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Last Weeks Expert College Football Picks from our handicappers.
Just so the public knows we are always transparent and honest with our reporting, in this spot we will list all of the previous weeks college football picks and analysis.
This page will be updated each Thursday at 5AM Eastern.
Thursday 1st of November 2018
Doc's Sports
3 Unit Play. Take #329 Georgia Bulldogs -9 over Kentucky Wildcats (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 3 CBS) Kentucky has been winning games with smoke and mirrors and expect that to come to an end today in Lexington. Georgia has an explosive offense and Kentucky will not be able to keep pace with them for 60 minutes.
4 Unit Play. Take #338 Florida Gators -6 over Missouri Tigers (4p.m., Saturday, November 3 SECN) Expect Florida to bounce back in a big way after losing to Georgia last Saturday in Jacksonville. The Tigers have trouble when playing conference opponents (0-4) and have trouble moving the football against teams with speed on defense. The Gators have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games. The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 SEC games. Florida jumps on them early and wins this game by double digits.
4 Unit Play. Take #347 Michigan State Spartans -2.5 over Maryland Terrapins (12p.m., Saturday, November 3 ESPN 2) The Spartans have the defense that can contain the Terrapins, and they become bowl eligible after a victory on Saturday. Maryland is 3-19 ATS in their last 22 games following a victory in their previous game. QB Rocky Lombardi appeared to give the Spartans life on offense last week, and look for that to continue this Saturday. This game comes down to the fact that Michigan State is great at stopping the run, and if that holds true again they will win this game going away. Maryland is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record.
3 Unit Play. Take #349 Oklahoma Sooners -13.5 over Texas Tech Red Raiders (8p.m., Saturday, November 3 ABC) The Sooners are starting to turn it on and put up 702 total yards against Kansas State last Saturday. They will not be able to fully shut down the Red Raiders in this game, but I truly believe they will outscore them and win this game by double digits. Oklahoma has played two great games after losing to Texas, and they have scored 53.5 points per game over their last 4. The Sooners have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games played in November.
7 Unit Play. Take #377 Georgia Southern Eagles -7.5 over ULM Warhawks (3p.m., Saturday, November 3 ESPN 3) TOP COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAY OF THE WEEK. The Eagles continue to cover spread (7-1 ATS run), and the oddsmakers cannot get a handle on the talent they have. They will enter this game having won five straight games and have been controlling the time of possession in nearly every game that they play. Georgia Southern has beaten ULM all three times they have faced each other as conference opponents. This selection is simple, ULM has trouble stopping the run and Georgia Southern is an outstanding triple-option team. The Warhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. The Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played in the month of November.
3 Unit Play. Take #382 Oregon Ducks -10 over UCLA Bruins (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 3 FOX) The Chip Kelly game takes place Saturday afternoon in Eugene, OR. The Ducks laid an egg last week in Tucson and need to bounce back in a big way against an inferior opponent. UCLA is in full rebuild mode, and they will enter this game having lost 10 of their last 11 conference road games by an average of 16 points per game. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between UCLA and Oregon. Many fans are still skeptical about Mario Cristobal, and this can be his chance for a statement win against a former coach that has great success with Oregon.
3 Unit Play. Take #420 LSU Tigers +14.5 over Alabama Crimson Tide (8p.m., Saturday, November 3 CBS) Just too many points for Alabama to be giving on the road against a team full of athletes on defense. It will be important that LSU not beat themselves in this game with turnovers and special teams. Coach Orgeron is 15-4 in SEC games, and this is likely the only chance Alabama has to lose a game during the regular season. There is just something special about night games in Baton Rouge, and the fans will be into the game from the start. Alabama is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of November. LSU is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games.
Robert Ferringo
THURSDAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTIONS
7-Unit Play. Take #313 Temple (+12) over Central Florida (7:30 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 1)
I think it might be time for Central Florida to lose. They've won 20 straight games. But it is tough to be undefeated this late in the season because that noose starts to tighten and the pressure starts to mount. The value on this team is all but gone. And even though they have had two weeks to prepare for this game I still don't think that they will be as sharp as normal. UCF has been outgained in each of its last two games, road wins over East Carolina and Memphis. That right there tells me that they are starting to run out of road a bit. And other than that win over Memphis - which came after falling behind by 13 points - Central Florida hasn't played a single good team this year. Not one. Temple is tough. They hammered Maryland (the same team that beat Texas). They really outplayed Boston College in a loss. They won at Navy. They beat 7-1 Cincinnati. This is a veteran team that is not scared about traveling down to Florida to take on the defending conference champions in prime time. This is a lot of points and it suggests that this will not be a competitive game. But Temple is 35-16 ATS in its last 51 games, an amazing 41-18 ATS in its last 59 road games, and an unbelievable 22-5 ATS in its last 27 conference games. I take nothing away from the Golden Knights. (After all, they are the defending national champions.) But I just think that this is too many points for a game that I 100 percent believe that Temple can pull an upset in. The public loves Central Florida here, with bettors taking the home team by a 2-to-1 clip. But I am going to go the other way, call for the outright upset, and take the points with the Owls.
FRIDAY FOOTBALL SELECTION
3-Unit Play. Take #320 Arizona (-3) over Colorado (10:30 p.m., Friday, Nov. 2)
Arizona has a losing record on the season. The majority of the action from the public is on Colorado. Yet the Wildcats are still favored in this game. Those are some red flags to me. Arizona is better than its record. They definitely should've won at UCLA (which would put them at 5-4) and this team is still harboring bowl hopes. Arizona is coming off its best game of the year, a 44-15 whitewashing of Oregon, and now they get a primetime home game. I think they will come to play. Colorado has dumped three straight games. And the more you look at their schedule the more you see zero impressive wins. Not only did they lose last week, but they had one of the biggest collapses in Pac-12 history, losing outright at home to Oregon State as a 25-point favorite after blowing a 31-3 lead with nine minutes left in the third quarter. Losses like that have a way of lingering. And now they are on the road in a place they don't play well, facing a team on an upswing. Arizona went on the road and beat a better Colorado team last season. And the Wildcats have won five of the last six meetings in this series. I like Arizona to get it done again.
SATURDAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTION
2-Unit Play. Take #329 Georgia (-8) over Kentucky (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
I'm not buying Kentucky. You are high if you think that the Wildcats are the ninth-best team in the country, as the college football playoff rankings have them. That's insane. What have they done to garner that ranking? Barely beat Missouri and Vanderbilt by a combined eight points? Or was it their loss at Texas A&M, in a game in which they were outgained by 200 yards, that so impressed the voters? SEC football is the most overrated thing in sports. I don't love Georgia. But they have a roster full of top recruits. They are big and strong and physical and they have absolutely manhandled teams this year. Every win they have had has come by double-digits. In fact, over the last two years their only two wins by fewer than 10 points came at Notre Dame and against Oklahoma in the Rose Bowl. Kentucky isn't Notre Dame or Oklahoma! Sorry, but I'm not buying UK and I think they will get squashed somewhere in the 26-10 range.
3-Unit Play. Take #347 Michigan State (-2.5) over Maryland (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 3)
Maryland is an absolute mess right now. I don't know how this team could be focused on a very good Michigan State team after all the distractions they have been dealing with this week behind D.J. Durkin. He was reinstated, then fired two days later amidst a possible player mutiny. It is chaos. This team has held things together pretty well this season, all things considered. But Michigan State is not screwing around. They are 5-3 and desperate and they don't give a damn about Maryland's issues. Maryland's win over Texas in the opener was an absolute fluke. And past that their conference wins have come against Minnesota, Rutgers and Illinois. That's pretty gross. Michigan State is the far superior team here and they should be able to hold their focus and get a road win.
