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Last Week's Expert College Football Picks From Our Handicappers.
Just so the public knows we are always transparent and honest with our reporting, in this spot we will list all of the previous college football pick released with analysis.
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Doc's Sports2 Unit Play. Take #306 Washington Huskies +10 over Oregon Ducks (8p.m., Friday, December 1 ABC) PAC 12 CHAMPIONSHP GAME All the value is now with Washington, as this line skyrocketed over the weekend with the performance Washington had in the Apple Cup. People are lining up to bet Oregon, and this line is just too high in my opinion. Washington already beat Oregon once this season, and they have a fully capable quarterback that can match Bo Nix stat for stat. The Huskies have the motivation to play well since they will be hearing all week that they do not have any chance to win this game. Washington has a long winning streak, and many of their games stay under the posted total, allowing a strong play with a live underdog. Oregon does not have many quality wins this season, they just pass the eye test. That will not be enough to blow out Washington.
4 Unit Play. Take #313 Boise State Broncos -2.5 over UNLV Rebels (3p.m., Saturday, December 2 FOX) MOUNTAIN WEST CHAMPIONSHIP GAME Who would have believed at the start of that UNLV would be hosting the Mountain West Championship Game! Now they get to face the best team in the league since they joined the Mountain West, and look for Boise State to finish the season with 4 straight wins. The Broncos have seen much improvement since making a coaching change, and UNLV is coming off a bad home loss to San Jose State last time out. UNLV has overachieved much of the season, but look for them to come back to reality on Saturday.
6 Unit Play. Take #318 Alabama Crimson Tide +5.5 over Georgia Bulldogs (4p.m., Saturday, December 2 CBS) SEC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME This likely will be a winner take all game, as Alabama looks to unseat Georgia for the second time in the last 3 SEC Championship games. Alabama was fortunate to survive last week against Auburn, but I believe they will take that momentum into this game. I believe Alabama has the better quarterback in this game, as Jalen Milroe can beat you with his arm or his legs. Alabama’s offensive line has been playing much better of late, and I just believe Georgia lost too much talent from last year to run the table in 2023 without suffering a loss. Georgia has played an easy schedule this season without having to face Oklahoma in the nonconference portion of the season, and they will hit adversity in this game. Alabama has won 7 of the last 8 games in this matchup, and they will win and march onto the College Football Playoff.
Robert FerringoFRIDAY COLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTION
1-Unit Play. Take #307 New Mexico State (+11.5) over Liberty (7 p.m., Friday, Dec. 1)
NMSU has covered the spread in every game but one this year. So, sure, let’s grab this bucket-full of points. I always like to bet against mid-major teams like Liberty that crack the Top 25. Liberty isn’t one of the 25 best teams in the country. And that number next to their name puts a big bull’s eye on them. Liberty is going to pound the ball on the ground. NMSU has a Top 35 rushing defense, though, and they have already seen this Liberty offense once this year in a 33-17 loss. NMSU only lost by 16 here in the first meeting. They also went into Auburn and beat the Tigers two weeks ago. I think they can keep this one competitive and make the points stand up in a one-score loss.
SATURDAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTION
2-Unit Play. Take #309 Oklahoma State (+15) over Texas (Noon, Saturday, Dec. 2)
All the pressure is on Texas here. And I don’t trust Steve Sarkisian further than I can bowl him. Sure, this team is coming off a 50-point win last week. That was at home against Texas Tech. Big deal. Mike Gundy has been pulling off upsets as a double-digit underdog for over a decade. And while I don’t think that will be the case here I do think he will have some tricks up his sleeve to make this a game. Underdogs always seem to jump up and bite in the Big 12 championship game and when I look at Texas I don’t see the type of dominating team that can just step on the field and pump out a three-touchdown win over a decent opponent. Go Gundy.
