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Yesterday's Expert MLB Picks from our handicappers.
Just so the public knows we are always transparent and honest with our reporting, in this spot we will list all of the previous days picks and analysis. This will be updated daily at around 5AM Eastern Time.
Saturday 26th of May 2018
Doc's Sports
The following selection is our MLB Game of the Week
5-unit Play Take #915 Chicago White Sox (+110) over Detroit Tigers (4:10pm EST) It's going to be tough making money backing the Chicago White Sox this season, but Saturday presents us with a rare opportunity to do so. They take on the Tigers in Detroit. The Tigers are currently about five games better than the White Sox and have a much better run differential. But don't expect that to last. Detroit has lost five of their last six and have started to struggle plating runs without Miguel Cabrera in the lineup. They'll go up against Hector Santiago of the Sox here. Santiago has struggled on the mound in 2018, but I've been seeing some positive signs lately. Francisco Liriano pitches for the Tigers. He has a nice 3.42 ERA, but it's not well-deserved. Liriano has a 4.97 xFIP and is striking out just 6.3 batters per nine. That rate isn't going to cut it in today's baseball. These two teams are much closer than their records indicate, and I actually think the White Sox are better when the Tigers are without Cabrera. Take Chicago in our MLB Game of the Week.
3-unit Play Take #922 Cleveland Indians (+100) over Houston Astros (7:15pm EST) It's not often you can back Carlos Carrasco as a home underdog. Of course, they're going up against the red hot Astros, but it's not against Verlander or Cole. Lance McCullers gets the ball for this one. He's put together a very good season at 6-2 with a 3.20 ERA in 10 starts. Carrasco's numbers are just a touch worse, but I rate him a bit higher overall. The Indians are also one of the better home teams in baseball in recent years. This should be a fun match up, but I like the Tribe at this price.
3-unit Play Take #930 Oakland A's (-160) over Arizona Diamondbacks (4:05pm EST) Things have completely unraveled for the Diamondbacks. They've dropped 13 of 15 and are now just 26-24 after a great start to the 2018 campaign. Meanwhile, the A's have quietly put together a solid 26-25 record when expectations were low. That's especially impressive given they play in the difficult AL West with the Astros, Mariners and Angels. Clay Buchholz goes for Arizona tonight in his second start of the season. He yielded just one run in five innings last time out, but he struck out just two batters. The stuff didn't look to be there, so I think Oakland hits him hard. Take the A's.
Best of Luck - Doc's Sports
Robert Ferringo
2-Unit Play. Take #904 Milwaukee (-145) over N.Y. Mets (4 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
The Brewers scored a comeback win over the Mets yesterday and that had to be a gut-punch for New York. The Brewers are 7-2 in their last nine games overall and these look like two teams heading in opposite directions. Chase Anderson has been steady for the Brewers and he shut down New York on April 14. Jason Vargas has been a disaster. He had an efficient start his last time out. But he still doesn?t look good and he still has an ERA of about 10.00 on the season. There?s no good reason not to bet against the Mets right now. And with pitching a mismatch like this it seals the deal.
7-Unit Play. Take #912 L.A. Dodgers (-1.5, +110) over San Diego (10 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
I think the Dodgers are on a bit of an upswing. They have won three straight and seven of their last eight. Getting Jut Turner back has been huge and I feel like their lineup is stabilizing a bit. Jordan Lyles has been pitching way, way, way over his head. The guy has been one of the worst starters in baseball this decade and he has a career ERA over 5.00. And it?s not a short career. Lyles is 3-6 in his last nine starts, but he?s somehow won two in a row. Alex Wood, on the other hand, has been razor sharp. He has allowed two or fewer runs in four straight starts. He has an ERA of 3.32 on the season, but if you kick out one bad start against the A?s he is sub-3.00. Wood has a 2.39 ERA in his career against the Padres and he has dominated this lineup in the past. The Dodgers have owned the Padres, going 35-16 in the last 51 meetings. San Diego is just 3-7 against lefty starters and 7-19 in their last 26 road games against southpaws. The Dodgers are 12-5 when Wood gets extra rest and they are 12-4 when he starts at home. Los Angeles
1-Unit Play. Take #916 Detroit (-135) over Chicago White Sox (4 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
2-Unit Play. Take #920 N.Y. Yankees (-1.5, +110) over L.A. Angels (7 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
The Yankees won but couldn?t beat the runline yesterday. I think they will blast the Angels? young starter here and they are 39-12 in their last 51 home games.
1-Unit Play. Take #925 Atlanta (+125) over Boston (1 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
4-Unit Play. Take #928 Philadelphia (-1.5, +105) over Toronto (4 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
1-Unit Play. Take #928 Philadelphia (-200) over Toronto (4 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
Philadelphia almost made a great comeback yesterday, coming up just short in a 6-5 loss. But I think that they will rebound today behind their ace, Aaron Nola. He has a 2.37 ERA on the season and has been even better than his numbers suggest. I think that he?s going to have his good stuff today. Jamie Garcia, on the other hand, has been a mess. He?s allowed five runs or more in three of four starts and he?s given up at least three runs in six of his last seven. He?s been getting shelled by some bad lineups. I think that Philadelphia, which is 22-9 in its last 31 home games, will rebound here and Nolan should move to 14-3 in his last 17 home games.
