2025 MLB Season Win Totals Predictions

The MLB season is officially back tomorrow as teams begin their 2025 campaigns. We have seen the Dodgers showcase what their video game like roster can do after sweeping the Tokyo Series and while they look like the best team in the league there are some other interesting storylines to follow this season. The NL East has a trio of World Series potential organizations while the Chicago Cubs and Texas Rangers have once again elevated their teams. Let’s dive in and see how the win totals shake out for each MLB team this season.

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Arizona Diamondbacks – 86.5

Arizona should win 90 games this season. They will miss out on the chance of Jordan Montgomery reviving his reputation as a shutdown arm as he is out for the year, but the rotation is reinforced with Eduardo Rodriguez and the addition of A.J. Puk helps anchor the bullpens as he joins forces with Justin Martinez. Expect the Diamondbacks to finish second in the NL West and grab one of the wild card spots this season.

My Pick: Over 86.5

Athletics – 71.5

When betting on a team like the Athletics’ win total, you are almost playing a guessing game with yourself on what their deadline approach is going to be. The Athletics have some promising pieces in place for the future, but they also have some intriguing trade prospects in Luis Severino, Jose Leclerc, and potentially Brent Rooker. However, if you need to pick a side, take the over. The A’s are improving.

My Pick: Over 71.5

Atlanta Braves – 93.5

The Braves are anticipating a huge comeback this season as they are set to welcome both Ronald Acuna and Spencer Strider from the injured list. That being said, the Braves will have to wait nearly two months to be at full strength so the question is whether or not they can get off to a strong start without their stars. This is a 100-win caliber team at full strength. Give me the over, but the confidence meter rises and falls with their performance through their first 30 or so games.

My Pick: Over 93.5

Baltimore Orioles – 86.5

I think the Orioles are quiet contenders for the AL East crown and can sneakily end up with one of the best records in baseball. The Red Sox have improved, but the Yankees have taken serious steps back losing Juan Soto to the Mets and Gerrit Cole to injury. They may need to find some starting pitching before the deadline as that is the one weak spot here, but their rotation is full of veterans and their bullpen will get a big boost with the return of Felix Bautista and the signing of Andrew Kittredge. Baltimore is going to win the division and reach the 90-win mark.

My Pick: Over 86.5

Boston Red Sox – 86.5

The Red Sox win total is one of the more intriguing picks heading into the season. Garrett Crochet and Walker Buehler give the Red Sox rotation some significant upside, but Buehler hasn’t looked the same since returning from injury and Crochet has established just one season workload as a starting pitcher, though it was limited to keep him healthy. A lot of people around the league are buying stock on the Red Sox, but they are putting too much faith into Crochet continuously playing at a Cy Young level. He may yet be one of the best pitchers of his generation by the end of it all, but even Clayton Kershaw and Max Scherzer were slept on when they entered the league. They improve, but they will fall short of the 87-win mark.

My Pick: Under 86.5

Chicago Cubs – 86.5

Unfortunately for the Cubs, they are already 0-2 after being swept in the Tokyo Series against the Dodgers, but it’s a long season. Adding Kyle Tucker was huge for the trajectory of the Cubs lineup, and they have some high upside players in Pete Crow-Armstrong and Michael Busch who could break onto the scene this season. Justin Steele is a big X-Factor this season and if he can stay healthy and the Cubs become buyers at the deadline, they could reach the 90-win mark. Give me the over.

My Pick: Over 86.5

Chicago White Sox – 54.5

The White Sox were historically bad last season and could potentially be even worse this season. They no longer have Crochet giving fans something to look forward to every five days and their lineup will not finish the season having Luis Robert Jr. or Andrew Benintendi in it. Their rotation, aside from Martin Perez, is full of unproven pitchers and their lineup is incredibly weak. Take the under here as the White Sox definitely didn’t improve and actually got worse.

My Pick: Under 54.5

Cincinnati Reds – 79.5

Thanks to the development of their prospects and the addition of Austin Hays, Gavin Lux, and Brady Singer, the Reds are starting to look like a wild card contender. At full strength, the Reds rotation is a poor man’s Mariner’s rotation as it is full of undervalued and slept on pitchers who deserve a lot more attention with their high upside. The top half of this lineup will be dangerous with a healthy Matt McLain ahead of Elly De La Cruz and Austin Hays. The Reds will benefit from the Brewers regressing and the overall weak division. They are still likely a tier below the Cubs, but with a few deadline additions or some breakout players and the Reds could compete for the NL Central title this season.