3-Unit Play. Take #358 Illinois (+9.5) over Minnesota (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
Illinois is a joke. Lovie Smith has been terrible as a coach at Illinois. This is one of the worst football programs in the country. But all that being said, I still don't see how they are nearly 10-point home underdogs to Minnesota. The Golden Gophers aren't any good. And they certainly aren't any good on the road (1-6 ATS in L7 road games). Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last five games and that win came over Indiana, at home. Illinois has played a much tougher schedule than the Golden Gophers. And, really, the Illini have beaten the teams they were supposed to and lost to the teams that they were supposed to this year. I think this is too many points here and the underdog is 6-3 ATS in this series.
1-Unit Play. Take #386 Washington (-10) over Stanford (9 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
1-Unit Play. Take #373 California (+10) over Washington State (10:45 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
Again, Washington State is not the No. 8 team in the country. They just aren't. I don't care what the CFP Poll says. As such, this is just a blind play against an overrated team. I will be betting against the Cougars the rest of the way. And the only reason this isn't a bigger play is because Cal is in a letdown spot here after pulling an upset over Washington last week.
3-Unit Play. Take #402 Connecticut (+18) over Tulsa (7 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
Whoa. Who the hell is Tulsa going to beat by three touchdowns? I know Connecticut is bad. But look at their schedule. These guys have played one of the most difficult schedules in the country. It's no wonder they have just one win. But Tulsa only has one win too! Both teams have beaten one FCS opponent this year and Connecticut actually beat Tulsa in the matchup of these teams last year. Both teams play terrible, horrible defense. But that gives these points some more value. Tulsa is not big or strong. They aren't going to just push Connecticut around and manhandle them. And if the Huskies can move the ball a little bit and put some points on the board I think they will find a way to hang around in this one. About 75 percent of the action on this game is on Tulsa. Why? I don't see it and I think that this is way too many points.
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #332 Cincinnati (-6) over Navy (3:30 p.m.) AND Take #337 Missouri (+13) over Florida (4 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #355 Notre Dame (-2.5) over Northwestern (7 p.m.) AND Take #329 Georgia (-1) over Kentucky (3:30 p.m.)
Carpe diem. Good luck.
Indian Cowboy
8-Unit Play. #386. Take Washington Huskies -9.5 over Stanford (Saturday @ 9pm est)
The Washington Huskies remember last year's loss to the Stanford Cardinal and will be absolutely fired up here and will likely do very well this weekend. Remember, you have a squad here that comes off it's worst offensive output of the year scoring just 10 points at Cal. Remember, this team scored just 16 points against Auburn in the opening week and then bounced-back nicely with over 40 points in their next game. As this team comes off scoring just 10 points last week, look for them to be angry and motivated to do well here against a Cardinal team who they lost to 22-30 last year. Washington is the same team that beat BYU 35-7, Colorado by 2 touchdowns and still sports a top 15 defense and still top 60 in passing yards in the nation. This team is top 30 in stopping the run as well. You combine that with Stanford who is outside the top 100 in overall offense and top 115 in passing defense and outside the top 80 in defense in general and it sets up for a great opportunity for Washington to do well here on the bounce-back and with revenge.
6-Unit Play #327. Take Syracuse -6.5 over Wake Forrest (Saturday @ 12pm est)
Syracuse gave up 60+ points to Wake Forrest last year and has lost back to back years to Wake and will be more than motivated to do well here. This is a Wake Forrest team that comes off scoring 50+ points last week as well and they are in for a classic let down here as they return home to face a Syracuse team looking for a little payback and a Syracuse team that sports a top 15 offense and top 10 in points scored. Wake Forrest can certainly run the ball but they are outside the top 80 in passing and at the end of the day, I think Syracuse just scores a few times more and that will make the difference in this high scoring affair here. Remember, Wake lost 17-38 to FSU, lost 27-56 to Notre Dame, lost 3-63 to Clemson and they are not a stranger to gettign blown out. Syracuse probably wins this game by 10-13 points this weekend.
Raphael Esparza (VSI)
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYS
4 Unit Play. Take #330 Kentucky +9.5 over Georgia (3:30p.m., Saturday November 3 CBS)
Lexington Kentucky will host the biggest home game in the history of Kentucky football Saturday afternoon at Kroger Field and this game will have the 'Upset Alert' from kickoff. I know the Georgia Bulldogs beat Kentucky last year 42-13 but this Wildcats defense is so much better then last year and the defense keeps this game close and again we could see an upset in Lexington. Give me the plus points and Big Blue Nation to cover this home underdog number.
2 Unit Play. Take #347 Michigan St -2.5 over Maryland (12:00p.m., Saturday November 3 ESPN2)
The locker room and the outside noise around the Maryland football team is the reason why we are fading the Terps in this home game. Michigan St had a big home win last week beating Purdue 23-13 and the Spartans defense will cause the Terps tons of problems on Saturday. Michigan St takes this game and again defense will bee the big reason!
3 Unit Play. Take #373 Over 49.5 California at Washington St (10:45p.m., Saturday November 3 ESPN)
This play is all on the offense at home that Washington St will produce and lets throw in that the Cougars 8 games this year 6 of them have gone over the total. I know Cal is coming off a big home win against Washington last week winning 12-10 but their last road game they beat Oregon St 49-7 and if the Cal Bears want to hang around in this game they will need to score with the Cougars. Washington St is 7-1 O/U against a team with a winning record and too much offense on the Cougars side for the Cal Bears.
3 Unit Play. Take #382 Oregon -10 over UCLA (7:30p.m., Saturday November 3 FOX)
Ducks QB Justin Herbert is now probable for this home game against UCLA and if Herbert gets hot this game will have the same outcome Utah had against UCLA. Oregon is coming off back-to-back losses but both of those games were on the road and the last time Oregon were at home they beat Washington 30-27. Ducks win and win big at home! UCLA is 5-12 ATS in their last 7 road games and the favorite in this series is 5-1 ATS.
6 Unit Play. Take #418 Florida INTL -2.5 over FAU (7:30p.m., Saturday November 3)
Seems like it was yesterday when FAU at home beat up FIU 52-24 and yesterday was last year and paybacks will be painful this year. It was no secret that Head Coach Lane Kiffin rang up the score last year against the Panthers and with this game being played at Riccardo Silva Stadium home field will hold. FAU has injuries on both sides of the ball and the FAU Owls are only 1-7 ATS this season and last week they lost at home to Louisiana Tech. FIU has won 4-Straight and last week we had the Panthers beating/covering the Hilltoppers and I see the same outcome happening Saturday night. Paybacks are a bitch and wouldn't shock me to see the FIU Golden Panthers pile up the scoreboard at home against the Owls. The Owls are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games and the Golden Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Also, the home team has covered 5-straight meetings and this trend continues tonight.
Tony George
Thursday Nov 1 College Football
3 Units - #313 Temple / #314 UCF (Under 60) 11/1 *7:30 EST
Temples defense is solid. They just shut down Cincy. UFC has QB issues as Milton is down and doubtful, and if he plays he will not be at full strength. Temple will run it right at UFC and eat clock to keep the Knights highly versatile spread offense off the field as much as possible. UFC 4-0 ATS on Unders their last 4 games. My Power rating has this line at 55, that is a 6-point overlay which is almost a TD.
FRIDAY 11/2 ? College Football
3 Units ? #317 Western Kentucky / #318 Middle Tennessee (OVER 53) *8EST
Both teams allowing over 400 yards per game and every single trend is over here. MTSU is a decent team but should clean up against Western Kentucky here who has 1 win. This is always a shootout, the last 6 have went over with ease. Most lines higher than this. Over has cashed the last 4 meetings at MTSU as well.
SATURDAY ? November 3rd
4 Units ? #338 Florida (-6) over Missouri *4 EST
Drew Lock and the Tigers had ZERO first downs in the second half at home in a wild loss to Kentucky last week. Drew Lock for all his accolades is 0-9 against Top 25 teams at Mizzou, that will not serve him well in the draft this upcoming year. Add in the fact we are getting a line under a TD against a bad road team because Florida got their doors blown off by Georgia last week. Mizzou 0-3 ATS on the road this year and the Gators have not forgotten the butt kick Mizzou gave them last year 45-16 as a 1.5 point favorite and at home should rebound nicely with a 10-14 point win here.
