IC's Daily Notes and Calculus Model Predictions
1-1 Monday so far:
7* Bowl: Memphis -1.5 over BYU (W)
3* College Ball: Tennessee vs. Mercer (62-52) (L)
4-1 (+1370) Football Week! Big Football Week Success! Let's look to have another big Football Week with 10 Selections Released on Friday as we do for Every Bowl Season!
3-0 NFL Sunday (1-1, +40 for Bowl Season)
Mon: Bowl 7*: Memphis -1.5 over BYU (W)
Sun NFL: 7* Seattle -7.5 over Arizona (Ez-W)
Sun NFL 3*: Chicago +8 over Detroit (Ez-W)
Sun NFL 3*: Under Dallas/Indianapolis (W)
Bowl 6*: South Alabama over BGSU (L)
NBA: Winning 20 of 25 NBA Weeks - WInning NBA Week last week - Best NBA Season in America Last Year! (94-62) (60%) (+12,890), (Documented Spreadsheet) http://www.docsports.com/pdf/2013-nba-ic.pdf
BEST NBA/CBB Combined Season in America in 2013: (156-107, 59% for +17,310) Join for the Entire College Ball and NBA Season Today! (Spreadsheets Below)
*28-12 (69%) in Step-Outs
*2nd Half of Season: 53-34 (62.5%) (+8310)
*Playoffs: 24-13 (66%) for +4710
*Only 156 NBA Selections per year
2014 NHL Season: 75-47 (66%) for +6773 Dating back to last Season!
Best in the Country: +19,160 since March 2nd, 2012 in NBA
Back to Back NFL Future Wins:
2014: 8* NFL Future: Steelers Over 8.5 - Win by Week 15.
2013: 7* NFL Future: Over 7.5 Wins Chargers - Win by Week 15.
Comp Winners: 45-25, 19-11 Run Subscribe on Youtube to get Daily Videos Sooner!
Monday's Comp: Comp Selection Today: Atlatna Hawks +4.5 over Dallas (Check Research Below on all NBA Games). 3-1 Comp Run. 45-25 Comp Run. 19-11 Comp Run. 420-276 (60% in Comps for nearly 2 Years!). 1 of the Most Watched/Subscribed Youtube Oddsmakers in Country! Over 800,000K Views! Subscribe on Youtube for Free Prediction Winners Sooner Each Day! Previous Football Videos and Predictions: http://www.docsports.com/free-sports-picks-daily-videos.html
NFL Week 15 Research Video:
Daily Comp Video: (Loaded by staff by 9am daily)
Goal this Year: 60% and +16,000 Again!
#1 NBA Season in 2013: 94-62 (60%) for +12,890
8* 2014 Basketball Future Video:
32-15 (70%) for +11,170 with Step-Outs
2013: BEST NBA Season in America Last Year! (94-62) (60%) (+12,890)
+17,250 since March 2nd, 2013 (#1 in America)
Step-Outs: 28-12 (69%) Overall
2nd Half of Season: 53-35 (62.5%) for (+8310) (#1 in America)
Playoffs: 24-13 (66%) for +4710 (#1 in America)
After the 7 in a row we have been on a down tick in the NBA and come off a 2-1 Friday but a down selection on the 'Over' in the Jazz game on Sunday. It's a very long season with more than 5 months action of still remaining. Let's look to bounce-back with a quality selection on the docket today. We will have daily research posted on the bottom of the page everyday as well which should help provide more content and increase our winning percentage as well. It's more work for us but overall it should be better both in winning percentage and more free content for clients. Let's look to get back on the saddle today.
It is well documented with our success in Basketball as we had the #1 NBA Winning % in America last year and the #1 NBA/CBB Season last Year! We have a unique and special way of coming up with our own lines and given that we love fading the public, it works extremely well for the NBA and Basketball in general. This includes going 60% in the NBA last year for +12,890 which is nothing short of spectacular combined with success in College Ball (+4420) and success in WNBA for near +21,000 for the entire Basketball year doing just 1 Play of the Day! We can't wait for this year's NBA Season and College Ball Season! We have won 2 of 3 years in the NBA and 4 of 5 years in College Ball including 2011, when we went 60% and +8100 (spreadsheet on right hand side). Join us for both the NBA and College Ball this year as our goal last year was go go +8000 in both sports combined and we hit +17,310. We are going to likely another big success this year focused just our NBA Theory and Big12, SEC, Pac, Big10 and Top 25 Basketball teams.