Today?s Totals
2-Unit Play. Take ?Under? 8.5 St. Louis at Pittsburgh (4 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
2-Unit Play. Take ?Under? 9.5 San Francisco at Chicago Cubs (7 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
2-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 8.0 Washington at Miami (4 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
1-Unit Play. Take ?Under? 10.0 L.A. Angels at N.Y. Yankees (7 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
4-Unit Play. Take ?Under? 8.5 Toronto at Philadelphia (4 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
Carpe diem. Good luck.
Indian Cowboy
3-Unit Play. #918. Take Tampa Bay -142 over Baltimore Orioles (Saturday @ 4:10pm est)
It's a bounce-back kind of day for not only us in the MLB, but for the Tampa Bay Rays in their matchup against the Orioles today. The Rays were unable to register a single run last night against a pitcher they had previous success off of. Baseball is like that sometimes but we don't expect the offense to be held down today against Andrew Cashner. Cashner has given up 8 walks in his past three games while surrendering 19 hits. If we expand those numbers, it's 27 walks in 55 innings, which cause for concern if you are an O's fan. The Rays are 3rd in the league in batting average, so it's only a matter of time in this one that they get a key hit with runners on base and put up a crooked number on the scoreboard. The Orioles on the other hand are still an inferior team despite last night's win. They are still 17 games sub .500 and rank near the bottom in every offensive category. Rays' pitcher, Stanek has faired well previously against the O's, tossing four innings and giving up just one run and two hits while striking out six. The O's are just 2-6 in Cashners' last 8 starts and just 2-12 when giving up two or fewer runs in their previous game. The Rays are have won 5 of 6 against the O's at home and we expect that to reach 6 of 7 after today's ball game.
Tony George
4 Units ? #914 Texas (-140) over KC 5/26 *4 EST
Short and sweet. Ian Kennedy is a fade pitcher for KC, just deplorable, over a 10 ERA his last 3, a 1.91 WHIP and gives up hits and runs like crazy, a and while Colon for Texas is nor bargain, he will outpitch Kennedy and Texas will out hit KC, off 8 runs last night in a big bounce back win. KC bullpen is better than Texas?s right now, but I think Kennedy could give up 4 or 5 out of the gate in the first 3 or 4 innings and it goes downhill from there. I expect a big Texas win here today.
4 Units on #914 Texas
BONUS 2 UNIT PLAY ? #916 Detroit (-120) over White Sox 5/26 *4:10 est
Fading a bad team on the road, and Santiago who takes the hill for the Sox and allowed 3 homers in his last game. Liriano is a solid and consistent pitcher for the Tigers but had struggled recently but pitched 7 no hitter innings before allowing a single against Seattle in his last outing and I like him at home here.
2 Units on #916 Detroit
Raphael Esparza (VSI)
4 Unit Play. Take #924 Seattle -120 over Minnesota (10:10p.m., Saturday May 26)
Tonight at Safeco Field the Mariners will look for back-to-back victories at home against the Twins and we should see another great pitching matchup tonight. The Twins head into this game dropping 5 out 8 games and the Twins have dropped back-to-back games and in those two losses the Twins have scored only 2-runs. Seattle has won 6 out 7 heading into tonight?s game and tonight they will have Wade LeBlanc on the mound and this year LeBlanc has not recorded a W/L but when he starts the Mariners are 3-1. Give me Seattle tonight laying the short price! Minnesota is 1-6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their last game and the Mariners are 8-0 when LeBlanc?s starts at home.
Vernon Croy
7-Unit Play. Take #927-928 Toronto/Philadelphia GAME TOTAL OVER 8.5 -110 (Saturday, May 26th at 4:00 PM ET)
Tor: J. Garcia (2-3, 6.28 ERA)
Phi: A. Nola (6-2, 2.37 ERA)
Take Toronto/Philadelphia GAME TOTAL OVER as my 7-Unit MLB Smash for Saturday. This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and I have this game flying over the posted total given this pitching match-up in a hitter friendly ballpark today. The Jays have had success in limited at bats against Nola in the past with Donaldson 3 for 3 with 1 homerun, Morales 1 for 2 with 1 homerun and Pillar 1 for 2 against him. Nola is also coming off of his worst start of the season allowing 4 earned runs over 7 innings of work, and opponents have hit .263 against him over his 4 starts this month. Garcia has been hit hard on the road this season with an ERA of 9.68 with opponents hitting .320 against him and .303 against him in day games. The O/U is 16-5 for the Jays in their last 21 interleague road games when facing a righty starter and the O/U is 7-0-1 in Nola's last 8 interleague starts. Play the OVER as we move to 11-5 the last 18 days in MLB.
Scott Spreitzer
8-Unit Play: Take 921 Astros -110 over Indians (7:15 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
I?m backing the Astros on Saturday with McCullers over Carrasco. The Astros have had Cleveland's number this year winning four of the five meetings, including the last two as Houston has outscored the Indians 19-4. Cleveland is in first place in the AL Central only because it's the weakest division in the majors. Houston is 18-7 on the road and the Indians have the worst bullpen in the major leagues with a 6.23 ERA after last night's debacle. The Astros are on a 35-12 run and average 6.4 rpg against bullpens with an ERA of 4.7 or higher over the last two seasons. Lance McCullers Jr. is 6-2 and the Astros have won five of his last seven starts, including a 3-1 win over these Indians on Sunday when he pitched seven shutout innings on just one hit. McCullers has allowed more than two runs once his last seven starts and he hasn't allowed a home run since April 17. Cleveland has lost four of Carlos Carrasco's last five starts and the Indians have had trouble with the better teams this season as they have lost seven of their last eight versus teams with .600 or better winning percentages. And finally, The Indians struggle at the plate and Houston is 14-2 this season against opponents with a team batting average of .260 or less. Houston held the 16 teams to an average of 1.9 rpg (scoring 6.6 rpg themselves). We?ll back the Houston Astros on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Alan Harris
4 Unit Play. Take #907/908 San Francisco Giants vs Chicago Cubs Over 9.5 (7:15 PM, Saturday, May 26)
The Giants have posted a 5-1 record to the over in their last six games where they faced a left-handed starter and they have gone an excellent 5-2 to the over when facing a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. They have also gone over the total in each of Stratton?s last five starts and they are 5-0 to the over in their last five games played on a Saturday for whatever reason. The Cubs have been an over team as well in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone over the number in ten of their last fourteen home games versus a team with a losing record on the road and they are 5-2-1 to the over when facing a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. Throw in the fact that the Cubs are also 5-2 to the over in Quintana?s last seven starts while the Giants are 5-2 to the over when Stratton faces a team with a winning % of .500 or higher and that?s where we?ll have our play as we expect both starting pitchers to struggle a bit in Wrigley on Saturday night.