7 Units - #347 Michigan State (-2.5) over Maryland *12 Noon EST
Maryland coach DJ Durkin who was suspended returned this week in a big surprise to all, and many players were upset and walked out of a meeting this week. Then on Wednesday they fired him, causing a national debate, just a ton off the field going on at Maryland. Lots of distraction. MSU is still a good team despite recent setbacks, just not an elite team and I cannot count on Maryland to have full focus here despite kicking the snot out of Illinois last week. Purdue who has stepped it up lost to the hands of Sparty last week by 10, as Sparty got their feet back under them. Maryland runs the ball and really cannot throw it and MSU is one of the best in the nation at stopping the run allowing 77 ypg. A 7-10 point road win here in my opinion and a weak line.
3 Units - #393 -LA Tech (+23.5) vs Miss St *7:30 EST
All about scheduling spots. We had LA tech earlier this year against LSU and not only covered but outgained them. LA tech was also a free play last week as a dog and won outright on Friday, so an added day to prep. Miss St has Alabama on deck, and just played LASU and Texas AM. Sandwich game no doubt and LA Tech is no joke as a lesser team and are 21-7 ATS as dogs their last 28 games. LA Tech is also 4-1 ATS their last 5 road games.
3 Units ? #335 Georgia Tech (-6) over North Carolina *12:15 EST
The Tarheels just a dumpster fire and the rambling wreck triple option will pose numerous issues for NC. Last year GT beat them 33-7 and laid 9 points. What has changed? GT just lit up Virginia Techs defense for 49 at Blacksburg, what can they put up against NC who already lost to VT this year? I am unclear of the final score but GT should put up 35.
4 Units ? #421 Fresno St (-25.5) over UNLV *10:30 EST
Bear in mind UNLV upset Fresno last year in Fresno and this is payback. UNLV needs no introduction, they are a complete dumpster fire now that Rogers is out at QB, 0-4 SU and just got beat at home by one of the worst teams in CFB in San Jose St last week. Fresno will have no mercy here and clearly are 4+ TDs better here and with revenge on their mind and some payback, we will find a dialed in Fresno steam here, and this is DOUBLE REVENGE spot as UNLV has beat them 2 years in a row and 3 out of the last 4. Fresno has won their last 3 games against better teams by 24,31, and 30. Total blowout. 45-7 type game. Fresno 17-3-2 ATS run under Jeff Tedford, a solid head coach. Bet early ? line will climb.
Vernon Croy
5-Unit Play. Take #318 Middle Tenn State -13.5 over Western Kentucky (Friday, November 2nd at 8:00 PM ET)
Take Middle Tenn State ATS as my 5-Unit CFB Smash for Friday night. This pick falls into one of my top CFB systems and I have the Blue Raiders winning this game by 20+ points Friday night. The Blue Raiders are hands down the superior team here and they are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games when playing a team with a losing record on the road. The Hilltoppers are just 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games after a loss and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games played between these two teams. This is a Hilltoppers team that lost to Charlotte by 26 points, which is the same Charlotte team that the Blue Raiders beat by 7 points. Play Middle Tenn State ATS.
8-Unit Play. Take #330 Kentucky +9.5 over Georgia (Saturday, November 3rd at 3:30 PM ET)
Take Kentucky ATS as my 8-Unit CFB Game of the Year for Saturday. This pick falls into one of my top CFB systems and I have the Wildcats pulling off the upset at home Saturday. The Wildcats are the superior defensive team here allowing just 13 ppg overall and 10.8 ppg at home this season. The Wildcats have also allowed just 295.6 ypg and just 272.6 ypg at home this season. The Wildcats have allowed just 2.8 ppg in the second half at home this season and just 4.1 second half points overall this season which shows that this defense does not let up. The Wildcats have averaged 250 rushing yards per game at home this season and 214 rushing yards overall which will also help keep the Bulldogs offense off the field Saturday. The Wildcats have also completed 62.5% of their pass plays this season while holding opponents to completing just 53.6% of their passes. The Bulldogs have allowed 24.7 ppg on the road this season and 369.7 ypg on the road. If the Wildcats can win the turnover battle there is no reason why they can't win outright at home Saturday. Play Kentucky ATS.
Scott Spreitzer
3-Unit Play: Take 331 Navy +14 over Cincinnati (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
I'm taking the double digits with Navy on Saturday. It's virtual must win time for the Midshipmen if they plan on bowling at the end of the year. They've taken their share of lumps but the ground game is improving and they're facing a Bearcats team that doesn't build on leads and has been involved in several close games, including winning their last 2 games but not before going to OT. Navy's attack keeps this one close throughout in our opinion The Middies have been known for turning up the heat in November and Cincy has covered just 4 of their last 18 home games. We're grabbing the points with Navy on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
3-Unit Play: Take 334 Ohio St. -18 over Nebraska (12 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
I'm laying the points with the Buckeyes on Saturday. Urban Meyer has had 2 weeks to prep for the Huskers and more importantly, to get after his team after their ugly loss to Purdue. Nebraska's offense has kicked it into gear, but the defense still lacks the talent it needs to compete with the Big-10's best (see games against Michigan & Wisconsin). The Buckeyes ground game has struggled, but you can bet Meyer and company worked on it during the bye week...and once Haskins rips the Nebraska secondary up top, the ground game should flourish. Ohio State has crushed Nebraska in the last 2 meetings and we expect a wide margin win again. I'm laying the points with Ohio State on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
4-Unit Play: Take 363 Tulane +7.5 over South Florida (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
I'm taking the points with Tulane on Saturday. We are going against the Bulls for the second straight week (won last week with Houston). The Bulls are off a bubble-bursting loss and have to get back on track against a decent and undervalued Tulane team. USF simply plays no defense and were one of the bigger undefeated frauds we've seen in some time. They had close calls against UConn and Tulsa and once the schedule of creampuffs was completed, the Bulls true level reared its ugly head. Tulane is not only undervalued but they need 3 wins for bowl eligibility. They own the ground game to pound away at the suspect USF defense and control the flow of this game. USF enters on a 1-8 ATS slide in conference play and we'll go against them again. I'm grabbing the points with Tulane on Saturday.
7-Unit Play: Take 387 Iowa State -14.5 over Kansas (12 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
I'm laying the points with Iowa State on Saturday. This marks the third time we'll have backed the Cyclones since Brock Purdy took over at QB and so far we're 2-0. They own the best RB in the conference in David Montgomery and have averaged nearly 40 ppg and over 450 yards per game with Purdy at the helm. He can run...and he can be counted on to deliver the pass when needed. Kansas comes in off a misleading win over TCU. The fact is, the Jayhawks are horrible on offense and own an even worse defense. They were out-gained by nearly 200 yards in the 27-26 win over TCU. The Horned Frogs gained 504 yards and held KU to 307. TCU QB Michael Collins completed 23 of 33 passes for 351 yards but the Horned Frogs committed untimely turnovers and that was the difference. Before the win, KU had allowed 134 points during a 3 game losing streak, losing by an average margin of 23 ppg. They're 100th in passing yards per game and 96th running the football. KU gained just 58 yards on 38 carries last week and have averaged just 2.5 yards per carry in their last 3 games. KU was also out-gained by an average of 522-304 in those 3 contests. We're betting Iowa State rolls in Lawrence. The Cyclones enter on a 20-5-1 ATS conference run and they're on an 8-1-1 spread run on the road. I'm laying the points with Iowa State on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
3-Unit Play: Take 393 Louisiana Tech +23.5 over Miss. St. (7:30 p.m., Sat. Nov. 3)
I'm taking the points with Louisiana Tech on Saturday night. If you've ever wondered what a true sandwich spot is in college football, look no further than this game for the perfect example. Miss State is off a big win over Texas A&M last weekend and they have a date with top-ranked Alabama next. Doing enough to win without doing a whole lot more is likely the situation the SEC entry is in this week. The fact they have zero passing game (107th in the nation) means a fast moving ground and pound contest with little chance to extend the lead to a wide enough margin to cover this number. You may recall the scare La Tech gave LSU earlier this season. The Tigers pulled away for a 17 point win, but it was a 3 point game almost midway through the 4th quarter. La Tech actually out-gained LSU. La Tech has been a bankroll building road warrior, entering on a 37-17 ATS run in their last 54 road games and they're on an 8-2 ATS run against SEC opponents. We'll take the points with Louisiana Tech on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Alan Harris
5 Unit Play. Take #309 Ohio -3.5 over Western Michigan (7:00 PM, Thursday, November 1, ESPN U)
The Ohio Bobcats will look for their third win in a row and their fifth in their last six games when they hit the road to take on the Western Michigan Broncos at Waldo Stadium in Kalamazoo, MI on Thursday night. Ohio has posted a 6-2 ATS record in their last eight games following an ATS win and they have gone an excellent 7-3 ATS in their last ten MAC games. They have also covered the number in thirteen of their last nineteen road games and they are an impressive 12-2 ATS in their last fourteen Thursday night contests. Western Michigan, on the other hand, has struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone just 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games and they are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games where they faced a team with a winning record on the road. They have also failed to cover the number in six of their last eight games following a straight up loss by 20 points or more and they are an awful 1-5 ATS in their last six MAC games. Throw in the fact that the Bobcats are a lights out 14-2 ATS in their last sixteen games where they faced a team with a winning % of .500 or higher and we?re going to lay the points with them here to get the road win and cover in Michigan on Thursday night.