2-Unit Play. Take #311 Miami, OH (+8) over Toledo (Noon, Saturday, Dec. 2)
The underdog always seems to have a good day in the MAC Championship. I don’t see this one being any different. This is a big revenge spot for the Redhawks. Not only did they lose to Toledo (21-17) on Oct. 21, but Toledo knocked out star quarterback Brett Gabbert for the season in that game. That loss at QB did not knock Miami off track, though, as they rolled to four straight wins after that game. Miami is 8-2 ATS and has been undervalued all season. They have been excellent in the underdog role over the last three years and I think they can pull an upset here over a Toledo team that has won six of its last 10 games by one score or less.
1-Unit Play. Take #314 UNLV (+2.5) over Boise State (3 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 2)
I’ll go with the home team. The Rebels are having a dream season. Why not cap it with a conference championship against the team that put Mountain West football on the map? Boise State has won its last two games since firing its head coach. You still have to wonder where this team’s head is at. They have been shaky most of this season and their late-season run came due to A) weak competition and B) getting their only tough opponents in Boise. The Rebels are kind of playing with house money here. I
3-Unit Play. Take #316 Tulane (-3.5) over SMU (4 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 2)
The public is all over SMU in this one. I’m going to back Willie Fritz. Tulane has been outstanding over the last two years, including their incredible run during last regular season and their win over USC in a bowl game. Their only loss this season was to a Top 15 Ole Miss team, and the Green Wave were only down three points with five minutes to play in that game. SMU has been bombing the nobodies on their schedule. And I know they will probably rally around their backup quarterback. But the Green Wave have been excellent for two years and while the public is loading up on the Mustangs I’m going to go the other way.
2-Unit Play. Take #317 Georgia (-5.5) over Alabama (4 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 2)
I’ve been betting against Georgia most of this season (to great effect). And I also predicted that they would lose in the SEC Championship Game against whomever came out of the West. So why am I going the other way in this one? Because this spread should still be closer to 10.0 than what it is and the value is on the Dawgs. Georgia has won 29 straight games. 29! Why wouldn’t they beat Bama? What are Alabama’s big wins this year? They barely beat Auburn last week. They beat Tennessee by 14 points at home and Georgia beat the Vols by 28 on the road. Alabama beat Ole Miss by 14 points at home. Georgia beat them by 35. The Bulldogs were also more impressive against another common opponent, Kentucky. Georgia is playing in its backyard and the reality is that UGA has passed Alabama as a program. They have better players and a better quarterback and should show it here on Saturday.
Arun Shiva (Indian Cowboy)7-Unit Play. #305. Take Oregon -9.5 over Washington (Friday @ 8pm est)
This is a great opportunity for revenge here for Oregon. You have a team that lost back to back games to Washington now, one of the best public fades on the board and Oregon actually out rushed this team last time 200 to 100 and still ended up losing. But, Dan Lanning's team has only gotten stronger since the season started and if you looked at the way Washington finished, they have been stumbilng a bit to the finish line. Look for Oregon to get after it big time here and the bigger the blowout the better it is for this squad as there is a reason why they are such heavy favorites and this is more on neutral footing as well so you can take away the home field advantage. Oregon has double revenge and will come into this game highly motivated as Lanning would love nothing more than another shot at Georgia which he will have much better success at this time around. We get a thrilling game quite frankly with two Heisman candidates and the two best passing attacks in the country. Washington won the regular-season meeting 36-33 at home on Oct. 14, and are almost a double digit dog here and we think it is for good reason as Oregon has won six straight since then, and Washington has gotten lucky in their last three games winning by one possession in each game, and could have lost at least two of those. Meanwhile Oregon has steamrolled Oregon St and Utah, two of the same teams Washington struggled against. Let's roll with the Ducks to lay the hammer in the final PAC Championship game in history.
4-Unit Play. #317. Take Georgia -5.5 over Alabama (Saturday @ 4pm est)
We roll with Georgia here as they beat Alabama relatively handily last year and I think with Alabama coming off such an exciting and improbable win against Auburn juxtaposed with the fact that Georgia could not have played any worse against Georgia Tech and it makes for a fantastic opportunity for Georgia to do quite well against Alabama here. This is a decent public fade, and Georgia has stepped up consistently against top level competition when it has mattered and this is when Georgia steps up big here after a terrible week last week as I see them getting up big time for Alabama and having success. The ‘Milroe Miracle,' was a fantastic finish last week, but we think it all comes to an end for my Crimson Tide here as Georgia is just simply the better team. Georgia is known for their defense but also rank eighth in scoring offense at 39.6 ppg and sixth in total offense at 496.4 ypg. Georgia did win this game head to head last year but remember, Alabama had won the prior seven times before that, so Georgia remembers and will show up here and we think they dominate from start to finish.