4 Unit Play. Take #912 Los Angeles Dodgers -200 over San Diego Padres (10:10 PM, Saturday, May 26)
The Dodgers have posted a 4-1 record in their last five games where they faced a NL West rival and they have that same 4-1 record in their last five games versus a righty starter. They have also won eight of Wood?s last ten home starts where he faced a team with a losing record and they are an impressive 12-4 in his last sixteen home starts overall. The Padres, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone just 2-5 in their last seven where they faced a team with a winning % of .500 or lower and they have lost 19 of 26 on the road versus a left-handed starter. Throw in the fact that the Dodgers have gone a lights out 45-19 in their last 64 home games against the Padres and we?re going to lay the big price with them here in a game that we made around -250 or so in LA on Saturday night.
3 Unit Play. Take #913 Kansas City Royals +1.5 -160 over Texas Rangers (4:05 PM, Saturday, May 26)
Both of these teams are bad but Texas should not be laying a number like they are here against anyone. They have lost five of their last seven Game #3?s of a series and they are just 1-4 in their last five games where they faced a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. They have also lost nine of their last twelve games where they faced a team with a winning % of .400 or lower and they are an awful 5-17 in their last 22 games following a win. We don?t want to take the Royals to win outright here because they aren?t any good either but we?re comfortable laying a bit of juice to take them +1.5 runs in this one. At some point Bartolo Colon has to come back to earth and we think there?s a chance that the Royals get to him a bit this afternoon in what is going to be a hot day in Arlington.
3 Unit Play. Take #916 Detroit Tigers -120 over Chicago White Sox (4:10 PM, Saturday, May 26)
The Tigers have posted a 4-1 record in their last five home games and they have that same 4-1 record in their last five games when facing a team that allowed five runs or more in their previous contest. They have also won six of their last eight games played on a Saturday for whatever reason and they are an impressive 7-3 in their last ten home games versus a team with a road winning % of .400 or lower. The White Sox, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here today as they have gone just 10-26 in their last 36 games where they faced a lefty starter and they are an awful 14-37 in Game #2?s of a series. They have also lost six of Santiago?s last seven starts where he faced a team with a losing record and they are just 1-10 when he starts following a team loss in their previous game. Throw in the fact that the Tigers are an insane 50-20 in their last 70 home games against the Sox and we?re going to lay the short price with them here to get the home win in Detroit on Saturday afternoon.
4 Unit Play. Take #917 Baltimore Orioles +130 over Tampa Bay Rays (4:10 PM, Saturday, May 26)
3 Unit Play. Take #917/918 Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Under 8.5 -115
The Orioles have posted a 7-2 record in their last nine games where they faced a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher and they have gone an excellent 8-3 in their last eleven games versus a team with a losing record. The Rays, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here today as they have gone just 1-4 in their last five games where they faced an AL East rival and they have lost 17 of their last 25 games following a loss. Throw in the fact that the Rays are also an awful 1-6 in their last seven home games and that they are doing this dumb thing where they are starting relievers and we?re taking the O?s at the underdog price to get the road win in Tampa on Saturday afternoon.
4 Unit Play. Take #922 Cleveland Indians -105 over Houston Astros (7:15 PM, Saturday, May 26)
The Indians have posted a 5-2 record in their last seven games following a loss and they have gone an excellent 7-3 in their last ten games after losing the first two games of a series. They have also won twelve of Carrasco?s last sixteen home starts and they are a perfect 7-0 in his last seven starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Astros, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone just 2-6 in McCullers? last eight starts where he faced a team with a losing record. Throw in the fact that the Indians are 17-6 in their last 23 Game #?s of a series along with the fact that they have won 46 of their last 67 home games going back to the 2017 season and we?re going to take them at the pickem or so price here to get the home win in Cleveland on Saturday night.
3 Unit Play. Take #923 Minnesota Twins +110 over Seattle Mariners (10:10 PM, Saturday, May 26)
The Twins have posted a 7-3 record in their last ten road games and they are a perfect 4-0 in Odorizzi?s last four starts where he went in Game #2 of a series. The Mariners have been playing decent ball of late but they have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have lost nine of their last thirteen home games against the Twins. Throw in the fact that we think the pitching match-up favors Odorizzi (five start unbeaten streak) over Leblanc and we?re taking Minnesota at the small underdog price to get the road win in Seattle on Saturday night.