2 Unit Play. Take #311 Northern Illinois -6 over Akron (7:00 PM, Thursday, November 1, CBS Sports Network)
4 Unit Play. Take #313 Temple +11 over Central Florida (7:30 PM, Thursday, November 1, ESPN)
2 Unit Play. Take #313/314 Temple vs Central Florida Over 58.5
Temple has posted a perfect 5-0 ATS record in their last five road games where they faced a team with a winning record and home and they have gone an excellent 41-18 ATS in their last 59 road games overall. They have also covered the number in seven of their last eight Thursday night games and they are an impressive 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win. UCF, on the other hand, has struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have failed to cover the number in five of their last six games played in the month of November. They also haven?t been as good over the last month or so compared to how they were in the beginning of the season as their yards per game are down about 100 yards over their last four games. Throw in the fact that the Owls are an insane 22-5 ATS in their last 27 AAC games and we?re going to take the points with them here in a game that we have a bit closer than the odds makers do in Orlando on Thursday night.
2 Unit Play. Take #313/314 Pittsburgh vs Virginia Over 48.5 (7:30 PM, Friday, November 2, ESPN 2)
4 Unit Play. Take #317/318 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee St Over 53 (8:00 PM, Friday, November 2)
3 Unit Play. Take #318 Middle Tennessee St -13.5 over Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky has posted a 5-1 record to the over in their last six conference games and they have gone an excellent 6-1 to the over in their last seven Friday night games. Middle Tennessee has been an over team as well in the spot they are in here on Friday as they have gone 5-1 to the over in their last six games following a straight up win by 20 points or more and they are 8-1 to the over in their last nine games following a game where they scored 40 points or more. Throw in the fact these two teams are a perfect 6-0 to the over in their last six head to head meetings and that?s where we?ll have our play as we expect both teams, especially the Hilltoppers to have a hard time getting defensive stops in Murfreesboro on Friday night.
As for the side, the Blue Raiders have posted a 4-1 ATS record in their last five games where they faced a team with a winning record and they have that same 4-1 ATS record in their last five home games. Western Kentucky, on the other hand, has struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Friday as they have gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five conference games and they have that same 1-4 ATS record in their last five versus a team with a winning % of .500 or higher. Throw in the fact that Middle is 6-1 ATS in their last seven at home when facing a team with a losing record on the road while Western is just 4-11-1 ATS off a straight up loss and we?re going to lay the points here with the Blue Raiders in a game that our numbers have them winning by 20+ at home on Friday night.
2 Unit Play. Take #320 Arizona -3 over Colorado (10:30 PM, Friday, November 2, FS1)
3 Unit Play. Take #327 Syracuse -6 over Wake Forest (12:00 PM, Saturday, November 3)
Syracuse has posted a 6-2-2 ATS record in their last ten games following an ATS win and they have gone an excellent 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games. They have also covered the number in four of their last five games following a game where they scored 40 points or more and they are a perfect 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. The Demon Deacons, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five ACC games and they have failed to cover the number in five of their last six home contests. They have also gone an awful 2-8 ATS in their last ten games overall and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five versus a team with a winning record. Throw in the fact that the Orange are an impressive 5-2 ATS in the last seven head to head meetings between the two schools along with the fact that the favorite is a perfect 6-0 ATS in the last six and we?re going to lay the points here with Syracuse to get the road win and cover in Winston-Salem on Saturday afternoon.
4 Unit 7-Point Teaser (-130). Take #329 Georgia -2 AND #355 Notre Dame -3 (3:30 PM, Saturday, November 3)
We don?t normally play college teasers but we like the spot for both teams here. Kentucky has been winning with smoke and mirrors all season long and it?s an absolute joke that the committee thinks that they are the 9th best team in the country. As for the Fighting Irish, they are currently in the playoff as the #4 seed and we don?t expect a slip up from them here Saturday night on the road against Northwestern. Thought about a ML Parlay here with these two but we think both cover this teaser easily and we?re getting better odds
3 Unit Play. Take #338 Florida -6 over Missouri (4:00 PM, Saturday, November 3, SEC Network)
Florida has posted a 4-1 ATS in their last five SEC games and they have gone an excellent 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. The Tigers, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five SEC games and they have failed to cover the number in each of their last four road games. Throw in the fact that the Tigers have also gone an awful 4-13 ATS in their last seventeen following a game where they allowed 20 points or less along with the fact that they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games versus a team with a winning record at home and we?re going to lay the points here with the Gators to get the home win and cover in Gainesville on Saturday afternoon.
3 Unit Play. Take #339 Duke +9.5 over Miami (FL) (7:00 PM, Saturday, November 3, ESPN 2)
Duke has posted a 4-1 ATS record in their last five road games where they faced a team with a winning record at home and they have gone an excellent 5-1 ATS in their last six road games versus a team with a winning record overall. The Hurricanes, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have gone just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss and they have failed to cover the number in six of their last seven ACC games. Throw in the fact that Miami is also an awful 0-4 ATS in their last four games versus a team with a winning % of .500 or higher while Duke is 5-2 ATS in that same spot and we?re going to take the points here with the Blue Devils in a game that we think they have a decent chance to win outright in Miami on Saturday night.
6 Unit Play. Take #345 Boston College -2 over Virginia Tech (3:45 PM, Saturday, November 3)
The Boston College Eagles will look for their third win in a row and their fourth in their last five games when they hit the road to take on the Virginia Tech Hokies at Lane Stadium in Blacksburg, VA on Saturday afternoon. The Eagles have posted a perfect 4-0 ATS record in their last four games where they faced a team with a winning record and they have gone an excellent 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games. They have also covered the number in five of their last six games following a straight up win and they are an impressive 12-3-1 ATS in their last sixteen ACC games. The Hokies, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall and they are an awful 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games following a double-digit loss at home. Throw in the fact that BC is a lights out 14-3-1 ATS in their last eighteen games overall and that they are 5-2- ATS in their last seven head to head meetings with the Hokies and we?re going to lay the points with them here to get the road win and cover in Blacksburg on Saturday afternoon.