4-Unit Play. #321. Take Louisville +1.5 over FSU (Saturday @ 8pm est)
Louisville has consistently done well all year long coached by Jeff Brohm and with FSU so banged up and with the whole world rooting against FSU, it's only a matter of time with Louisville coming off a loss last week looking ahead to this game and the fact they have revenge against FSU and FSU had its issues against Florida, look for Louisville to win and win comfortably possibly here against FSU as they will be outcoached by Louisville and frankly outmanned in the QB position as well. FSU controls their own destiny here but we think Louisville can spoil the party, and possibly win this game outright. No Jordan Travis here and you get Tate Rodemaker who went just 12-for-25 for 134 yards last week vs Florida, and we think FSU struggles vs Louisville as the Cardinals only give up 314 ypg so it will not be an easy task to move the ball against them. Also keep in mind Louisville scores 440 ypg on offense so we like Louisville here and we think they can possibly win this game outright.
4-Unit Play. #320. Take Troy -5 over Appalachian State (Saturday @ 4pm est)
Troy has double revenge and is the better team honestly. This Troy team from Alabama is talented. This team only lost to James Madison by 2 and has played the likes of Kansas State and others this year and will not be intimidated coming in. Appalachian State has won five consecutive games since ending a mid-season two-game losing streak, while Troy has won nine straight contests. We like Troy to do well as they are at home and are 4-1 at Veterans Memorial Stadium this season. They are also 7-3 ATS on the season, and App St has won this contest head to head the last five times, so the coaches and boosters will be letting this Trojan team know about it all week and we think Troy shows up here, does quite well and we like them to win by 7 or more.
Raphael Esparza (VSI)COLLEGE FOOTBALL CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP
4 Unit Play. Take #306 Washington +9.5 over Oregon (8:00p.m., Friday December 1 ABC)
This PAC-12 Championship game could go down as the best Conference Championship game of the weekend. Saturday October 14 in Washington the Huskies beat the Ducks 36-33 and Oregon has redemption on their minds. Washington is a perfect 12-0 but lately they have struggled to cover games. In their last 8 games they are 2-6 ATS but Friday night in Sin City they keep this game close for all 4-Quarters. I do see the Ducks giving the Huskies their first loss of the season but they do get the cover as I see Oregon winning between 4-6 points.
3 Unit Play. Take #311 Miami Oh +8 over Toledo (12:00p.m., Saturday December 2 ESPN)
A big number for the MAC Championship and I see the Toledo Rockets winning but not covering. The Miami Oh RedHawks are 7-1 ATS coming off an ATS loss and wouldn’t shock me to see the RedHawks lose by a touchdown.
6 Unit Play. Take #322 Florida St -2.5 over Louisville (8:00p.m., Saturday December 2 ABC)
Defense wins Championships and defense is the reason why the Seminoles will stay perfect and give the committee headaches. Florida St had no issue going to the swamp and beating Florida last week winning 24-15 and held the Gators in the second half to only 3-points. Louisville is coming off a horrible home loss to Kentucky last week and I see the Cardinals offense having issues scoring Saturday night. Florida St is 4-1 ATS against conference opponents and the Seminoles have won 12-Straight games.
Tony GeorgeCollege Football
#307 / #308 New Mexico State / Liberty (UNDER 56.5) *7 EST
I like Jerry Kill’ and his New Mexico State defense in this one. Liberty is well coached as well, but New Mexico States defense held Auburn to just 10 points in a road win 2 weeks ago. That is unreal. Liberty allows only 21 points and is no slouch on defense either, NMS allows just 19 ppg. I think this is a lower scoring game than 56. Championship games sometimes see teams struggling out of the gate on offense with so much on the line. Liberty is capable of covering this 10+ point spread but NMS is tough against the run and that is what Liberty likes to do. I will play the Under here.
