Between March Madness college basketball betting, the NBA stretch run, the NHL revival, and the NFL Combine the national sports scene – both in terms of media and in terms of betting – is pretty much flush this time of year.

That’s too bad. Because right now I feel like gamblers are missing out on one of the most lucrative investments that they can make: 2012 MLB season win totals predictions.

Las Vegas sportsbooks released numbers on every team about two weeks ago. The offshore sportsbooks have since followed suit and that means it is high time for some 2012 MLB season win totals predictions.

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Betting on MLB futures is, in my opinion, one of the best wagers that a gambler can make. I feel that there are excellent statistical indicators that make these wagers easier to beat than a lot of other sports’ season wins totals. And although some people don’t like having their money tied up for a seven-month stretch I would say that the potential for a consistent 30 to 40 percent return on your investment is worth the trouble.

I will be looking to release my 2012 MLB season win totals predictions to my clients on March 21. I have posted a profit with these MLB regular season win totals predictions in five of six years and I have hit my top-rated futures play every year but once. I will have another 7-Unit MLB futures prediction this season and it is one that you don’t want to miss. 

In the meantime, here is a look at some predictions for this season with the odds courtesy of Sportsbook.com:

Arizona Diamondbacks (86.5 Wins) – The Diamondbacks were the biggest overachievers in baseball last year. The team really took to Kirk Gibson’s approach and they showed a lot of fight. But They have only won more than this many games twice in the last nine years.

Atlanta Braves (87.0 Wins) – In my opinion the Braves have played over their heads the last two seasons. They have beaten their season win total three straight years and that usually doesn’t bode well for teams. The bottom of their division keeps getting better and I think that is going to siphon some wins from Atlanta this year.

Baltimore Orioles (69.5 Wins) –This team is like a worse version of the Washington Redskins: they are still living on glory years from two decades ago and every season it feels like they are completely starting over. They haven’t beaten their season wins total since 2008, when they won 68 games to beat their projection of 65.5.

Boston Red Sox (89.5 Wins) –I actually think this number is a little short. There is never really much value betting on big public teams to go ‘over’ their MLB season win total because the books inflate these numbers. But Boston has only failed to top 90 wins two times in the last 10 years. They won 90 games last year and that was with their horrendous start and terrible collapse. I think they get 90 this year.

Chicago Cubs (74.5 Wins) –You can never go wrong betting on the Cubs to go ‘under’. The Cubs always induce a lot of sucker money from people that think, “This is the year!” that Chicago finally wins the World Series. Well, this team stinks. Theo Epstein will get this team back on the right track. But first Cubs fans will have to endure a painful couple years while he cleans house.

Chicago White Sox (74.0 Wins) – Ozzie Guillen is long gone (more on him in a minute) and his departure really signals the beginning of a rebuilding phase for the White Sox. There are still a lot of veterans and some nice pieces here and this line seems low. They have won less than 75 games just one time since 1995.

Cincinnati Reds (86.5 Wins) –The Reds fell on their faces under the weight of expectations last year. But they have a shot at redemption here if they can harness what seems to be – but has yet proven to be – the exceptional young pitching they have. This line seems high. But if you think they are going to win the Central it is a bet worth making.

Cleveland Indians (78.5 Wins) –The Indians finished with 80 wins last year. However, they started 30-16 and won just 42.3 percent of their games the rest of the way. At that clip they wouldn’t reach 70 wins this season. Just saying.

Colorado Rockies (80.5 Wins) –The Rockies are quickly becoming one of the most overrated teams in the Majors. If you kick out a couple of incredible Septembers (in 2009 and 2007) the Rockies have finished over .500 just two times in the past 14 seasons.

Detroit Tigers (92.5 Wins) –There is a ton of buzz about this team and they played in perhaps the Majors’ worst division. But Detroit has only topped 90 wins twice in nearly 25 years and last year they were the biggest overachievers in baseball in regards to their Pythagorean Wins projection (+7).

Houston Astros (64.0 Wins) –Let’s put it this way: the PECOTA and CAIRO projections are looking at the Astros to be the worst team of this still young century. This team, from top to bottom, is horrific. And their No. 27-rated farm system isn’t going to provide a lot of help.

Kansas City Royals (81.0 Wins) –Even though the Royals seemed a little feisty last year they still only won 71 games. It seems ridiculous to wager that they will break .500 this year since they’ve accomplished the feat exactly one time the last 18 seasons.

