 10-5 on the season and on a 5-1 and 44-25 run for +4400. Let's continue to roll with another winner on the docket as we look to have a very successful hockey season this year. If you enjoyed Baseball, you will love Hockey this Season as we are using the Same Models! Join up for the Season Package Today!
8* KC/Giants Over 7 (7-2) (Ez-W) - Hit in 7th Inning!
8* Fri: Over 7 KC/Baltimore (8-6) (Analysis Below) (Ez-W) - Hit in 5th Inning
6-1 Previous Week (+2291) - Best Week of Season!
2013 Season: +3626
3* Oct 22nd: Under 7 KC/San Fran (7-2) (L)
8* Oct 21st: Over 6.5 KC/San Fran (7-1) (W)
3* Wed: Cardinals +110 over Giants (L)
3* Tue: Royals/Baltimore Under (W) - Monday Rainout
3* Sun: Under Royals/Baltimore (L)
3* Sat; Under 7.5 Baltimore/KC (L)
8* Fri: Over KC/Baltimore (Ez-W) - Hit in 5th Inning
3* Tue: Under 6.5 Cardinals/Dodgers (3-2) (W)
5* Mon: Dodgers -110 over Cardinals (4-1) (L)
3* Sun: Royals -110 over Angels (8-3) (W)
7* Sat: Over 7 San Fran/Washington (L)
3* Fri: Angels/Royals Under 7 (4-1) (W)
5* Thur: Detroit -110 over Baltimore (12-3) (L)
3* Wed: Under 6.5 Pitt/San Fran (8-0) (L)
5* Tue: Over 6.5 KC/Oakland (8-7) (Ez-W)
5* Tue: Over 6.5 Kansas City vs. Oakland (8-7) (Ez-W)
3* Sun: Over 6.5 Seattle vs. Angels (4-1) (L)
3* Sat: Toronto -108 over Baltimore (4-2) (W)
3* Fri: Boston -105 over NY Yankees (3-2) (L)
3* Thur: Yankees -125 over Orioles (6-5) (W)
6* Wed; As Run-Line (+100) over Angels (L)
3* Tue: Cleveland -107 over Kansas City (7-1) (L)
3* Mon: NY Yankees -110 over Baltimore (5-0) (Ez-W)
3* Sun: San Diego -112 over San Fran (8-2) (Ez-W)
3* Sat: Houston -112 over Seattle (10-2) (Ez-W)
7* Fri: Giants over Padres (5-0) (L)
7* Thur: Padres -123 over Phillies (7-3) (W)
7* Wed: Angels -115 over Mariners (5-0) (W)
7* Tue: Chicago Cubs -102 over Reds (7-0) (W)
3* Mon: Over 7.5 Arizona vs. San Francisco (6-2) (W)
3* Sun: Phillies -115 over Marlins (5-4) (Marlins score 4 in top 9th) (L)
3* Sat: Arizona +100 over San Diego (11-4) (W)
5* Fri: Under 8.5 Toronto vs. Tampa Bay (1-0) (W)
7* Thur: Chicago -130 over Oakland (1-0) (W)
June: 18-11 (62%) for +1005
May: 22-10 (69%) for +4149 (#1 Month in America)
Good season overall as we are in the high +3600 and we look to end the season on a high note with possibly another 8-Unit Selection at some point. We are likely to do that depending on what happens in game 3. Let's look to keep it rolling and we would love to end the season above +4000 in what would be our best baseball season to date using our selective 1 play per day approach.
#1 Basketball Odds Service in America:
2013 NBA CBB + WNBA (201-146, 58%) = +20,820!
2013 NBA: (94-62, 60%, +12890) - documented spreadsheet- http://www.docsports.com/pdf/2013-nba-ic.pdf
2013 College Ball: 62-45 (58%) for +4420 - documented spreadsheet - http://www.docsports.com/pdf/2013-cbb-ic.pdf
2013 WNBA: 45-39 (54%), +3510
6* Selection this Weekend Likely!
5* Winner on Liverpool over QPR! (3-2) (W)
5* Winner on West Ham (-125) over QPR (2-0) (W)
11-5 Lifetime with 6* Soccer Selections! (2-0 Win last Weekend with Lille over Nantes!)
Make that back to back 5* Winners on Soccer as we look to make it 3 straight 5* Winners next week. We look for the mojo that allowed us to have a very successful season last yearv (+3500) and a winning world cup (+1188). Early in the soccer season and we're looking forward to have a successful upcmoing week.
2013/2014: Best year of Odds in our Career!