College Football - Saturday
6 Units – SEC Championship
#317 Georgia (-5.5) vs Alabama *4 EST
Plain and simple. Georgia has been the best CFB team in the land for almost 3 years. They are vastly better on offense than anyone thinks (and better than Bama), their QB is rock solid, and they have playmakers all over the field. I have them a TD+ better in this one. Alabama will no doubt be a challenge because the Bulldog defense is not as dominant as in years past, but at days end Bama’s struggles against South Florida, a near loss to Arkansas, should have lost to Auburn, and struggles against a bad Texas AM team not to mention a double-digit home loss to Texas where they were pummeled, simply cannot be ignored. Nick Sabin or not, Georgia is a TD better and Kirby Smart will have his troops ready after a lackluster performance against GT last week.
3 Units – Mountain West Championship
#313 Boise State MONEYLINE (-140) vs UNLV *3 EST
UNLV and the weak schedule they have played has started to rear its ugly head. Boise has played a much tougher schedule and are peaking at the right time as UNLV simply has issues with real physical teams. Boise St RB Jeanty may be one of the best RB’s in the nation and can hurt you on the ground as well as catching passes. I expect him to make a few big plays and be the difference. San Jose State took it to UNLV last week, I was at the game and I saw numerous flaws for UNLV that Boise can exploit. That game was not as close as the score would indicate. Hard to imagine firing your coach mid-season and ending up here, but Boise has been in this game 7 out of the last 11 years and lost last year in this very game to Fresno St and they have numerous players who remember that sting well. No doubt Barry Odom, who just got MW Coach of the Year the other day has done wonders with UNLV but I do not like them here even at home. Take the 2.5 points out of it play the moneyline.
4 Units – American Athletic Conference Championship
#316 Tulane (-3.5) vs SMU *4 EST
QB Stone is out for SMU, and when your starting QB is out, that is an automatic 3 point downgrade. In a conference championship that is a huge deal this deep into a season. The last 8 times SMU has been an underdog they are 1-7 ATS and they did not win a single game outright (0-8 SU).
Tulane’s lone loss was to Ol Miss in a game where they blew a huge lead at halftime, other than that they have won every game. Ol Miss is a Top 12 team. Last year this was a 59-24 Tulane win. I do think SMU is capable of hanging around and have closed the gap a bit here (from last year’s score) but losing a stud QB is hard to overcome. Tulane is not the same team as last year when they beat USC in a bowl game, but I think they are 6 to 8 points better here and the AAC Championship game has been won and covered by the favorite in each of the last 6 years.
Vernon Croy6-Unit Play – #305 Oregon -9.5-110 over Washington (Friday, December 1, 2023, 8:00 PM)
Take Oregon ATS as my top college football pick for Friday night. This pick falls into one my top college football systems and I would not be shocked to see Oregon winning this game by plus points in Vegas here Friday night. This is an Oregon team that is firing on all cylinders at the right time meanwhile Washington barely got past Washington State, Oregon State and Utah in their last 3 games. Yes, Washington beat Oregon back on October 14 in a game I believe they had no business winning as Oregon put up 541 total yards in that game including 204 rushing yards and 337 passing yards but some bad breaks cost them. Oregon has averaged 39.4 points per game on the road this season and 503.6 yards per game holding opponents to just 18.2 points per game against them and they have completed 78.4% of their passes this season averaging 353 passing yards per game. Oregon has allowed just 93 rushing yards per game and 3.3 yards per run this season with opponents also completing just 58.7% of their passes against them. Play Oregon ATS
4-Unit Play – #321-322 Louisville/Florida State GAME TOTAL UNDER 47.5-110 (Saturday, December 2, 2023, 8:00 PM)
Take Louisville/Florida State GAME TOTAL UNDER as my top college football pick for Saturday night. This pick falls into one my top college football systems and I expect a low-scoring game here given the way these 2 teams match up against each other. This is a Florida State team that has allowed just 16 points per game and 264 yards per game over their last 3 games and Louisville has allowed just 20 points per game and 317 yards per game this season. Florida State has also allowed just 17 points per game against conference opponents this season and opponents have completed just 47.7% of their passes against them this season. Louisville has allowed just 99 rushing yards per game this season and 3.4 yards per run opponents completing just 55.2% of their passes against them. Play the UNDER