3-0 Saturday Sweep and 3-1 over the Weekend:
Goal: 60% and +8400 like we did in 2011 (81-55, +8400)
Previous 7* Winners:
7* Kentucky/Kansas Under 143.5 (Ez-W)
7* Friday: VCU -7.5 over Tennessee (85-69) (W)
Our Best Sport! We only do 107 College Ball Selections Per Year!
*Conference Play: 42-29 (57%) for +3970
*March Madness; +1900
*Record Breaking January: 21-10 (68%) for +5160
*Winning 4 of 5 Seasons (+9950) in that Span!
2011: #1 College Ball Season in America: (81-55, 60% for +8400)
Winning each of the 5 Months in College Ball!
Documented Spreadsheet: http://www.docsports.com/pdf/2011-cbb-ic.pdf
Yale gets blown out yesterday as it was a dud against Florida and we look to bounce-back on the docket today with a quality prediction between IUPUI and Xavier. Let's look to get back on track and string together a series of winners which we did at that time last season.
It is well documented that College Basketball is historically our best sport. We come off a strong season in which we went 62-45 (58%) (spreadsheet above) for +4400 and look to do even better this year. This includes winning 4 of 5 seasons and having multiple seasons where we finished #1 in the Country. In 2011, we went 81-55 (60%) for +8400 (spreadsheet above) winning every single month in a dynamic year. We can't wait for College Basketball start as combined NBA/CBB we went 156-107 (59%) for +17,310 which is #1 in America and can't wait to see if we can do +20,000 this Year!
4 of 5 Winning Days
2014 Season: 34-20 (63%) for +1729 - New Season High!
6* Winner on Montreal Recently
5* Winner! (Florida -130 over Carolina)
69-39 (66%) for +6619 dating back to last Season
Consistency: (Most we have lost is back to back days this Season)
2014: 7* NHL Future Video on Washington Capitals (Updated on Season Records pending selection)
2012 NHL Playoffs Sheet: (Record, 22-11, 66% for +4000 Playoffs!) NHL: http://www.docsports.com/pdf/2012-nhl-ic-playoffs.pdf
2012 NHL Season: (Winning Season): NHL: http://www.docsports.com/pdf/2012-nhl-ic.pdf
4 of 5 winning days on the Ice as we continue to have a winning Hockey Season. Let's look to get our goal of 55% and +5000 on the season. Given the success we had in Baseball we are having similar success in Hockey on the money-line sport (2014 Baseball: +3900). Let's look to keep rolling.
Bowl: We will have a Bowl Video and a Selection on Every Bowl game going Forward this year.
8* Pittsburgh Steelers Future Wins - Back to Back NFL Future Wins with Steelers Over 8.5 Wins this year and Chargers Over 7.5 Wins in 2013.
Down Football Weekend for us and we look to bounce-back with our Football Research Video this week
8-5 with NFL Top Plays
8-4 with NFL Top Plays
3-1 with NFL Total Step-Outs
8* NFL Future on Pittsburgh Steelers Over 8.5 Wins (7-4 Currently)
8* Future Video:
Goal: +6000 & 58%-62% (Winning 6 Straight Sports, and Football will make it 7 Straight!)
Down Football Week overall as we did not win our top plays.. Its a disappointing week and we look to rebound this week with a full slate of Bowl Research and our Bowl Card which will have quite a bit of selections. It's been a rocky Football Season but we are looking forward to research to the bset of our ability and to post a winning Bowl Season and building from there as we head into the stretch run of the NFL and the playoffs as well. We will have a Football Video each week going forward as well.
The BEST Basketball Odds Service in America!
2013 NBA CBB + WNBA (201-146, 58%) = +20,820!
2013 NBA: (94-62, 60%, +12890) - documented spreadsheet- http://www.docsports.com/pdf/2013-nba-ic.pdf
2013 College Ball: 62-45 (58%) for +4420 - documented spreadsheet - http://www.docsports.com/pdf/2013-cbb-ic.pdf
2013 WNBA: 45-39 (54%), +3510
11-4 with 6* Soccer Selections dating back to last year
11-5 Lifetime with 6* Soccer Selections! (2-0 Win last Weekend with Lille over Nantes!)