4 Unit Play. Take #348 Maryland +2.5 over Michigan St (12:00 PM, Saturday, November 3, ESPN 2)
Tons of turmoil surrounding this Maryland team and the reinstatement and then firing of their head coach. They finally did the right thing after a student-athlete died on his watch and now we expect to see a spirited performance at home for the Terps. They have posted a 4-1 ATS record in their last five home games and get to face a Michigan St team that frankly, isn?t very good. They have only gone 1-5 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win and they are 0-4 ATS off a straight up victory. Maryland hasn?t been great by any stretch of the imagination this season but this line is fishy and really hasn?t moved much off the opener even with everything that went down. That leads us to believe the Terps are the right side and we?re going to take them plus the points in a game that we think they win outright in College Park on Saturday afternoon.
4 Unit Play. Take #363 Tulane +7 over South Florida (3:30 PM, Saturday, November 3, CBS Sports Network)
Tulane has posted a 3-1-1 ATS record in their last five games played in the month of November and they have gone an excellent 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games following a game where they allowed 20 points or less in their previous contest. South Florida, on the other hand, has struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five games versus a team with a losing record and they are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games. They have also failed to cover the number in each of their last four AAC games and they are just 1-6 ATS off a straight up loss by 20 points or more. Throw in the fact that the Bulls are also an awful 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 home games versus a team with a losing record on the road and we?re taking the points here with the Green Wave in a game that we have a bit closer than the odds makers do in Florida on Saturday afternoon.
3 Unit Play. Take #375 Marshall -2.5 over Southern Mississippi (3:00 PM, Saturday, November 3)
Marshall has posted a 4-1 ATS record in their last five games following a game where they rushed for more than 200 yards and they have gone an excellent 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games. Southern Miss, on the other hand, has struggled in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a game where they scored 20 points or less and they have failed to cover the number in ten of their last fourteen games following an ATS loss. Throw in the fact that the Thundering Herd are 6-1 in the last seven head to head meetings between the two schools and we?re going to lay the field goal or so with them here to get the road win and cover in Hattiesburg on Saturday afternoon.
4 Unit Play. Take #385 Stanford +10 over Washington (9:00 PM, Saturday, November 3, Pac-12 Network)
Stanford has posted a 4-1 ATS record in their last five road games and they have that same 4-1 ATS record in their last five road games versus a team with a winning record at home. Washington, on the other hand, has struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Saturday night. Even though they are ranked in the Top 20 or so, it?s really been kind of a lost year for a team that had playoff aspirations coming into the season. They are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss and they have failed to cover the number in four of their last five games where they faced a team with a winning record. Throw in the fact that Stanford is 4-1 ATS off a straight up loss while the Huskies are 0-5 ATS in their last five Pac-12 games and we?re going to take double digits here with the Cardinal in a game that we think they lost by seven at most in Seattle on Saturday night.
4 Unit Play. Take #393 Louisiana Tech +23.5 over Mississippi St (7:30 PM, Saturday, November 3, SEC Network)
Louisiana Tech has posted a 4-1 ATS record in their last five games where they faced a team with a winning record and they have gone an excellent 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games. They have also covered the number in five of their last seven games following a straight up win and they are an impressive 8-3 ATS in their last eleven games overall. Mississippi St, on the other hand, has struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a game where they allowed less than 100 yards on the ground and they have failed to cover the number in five of their last seven games played in the month of December. Throw in the fact that LA Tech is a lights out 8-2 ATS in their last ten games versus a team from the SEC and we?re going to take the bit number with them here with the thought that they aren?t going to get blown out in Stark Vegas on Saturday night.
4 Unit Play. Take #399 Kansas St +8.5 over TCU (3:30 PM, Saturday, November 3, FS1)
Kansas St has posted a perfect 5-0 ATS record in their last five games following a straight up loss and they have gone an excellent 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games following a game where they failed to cover the number. The Horned Frogs, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have gone just 3-8 ATS in their last eleven games where they faced a team with a losing record and they are just 1-8 ATS at home versus a team with a losing record on the road. They have also failed to cover the number in each of their last five games following a straight up loss and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall. Throw in the fact that TCU is an awful 0-7 ATS in their last seven Big 12 games and we?re going to take the points here with Kansas St in a game that we think they can win outright in Ft Worth on Saturday afternoon.
3 Unit Play. Take #401 Connecticut +18 over Tulsa (7:00 PM, Saturday, November 3, CBS Sports Network)
Tulsa has posted a 2-5 ATS record in their last seven games following a straight up loss and they are just 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. They have also failed to cover the number in six of their last eight games played on FieldTurf for whatever reason and they are an awful 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 home games where they faced a team with a road winning % of .500 or lower. Throw in the fact that for as bad as UConn has been, they have gone an impressive 10-4-1 ATS in their last fifteen road games versus a team with a losing record at home and we?re going to take the big number with them here in a game where we don?t believe a 1-7 Tulsa team should be laying this many points to anyone.
3 Unit Play. Take #406 Michigan -10.5 over Penn St (3:45 PM, Saturday, November 3, ESPN)
Michigan has posted a 4-1 ATS record in their last five games played in the month of November and they have that same 4-1 ATS record in their last five games versus a team with a winning % of .500 or higher. They have also covered the number in five of their last six Big 10 games and they are an impressive 7-1 ATS in their last eight games at the Big House. Throw in the fact that the favorite is a perfect 4-0 ATS in the last four head to head meetings between the two schools along with the fact that the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six and we?re going to lay the points here with Michigan in a game that we have them winning by 14+ in Ann Arbor on Saturday afternoon.
3 Unit Play. Take #414 Arkansas St -15 over South Alabama (3:00 PM, Saturday, November 3)
The Red Wolves have posted an 8-3 ATS record in their last eleven games played in the month of November and they have that same 8-3 ATS record in their last eleven home games where they faced a team with a losing record on the road. South Alabama, on the other hand, has been really bad in the spot they are in here as they have gone just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six following a straight up loss and they are an awful 7-19 ATS in their last 26 road games. Throw in the fact that Arkansas St is 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings between the two schools and we?re going to lay the wood here in a game where we have the Red Wolves winning by 21+ in Jonesboro on Saturday afternoon.
5 Unit Play. Take #420 LSU +15 over Alabama (8:00 PM, Saturday, November 3, CBS)
The LSU Tigers will look to hand the Alabama Crimson Tide their first loss of the season when the two teams meet at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, LA on Saturday night. The Tigers have posted a perfect 4-0 ATS record in their last four games following a game where they scored 20 points or less and they are also a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five games played in the month of November. They have also covered the number in seven of their last ten home games and they have that same 7-3 ATS record in their last ten games where they faced a team with a winning record. The Crimson Tide, for as good as they have been straight up all season, have struggled against the number in the spot they are in here on Saturday night. They have gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a game where they allowed less than 275 total yards and they have failed to cover the number in five of their last six games played in the month of November. Throw in the fact that LSU is a lights out 10-1 ATS in their last eleven SEC games and we?re going to take the big number with them here in a game that we think they lose outright but stay within the spread in Baton Rouge on Saturday night.