Scott Spreitzer2-Unit Play: Take 306 Under 66 Oregon-Washington (8 p.m., Friday, Dec. 1)
Washington won the regular season meeting, 36-33 but it did look like Oregon was the better team. That meeting was so close to staying under. The Ducks led 33-29 with two minutes to go in the game and had the ball at the Washington 47. Oregon went for it on 4th down rather than punting and got stopped. UW then scored the game's final points with 90-seconds to go in the game. Washington's offense has slowed down of late, gaining 528 yards on just 5.2 yards per play the last two games. Oregon games haven't topped this total the last three weeks and the defense has improved over the course of the season. The Ducks held their last three opp's to 79 yards rushing on 3.6 per carry and 323 total yards per game on 5.3 per play. I'm playing the Under between Oregon & Washington. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
2-Unit Play: Take 314 Over 59 Boise St.-UNLV (3 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 2
I was at the UNLV game last week and watched the secondary get destroyed by San Jose State. I also watched the Rebels miss a ton of tackles, hitting ball carriers but not wrapping up and SJSU broke attempted tackle after tackle. Boise State fired HC Andy Avalos and since then are 3-0 and scoring nearly 40 ppg. They have a RB averaging over 6 yards per carry. UNLV is middle of the pack against the run and bad against the pass. Boise State is solid against the run so UNLV must go up top where the Broncos' defense is horrible. The game is being played indoors at Allegiant Stadium. It's a fast-track, using their own carpet rather than the Raiders natural grass field at the same stadium. I'm playing the Over between Boise & UNLV on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
5-Unit Play: Take 323 Michigan -21.5 over Iowa (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 2)
Iowa's offense ranks 126th in net points per drive. They're all defense. However, their defensive stats were built against a very soft schedule and in their one step-up game, they were whipped 31-0 by Penn State. Last week, the Hawkeyes' offense did absolutely nothing (again) after halftime, gaining 57 yards and two first downs. QB Deacon Hill completed just 11 of 28 passes for 94 yards and an INT. The Wolverines are #5 in offensive points per drive and #1 in defensive points per drive. Michigan beat Iowa 42-3 in the conference championship two years ago. That was a very good Iowa defense that wilted without help from its offense. And by the way, that Iowa offense was much better than this version. The only way Iowa hangs around is if U-M isn't focused. They've been focused all season, they have a chip on their shoulder, and I'm betting they remain focused. I'm laying the points with Michigan on Saturday night. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Doug Upstone3 Unit Play. Take UNDER 66 #305-06 Oregon vs. Washington (8:00 p.m., ET Friday, December 1)
I think the Pac-12 title game will be a more defensive contest than the earlier confrontation. I’m not thinking Iowa low, just more defensive stops than most realize. Oregon is #7 nationally in points allowed and #15 in total defense, quite a feat in league with several quality QBs. Washington’s offense was slowed late in the season, averaging 27 PPG in their last three contests, compared to 41.6 PPG in the first nine contests. I’ll say these combatants reach 60 points and nothing further with enough defense played.
3 Unit Play. Take #311 Miami-O +8 over Toledo (12:00 p.m., ET Saturday, December 2)
The MAC championship is a rematch from earlier this season which was won by Toledo 21-17 as two-point road favorites. The Rockets are this big a favorite mostly because Miami-O QB Brett Gabbert is out for the season making the RedHawks more of a running offense. However, this spread does seem a bit large for a team in a strong revenge spot. MAC title game underdogs are 15-6-2 ATS, including 13-2-2 ATS versus foes coming off consecutive wins. Under coach Martin, Miami is 21-5 ATS as a pooch after a spread loser in last outing, which includes eight straight covers.
