2020 MLB Season Win Totals Predictions
We are just a few weeks away from the start of the 2020 MLB season, and I figured now would be a great time to touch on every team’s season win total with some predictions. Remember, this season is a 60-game sprint, and teams won’t have the luxury to manage a few losing streaks throughout the season. Every game is critical and as such, every win is worth its weight in gold.
All lines are juiced to the over.
Arizona – “Over/Under” 31.5 (+100): It’s a tough sell for me to talk about taking this team over their win total even with just a 60-game season. They have a questionable rotation, and the lineup is lacking some serious power this season. Given the division they play in, and who they have on deck for interleague play, I’ll take a shot with the under for the Diamondbacks.
Atlanta - “Over/Under” 33.5 (-115): The Braves lineup figures to be the bright spot of this team with power hitters and up and comers littered throughout the lineup. However, their rotation leaves us with more questions than answers as they are relying on a young pitcher like Mike Soroka to be the ace of the rotation and a guy like Cole Hamels to show them the way via his experience. It’s a tough ask, but I think the Braves get to at least 35 wins in the tough NL East.
Baltimore - “Over/Under” 20.5 (-115): I looked up Baltimore’s projected lineup for the upcoming season and had to look it over four times because it’s just that bad. The O’s are going to be bad once again, and I’ll take the under on this low total.
Boston - “Over/Under” 30.5 (-120): The departure of Mookie Betts leaves a massive hole in the infield and batting order to fill, but the Sox do have enough firepower offensively to get to .500 this season. The big question mark remains the rotation as guys like Eduardo Rodriguez and Nathan Eovaldi are counted upon to have bounce-back seasons. I think the Sox get there, but barely.
Chicago Cubs - “Over/Under” 32 (-110): The Cubs have a solid lineup and a solid rotation. They simply need to perform to their expectations, and they will sail over this number. Last year, many players voiced their concern over the lack of focus. However, with a shortened season, this veteran-laden lineup knows how critical every game is. Take the over.
Chicago White Sox - “Over/Under” 31.5 (-130): A lot of people I’ve talked to are high on the White Sox. They have a strong lineup filled with youngsters and vets, and their rotation figures to be extremely reliable with the likes of Dallas Keuchel, Gio Gonzalez and Lucas Giolito leading the charge. I’d want a piece of the over if I was playing futures on the White Sox.
Cincinnati - “Over/Under” 32 (-115): I don’t see what all the love for the Reds is. The total is 32, but they’ve been under .500 for six seasons running. I don’t see them getting to 33 for you to win your bet, so I’m all over the under.
Cleveland - “Over/Under” 33.5 (-105): This is a team I’m high on heading into the season. When the Indians get hot on offense, they have a batting lineup that is nearly unstoppable. They have power up and down the lineup and can put up runs in a hurry. Combine that with a rotation that features guys like Mike Clevinger, Carlos Carrasco, and Shane Bieber, and the Indians will be fighting for an AL Central title. Over 33.5 wins.
Colorado - “Over/Under” 27.5 (-105): The Rockies have a good lineup and underrated pitching staff. The problem is they aren’t as good as the Dodgers, and their only path in is through the wild card. I believe this season win total is a bit low, and I’ll be taking the over here.
Detroit - “Over/Under” 21.5 (-135): The Tigers are a poor baseball squad. And outside of Miguel Cabrera, they have no real offense. The rotation is the best part of this team. However, given the division they play in, winning ball games is going to be tough. I’m on the under for the Tigers.
Houston - “Over/Under” 35 (-125): Regardless of who the Astros are bringing back and what their rotation looks like, I think they are in for a long and eventful 60 games. Teams are pissed about the cheating scandal, and they will do everything they can do let the Astros know about it Give me the under on this inflated line.
Kansas City - “Over/Under” 24.5 (-115): The Royals have a terrible lineup and a terrible pitching staff. The play in an extremely tough division. And with a 60-game season on the horizon, there will be no time for slumps. Unfortunately, the Royals couldn’t string together a winning streak longer than four games last year, so I’ll take the under on their win total this season.
L.A. Angels - “Over/Under” 32 (-115): The Angels are about two or three seasons away from wasting all of Mike Trout’s efforts. Trout is easily the best player in the AL and the Angels have made the playoffs just once since 2011. Given the state of the club and the roster, I’d be inclined to take the under on the win total until they prove me wrong.