2 Unit Sides:
2 Unit Play. Take #323 Iowa +3 over Purdue (3:30 PM, Saturday, November 3, ESPN 2)
2 Unit Play. Take #329 Georgia -9 over Kentucky (3:30 PM, Saturday, November, CBS)
2 Unit Play. Take #331 Navy +14 over Cincinnati (3:30 PM, Saturday, November 3, ESPN U)
2 Unit Play. Take #336 North Carolina +6 over Georgia Tech (12:15 PM, Saturday, November 3)
2 Unit Play. Take #349 Oklahoma -13 over Texas Tech (8:00 PM, Saturday, November 3, ABC)
2 Unit Play. Take #371 San Jose St +14 over Wyoming (2:00 PM, Saturday, November 3)
2 Unit Play. Take #377 Georgia Southern -7.5 over UL-Monroe (3:00 PM, Saturday, November 3, ESPN 3)
2 Unit Play. Take #379 Utah -7 over Arizona St (4:00 PM, Saturday, November 3, Pac-12 Network)
2 Unit Play. Take #387 Iowa St -14.5 over Kansas (12:00 PM, Saturday, November 3)
2 Unit Play. Take #389 Texas A&M +4 over Auburn (12:00 PM, Saturday, November 3, ESPN)
2 Unit Play. Take #398 Massachusetts -2 over Liberty (3:30 PM, Saturday, November 3)
2 Unit Play. Take #411 UL Lafayette +10.5 over Troy (3:30 PM, Saturday, November 3)
2 Unit Play. Take #416 UAB -22 over Texas-San Antonio (7:30 PM, Saturday, November 3)
2 Unit Play. Take #422 UNLV +26 over Fresno St (10:30 PM, Saturday, November 3, CBS Sports Network)
2 Unit Totals:
2 Unit Play. Take #361/362 Air Force vs Army Over 42 (12:00 PM, Saturday, November 3, CBS Sports Network)
2 Unit Play. Take #363/364 Tulane vs South Florida Under 59.5 (3:30 PM, Saturday, November 3, CBS Sports Network)
2 Unit Play. Take #371/372 San Jose St vs Wyoming Over 39.5 (2:00 PM, Saturday, November 3)
2 Unit Play. Take #383/384 USC vs Oregon St Over 61 (10:00 PM, Saturday, November 3, FS1)
2 Unit Play. Take #387/388 Iowa St vs Kansas Over 46 (12:00 PM, Saturday, November 3)
2 Unit Play. Take #403/404 Louisville vs Clemson Over 61 (12:00 PM, Saturday, November 3)
Mike Davis
7-Unit Play. Take #419 Alabama -14.5 over LSU (Saturday, November 3rd at 8:00 p.m)
I'm going to keep this short and sweet. Alabama is 14.5 points better than any team in the country -- any team. And LSU is not a top-tier team -- in my opinion. They don't have the offensive firepower to stay with Bama throughout the course of this football game. Yes, they have a great home field advantage but that is the only advantage they have in this game. Bama has the best college quarterback since Tim Tebow and Tua will exploit this LSU defense. His offensive line is a lot better than UGA's and he will have time to throw the football. LSU will take some chances and play the Bama receivers one-on-one and that will lead to some big plays in this football game. Bama will force LSU to throw the ball to beat them and that simply isn't going to happen ... consistently. Bama will take control of this game and pull away to win by 20+ points.
Take Alabama
4-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 44.5 UGA at Kentucky (Saturday, November 3rd at 3:30 p.m)
This is a big game for both teams -- huge game. The winner goes to the SEC championship game and has a chance to play in the college football playoffs. The truth is: Georgia isn't very good defensively -- especially along the front 7. They don't have good defensive line play and their linebacker play is pretty bad. They don't stop the run very well at all and I look for the Wildcats to exploit this Georgia defense. Kentucky has been awesome on the defensive side of the football but I really like the way Georgia's offense matches up with Kentucky. The Dawgs found their stride last week offensively and I look for them to build upon that this week. They will run the ball at UK and use the play-action pass for big plays. Georgia is loaded offensively and they will test this Kentucky defense in a big, big way. This game could see a lot of scoring early and it won't shock me at all to see both teams have 20 points by halftime.
Take Over
Allen Eastman
7-Unit Play. Take #318 Middle Tennessee (-13.5) over Western Kentucky (8 p.m., Friday, Nov. 2)
I see a blowout in this game. WKU has lost nine of its last 10 games. They were blown out at home by Florida International last week. Now they have to go on the road and face a hot MTSU team. Western Kentucky has beaten Middle Tennessee three straight years. The last two wins have been heartbreakers, with WKU winning in overtime the last two seasons. Four of the last six meetings have gone to overtime, with the Hilltoppers winning three of them. But I think that Middle Tennessee will get revenge in this one. The Blue Raiders have won four of their last five games. That includes big wins over Florida Atlantic and at Marshall. This team is coming off a 34-point win over Old Dominion. And that Old Dominion team beat Western Kentucky by three points on the road two weeks ago. The Hilltoppers lost their quarterback early in the season and they have not been the same since. Middle Tennessee is still fighting for the CUSA East title and a spot in the league championship. The home team is 4-0 ATS in this series and the Blue Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. Western Kentucky is 1-4 ATS in its last five league games and they are 1-4 ATS against teams that are above .500. Middle Tennessee will play one of its best games of the season and they should get a 30+ point win.
4-Unit Play. Take #351 West Virginia (+2) over Texas (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
Ths line jumped out at me. The public loves Texas. But I think this team is overrated. The Longhorns are just 1-3 ATS in their last four games and they are coming off a tough 38-35 loss at Oklahoma State last week. That game ruined any chance Texas had of making the college playoffs. West Virginia blew out Baylor 58-14 last week. They have one of the top offenses in the Big 12 and I think they will be able to score enough to win a shootout with Texas. West Virginia has won two of the last three meetings and the road team has won back-to-back games in this series. The Mountaineers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning record. Texas is dealing with some injuries, including their quarterback. I think they will be flat in this one and I think that West Virginia will be able to score enough to run away with this one in the second half.
3-Unit Play. Take #371 San Jose State (+14) over Wyoming (2 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
These are two of the worst teams in the Mountain West. But I do not think that Wyoming deserves to be this big of a favorite. I think that the Cowboys will win this game. But I think it will be close to the final seconds. San Jose State beat Wyoming last year. That Cowboys team had NFL first round draft pick Josh Allen at quarterback. San Jose State has actually beaten Wyoming in three straight meetings since 2013. The Spartans are coming off their first win of the season, beating UNLV. The week before that they only lost by three points at San Diego State. SDSU is one of the best teams in the league. San Jose State also has close losses to Colorado State, Hawaii and Oregon. Wyoming is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games. They are 1-4 SU in their last five games. I do think they will win. But I do not think that this game will be a blowout at all and I will take the points with the Spartans.
3-Unit Play. Take #387 Iowa State (-14.5) over Kansas (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 3)
Iowa State is hot. They have won three straight games. They are on a 4-0 ATS run. This team is coming off wins over Oklahoma State, West Virginia and Texas Tech. They are stepping down to face Kansas. The Jayhawks are coming off a huge win over TCU. That was a bit upset for the Jayhawks as 13.5-point underdogs. But Kansas is still one of the worst programs and one of the weakest teams in college football and I don't think that they will play well in back-to-back weeks. Before they had lost to TUC they had lost four straight games by an average of 22 points per game. The Jayhawks are just 3-10 ATS after a win. They are not used to winning games and this team struggles to play well in back-to-back weeks. They are 8-21 ATS after an ATS win. Kansas is 8-20 ATS against teams with a winning record and Iowa State is 7-3 ATS against teams with a losing record. The Cyclones are 23-6 ATS in their last 29 games overall and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. They will take care of Kansas here. Lay the points.
4-Unit Play. Take #389 Texas A&M (+4) over Auburn (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 3)
I like the underdog in this game. Auburn has been one of the most disappointing teams in college football this season throughout the whole country. This is a team that was hoping to compete for the college football playoffs. They have lost two of their last three games and that includes an ugly home loss to a terrible Tennessee team, 30-24. Auburn is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven games. They are coming off a bye week but I think that they will be rusty. Texas A&M had won three in a row before taking a tough loss at Mississippi State last week. Jimbo Fisher has turned this team around quickly and they are now 7-2 ATS in their last nine games. The road team has been the play in this series. The road team has won six straight meetings outright! The road team is 6-0 ATS. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings and Auburn is just 1-4 ATS in its last five home games. I think this will be a close game. I will take the points and look for the Aggies to get another win.
6-Uni Play. Take #397 Liberty (+2.5) over Massachusetts (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
The wrong team is favored in this game! I like Liberty to win this one outright. This line opened with Massachusetts at +3 and the line has dropped. That tells me where the sharp money is coming in this game. Massachusetts has won just two of its last 10 games. They are coming off a big win over Connecticut last week. That was one of their biggest games of the year and they played one of their best games of the season. Two weeks ago this team was favored over Coastal Carolina at home and they lost 24-13. I think they will have a letdown in this game after beating the Huskies. Liberty has won three of its last four games. They are playing their best football right now. The Flames are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games. Massachusetts is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight games. This game is not on many people's card this week. But I think there is a lot of value with the road team and I like Liberty to win this one outright. Take the points.