Good 2-0 sweep this weekend and we'll look to build on that this weekend. Let's look to do 3-0 or better this weekend as well. Let's put together another winning season as we've had solid success in Soccer (+3500) and a winning world cup (+1188). Early in the soccer season and we're looking forward to have a successful upcmoing week.
Winning 2013 Season! (+3924) Congrats!
Baseball 2013 Season Results: 107-83 (56.3%) for +3924 - Documented Spreadsheet - See you next Season! http://www.docsports.com/pdf/2014-mlb-ic-pdf.pdf
Recap Video: Post Here
3-0 with Baseball 8-Unit Playoff Selections!
8* October 28th: Over 7 San Francisco vs. KC Royals (10-0) (Hits Early!) (Ez-W)
8* October 21st: Over 6.5 San Francisco vs. KC Royals (7-1) (Hits in 7th Inning) (Ez-W)
8* October 10th: Over KC vs. Baltimore (8-7) (Hits in 5th Inning) (Ez-W)
May: 22-10 (69%) for +4149 (#1 Month in America)
Fantastic way to wrap up the season on a positive note as we win yet another 8-Unit selection in the playoffs and end the season 107-83 (56.3%) for +3924. Let's look forward to a great year next year as we look to have back to back successful baseball seasons!
Winning 2013 Season! (+3510)
2013 Overall: 45-39 (54%) for +3510
2014 Goal: 56% and +5000
Documented Spreadsheets To come:
Recap Video: Post Here
Great year for us in the WNBA for a solid ROI as we predicted a solid year of Women's Basketabll. We have consistently done well in the WNBA over the years and we look to make it back to back winning WNBA years this upcoming season. Our Goal for 2014 is going to be a bit more ambitious as we seek 56% and +5000 on the Season.
2013/2014: Best year of Odds in our Career!
8 WINNING SPORTS! (#1 in America in 3 Avenues!)
2014 NBA: 14-7 (66%) for +2440!
2013 NBA: 94-62 (60%) for +12,890 (#1 in America) [3 of 4 Winnning Seasons]
2013 College Ball: 62-45 (58%) for +4420 [4 of 5 Winning Seasons, +9950]
2014 WNBA: +3510 (45-39, 54%, Winning Season)
2013 NBA/CBB: +17,310 (156-107, 59%) (#1 Combined both sports)
2013 NBA/CBB/WNBA: +20,820 (#1 Combined 3 sports)
2014 Baseball: +3924 (107-83, 56.3% Overall, Winning Season)
2013 Soccer: Winning Euro Season: +3500
2014 World Cup: +1188
MATH MODELS + MOTIVATED TEAMS + DETAILED WRITE-UPS
MONDAY'S PENDING PREDICTIONS:
7* FOOTBALL BOWL SELECTION: MEMPHIS VS. BYU (MONDAY @ 2PM)
3* NBA: TORONTO VS. CHICAGO (8:05PM) (WINNING WEEK LAST WEEK, WINNING 20 OF 25 WEEKS, ONE OF THE BEST NBA SEASON IN AMERICA IN 2013, 94-62 (60%) FOR +12,890)
3* COLLEGE BALL: MEMPHIS VS. TENNESSEE (7PM) (#1 in CBB/NBA IN AMERICA IN 2013, 156-107, 59% for +17,310)
2* HOCKEY: ARIZONA VS. VANCOUVER (10:05PM) (SATURDAY @ 4:05PM) (38-27 (58%) for +1083 on Season 6* MONTREAL WINNER ON MONDAY)
MONDAY'S RESEARCH/THOUGHTS ON MOST GAMES:
NBA Thoughts/Research on Other Games; Denver/Charlotte - lean on Denver to win Outright, this team is playing well right now including beating the Clippers recently at home to and that's why there is a short lay here for Charlotte, Toronto/Chicago, for as good as Chicago has been this year and Toronto has been this year, the Bulls just have Toronto's number and likely make someone else beat them outside of Lowry, lean on the Bulls, Houston has reveneg but Portland is a team on a roll right now and its hard to go against the Blazers, Memphis/Utah, Utah has revenge, this is a game that Atanta can win outright as the Hawks are a team that have been playing together for a while which is pretty good in this era of free agency, we like the Hawks to possibly to win Outright here, Clippers have revenge and have been playing much more consistently than the Spurs who have lost 4 straight and no lean on the Kings/Warriors, Kings have revenge but Warriors are one of the best ATS teams in the league and continue to be so.