3 Unit Play. Take #316 Tulane -3.5 over SMU (4:00 p.m., ET Saturday, December 2)
Though Tulane has a better record this season compared to last year (11-1 vs. 10-2) when they reached the AAC championship game, this is a different squad. Last year’s offense was more explosive in averaging 36 PPG compared to the 28 PPG this season. At the same time, the defense has improved from 22 PPG to 18.3 PPG in 2023. SMU probably has a better overall team than the Green Wave but losing QB Preston Stone with a broken his fibula last week is immense. I understand backup Kevin Jennings saw time in many of the Mustangs blowouts, but this is starting on the road in a massive matchup against a good defense. I think this really matters and Tulane is also 7-0 ATS in home games vs. teams scoring 37 or more PPG.
6 Unit Play. Take #320 Troy -5 over App. State (4:00 p.m., ET Saturday, December 2)
Appalachian State comes into the Sun Belt title game hot, winners of five in a row, covering the spread in the last four. Among those victories was beating James Madison on the road a couple of weeks ago. Troy has been solid all year at 10-2 and has rattled off nine consecutive victories and covered the numbers seven times. App. State has had Troy’s number in the last four years, winning and covering each time. However, this is a different Trojans squad that ranks #10 in points allowed and is #12 in total defense. Troy won the conference title a year ago and is 10-2 ATS after four or more consecutive straight up wins and is 8-1 ATS playing against a team with a winning record.
August Young4-Unit CFB: (305) Oregon -9.5 -110 over Washington (12/01/2023 @ 8:00PM ET) The MSM and overall narrative is confused by this line, but we're all about it and believe we could see a blowout. The Huskies are vastly over-rated based on the fact that they are undefeated at 12-0 and have already beaten Oregon earlier in the year. However; the Ducks should have won that game based on predictive analysis, and are much better since then, especially on the defensive end. Michael Pennix Jr. hasn't performed too great the past few weeks, and he'll need another outstanding performance to keep this within single digits, and we're not sure he has it in him at this point. Oregon have the clear motivational edge with the revenge factor, and the possibility of needing margin for the playoffs.
6-Unit CFB: (321) Louisville +115 [ML] over Florida State (12/02/2023 @ 8:00PM ET) We cashed in with our 8-Unit Season Win Total Future with FSU, but things have changed drastically with this team since the Jordan Travis injury. This is still an elite team at multiple key positions, but this is a big spotlight situation for Tate Rodemaker. We understand this kid was highly touted out of high-school and is undoubtedly a good QB, but reps and multiple full game situations are required before settling in. Louisville have been very good this season going 10-2 SU, and finished the season with some big wins over the likes of both Miami and Notre Dame. There are far too many question marks with FSU without Jordan Travis, and our numbers show value on Louisville as plus money underdogs. We'll take them on the ML here.
Strike Point SportsCFB Plays:
4-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 55 Oklahoma State vs. Texas (Noon, Saturday, Dec. 3)
3-Unit Play. Take #309 Oklahoma State (+15.5) over Texas (Noon, Saturday, Dec. 3)
This is an odd spot for Texas. Yes, they need to win to have a shot at the College Football Playoff, but they don't necessarily need to blow out Oklahoma State as teams above them play against each other. Texas can coast and win this game by 7-9 points and the points will hold up. This game is going to be a shootout with both teams taking shots at each other throughout the game. If this was a night game I could see Texas running Oklahoma State off the field, but the noon kickoff doesn't do the Longhorns any favors. This is a big spot for the Cowboys as they want to win in a bad way to become Big 12 champs. They will give the Longhorns their best punch and keep this game within double-figures. Take the points and the 'over' here as Texas wins 34-30 but the Cowboys cover and hit the over.
6-Unit Play. Take #319 Appalachian State (+6) over Troy (4 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 3)
Yes, Troy will play a strong defensive game but App State's offense is plenty good enough to keep them within the number and actually win this game outright. The Mountaineers have won five straight games and are playing some of their best football of the season. Troy is only 3-2 ATS in the five games they have been favored this season and App State will be the most difficult of those games. The other side of the coin favors App State as they are 3-0-1 ATS in the four games where they have been underdogs. In the end the Mountaineer offense will make enough plays against that Troy defense and the fact that they will slow down Troy's rushing attack enough will cover this line, and as we said possibly win this game outright.