6 WINNING SPORTS! (#1 in America in 3 Avenues!)
2013 NBA: 94-62 (60%) for +12,890 (#1 in America) [3 of 4 Winnning Seasons]
2013 College Ball: 62-45 (58%) for +4420 [4 of 5 Winning Seasons]
2014 WNBA: +3510 (Winning Season)
2013 NBA/CBB: +17,310 (156-107, 59%) (#1 Combined both sports)
2013 NBA/CBB/WNBA: +20,820 (#1 Combined 3 sports)
2014 Baseball: +3174
2013 Soccer: Winning Euro Season: +3500
2014 World Cup: +1188
MATH MODELS + MOTIVATED TEAMS + DETAILED WRITE-UPS
FRIDAY'S PENDING PREDICTIONS:
NBA: STARTS IN 4 DAYS! (#1 IN AMERICA IN 2013, 94-62 (60%) FOR +12,890)
3* HOCKEY: COLUMBUS VS. ANAHEIM (FRIDAY @ 10:05PM) (Minnesota yesterday 2-0 winner, 10-5 Season, 6-1 Run, 47-24 or +4410)
3* BASEBALL: KC VS. SAN FRANCISCO (FRIDAY @ 8PM) (+3635 ON SEASON) (World Series, 8* Winner on Over Yesterday, 2-0 with Baseball 8* Winners)
5* SEC: TO COME (UAB VS. ARKANSAS) (SATURDAY @ NOON) (6-2 in SEC this Year)
3* ACC: NORTH CAROLINA VS. VIRGINIA (SATURDAY @ 12:30pm)
3* ACC: BOSTON COLLEGE VS. WAKE FORREST (SATURDAY @ 3:30PM)
3* SEC: MISSISSIPPI STATE VS. KENTUCKY (SATURDAY @ 3:30PM)
7* SEC: AUBURN VS. SOUTH CAROLINA (SATURDAY @ 7:30PM) (6-2 in SEC this Year)
7* NFL: BEARS VS. PATRIOTS (SUNDAY @ 1PM) (4-1 in NFL Top Plays)
3* NFL: ARIZONA VS. PHILADELPHIA (SUNDAY @ 4:05PM)
6* SOCCER: TOTTENHAM VS. NEWCASTLE (SUNDAY @ 8:30AM) (Back to Back 5* Winners, Liverpool this week and QPR last Week!
COLLEGE BALL: STARTS IN 14 DAYS! (#1 CBB/NBA IN AMERICA IN 2013, 156-107, 59% for +17,310)
3* SOCCER: ST. ETIENNE VS. METZ (SUNDAY @ 12PM)
8-Unit Play. #901. Take Over 6.5 Runs San Francisco vs. Kansas City (7-1) (Winner)
People always assume that World Series games and playoff games for that matter always typically go under in some sort of pitcher's duel. But why is that the case when many times those games go consistently over. The fallacy is that, these stud pitchers will come in and pitch phenomenal contests and consequently the game goes under. But 9 innings of Baseball is a long time and part of the reason a team is here is not only because of the pitching but also because of the hitting. This is one of the primary reasons why we took the Over for a 8-unit winner between Shields and Lester which hit in the 5th inning in the previous baseball step-out. Note, that its the point of fading the public in general which has helped us get to +3175 on the season as we try to build that to near +4000 with a win on the docket today. Sure Bumgarner has not given up a postseason run for over 20 innings which is a record but that is likely to end here today. In fact, though we think that the Giants will win the first contest here on the road, the over is a solid play. Bumgarner faced a very similar lineup to the Royals in the Cardinals earlier this post season and helped his team win 6-3 if you noted as that contest went to 9 runs. That total was set at 6 runs. And though Bumgarner has dominated on the road, the better question might be how has he fared against AL Teams. He gave up 10 hits in 6 innings and 3 runs to the Tigers this year. He gave up 7 hits in 8 innings and 3 runs to the Royals this year on the road. So Bumgarner does have revenge, but these Royals hitters are some of the most consistent in Baseball and they are likely aware they are indeed the underdog to the guy that has yet to give a postseason run in a record number of innings. These are the type of games that these guys love to get up for and love to break another's record. Note with Medlen was with the Braves and had a similar streak he ended up losing that contest. So, you have an active underdog here with the Royals who have had success as they would love to see the record being broke here. You combine that with Shields being 1-0 this postseason including a 5.63 era facing one of the smartest hitting teams in the league in the Giants who have the postseason experience and that likely makes for an over to a tune of about 8 runs or more this evening. Shields has gone over the posted total the last 4 times he has pitched and against above .500 competent National League teams such as the Cardinals and Dodgers, he has given up 9 runs in 12.1 innings. Look for the Giants to likely win today and score the first set of runs but then look for the Royals to do what they have done all year and claw back similar to the A's vs. Royals game as this contest likely spills over in the later innings. Let's not go against the magic of the Royals but rather take the Over here as the Over is 4-0 for the Giants versus a righty, the over is 4-0 when they face a team with a winning record of late and the Over is 5-1-1 for the Royals when they face a left handed pitcher in their last 7 starts as well. We look for this contest to go over the posted total per our calculus models.