3-Unit Play. Take #420 LSU (+14.5) over Alabama (8 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
I will take the points in this one. This is the biggest game in college football this week. Alabama is No. 1 and LSU is No. 4. These teams are too close in talent for a two touchdown spread. And the sharp action in this game is taking the points. LSU pulled the upset over the last Top 10 team that they faced in Baton Rouge when Georgia came down and the Tigers beat them 36-16 as 7-point underdogs. LSU also went on the road and beat Auburn as a 10-point underdog and they blew out Miami 33-17 as a 3-point underdog. This team has been undervalued this year and they are going to play tough in this game. Alabama has played a terrible schedule this year. They have played one of the easiest schedules in the country. The only two teams they have played that will go to a bowl game are Missouri and Texas A&M. Their other six opponents are some of the worst teams in the country. Over the last 15 years only one game in this series has been decided by more than two touchdowns. The last four meetings have been decided by two touchdowns or less and I think that will continue here. LSU is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 SEC games and 7-3 ATS at home. They are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games. Take the points.
Allen Eastman
Strike Point Sports
3-Unit Play. Take #330 Kentucky (+9) over Georgia (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
This Kentucky team is solid on both sides of the ball and they will give Georgia all they can handle this weekend. The team from the blue belt has only given up more than 19 points twice all season long and that was only 20 points each time. Kentucky knows how to defend and they know how to get teams to play at their pace throughout a football game. The Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record which bodes well in this matchup. Look for this game to be much closer than the line says.
3-Unit Play. Take #327 Syracuse (-6) over Wake Forest (12 p.m., Saturday, November 3)
The Orange are ranked for the first time in seemingly forever (2001) and they deserve to be. They are 6-2 but could very easily be undefeated this season. Their losses are to Clemson and Pittsburgh but Cuse was in both games until literally the final seconds. Dino Babers has this team humming along offensively and that should continue this week against Wake. The Demon Deacons are fresh off a beating of Louisville last week but they do not have enough on either side of the ball to stay with the Orangemen. This will be as simple as if Syracuse comes to play because if they do they will run away and hide.
5-Unit Play. Take #345 Boston College (-2) over Virginia Tech (3:45 p.m., Saturday, November 3)
Boston College is playing very well right now and with a 6-2 record they are one of the top teams in the ACC so they cannot afford to let down against a mediocre Hokie squad. Going to Blacksburg is never an easy task but the Eagles have a team that can go anywhere and compete so expect a great effort from Steve Addazio's team. Va Tech has dropped two of three and have some ugly performances on this season's resume, including a loss to FCS ODU. This is not the normal Virginia Tech team and with the physicality and effort BC plays with coupled with the 49-0 blasting the Eagles took last time they came to play here this should be an easy BC W.
2-Unit Play. Take ##351 West Virginia (+2) over Texas (3:30 p.m., Saturday, November 3)
This is one of the best games on the College slate this weekend and has a ton of Big 12 implications. WVU is 6-1, ranked 13th and in a tie with Oklahoma for the conference top spot so a game in Texas is huge for Will Grier and company and the veteran gunslinger will be ready. Grier lost his chance to get a win in this game last year when a broken throwing hand sent him to the bench early in the game so he will have so extra incentive this time around. Texas is coming off a tough 38-35 loss to Oklahoma State and need to keep pace with WVU and OU in the standings so they will be a little tight. This game will have a postseason New Years Day type of vibe so take the points but don't be shocked if the mountaineers take this one outright.
Jason Sharpe
CFB-
Saturday November 3rd 2018-
7 Unit Play Take #397 Liberty +2 over Massachusetts (3:30pm est):
This is game being overlooked by most bettors which means even more reason to look to bet on it as the line is likely off which I feel is the case in this one. Liberty has a shot at a bowl game and they know they need a win in this one if they want to go bowling. The Flames are a decent 4-3 overall currently on the season and a closer looks shows this team hasn't looked bad either. They crushed an Old Dominion team 52-10 in their season opener and that ODU squad is about as good as this UMass squad that Liberty plays against in this game. Liberty got beat in their 2nd game by what's turned out to be a very good Army team but Liberty did finish -3 in turnovers in that game and they were in that game until the 4th quarter. Liberty did split a very difficult two game road stretch against New Mexico and New Mexico State in consecutive weeks but what made that even tougher was all the travel Liberty had to deal with going back and forth each time to play in the elevation plus both of those of teams had the additional advantage of having had a bye and two weeks to prepare and rest up for what was likely a fatigued Liberty squad. The Flames have won their last two contests coming into this one with one over a solid Troy team and the other over what is a very good FCS team in Idaho State. Making things even better for Liberty is the fact they now have the big advantage of the late season bye week to get rested and healed up before this game here.
UMass comes in 3-6 overall on the season. The big story for the Minutemen here is they lost their starting quarterback Andrew Ford to a season ending injury two weeks ago. That loss is huge as Ford was a three year starter who's thrown for nearly 7,000 career yards. In their game last week without Ford the UMass offense struggled scoring just 22 points against an awful Connecticut defense that's ranked 130th out of 130 teams in yards per game. Speaking of bad defenses, the Minutemen aren't much better than that as they come into this game 122nd overall defensively.
Take Liberty plus the points here.
5 Unit Play Take #417 Florida Atlantic +2.5 over Florida International (7:30pm est):
Florida Atlantic should be a motivated and angry team coming into this one as they are off back to back losses and their head coach Lane Kiffin has been very upset with how they have been playing of late. FAU was a team that was picked by all to win the Conference USA title before the season yet come into this game at just 3-5 overall on the season but overall this is a team that isn't as bad as they've looked either. Their first two losses came on the road against two of the top teams in the country (Central Florida and Oklahoma). They also lost a one point game on the road to a decent Middle Tennessee State team, in another defeat they were -5 in turnovers on the road at Marshall and last week they were without their starting quarterback in their loss to Louisiana Tech. The Owls actually gained more yards than the opposition in each one of those last three defeats. On a good note FAU also expects their starting quarterback to be back for this one.
Florida International comes in a very surprising 6-2 overall on the season BUT don't be impressed by their record as a much deeper dive into FIU shows there are lots of things to question here about this team. The five FIU wins are over FBS teams with a combined 12-31 record on the season along with getting a victory over one of the worst FCS teams in the country. Incredibly all five of the FIU wins this year over FBS foes came in games where the opposing team was without it's better quarterback for major portions of the game due to an injury. The only win that FIU has over a team with a winning record this year was at home against a Middle Tennessee State team that led that game for the majority of the contest and who also lost their very good quarterback for the game in the 2nd quarter. Plus that game set-up beautifully for FIU also as they came in off a bye week, well rested with two weeks to prepare while MTSU was off back to back hard fought wins over conference powers Marshall and FAU the previous two weeks. Even the FIU losses are worse than the final scores as they scored a late meaningless touchdown against Indiana to cover the spread and their 31-17 defeat to Miami was in a game that was actually 31-0 in the middle of the 4th quarter. Also of note in that one, Miami Florida lost their starting quarterback to injury in the 1st quarter of that contest as well.
Keep in mind also these two teams are bitter rivals separated only by an hour drive time so I doubt there's much of a home field edge here for FIU in this one. Take Florida Atlantic plus the points here.
4 Unit Play Take #393 Louisiana Tech +23.5 over Mississippi State (7:30pm est):
Louisiana Tech won't be intimidated in this one as they've already played at LSU earlier this year and they covered the point spread in that game. In fact LA Tech was only getting 20.5 points in that one and they were up against a better team too than the one they face here in this contest. This is a decent program under Skip Holtz as they come into this one 6-2 on the year and have covered the spread 7 of the last 9 times that they've went up against a power five team over the years.