Los Angeles Angels (92.5 Wins) –Confidence has to be high for this team. It isn’t just that they nabbed Albert Pujols. But they grabbed C.J. Wilson and they should really be the beneficiaries of a lot of intangible factors that come together this year. I think this team has the goods to win 100 games.

Los Angeles Dodgers (81.0 Wins) – I have really good vibes about the Dodgers this year. They went through hell – on and off the field – last season and still won 82 games. There is no way that things can go worse for them off the field this year.

Miami Marlins (84.5 Wins) – Miami flashed a lot of cash and made plenty of moves to make a splash as they enter their new stadium. But are they really that much better? Lot of hype around this club. The books know that.

Milwaukee Brewers (84.5 Wins) –Getting Ryan Braun back was a tremendous lift. But they are still going to miss Prince Fielder in the worst way. This team was a league-best 30-18 in one-run games. Things like that – and their +6 against their Pythagorean Wins – don’t usually replicate themselves.

Minnesota Twins (73.0 Wins) –Stunningly, the Twins were a disaster last season with just 63 wins. They were outscored by an MLB-worst 185 runs and things don’t look a lot better heading into this year if Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau can’t give them at least 130 games apiece.

New York Mets (70.5 Wins) –As a Mets fan I can say that there is zero optimism about this team heading into the year. And if you assume that this team is going to finish in the East basement it helps to know that the last-place team has won an average of just 68.3 games over the last decade.

New York Yankees (93.0 Wins) –It has been five years since the Yankees have failed to top 94 wins and they have averaged 96.8 victories during that time. They won 97 games last year despite a rotation that leaned on Bartolo Colon. I’m sure they’ll be fine this year.

Oakland Athletics (71.5 Wins) –The only money made on this Moneyball team lately has been with the under. They have failed against their season win total in three straight years and the books have taken notice; this is the first time in four years that their season win total has been set at less than 81.0.

Philadelphia Phillies (93.5 Wins) – I think that this line is a little soft. Yes, the East is improving (except for the Mets). But Philadelphia won 102 games last year and they had their worst offensive output in a decade. As long as Ryan Howard is back by the end of May this team should get to 95.

Pittsburgh Pirates (73.5 Wins) –This team was one of the biggest surprises in baseball last year and they have to enter this season with a lot of confidence. But they are the Pirates for a reason. And they have won more than 73 games just one time in this millennia.

San Diego Padres (73.5 Wins) –Statistically, this team was one of the biggest underachievers in the league last year. They finished eight wins under what their Pythagorean Wins suggested. They also went just 20-31 in one-run games. Reverse that and this team would have finished in third place.

San Francisco Giants (87.5 Wins) –This team is still living off the World Series win of two years ago. But people seem to forget how fluky that run was at the time. The Giants won 33 one-run games last year and they beat their Pythagorean Wins by six. Those are some red flags that this team will stay under.

Seattle Mariners (72.0 Wins) –Man, do I feel terrible for this team. The Rangers and Angels are loaded and Oakland is probably still a step ahead. I don’t think 95 losses is a stretch at all.

St Louis Cardinals (83.5 Wins) –It’s easy to assume that the Cardinals will fall off the map without Pujols and Tony LaRussa. But this team has beaten its wins total three straight years and they will welcome back Cy Young candidate Adam Wainwright into the fold.

Tampa Bay Rays (87.0 Wins) –As long as the Rays have Joe Maddon running the show they are going to be in the mix. They have won 97, 84, 96 and 91 games the last four years and I don’t see anything about the roster this year to make me think they are going to be worse off.

Texas Rangers (91.5 Wins) –The Rangers have been in the World Series the last two Octobers and now expectations are that they make it three in a row. But they only won 90 games in 2010 (96 last year) and they haven’t topped 91 wins since 1999.

Toronto Blue Jays (80.0 Wins) –This team is always sneaky-good, but just not good enough to break into the A.L. East’s top-tier. The books are starting to pay attention, as this is the first time since 2008 where they have a win total over 79.0.

Washington Nationals (84.0 Wins) –Whoa. Look, I’m excited about the Nationals this year as well. And it wouldn’t stun me to see them in some wild card discussion late in the summer. But I don’t know that I would be betting on them to win the most games in Nationals history and the most for this “franchise” since they won 88 games back in 1996.

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