3 Unit Play. Take #926 Boston Red Sox -130 over Atlanta Braves (1:05 PM, Saturday, May 26)
The Red Sox have posted a perfect 6-0 record in their last six interleague games where they faced a team with a winning record and they have gone an excellent 7-2 in their last nine interleague games where they faced a lefty starter. They have also won 24 of their last 24 games following a win and they are an impressive 45-15 in their last 60 home games versus a team from the NL. The Braves, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here today as they have lost seven of their last ten games versus a team with a winning record and they are an awful 8-17 in their last 25 Game #2?s of a series. Throw in the fact that the Sox are 24-8 in the last 32 head to head meetings between the two teams and we?re going to lay the short price with them here to get the home win in Boston on Saturday afternoon.
4 Unit Play. Take #928 Philadelphia Phillies -190 over Toronto Blue Jays (4:05 PM, Saturday, May 26)
3 Unit Play. Take #927/928 Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies Under 8.5 +100
The Phillies have posted a 5-1 record in their last six games where they faced a team from the AL East and they have that same 5-1 record in their last six games versus a team that scored five runs or more in their previous contest. They have also won 18 of their last 24 games where they faced a lefty starter and they are an impressive 22-9 in their last 31 home games. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, have been struggling a bit in the spot they are in here today as they have gone just 2-5 in their last seven Game #2?s of a series and they are just 3-7 in their last ten versus a team with a winning record. They have also lost seven straight games following a game where they scored five runs or more and they are an awful 3-9 in their last twelve overall. Throw in the fact that the Phillies are 13-3 in Nola?s last sixteen home starts while the Jays are 0-7 off a win and we?re going to lay the big price here with the Phillies to get the home win on Saturday afternoon.
2 Unit Plays
2 Unit Play. Take #903 New York Mets +135 over Milwaukee Brewers (4:10 PM, Saturday, May 26)
2 Unit Play. Take #906 Miami Marlins +140 over Washington Nationals (4:10 PM, Saturday, May 26)
2 Unit Play. Take #909 Cincinnati Reds +140 over Colorado Rockies (9:10 PM, Saturday, May 26)
2 Unit Play. Take #919 Los Angeles Angels +150 over New York Yankees (7:15 Pm, Saturday, May 26)
2 Unit Play. Take #929 Arizona Diamondbacks +155 over Oakland A?s (4:05 PM, Saturday, May 26)
Mike Davis
4-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 8.5 Baltimore at Tampa Bay (Saturday, May 26th at 4:10 p.m)
Short and simple write up:
It's rare for me to come back with the same play the day after I lost with a game. However, I can see this game being high scoring as Tampa Bay continues to use their bullpen as their starting pitcher and beyond. Cashner is on the mound for Baltimore and he isn't terrible but he isn't a lock down pitcher that will keep a team scoreless. I look for the Tampa Bay offense to wake up against him and I look for Baltimore to hit the bullpen of the Rays today. The O's have an explosive offense and I really see them scoring some runs today.
I will keep a close eye on this game as Tampa Bay will use the same strategy again tomorrow.
Take Over
Best of luck -- Mike
Allen Eastman
7-Unit Play. Take #914 Texas (-1.5, +140) over Kansas City (4 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
Bartolo Colon keeps defying the odds. He is 45 years old but he is still having an excellent season. He has a 3.51 ERA and has been giving the Rangers a lot of quality innings. Ian Kennedy has been the opposite for the Royals. He has a 5.30 ERA on the year and a 10.91 ERA in his last three starts, all losses. The Royals are just 3-7 in Kennedy?s last 10 starts. Kansas City is just 17-35 in its last 52 games overall. The Rangers have had a lot of success against the Royals. They won yesterday and now Texas is 16-5 in their last 21 games against Kansas City. The Rangers are also 35-16 at home against the Royals in the last 51 meetings. I think Colon will keep it going and I look for a blowout win here with a lot of value on the runline.
Allen Eastman
Strike Point Sports
3-Unit Play. Take Under 8 Houston at Cleveland (7:15 p.m. Saturday, May 26)
Cleveland has struggled all season long to string together solid performances and they just can't seem to get into a rhythm. Fortunately for the Indians, no other team in the American League Central has been playing good baseball either as every team in the division has a record under .500. Facing Lance McCullers isn't going to help them as he has pitched very well for Houston this season. McCullers is 6-2 with a 3.20 ERA through 10 starts this season and he shut out the Indians over 7 innings on one hit while striking out 8 less than a week ago. Carlos Carrasco squared off and took the loss against McCullers but he has 24 strikeouts over his last three starts and I think he will be able to limit the Astros in this contest. Houston has taken the first two games of this series scoring 19 runs but I think this game will be a low scoring affair.
Best of Luck - Strike Point Sports
Jason Sharpe
Saturday May 26th 2018-
3 Unit Play Take #925 Atlanta +115 over Boston (1:05pm est):
The Atlanta Braves have been one of the surprise teams in MLB this season as they sit atop 1st place in the NL East division at 29-20 overall. One of the big reasons for their good start to the year has to do with today's starter lefty Sean Newcomb. The soon to be 25 year-old 1st round draft pick has been sensational early on with a 2.39 ERA on the year. Newcomb faces a Red Sox offense here that ranks near the bottom of the league this year against LHP.
Boston counters with lefty Drew Pomeranz in this one. Pomeranz has been a wreck early on this year with an ugly ERA near 6.00 in his six starts overall. He will face a Braves lineup here that's ranked 1st in MLB against LHP in wRC+. The National League has owned the American League so far this season also in head to head games. Wrong team is favored in this one.