Saturday December 2nd 2023-
Sun Belt Conference Championship Game
5 Unit Play Take #319 Appalachian State +5 over Troy (4:00pm est):
Appalachian State is playing it's best football of the season coming into this game winners of five straight and having covered the spread in four in a row. The Mountaineers looked to have figured some things out on the offensive side of the football as they averaged more than 40 points per game in those last five contests. App State won't be intimidated in this one being on the road either as they went toe to toe earlier this year in one of the hardest places to play in all of CFB (Wyoming) losing by a field goal and they also lost in overtime on the road against a solid power five team at North Carolina as well. Troy caught a ton of break this year. They didn't play another Sun Belt team who had a winning conference record this year besides James Madison and they lost that game at home. In their next toughest conference tilt they went up against South Alabama again at home and USA was without their starting quarterback in that contest.
Play Appalachian State plus the points.
Mountain West Conference Championship Game
4 Unit Play Take #313 Boise State -2.5 over UNLV (3:00pm est):
UNLV has been a great story this year as they came out of nowhere to go 9-3 overall on the season but they are overrated now because of that. The Rebels only faced 4 of the top 7 teams in the Mountain West Conference this year and they went just 2-2 in those games with one of those victories against an Air Force team that was missing it's starting quarterback while Boise State went 4-1 against that same group of teams. The big difference between these two teams in the conference schedule was the fact Boise State only got to play one game against the terrible trio of Hawaii, New Mexico and Nevada while UNLV got to play all three of those creampuffs. Both of these two teams did face off against one of the handful of remaining undefeated CFB teams very early in the season and they were buried in those games but Boise State also had to face a couple of other solid legit programs in UCF and at Memphis and they lost by just three points or less in those two games. While UNLV barely beat a bad Vanderbilt team by a field goal and were at home and that was due mostly to the fact their opponent turned the football over four times (three fumbles) in the tight win.
Take Boise State in this one.
3 Unit Play Take #317 Georgia -4.5 over Alabama (4:00pm est):
(-4.5 is at Bookmaker and Westgate Super Book)
I've been making my own college football numbers for a long time and this is easily the worst Alabama team I've seen during this time. The Crimson Tide were pounded by Texas at home earlier this season, they barely beat a bad South Florida team and had three wins by less than a touchdown against conference foes who finished .500 or worse this season in SEC play. Georgia comes into this game 29-1 in conference play their last 30 games and just as impressive is the fact all but one of those games were by more than the point spread in this contest. The Bulldogs are the better team and this is a cheap price on them.
Lay the number on Georgia in this contest.
Griffin Murphy6 Unit Play - Take #312 Tulane (-3.5) Over SMU. (4:00p.m, Saturday, December 2nd)
Tulane enters this game 11-1 on the season and has won 10 straight games. SMU is 10-2 on the season and has won eight consecutive games. This season, Tulane is 6-1 at home, and SMU is 4-2 on the road. Tulane's lone home loss occurred against Ole Miss in week 2, when the game ended 37-20. Tulane excels on both the offensive and defensive sides of the ball. Tulane currently ranks 63rd in the nation with an offensive rating of 27.9 points per game. SMU is averaging 41.8 points per game on offense, with their offense centered on their pass game. Tulane is presently ranked 11th in the nation in rushing defense, allowing only 86 yards per game. Tulane will exert pressure in the backfield throughout the game, anticipating that SMU will have no time in the pocket to throw. SMU is 68th in the nation on the ground offensively, so Tulane's formidable defense will be put to the test. SMU is coming off a convincing victory against a lethargic Navy team. The fact that this club is facing No. 22 Tulane in this game will come as a bit of a shock to them. Tulane could start hot, especially with home field advantage, but SMU is battling with some significant offensive injuries.
Take #312 Tulane (-3.5) Over SMU.
Expert College Football Picks History:
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