Football: Bowl Video Coming out By Monday Afternoon
3-Unit. #535. Take Under 133 Utah vs. Kansas (Ez-W)
3-Unit. #541. Take Xavier -5.5 over Missouri (Ez-W)
3-Unit Play. Take Tennessee Tech +17 over Alabama (Ez-W)
Utah and Kansas are strong defensive teams that get unnoticed at times. This Kansas team held Florida to 65 points at home and Michigan State to 56 points. In their loss to Kentucky, though they couldn't score, they did hold them to 72 points and sport the 15th best defense in the league. Combine that with Utah coming in as just a small underdog and they could very well win this game Outright. But if they do its going to be on accord to their defense. Utah held Wichita State to 68 points - in overtime. This team held BYU to 61 points on the road as they were an underdog going into that contest. You get the 15th ranked defensive team hooking up with a top 30 defensive team, but more importantly, these two teams are very strong in effective field goal percentage with Utah sitting at a top 10 team and this game will come down to a possession game and it will be likely low scoring and we'll roll with the Under. It is no surprise we are Alabama fans here and follow our team closely. Tennessee Tech will be up for this game and Alabama though they come off a loss to Xavier, is a team that struggles with large numbers. TTech has the same power raning sphere as Southern Miss and Western Carolina who Bama beat by 14 and 6 and as one of the last games on the board, this makes for a quality public fade here. TTech will play Bama in what will be a highlight of the season for them and as per Bama this will just be another game. Tennseee Tech is also big on the inside which should help them slow down the game here as they are top 65 in 2 point field goals and top 25 in the nation in blocked shots as well. And finally, per Xavier, they are simply the better team than Missouri. Missouri has barely survived against top 150 teams and now they hook up with a top 50 team overall and are likely to struggle here as Xavier will get up to face one of the more marquee names in college basketball. Look for Xavier to be up for this game and not just the motivation but they are better coached and have better experience overall to boot as well. We like Xavier by about 10 here. Per our models, we expect Xavier to win by 10, Tennessee Tech to hang tough within the low double-digits and the two top 25 teams to likely play under the posted total.
7-Unit Play. #704. Take Over 196 San Antonio vs. Philadelphia (Monday @ 7:05pm est) We are aware Duncan and Parker are out for this game and that is one of the reasons we like this selection. (109-103) (Winner)
We roll with the Over here for a couple reasons the least of which Philadelphia will show up for this game. The 76ers have a way of getting up for the better teams in the league seeking their first win of the season and looking to avoid yet another terrible record breaking losing season as they are taking in a hurry. Note that the Spurs are 5-0 ATS against a team with a losing home record which means they do not lay down or lack effort when they face the weaker teams in the league and with Coach Pop having a minor procedure and not coaching their last game on their road trip this team is focused more than usual as they play for coach. Also note that the Sixers 7-2 ATS when facing teams with a winning percentage of greater than 60% meaning they show up against the better teams in the league as we discussed as even the Dallas game is a prime example of that. Dallas crushed this team at home earlier this year only to see Philadelhpia step up and play fairly decent against them this time around for an incredible amount of motivation. With San Antonio putting up at least 100 points in 4 of their last 5 and 6 of their last 8 contests, and with Philadelphia looking for revenge from an earlier season loss, look for this contest to indeed go over the posted total here. The Over is 5-1 for the Sixers when they face a team with a winning percentage of greater than 60% and with the total sitting in the mid to high 190's, look for the Sixers to show up with a lot effort here and we like the idea of a double-digit dog who can be an active underdog to send this game over the posted total this evening. We like the Over here as there is likely a double-digit differential per our models.