Take Atlanta here.
Thank you and good luck,
Jason Sharpe
Expert MLB Picks History:
Doc's Sports
The following selection is our MLB Game of the Week5-unit Play Take #915 Chicago White Sox (+110) over Detroit Tigers (4:10pm EST) It's going to be tough making money backing the Chicago White Sox this season, but Saturday presents us with a rare opportunity to do so. They take on the Tigers in Detroit. The Tigers are currently about five games better than the White Sox and have a much better run differential. But don't expect that to last. Detroit has lost five of their last six and have started to struggle plating runs without Miguel Cabrera in the lineup. They'll go up against Hector Santiago of the Sox here. Santiago has struggled on the mound in 2018, but I've been seeing some positive signs lately. Francisco Liriano pitches for the Tigers. He has a nice 3.42 ERA, but it's not well-deserved. Liriano has a 4.97 xFIP and is striking out just 6.3 batters per nine. That rate isn't going to cut it in today's baseball. These two teams are much closer than their records indicate, and I actually think the White Sox are better when the Tigers are without Cabrera. Take Chicago in our MLB Game of the Week.
3-unit Play Take #922 Cleveland Indians (+100) over Houston Astros (7:15pm EST) It's not often you can back Carlos Carrasco as a home underdog. Of course, they're going up against the red hot Astros, but it's not against Verlander or Cole. Lance McCullers gets the ball for this one. He's put together a very good season at 6-2 with a 3.20 ERA in 10 starts. Carrasco's numbers are just a touch worse, but I rate him a bit higher overall. The Indians are also one of the better home teams in baseball in recent years. This should be a fun match up, but I like the Tribe at this price.
3-unit Play Take #930 Oakland A's (-160) over Arizona Diamondbacks (4:05pm EST) Things have completely unraveled for the Diamondbacks. They've dropped 13 of 15 and are now just 26-24 after a great start to the 2018 campaign. Meanwhile, the A's have quietly put together a solid 26-25 record when expectations were low. That's especially impressive given they play in the difficult AL West with the Astros, Mariners and Angels. Clay Buchholz goes for Arizona tonight in his second start of the season. He yielded just one run in five innings last time out, but he struck out just two batters. The stuff didn't look to be there, so I think Oakland hits him hard. Take the A's.
Best of Luck - Doc's Sports
Robert Ferringo
2-Unit Play. Take #904 Milwaukee (-145) over N.Y. Mets (4 p.m., Saturday, May 26)The Brewers scored a comeback win over the Mets yesterday and that had to be a gut-punch for New York. The Brewers are 7-2 in their last nine games overall and these look like two teams heading in opposite directions. Chase Anderson has been steady for the Brewers and he shut down New York on April 14. Jason Vargas has been a disaster. He had an efficient start his last time out. But he still doesn?t look good and he still has an ERA of about 10.00 on the season. There?s no good reason not to bet against the Mets right now. And with pitching a mismatch like this it seals the deal.
7-Unit Play. Take #912 L.A. Dodgers (-1.5, +110) over San Diego (10 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
I think the Dodgers are on a bit of an upswing. They have won three straight and seven of their last eight. Getting Jut Turner back has been huge and I feel like their lineup is stabilizing a bit. Jordan Lyles has been pitching way, way, way over his head. The guy has been one of the worst starters in baseball this decade and he has a career ERA over 5.00. And it?s not a short career. Lyles is 3-6 in his last nine starts, but he?s somehow won two in a row. Alex Wood, on the other hand, has been razor sharp. He has allowed two or fewer runs in four straight starts. He has an ERA of 3.32 on the season, but if you kick out one bad start against the A?s he is sub-3.00. Wood has a 2.39 ERA in his career against the Padres and he has dominated this lineup in the past. The Dodgers have owned the Padres, going 35-16 in the last 51 meetings. San Diego is just 3-7 against lefty starters and 7-19 in their last 26 road games against southpaws. The Dodgers are 12-5 when Wood gets extra rest and they are 12-4 when he starts at home. Los Angeles
1-Unit Play. Take #916 Detroit (-135) over Chicago White Sox (4 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
2-Unit Play. Take #920 N.Y. Yankees (-1.5, +110) over L.A. Angels (7 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
The Yankees won but couldn?t beat the runline yesterday. I think they will blast the Angels? young starter here and they are 39-12 in their last 51 home games.
1-Unit Play. Take #925 Atlanta (+125) over Boston (1 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
4-Unit Play. Take #928 Philadelphia (-1.5, +105) over Toronto (4 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
1-Unit Play. Take #928 Philadelphia (-200) over Toronto (4 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
Philadelphia almost made a great comeback yesterday, coming up just short in a 6-5 loss. But I think that they will rebound today behind their ace, Aaron Nola. He has a 2.37 ERA on the season and has been even better than his numbers suggest. I think that he?s going to have his good stuff today. Jamie Garcia, on the other hand, has been a mess. He?s allowed five runs or more in three of four starts and he?s given up at least three runs in six of his last seven. He?s been getting shelled by some bad lineups. I think that Philadelphia, which is 22-9 in its last 31 home games, will rebound here and Nolan should move to 14-3 in his last 17 home games.
Today?s Totals
2-Unit Play. Take ?Under? 8.5 St. Louis at Pittsburgh (4 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
2-Unit Play. Take ?Under? 9.5 San Francisco at Chicago Cubs (7 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
2-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 8.0 Washington at Miami (4 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
1-Unit Play. Take ?Under? 10.0 L.A. Angels at N.Y. Yankees (7 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
4-Unit Play. Take ?Under? 8.5 Toronto at Philadelphia (4 p.m., Saturday, May 26)
Carpe diem. Good luck.