8-Unit Play. #276. Take Under 51 NY Giants vs. Philadelphia (27-0) (24 pt. Differential) (Ez-Winner)
This is a fantastic public fade on a Sunday Night game which is part of the reason why we are stepping out here. The latest consensus poll had this over about 80% but the fact is that these two teams are more defensive minded than people would like to give them credit for. The last time these two teams met, if you remember we stepped out last year on the Total in this game for a 5-unit play on an Under of 49 points and the final score was 15-7 in Giant Stadium on a total of 49 points. Now, the total sits at 51 in a similar type of game. Both these teams have gotten their act together as you see a 3-2 Giant team on the road at Philadelphia. These are the games the Giants thrive on. The last time on primetime they demolished Washington 45-14 Outright. Then they scored 30 points on Atlanta's defense at home. But, Philly's defense is much better than folks give them credit. Throw out the Rams game where they gave up more than 30 points. They were probably looking ahead to this game and its hard to get up for the Rams. But, against elite teams with strong prep, they gave up 26 points to San Fran on the road. This Giant defense also gave up 17 points to Houston at home and 25 points to Arizona in which they were skewered for that loss. Notice, the line in this game is just 2.5 indicating that they are expecting a strong performance from the Giants on the road here. The Giants coaching staff will pride itself on keeping Kelly's offense in check for the most part and will likely challenge Foles to beat them in the air which their cornerbacks will thrive on. Note the Under is 9-2 for the Giants when facing teams on the road with a winning home record. The Under is also 6-2 for the Eagles after allowing 250 yards in their previous game in passing yards and the Under is 4-0 in Philadelphia as well to boot. Look for this contest to be a 24-21 type of final as it lands in the mid 40's rather than the low 50's in which it is set per our models.
3-Unit Play. #125. Take Over 53.5 Florida State vs. Syracuse (38-20) (Winner)
I know it's hard to believe and sometimes you have to hold your nose with our system of fading the public. But that is our mantra as that is one of our basic principles which has worked wonders in Basketball (#1 in NBA, 94-60, +12,800) (65-45, +4400 in College Ball) (#1 in the Country in NBA/CBB at +17,300) (#1 in Country in NBA/CBB/WNBA for +20,300) - this includes being #1 in College Ball in 2011 going 80-50 for +8400. FSU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games with their first ATS win coming against Wake Forrest at home. Note that the Seminoles remember their poor road performance against NC State which nearly cost them the #1 ranking as they were down early and often. Though they did bounce-back somewhat against Wake, they will want to show their caliber on the road here against Syracuse. This team beat Syracuse 59-3 last year and its time for Syracuse to return the favor a bit. Note that FSU has Notre Dame on the docket next week as well so might not be as in tune on the defensive end. Plus, Syracuse is likely to be a solid active underdog here regardless of the fact their quarterback is out and a new one takes place here. Not much is expected of 'Cuse in this contest but we expect them to be a solid underdog and likely fall within the 24 points but more importantly, give FSU a decent game here surprisingly. Syracuse gave up 28 points to a Louisville team that is not stout on offense, then gave up 31 and 34 to Notre Dame and Maryland. Now they face a potent FSU offense, who is looking to play better on the road than the NC State game and likely to be an active underdog to boot as we have always felt when a star player goes out a game is likely to go over the posted total regardless of the sport (especially in Basketball). The Over is 4-0 for the Seminoles following a straight up win of 20 points and the Over is 7-1 for the Orange aftera ccumulating less than a 100 yards of rushing in their previous game, look for the Orange to have nothing to lose here and push FSU at home but FSU eventually winning, but more importantly, this contest has the likelihood of going to a 42-20 type of contest as this goes over today per our models.
3-Unit Play. #175. Take North Carolina +17 over Notre Dame (50-43) (Ez-Winner)
At some point UNC has to step up and play a decent and complete game. And the oddsmakers seem to agree placing them as a two touchdown and field goal underdog to Notre Dame here. If you take a close look at UNC you'll see they are a top 35 passing team and top 35 in points scored and can keep up with most teams in the country as per scoring. The issue with this squad is certainly their defense but it has gotten better each week to their credit though they are 2-3 but a win or at least a competent effort here will go a long way for this coaching staff. The Irish come off a huge win against Stanford keeping their playoff hopes alive here and needed a 4th and 11 touchdown to keep their National Championship hopes alive. Having said that, it would be hard to get up for this game after such an emotional win as they will get UNC's best shot here at home. It's just a classic let down spot here for Notre Dame and a step up opportunity for a UNC team that has underachieved this year. The Tar Heels are 8-3 ATS following a double-digit loss at home (losing to Va Tech as a 2.5 dog at home by more than two touchdowns) and the Irish are just 2-5 ATS when facing a team with a losing record at home meaning they have difficulty at times against large nets at home as UNC likely does very well today per our models.