7-Unit Play. #723. Take VCU -7.5 over Tennessee (Friday @ 6:30pm est) (85-69) (Ez-W)
Shaka Smart is always aware when his team faces quality squads in order to show the prowess of his small conference school. Though this school is ranked 16th to start the seaosn make no bones about it every chance this team gets to take down a major conference school they take up the opportunity. It does not matter if Tennessee is not returning its starting to coach or the fact they do not return any of the major players from last year's strong NCAA run. The fact that Tennesee is and the Orange is on the floor itself will get VCU up for this game. VCU returns a lot of talent and we have had this game spotted for some time as Coach Smart is uniquely aware of every major conference team his team hast lost to and when he was coach of this team a few years ago they went 28-12 in a very good year losing to Butler after winning 5 straight contests that year in the NCAA Tournament. One of the teams they lost to earlier that year was indeed Tennessee by a score of 77-72. With that in mind, returning a slew of players and the talent on this team is sound, look for Smart and his guys to be well prepared for this game as Tennessee is in a bit of disarray since the departure of their coach and quite a bit of talent. The public is also split on this contest because they remember the Tennessee of last year but this is not the same Tennessee, same coaching staff or same set of players that led them to their strong season last year. VCU is hungry this year, and the opportunity to kick things off right in a big way, is a great opportunity for them to do well right out of the gate this early evening. Coach Smart will likely have his players well prepared as the Tennessee offense will take some time to gel whereas VCU will likely roll from start to finish here per our models.
7-Unit Play. #724. Take Portland Trailblazers -8.5 over Oklahoma City (106-89) (We called 15-16 point win below, it was a 17 point differential) (Winner)
This is a small public fade but we love to take NBA teams that have a great deal of motivation as this is a league that relies on motivation. This is why you see the ebbs and flow of a league that is constantly in action, teams that dominate, then get trucked the next day and teams that get slaughtered the day before that will show up the next day to a team that is not as motivated as much. You would think guys that get paid this much money would be motivated each and everyday but that's just not the case in the NBA unless of course you run an organization like the Spurs or Clippers becuase of their two respective coaches who we have a great deal of respect for. Per this game, OKC of course is without Durant and if you looked at their preseason games they were dismal without him. Preseason is of course pre-season but it can tell you a great deal about a team. This is a team that lost to New Orleans by 24 points, Toronto by 19 points, Minnesota by 18 points and Utah by 14 points. Note that Utah is outside the top 25 in our power rankings. Do you really think that Portland cares that OKC is without Kevin Durant? Of course not. This team lost the last two times they played against OKC and are more than motivated to take it to Westbrook, Ibaka and everyone else on this team with Durant on the bench. The Thunder have no sync in their offense as Russell gets his own and his shots but there is on cohesiveness. Combine that with the Blazers being motivated from losing terribly to the Spurs in their last game, with that strong motivation, with revenge against OKC, with a decent public fade and given the preseason results of late, don't be surprised here to see Portland get off to a strong start in the highly competitive west as each and every game will decide seeding and the fact if a team will even make it to the playoffs. We like Portland by double-digits here as we see a 15-16 point differential this evening.
8-Unit Play. #276. Take Under 51 NY Giants vs. Philadelphia (27-0) (24 pt. Differential) (Ez-Winner)
This is a fantastic public fade on a Sunday Night game which is part of the reason why we are stepping out here. The latest consensus poll had this over about 80% but the fact is that these two teams are more defensive minded than people would like to give them credit for. The last time these two teams met, if you remember we stepped out last year on the Total in this game for a 5-unit play on an Under of 49 points and the final score was 15-7 in Giant Stadium on a total of 49 points. Now, the total sits at 51 in a similar type of game. Both these teams have gotten their act together as you see a 3-2 Giant team on the road at Philadelphia. These are the games the Giants thrive on. The last time on primetime they demolished Washington 45-14 Outright. Then they scored 30 points on Atlanta's defense at home. But, Philly's defense is much better than folks give them credit. Throw out the Rams game where they gave up more than 30 points. They were probably looking ahead to this game and its hard to get up for the Rams. But, against elite teams with strong prep, they gave up 26 points to San Fran on the road. This Giant defense also gave up 17 points to Houston at home and 25 points to Arizona in which they were skewered for that loss. Notice, the line in this game is just 2.5 indicating that they are expecting a strong performance from the Giants on the road here. The Giants coaching staff will pride itself on keeping Kelly's offense in check for the most part and will likely challenge Foles to beat them in the air which their cornerbacks will thrive on. Note the Under is 9-2 for the Giants when facing teams on the road with a winning home record. The Under is also 6-2 for the Eagles after allowing 250 yards in their previous game in passing yards and the Under is 4-0 in Philadelphia as well to boot. Look for this contest to be a 24-21 type of final as it lands in the mid 40's rather than the low 50's in which it is set per our models.