Indian Cowboy
3-Unit Play. #918. Take Tampa Bay -142 over Baltimore Orioles (Saturday @ 4:10pm est)It's a bounce-back kind of day for not only us in the MLB, but for the Tampa Bay Rays in their matchup against the Orioles today. The Rays were unable to register a single run last night against a pitcher they had previous success off of. Baseball is like that sometimes but we don't expect the offense to be held down today against Andrew Cashner. Cashner has given up 8 walks in his past three games while surrendering 19 hits. If we expand those numbers, it's 27 walks in 55 innings, which cause for concern if you are an O's fan. The Rays are 3rd in the league in batting average, so it's only a matter of time in this one that they get a key hit with runners on base and put up a crooked number on the scoreboard. The Orioles on the other hand are still an inferior team despite last night's win. They are still 17 games sub .500 and rank near the bottom in every offensive category. Rays' pitcher, Stanek has faired well previously against the O's, tossing four innings and giving up just one run and two hits while striking out six. The O's are just 2-6 in Cashners' last 8 starts and just 2-12 when giving up two or fewer runs in their previous game. The Rays are have won 5 of 6 against the O's at home and we expect that to reach 6 of 7 after today's ball game.
Tony George
4 Units ? #914 Texas (-140) over KC 5/26 *4 ESTShort and sweet. Ian Kennedy is a fade pitcher for KC, just deplorable, over a 10 ERA his last 3, a 1.91 WHIP and gives up hits and runs like crazy, a and while Colon for Texas is nor bargain, he will outpitch Kennedy and Texas will out hit KC, off 8 runs last night in a big bounce back win. KC bullpen is better than Texas?s right now, but I think Kennedy could give up 4 or 5 out of the gate in the first 3 or 4 innings and it goes downhill from there. I expect a big Texas win here today.
4 Units on #914 Texas
BONUS 2 UNIT PLAY ? #916 Detroit (-120) over White Sox 5/26 *4:10 est
Fading a bad team on the road, and Santiago who takes the hill for the Sox and allowed 3 homers in his last game. Liriano is a solid and consistent pitcher for the Tigers but had struggled recently but pitched 7 no hitter innings before allowing a single against Seattle in his last outing and I like him at home here.
2 Units on #916 Detroit
Raphael Esparza (VSI)
4 Unit Play. Take #924 Seattle -120 over Minnesota (10:10p.m., Saturday May 26)Tonight at Safeco Field the Mariners will look for back-to-back victories at home against the Twins and we should see another great pitching matchup tonight. The Twins head into this game dropping 5 out 8 games and the Twins have dropped back-to-back games and in those two losses the Twins have scored only 2-runs. Seattle has won 6 out 7 heading into tonight?s game and tonight they will have Wade LeBlanc on the mound and this year LeBlanc has not recorded a W/L but when he starts the Mariners are 3-1. Give me Seattle tonight laying the short price! Minnesota is 1-6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their last game and the Mariners are 8-0 when LeBlanc?s starts at home.
Vernon Croy
7-Unit Play. Take #927-928 Toronto/Philadelphia GAME TOTAL OVER 8.5 -110 (Saturday, May 26th at 4:00 PM ET)Tor: J. Garcia (2-3, 6.28 ERA)
Phi: A. Nola (6-2, 2.37 ERA)
Take Toronto/Philadelphia GAME TOTAL OVER as my 7-Unit MLB Smash for Saturday. This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and I have this game flying over the posted total given this pitching match-up in a hitter friendly ballpark today. The Jays have had success in limited at bats against Nola in the past with Donaldson 3 for 3 with 1 homerun, Morales 1 for 2 with 1 homerun and Pillar 1 for 2 against him. Nola is also coming off of his worst start of the season allowing 4 earned runs over 7 innings of work, and opponents have hit .263 against him over his 4 starts this month. Garcia has been hit hard on the road this season with an ERA of 9.68 with opponents hitting .320 against him and .303 against him in day games. The O/U is 16-5 for the Jays in their last 21 interleague road games when facing a righty starter and the O/U is 7-0-1 in Nola's last 8 interleague starts. Play the OVER as we move to 11-5 the last 18 days in MLB.
Scott Spreitzer
8-Unit Play: Take 921 Astros -110 over Indians (7:15 p.m., Saturday, May 26)I?m backing the Astros on Saturday with McCullers over Carrasco. The Astros have had Cleveland's number this year winning four of the five meetings, including the last two as Houston has outscored the Indians 19-4. Cleveland is in first place in the AL Central only because it's the weakest division in the majors. Houston is 18-7 on the road and the Indians have the worst bullpen in the major leagues with a 6.23 ERA after last night's debacle. The Astros are on a 35-12 run and average 6.4 rpg against bullpens with an ERA of 4.7 or higher over the last two seasons. Lance McCullers Jr. is 6-2 and the Astros have won five of his last seven starts, including a 3-1 win over these Indians on Sunday when he pitched seven shutout innings on just one hit. McCullers has allowed more than two runs once his last seven starts and he hasn't allowed a home run since April 17. Cleveland has lost four of Carlos Carrasco's last five starts and the Indians have had trouble with the better teams this season as they have lost seven of their last eight versus teams with .600 or better winning percentages. And finally, The Indians struggle at the plate and Houston is 14-2 this season against opponents with a team batting average of .260 or less. Houston held the 16 teams to an average of 1.9 rpg (scoring 6.6 rpg themselves). We?ll back the Houston Astros on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Alan Harris
4 Unit Play. Take #907/908 San Francisco Giants vs Chicago Cubs Over 9.5 (7:15 PM, Saturday, May 26)The Giants have posted a 5-1 record to the over in their last six games where they faced a left-handed starter and they have gone an excellent 5-2 to the over when facing a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. They have also gone over the total in each of Stratton?s last five starts and they are 5-0 to the over in their last five games played on a Saturday for whatever reason. The Cubs have been an over team as well in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone over the number in ten of their last fourteen home games versus a team with a losing record on the road and they are 5-2-1 to the over when facing a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. Throw in the fact that the Cubs are also 5-2 to the over in Quintana?s last seven starts while the Giants are 5-2 to the over when Stratton faces a team with a winning % of .500 or higher and that?s where we?ll have our play as we expect both starting pitchers to struggle a bit in Wrigley on Saturday night.
