Bookmaker's Corner: Betting on Week 10 in the NFL
by Richard Gardner | Bodog Sportsbook Manager - 11/12/2009
Bodog Sportsbook had a fantastic day on Sunday - underdogs went 2-10 - and that was more than enough to make us smile. We're hopeful that Week 10 will be just as sweet. But enough about us, how did you do with your NFL picks?
Our players chose one underdog correctly: the Houston Astros over the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts have now failed to cover their last two spreads after rattling off five straight wins against the number.
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Having said that, it's not that Peyton Manning and company are failing to move the ball; they're doing plenty of that. Manning threw for 347 yards two weeks ago against the 49ers and 318 yards against the Texans.
The Colts have simply settled for too many field goals. Matt Stover's kicked five of them from less than 40 yards in the past two games. In stark contrast, the Colts only had five field-goal attempts from less than 40 in their previous five games.
Lots of extra-point attempts though.
But that's not their only concern.
Manning's been sacked five times in the last two games, which brings their pass protection into question. (He was sacked once in the previous five.)
A lot of bettors are hoping the Colts will turn things around for their next game versus the New England Patriots. With enough press coverage Peyton has to feel the heat to do more with a team that (at least for the time being) is trying to win games by doing less.
Over at Bodog see this one as a pick and took three points away from the Colts since it's at Lucas Oil Stadium.
Looking now to other teams and their Week 10 NFL odds, a couple of questions come to mind. First off, how do you like Josh Freeman now? The 21-year-old threw three TDs as the Bucs upset the Packers on Sunday. Our players were all over Green Bay -10.5 on Sunday, and there were also more than a few victims on the moneyline (-600). This week, Tampa Bay's a 10-point dog in Miami.
Secondly, what's up with Vince Young? It seems Young's career isn't dead after all. Not that he should take all the credit for the Titans' two-game winning streak. The 49ers turned the ball over four times on Sunday in San Francisco. This week, Tennessee's a 7-point favorite at home to Buffalo. Expect the lion's share of the action on the Titans.
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