My Pick: Over 79.5

Cleveland Guardians – 82.5

A slow start to the season could alter the front office’s plans on competing this season. However, there is enough firepower in the lineup to keep them in the playoff picture. If the front office wants to compete in the playoffs and push the Guardians back to the top of the division standings, they will need to go out and make a homerun move. Acquiring someone like Luis Robert Jr. would boost this lineup incredibly. Their rotation is solid and this projects to be the best bullpen unit in the league once again this season. Take the over on the win total but beware of the potential seller’s mindset if they start cold.

My Pick: Over 82.5

Colorado Rockies – 59.5

Similarly to the White Sox, the Rockies will likely once again repeat as the basement dwellers in the National League as they may have gotten worse over the course of the offseason. There is not a lot to like here, and they just traded Nolan Jones that lessens the potential of this lineup. Michael Toglia and Ezequiel Tovar will be offering up some exciting highlight reels, but the Rockies rotation is one of the worst in the league and they will likely trade away any producing veteran players. Don’t be fooled by the low projection, take the under.

My Pick: Under 59.5

Detroit Tigers – 83.5

Detroit gave fans around the league one of the most exciting story lines to follow last season as they broke out and proved they were one of the best young teams in the league. Their lineup is full of budding talent like Colt Keith and Wenceel Perez while their rotation is anchored by high upside arms in Jackson Jobe and Casey Mize. This team reached 86 wins last season, and they did not regress in any way on paper and adding Gleyber Torres provides some much-needed pop in the lineup. Expect the Tigers to be a consistent playoff contender going forward. Take the over here and expect a near 90-win season.

My Pick: Over 83.5

Houston Astros – 86.5

The Rangers and Mariners are both primed and ready to finally dethrone the Astors in the division standings. The Rangers are finally healthy heading into this season and will steal some wins away from Houston while the Astros continue to lose core pieces. They basically replaced Alex Bregman with Christian Walker and while that is a nearly even deal, they also shipped Tucker to Chicago. Jose Altuve is a thing of the past and the lineup is highly questionable. In addition to the questionable durability and depth of the lineup, the pitching staff is also worth questioning. There is little depth in the rotation and Spencer Arrighetti and Ronel Blanco have to prove they can consistently produce. There are too many question marks here and the Astors winning window will be slammed shut this season.

My Pick: Under 86.5

Kansas City Royals – 82.5

Similarly to the Tigers, this is another organization that burst onto the scene last season, and they proved they were here to stay. Their expected record last season had them winning 92 games and they should receive similar forecasts this season. Cole Ragans is in the shadow of Crochet, but he is an incredible arm that is worthy of a Cy Young. Their lineup improved with the addition of Jonathan India and Mark Canha so expect another year of improvement for these Royals.

My Pick: Over 82.5

Los Angeles Angels – 72.5

A healthy Mike Trout will do wonders for this Angels squad. However, even if he returns to his prime MVP days, the Angels will be far from competitive. Their rotation is one of the weakest units in the MLB while the lineup is relying on Nolan Schanuel, Luis Renigfo, and Jo Adell to increase their production. Adding Jorge Soler provides some extra pop and Travis d’Arnaud’s clubhouse presence should account for a few wins here, but both players are likely to be used as trade baith at the deadline. Expect the Angels to be heavy sellers this season.

My Pick: Under 72.5

Los Angeles Dodgers – 105.5

The Dodgers have given everyone reason to believe they are going to break some records this season and may in fact set the record for the best regular season record. The Dodgers front office has continued to build their video game like roster and there is no team that is as complete as the Dodgers. Once healthy, the Dodgers will be capable of putting together an eight-man rotation if they wish and they have a deep bench with some highly touted prospects waiting in the wings. The Dodgers could win 120 games this season and they have already started off the season going 2-0 against the Cubs in Japan.