4 Unit Play. Take #912 Los Angeles Dodgers -200 over San Diego Padres (10:10 PM, Saturday, May 26)
The Dodgers have posted a 4-1 record in their last five games where they faced a NL West rival and they have that same 4-1 record in their last five games versus a righty starter. They have also won eight of Wood?s last ten home starts where he faced a team with a losing record and they are an impressive 12-4 in his last sixteen home starts overall. The Padres, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone just 2-5 in their last seven where they faced a team with a winning % of .500 or lower and they have lost 19 of 26 on the road versus a left-handed starter. Throw in the fact that the Dodgers have gone a lights out 45-19 in their last 64 home games against the Padres and we?re going to lay the big price with them here in a game that we made around -250 or so in LA on Saturday night.
3 Unit Play. Take #913 Kansas City Royals +1.5 -160 over Texas Rangers (4:05 PM, Saturday, May 26)
Both of these teams are bad but Texas should not be laying a number like they are here against anyone. They have lost five of their last seven Game #3?s of a series and they are just 1-4 in their last five games where they faced a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. They have also lost nine of their last twelve games where they faced a team with a winning % of .400 or lower and they are an awful 5-17 in their last 22 games following a win. We don?t want to take the Royals to win outright here because they aren?t any good either but we?re comfortable laying a bit of juice to take them +1.5 runs in this one. At some point Bartolo Colon has to come back to earth and we think there?s a chance that the Royals get to him a bit this afternoon in what is going to be a hot day in Arlington.
3 Unit Play. Take #916 Detroit Tigers -120 over Chicago White Sox (4:10 PM, Saturday, May 26)
The Tigers have posted a 4-1 record in their last five home games and they have that same 4-1 record in their last five games when facing a team that allowed five runs or more in their previous contest. They have also won six of their last eight games played on a Saturday for whatever reason and they are an impressive 7-3 in their last ten home games versus a team with a road winning % of .400 or lower. The White Sox, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here today as they have gone just 10-26 in their last 36 games where they faced a lefty starter and they are an awful 14-37 in Game #2?s of a series. They have also lost six of Santiago?s last seven starts where he faced a team with a losing record and they are just 1-10 when he starts following a team loss in their previous game. Throw in the fact that the Tigers are an insane 50-20 in their last 70 home games against the Sox and we?re going to lay the short price with them here to get the home win in Detroit on Saturday afternoon.
4 Unit Play. Take #917 Baltimore Orioles +130 over Tampa Bay Rays (4:10 PM, Saturday, May 26)
3 Unit Play. Take #917/918 Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Under 8.5 -115
The Orioles have posted a 7-2 record in their last nine games where they faced a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher and they have gone an excellent 8-3 in their last eleven games versus a team with a losing record. The Rays, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here today as they have gone just 1-4 in their last five games where they faced an AL East rival and they have lost 17 of their last 25 games following a loss. Throw in the fact that the Rays are also an awful 1-6 in their last seven home games and that they are doing this dumb thing where they are starting relievers and we?re taking the O?s at the underdog price to get the road win in Tampa on Saturday afternoon.
4 Unit Play. Take #922 Cleveland Indians -105 over Houston Astros (7:15 PM, Saturday, May 26)
The Indians have posted a 5-2 record in their last seven games following a loss and they have gone an excellent 7-3 in their last ten games after losing the first two games of a series. They have also won twelve of Carrasco?s last sixteen home starts and they are a perfect 7-0 in his last seven starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Astros, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone just 2-6 in McCullers? last eight starts where he faced a team with a losing record. Throw in the fact that the Indians are 17-6 in their last 23 Game #?s of a series along with the fact that they have won 46 of their last 67 home games going back to the 2017 season and we?re going to take them at the pickem or so price here to get the home win in Cleveland on Saturday night.
3 Unit Play. Take #923 Minnesota Twins +110 over Seattle Mariners (10:10 PM, Saturday, May 26)
The Twins have posted a 7-3 record in their last ten road games and they are a perfect 4-0 in Odorizzi?s last four starts where he went in Game #2 of a series. The Mariners have been playing decent ball of late but they have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have lost nine of their last thirteen home games against the Twins. Throw in the fact that we think the pitching match-up favors Odorizzi (five start unbeaten streak) over Leblanc and we?re taking Minnesota at the small underdog price to get the road win in Seattle on Saturday night.