8-Unit Selection. #952. Take Over 7 Runs Kansas City vs. Baltimore (Friday @ 8:05pm est) (8-6 Final) (Ez-Winner - Hit in 5th Inning - We Predicted 3 run differential and it was a 7 Run Differential!)
This is a relatively low line considering the features of this game as we actually had the contest closer to 9 and it would not surprise us at all if it reaches 10 runs here. Given that these two teams did not expect to be here and have nothing to lose and there is no true pitching ace that has been lights out of late, 7 runs is relatively low. Take for example Shields, he struggled against an A's team that is now known for their offensive firepower after the trade of Cespedes and still managed to go over in the elimination game in a total that flew over. The Orioles have one of the most potent offenses in Baseball and now gets to face a pitcher that has a 3.21era in two starts against them this year. But to Shields worry, he has beat the Orioles both times and now the Orioles seek revenge at home. Hardy, Jones, Lough and Markaikis all have had success against Shields for an over .250 batting average against him and note that the first time that Shields faced the O's he gave up 3 hits and 2 earned runs in 7 innings. The next time the O's he gave up 9 hits and 3 earned runs in 7 innnigs. His output in hits given up went up three times the second time the Orioles had a chance to face him which is typically the case as the hitters gain advantage as they face pitchers more and more. As he comes off one of his best starts of the year giving up 2 runs in 6 innings to the Angels, a bit of a let down spot here for Shields who has given up 12 runs in nearly 24 innings of work lately. Combine that with Tillman pitching a complete game shutout over the Royals the last time he faced them and you will have a hungry Royals team here looking for some revenge. Notice the line is eerily low at -125 or so and that indicates that the Royals are likely to be a solid underdog here despite the fact the public are taking the Orioles in a 2:1 fashion as expected with the small price at home. Escobar, Gordon and Moustakas all have batting averages of over .333 against Tillman and given that both these pitchers are in a bit of a let down spot, given the way the line is written, that Shields is 14-6-1 to the Over in his last 21 contests and the Over is 4-1 in Tillman's last 5 starts on 7 days rest, don't be surprised to see this contest likely go over the posted total this evening per our models.
3-Unit Play. #61. Take Under 5.5 Goals Florida vs. Tampa Bay (Thursday @ 7:35pm est) (3-2) (Winner)
We of course love to fade the public and its a hallmark of what we do in every sport that we do. This is why new Casinos keep getting built every year of course because the common Joe loses by taking square plays on a regular basis. Hence, when the Joe loses, the Casino wins. If you take a look at this contest, you will see Tampa Bay as a heavy favorite and the public like Tampa Bay to a tune of 75% or even better here. These two teams have a strong history and rivalry and normally they plaly the over. But, a couple different factors which likely makes for a copmetitive game similar to the Philadelphia vs. Boston game yesterday where Boston was a heavy favorite and the final score was 2-1. Luongo has a full training camp underneath his belt this year and knows the system much more than year's past prior to being traded. So expect the 2.46 GAA to go down. Bishop is back from injury in which he was hurt prior to the playoffs and had posted a 2.23 GAA and including 5 shutouts. We don't expect the Lightning to blowout Florida here but rather Florida to be a solid dog and give them all they can handle here in what should be a tight low scoring affair with plenty of energy. We look for a 3-1 or 3-2 contest here this evening per our models.
8-Unit Play. #458. Take New York Giants -4 over Atlanta (30-20) (Ez-Winner)
These teams dislike each other more than most people realize. For starters, Atlanta had lost to this team in the playoffs a few years ago and was drummed up in New York and ever since then bad blood was there between these two teams. Atlanta took out all of their frustrations when they beat this team in their most recent affair 34-0 in 2012. Now, the Giants who did not score a point in Atlanta at the Dome look for revenge here at home. Atlanta does come off a loss to Minnesota which is a bit worrisome but having said that, the Falcons have beat two teams outside the top 20 in power rankings including the Bucs and Saints. Combine that with the Giants having played a much tougher schedule losing to the likes of Detroit and Arizona, both competent teams and now beating two teams in Houston who is around the top 16 and Washington on the road in a big win, this is a nice spot for the Giants to get revenge from the 2012 loss. Atlanta is a good team, but a .500 team as that defense is porous as the Vikings showed. Look for Atlanta to stay close early but then the Giants to make adjustments as Coughlin is significantly a better coach than Mike Smith and we have the Giants winning this contest by likely double-digits here. The Giants will not get shutout like they did in 2012 and though the Falcons will be motivated, this will be a public loss as well as the public are on Atlanta catching the points. The Falcons are 3-7 ATS in their last 13 road games and the Giants are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 5 - this is when Coughlin makes the adjustments after a slow start every year. We have this game by a double-digit differential per our models.