My Pick: Over 105.5

Miami Marlins – 63.5

Though they will have a tough time being as bad as the White Sox, the Miami Marlins will find themselves in a competition with the Rockies for the bottom spot in the National League. Miami’s franchise is in disarray with all the ownership and front office issues and their roster is lacking talent. They shipped Jesus Luzardo to the rival Phillies and will likely end up trading away Sandy Alcantara at some point this season which will give the Marlins one of the worst rotations in the league. The Braves, Phillies, and Mets will circle the games against Miami on their schedule and look forward to beating up on the division’s little brother. Miami has hit the reset button and will make some more significant trades to bolster the future, that doesn’t bode well for this year’s win total.

My Pick: Under 63.5

Milwaukee Brewers – 82.5

The Brewers are in a true teetering state. The front office is still deciding on whether or not to continue to build around the roster they have now or wait a few years and build around their budding talent like Jackson Chourio, William Contreras, and DL Hall. The rotation is already having some injury concerns, and they already are without Brandon Woodruff. With all these injury concerns, a slow start is likely which may push the Brewers into selling mode. Expect Milwaukee to look ahead to 2026 and make some moves that reflect that notion. Take the under here.

My Pick: Under 82.5

Minnesota Twins – 84.5

The Minnesota Twins season could go really well or really bad. This team has sneakily put together a team that could flirt with 100 wins, but they also have a lot of injury prone players on their roster that could once again hold them back. Royce Lewis and Brooks Lee are back on the injured list, and we all know how Byron Buxton’s career has played out. The rotation is underrated, and Jhoan Duran is one of the most reliable bullpen arms in the game. The pieces are in place for the Twins to win the division and make a deep run in the playoffs, but I am not buying into the hype until they can prove they can stay healthy.

My Pick: Under 84.5

New York Mets – 90.5

The Mets added Soto and brought back Pete Alonso to give them one of the best lineups in the game. However, they did not do much to improve their starting rotation and Sean Manaea and Frankie Montas will miss some time to start the year. Kodai Senga has been a liability due to his injuries and the rotation is led by Clay Holmes. The Mets should score plenty of runs and can bail out their starting pitching, but this may become an issue come playoff time. It’s hard to bet against the Mets, but one of the Braves, Phillies, or Mets will have to hit the under on the win total. Give me the Mets to be that team with their rotation being unreliable.

My Pick: Under 90.5

New York Yankees – 88.5

Losing Cole has really hurt the Yankees ceiling. They did their best by mitigating the Soto loss by signing Max Fried, but now with the Cole injury and the injury to Luis Gil, the rotation is in shambles and the positivity has left the building. Fried and Carlos Rodon will now be tasked with leading this injury prone rotation that includes Marcus Stroman, Carlos Carrasco and the unproven Will Warren. The lineup looks a whole lot weaker with Soto in it and the only moves the Yankees made were bringing in Paul Goldschmidt and Cody Bellinger who are both past their prime. Baltimore is going to win the division, and the Red Sox may have the edge over their rivals. Take the under, the Yankees will be close to .500 this season.

My Pick: Under 88.5

Philadelphia Phillies – 90.5

I am high on the Phillies this season. They have the potential to be the second-best team in baseball this season as they deepened their rotation this offseason by adding Luzardo. Having a Zack Wheeler/Jesus Luzardo/Aaron Nola trio to get you through a playoff series is incredibly comforting, especially when you have one of the best lineups in baseball providing them with run support. The Braves and Mets improved, but the Phillies are in the best position at the start of the season with minimal injuries and they should be able to build a significant lead in the division standings from the start and potentially reach the 100-win mark by the end of the year.

My Pick: Over 90.5

Pittsburgh Pirates – 75.5

The Pirates have one of the most exciting arms in baseball to build around in Paul Skenes. He is already joined by Jared Jones and the Pirates have Bubba Chandler waiting to get a chance to showcase his explosive arm at the big-league level. Unfortunately for Pittsburgh the lineup isn’t strong enough to make them a true competitor. They are likely a season or two away from being a playoff caliber team, but the rotation has some true potential of being the one of the best in the years to come.