3 Unit Play. Take #926 Boston Red Sox -130 over Atlanta Braves (1:05 PM, Saturday, May 26)
The Red Sox have posted a perfect 6-0 record in their last six interleague games where they faced a team with a winning record and they have gone an excellent 7-2 in their last nine interleague games where they faced a lefty starter. They have also won 24 of their last 24 games following a win and they are an impressive 45-15 in their last 60 home games versus a team from the NL. The Braves, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here today as they have lost seven of their last ten games versus a team with a winning record and they are an awful 8-17 in their last 25 Game #2?s of a series. Throw in the fact that the Sox are 24-8 in the last 32 head to head meetings between the two teams and we?re going to lay the short price with them here to get the home win in Boston on Saturday afternoon.
4 Unit Play. Take #928 Philadelphia Phillies -190 over Toronto Blue Jays (4:05 PM, Saturday, May 26)
3 Unit Play. Take #927/928 Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies Under 8.5 +100
The Phillies have posted a 5-1 record in their last six games where they faced a team from the AL East and they have that same 5-1 record in their last six games versus a team that scored five runs or more in their previous contest. They have also won 18 of their last 24 games where they faced a lefty starter and they are an impressive 22-9 in their last 31 home games. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, have been struggling a bit in the spot they are in here today as they have gone just 2-5 in their last seven Game #2?s of a series and they are just 3-7 in their last ten versus a team with a winning record. They have also lost seven straight games following a game where they scored five runs or more and they are an awful 3-9 in their last twelve overall. Throw in the fact that the Phillies are 13-3 in Nola?s last sixteen home starts while the Jays are 0-7 off a win and we?re going to lay the big price here with the Phillies to get the home win on Saturday afternoon.
2 Unit Plays
2 Unit Play. Take #903 New York Mets +135 over Milwaukee Brewers (4:10 PM, Saturday, May 26)
2 Unit Play. Take #906 Miami Marlins +140 over Washington Nationals (4:10 PM, Saturday, May 26)
2 Unit Play. Take #909 Cincinnati Reds +140 over Colorado Rockies (9:10 PM, Saturday, May 26)
2 Unit Play. Take #919 Los Angeles Angels +150 over New York Yankees (7:15 Pm, Saturday, May 26)
2 Unit Play. Take #929 Arizona Diamondbacks +155 over Oakland A?s (4:05 PM, Saturday, May 26)
Mike Davis
4-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 8.5 Baltimore at Tampa Bay (Saturday, May 26th at 4:10 p.m)Short and simple write up:
It's rare for me to come back with the same play the day after I lost with a game. However, I can see this game being high scoring as Tampa Bay continues to use their bullpen as their starting pitcher and beyond. Cashner is on the mound for Baltimore and he isn't terrible but he isn't a lock down pitcher that will keep a team scoreless. I look for the Tampa Bay offense to wake up against him and I look for Baltimore to hit the bullpen of the Rays today. The O's have an explosive offense and I really see them scoring some runs today.
I will keep a close eye on this game as Tampa Bay will use the same strategy again tomorrow.
Take Over
Best of luck -- Mike
Allen Eastman
7-Unit Play. Take #914 Texas (-1.5, +140) over Kansas City (4 p.m., Saturday, May 26)Bartolo Colon keeps defying the odds. He is 45 years old but he is still having an excellent season. He has a 3.51 ERA and has been giving the Rangers a lot of quality innings. Ian Kennedy has been the opposite for the Royals. He has a 5.30 ERA on the year and a 10.91 ERA in his last three starts, all losses. The Royals are just 3-7 in Kennedy?s last 10 starts. Kansas City is just 17-35 in its last 52 games overall. The Rangers have had a lot of success against the Royals. They won yesterday and now Texas is 16-5 in their last 21 games against Kansas City. The Rangers are also 35-16 at home against the Royals in the last 51 meetings. I think Colon will keep it going and I look for a blowout win here with a lot of value on the runline.
Allen Eastman
Strike Point Sports
3-Unit Play. Take Under 8 Houston at Cleveland (7:15 p.m. Saturday, May 26)Cleveland has struggled all season long to string together solid performances and they just can't seem to get into a rhythm. Fortunately for the Indians, no other team in the American League Central has been playing good baseball either as every team in the division has a record under .500. Facing Lance McCullers isn't going to help them as he has pitched very well for Houston this season. McCullers is 6-2 with a 3.20 ERA through 10 starts this season and he shut out the Indians over 7 innings on one hit while striking out 8 less than a week ago. Carlos Carrasco squared off and took the loss against McCullers but he has 24 strikeouts over his last three starts and I think he will be able to limit the Astros in this contest. Houston has taken the first two games of this series scoring 19 runs but I think this game will be a low scoring affair.
Best of Luck - Strike Point Sports
Jason Sharpe
Saturday May 26th 2018-3 Unit Play Take #925 Atlanta +115 over Boston (1:05pm est):
The Atlanta Braves have been one of the surprise teams in MLB this season as they sit atop 1st place in the NL East division at 29-20 overall. One of the big reasons for their good start to the year has to do with today's starter lefty Sean Newcomb. The soon to be 25 year-old 1st round draft pick has been sensational early on with a 2.39 ERA on the year. Newcomb faces a Red Sox offense here that ranks near the bottom of the league this year against LHP.
Boston counters with lefty Drew Pomeranz in this one. Pomeranz has been a wreck early on this year with an ugly ERA near 6.00 in his six starts overall. He will face a Braves lineup here that's ranked 1st in MLB against LHP in wRC+. The National League has owned the American League so far this season also in head to head games. Wrong team is favored in this one.
Take Atlanta here.
Thank you and good luck,
Jason Sharpe
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