L.A. Dodgers - “Over/Under” 38.5 (+100): The Dodgers were the best team in baseball last year and figure to be the best team in baseball once again this year. They added Mookie Betts to an already powerful lineup. The big question surrounds the pitching staff as Clayton Kershaw needs a bounce-back year and the backend of the rotation needs to show up. I’d still take the over on this extremely high win total.
Miami - “Over/Under” 24.5 (-110): I’m not really sure what the Marlins are doing, but I do know that it’s not trying to put a quality baseball team together or win ball games. This line could be 19.5, and I’d probably still take the under if I was getting around +200 or so.
Milwaukee - “Over/Under” 30.5 (-135): The Brewers overachieved last year in a big way. Just when you kept thinking they would fall off a cliff, they regrouped and made another hard charge. I don’t see them getting that lucky again this year. And with the win total set at .500 or better, I’ll take a shot at the under.
Minnesota - “Over/Under” 34.5 (-120): I really like the Twins to make some noise this year. They have a powerful offense and a very reliable pitching rotation. The Twins led the league in home runs and runs batted in last year and were second in batting average. In a shortened season, the Twins could get hot early and run away with the AL Central. I’ll take the over on their win total.
New York Mets - “Over/Under” 32.5 (-110): The Mets have been a big disappointment for the last handful of years. Given the talent they have, and the rotation they can trot out, that absolutely shouldn’t be the case. In a full season, I’d expect the Mets to stumble all over themselves. In a shortened season, there may not be enough time for them to get in their own way. I’ll take a shot with the over this year.
New York Yankees - “Over/Under” 37.5 (-105): This will be short and sweet. The Yankees are the best team in the AL and will beat up on the AL East and get to 40 wins. The lineup and pitching staff are too potent not to do so. Give me the over.
Oakland - “Over/Under” 33.5 (-120): I like the Athletics lineup and pitching staff. I just don’t trust them to compete with the big boys in a race to the finish line. This line is right around where I thought it would be, but I believe the A’s are closer to a .500 team than a .535 team.
Philadelphia - “Over/Under” 31 (-115): I’m shocked this line isn’t higher. The Phillies have a really good lineup and an underrated pitching staff. They just need to stay out of their own way. I give them a good chance to win the division and make the playoffs. Give me the over.
Pittsburgh - “Over/Under” 25.5 (-105): The Pirates are +40000 to win the World Series. That tells you just about all you need to know about this team. They were brutal last year and will be brutal again this year. Twenty-six wins is just six-games under .500. I believe they are about 10 games worse than that. Give me the under.
San Diego - “Over/Under” 30.5 (-120): I really like the Padres batting order, but the rotation gives me nightmares. This line is right around where I expected it to be, and I could see it going either way depending on how the rotation fares. I’d lean under, but I won’t be playing it.
San Francisco - “Over/Under” 24.5 (-115): The Giants are going to be bad this year, and I don’t see them getting to 25 wins. The rotation will be underwhelming, and the offense is getting older and slower. Give me the under for the Giants.
Seattle - “Over/Under” 24.5 (-115): The Mariners are a bad team in a tough division. They have no real power or consistency in their batting order, and the rotation is a collection of unknowns. I can’t recommend a bet on the over here. Give me the under.
St. Louis - “Over/Under” 31.5 (125): The Cardinals have a solid lineup and a solid rotation. They’ve been a model of consistency over the last handful of years, and I expect more of the same from them this season. They are a .500 team, and I think they get to 35 wins on the season. Give me the over.
Tampa Bay - “Over/Under” 34 (-110): The Rays overperformed last season, and I don’t think that’ll happen again this year. The whole “starter” thing is old news, and I think teams will have caught on by now and be prepared for it. They play in a tough division, and I can’t see them getting to 35 wins this season. Under.
Texas - “Over/Under” 29.5 (-105): I like the Rangers lineup, but the pitching rotation has a bunch of question marks. Can I see the Rangers getting to .500 with the likes of Corey Kluber, Mike Minor and Lance Lynn leading the rotation? Possibly, but I won’t be putting my hard-earned money on it.
Toronto - “Over/Under” 28 (-110): if the Jays were able to play their games at home, I’d take a shot with them and the over. They have a solid lineup with a ton of power. We would just need the rotation to hold their own and not get shelled every other game. Unfortunately, the Jays are likely headed out of Toronto for their games. And because of that, I’ll take the under.
Washington - “Over/Under” 33 (-130): If there is a team that can repeat as World Series Champions, it’s the Nationals. The lineup is solid from top to bottom, and they have a rotation that can be relied upon to produce. Given the state of the division, the Nats could find themselves atop the NL East after 60 games. Give me the over on their win total.
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