My Pick: Under 75.5

San Diego Padres – 85.5

The Padres are in a weird place right now. They have a competitive roster, but the future is in question with the roster getting older and a weak farm system in place. That doesn’t bode well for a small market team. They had entertained trading Luis Arraez and Dylan Ceases over the offseason and the trade talks may continue into the season. The rotation is weak, and the back half of their lineup is truly a weak link for this team. Expect Arizona and Los Angeles to take away some wins from San Diego and keep them around .500 this season.

My Pick: Under 85.5

San Francisco Giants – 79.5

The Giants will finish fourth in the NL West this season and they will see the south side of their projected win total. They invested heavily in Willy Adames this offseason, but he was their only significant move and that won’t be enough to keep pace with the Dodgers or Diamondbacks. Logan Webb is one of the most consistent pitchers in baseball, but aside from him the rotation is weak. As for the lineup, it could wind up being serviceable if Jung Hoo Lee can produce, but it’s on the weaker side already and the Giants may sell to collect future capital. It’s going to be another long season in San Francisco.

My Pick: Over 86.5

Seattle Mariners – 85.5

George Kirby starting the season on the injured list does cause some concern for Seattle, but they should still be in the playoff picture and pushing for the division crown this season. They need to add a strong bat or two at the deadline to push them from good to great, but the rotation is elite at full strength. Julio Rodriguez living up to his 30/30 potential and a return to form by Randy Arozarena would give the Mariners a much-needed boost in the lineup. They should hit the over on the win total thanks to the regression of Houston, but they will also help themselves by adding another bat like Brandon Lowe or Robert Jr.

My Pick: Over 85.5

St. Louis Cardinals – 75.5

Take the under on the win total here and don’t buy into their 83-win season from a year ago. Their rotation is not what it used to be with Miles Mikolas and Steven Matz aging, leaving Sonny Gray as the only reliable arm atop the rotation. The lineup is going to look different this season without Goldschmidt, but they are likely going to move Nolan Arenado at some point, and they may even look to move Willson Contreras if there is a buyer. The Cardinals will be sellers and will not win more than 75 games this season.

My Pick: Under 75.5

Tampa Bay Rays – 80.5

Unfortunately for Rays fans and baseball fans in general, Shane McClanahan suffered some nerve damage to his left arm and is now out indefinitely. He joins Ha-Seong Kim on the injured list to start the season. Their lineup is in a weakened state compared to recent seasons as they have begun to rely on their high-upside prospects. The Rays also are displaced this season and may be in a worse situation than the Athletics relocation. Expect Tampa Bay to be sellers this season and hope that their ace can get healthy for the years to come.

My Pick: Under 80.5

Texas Rangers – 86.5

The Texas Rangers are back. Their World Series winning season was not a fluke and this team is healthy and ready to compete for another one. Jacob deGrom and Tyler Mahle are healthy which not only gives the Rangers a dangerous 1-2 in the rotation with deGrom and Nathan Eovaldi, but now their rotation is deep with Mahle and the likes of Jon Gray and Cody Bradford when they return from their injuries. They added some power by signing Joc Pederson and bringing in Jake Burger which now gives the Rangers one of the deepest lineups in the league. The Astros are declining, and the Mariners lineup is still weak, expect the Rangers to win the division and reach the 90-win mark.

My Pick: Over 86.5

Toronto Blue Jays – 79.5

The Blue Jays spent so much time around Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and whether or not they can work out an extension, that they failed to improve elsewhere. The rotation is full of veterans who are well past their prime and the lineup will likely decline as we near the deadline and they begin to trade away some of their offensive pieces. Adding Anthony Santander helped, but their offseason momentum stalled, and the team didn’t make the improvements they were hoping for. Expect a last place finish for the Blue Jays in the AL East.

My Pick: Under 79.5

Washington Nationals – 70.5

Washington is quietly improving, and they will likely see some big improvements this season with some new prospects set to break out this season. Dylan Crews is one of the most exciting prospects in the game and will one day be the face of the franchise. He is joined by James Wood and Jacob Young to form one of the most underrated outfield trios in the league. Crews and Wood should continue to improve the lineup and if CJ Abrams can fix the off-field issues, he will be a great table setter for those two behind him in the lineup. The pitching staff isn’t very good, but the Nationals could be close to a .500 team this season.

My Pick: Over 70.5

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