SEC teams have struggled in these big out of conference favorite roles over the last five years, failing to cover the spread 70% of the time they are favored by 20 points or more. Mississippi State has been no different as they have covered just 38% of the time the last 13 times in this type spot. This is also an awful sandwich game for the Bulldogs as they come in off an emotionally charged win last week over Texas A&M (at LSU the week before that) and next week they are on the road in Alabama. They had a similar situation last year playing a non-league game between Texas A&M and Alabama late in the season and they ended up only beating Massachusetts by 11 points despite the fact they were favored by 33 points in the contest.
Take Louisiana Tech plus the points here.
4 Unit Play Take #347 Michigan State -2.5 over Maryland (12:00pm est):
This is a matchup nightmare game for Maryland. The Terrapins are the ultimate bully team as they have no problems with lesser foes but when they are punched back in the mouth against bigger teams they tend to fold. When Maryland can run the football they look very good but when they've had to face a good run defense (Temple, Michigan and Iowa) they've barely put up a fight losing by 21 points or more in all three contests. Now they are up against one of the top run defenses in the country here in Michigan State.
The Spartans got a nice spark last week from their new starting quarterback while giving their starter a chance to heal up. Doesn't matter who starts this one as they now have two experienced options for this contest and if need be can go with the hot hand. The Spartans excel in these kind of street fight type games that this one is expected to be. You also have to wonder how much all of the turmoil around the Maryland program has effected their preparation for this game.
3 Unit Play Take #389 Texas A&M +4 over Auburn (12:00pm est):
Simple handicap here as we have the better team getting more than a field goal. Texas A&M fell short last week but they were in that game until the end. They have the much better resume of these two teams this season overall. I like 1st year head coaches later in the season also like we have here with the Aggies as this is one you seen them improve especially after a week or two after their bye. Auburn hasn't looked right all season as they've failed to live up to expectations this year and have been overvalued most of the season.
Take Texas A&M plus the points here.Take Michigan State in this one.
3 Unit Play Take #378 Louisiana Monroe +7.5 over Georgia Southern (3:00pm est):
This one sets up perfectly for Louisiana Monroe as they comes into this one winners of back to back games and off a bye week. They will have a very important extra week here to prepare for Georgia Southern's option offense. Georgia Southern comes in off their big upset win last week at home over Appalachian State. The Eagles caught a big break in that game as App State lost it's star quarterback in the 1st half of that contest due to an injury to go along with their big +5 turnover margin in the contest.
Take Louisiana Monroe plus the points here.
3 Unit Play Take #339 Duke +9.5 over Miami Florida (7:00pm est):
I still like this Duke team a lot despite their loss last week at Pittsburgh. That was a very difficult spot for the Blue Devils as they faced a physical Pitt team who was rested off a bye and a loss in their previous game. Duke had their chances in that one but ran out of gas late as they were outscored 19-3 in the final quarter. This is the role that head coach David Cutcliffe gets the most out of his team as they are 20-10 ATS the last six years as an underdog including 3-0 this season so far and winning all three games outright. Miami Florida has underachieved most of this season. The Hurricanes come into this one having covered just once in their last five games and they caught some major breaks in that one winning the turnover margin by +4 in that game.
Take Duke plus the points.
Expert College Football Picks History:
Doc's Sports
3 Unit Play. Take #329 Georgia Bulldogs -9 over Kentucky Wildcats (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 3 CBS) Kentucky has been winning games with smoke and mirrors and expect that to come to an end today in Lexington. Georgia has an explosive offense and Kentucky will not be able to keep pace with them for 60 minutes.4 Unit Play. Take #338 Florida Gators -6 over Missouri Tigers (4p.m., Saturday, November 3 SECN) Expect Florida to bounce back in a big way after losing to Georgia last Saturday in Jacksonville. The Tigers have trouble when playing conference opponents (0-4) and have trouble moving the football against teams with speed on defense. The Gators have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games. The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 SEC games. Florida jumps on them early and wins this game by double digits.
4 Unit Play. Take #347 Michigan State Spartans -2.5 over Maryland Terrapins (12p.m., Saturday, November 3 ESPN 2) The Spartans have the defense that can contain the Terrapins, and they become bowl eligible after a victory on Saturday. Maryland is 3-19 ATS in their last 22 games following a victory in their previous game. QB Rocky Lombardi appeared to give the Spartans life on offense last week, and look for that to continue this Saturday. This game comes down to the fact that Michigan State is great at stopping the run, and if that holds true again they will win this game going away. Maryland is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record.
3 Unit Play. Take #349 Oklahoma Sooners -13.5 over Texas Tech Red Raiders (8p.m., Saturday, November 3 ABC) The Sooners are starting to turn it on and put up 702 total yards against Kansas State last Saturday. They will not be able to fully shut down the Red Raiders in this game, but I truly believe they will outscore them and win this game by double digits. Oklahoma has played two great games after losing to Texas, and they have scored 53.5 points per game over their last 4. The Sooners have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games played in November.
7 Unit Play. Take #377 Georgia Southern Eagles -7.5 over ULM Warhawks (3p.m., Saturday, November 3 ESPN 3) TOP COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAY OF THE WEEK. The Eagles continue to cover spread (7-1 ATS run), and the oddsmakers cannot get a handle on the talent they have. They will enter this game having won five straight games and have been controlling the time of possession in nearly every game that they play. Georgia Southern has beaten ULM all three times they have faced each other as conference opponents. This selection is simple, ULM has trouble stopping the run and Georgia Southern is an outstanding triple-option team. The Warhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. The Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played in the month of November.
3 Unit Play. Take #382 Oregon Ducks -10 over UCLA Bruins (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 3 FOX) The Chip Kelly game takes place Saturday afternoon in Eugene, OR. The Ducks laid an egg last week in Tucson and need to bounce back in a big way against an inferior opponent. UCLA is in full rebuild mode, and they will enter this game having lost 10 of their last 11 conference road games by an average of 16 points per game. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between UCLA and Oregon. Many fans are still skeptical about Mario Cristobal, and this can be his chance for a statement win against a former coach that has great success with Oregon.
3 Unit Play. Take #420 LSU Tigers +14.5 over Alabama Crimson Tide (8p.m., Saturday, November 3 CBS) Just too many points for Alabama to be giving on the road against a team full of athletes on defense. It will be important that LSU not beat themselves in this game with turnovers and special teams. Coach Orgeron is 15-4 in SEC games, and this is likely the only chance Alabama has to lose a game during the regular season. There is just something special about night games in Baton Rouge, and the fans will be into the game from the start. Alabama is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of November. LSU is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games.
Robert Ferringo
THURSDAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTIONS7-Unit Play. Take #313 Temple (+12) over Central Florida (7:30 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 1)
I think it might be time for Central Florida to lose. They've won 20 straight games. But it is tough to be undefeated this late in the season because that noose starts to tighten and the pressure starts to mount. The value on this team is all but gone. And even though they have had two weeks to prepare for this game I still don't think that they will be as sharp as normal. UCF has been outgained in each of its last two games, road wins over East Carolina and Memphis. That right there tells me that they are starting to run out of road a bit. And other than that win over Memphis - which came after falling behind by 13 points - Central Florida hasn't played a single good team this year. Not one. Temple is tough. They hammered Maryland (the same team that beat Texas). They really outplayed Boston College in a loss. They won at Navy. They beat 7-1 Cincinnati. This is a veteran team that is not scared about traveling down to Florida to take on the defending conference champions in prime time. This is a lot of points and it suggests that this will not be a competitive game. But Temple is 35-16 ATS in its last 51 games, an amazing 41-18 ATS in its last 59 road games, and an unbelievable 22-5 ATS in its last 27 conference games. I take nothing away from the Golden Knights. (After all, they are the defending national champions.) But I just think that this is too many points for a game that I 100 percent believe that Temple can pull an upset in. The public loves Central Florida here, with bettors taking the home team by a 2-to-1 clip. But I am going to go the other way, call for the outright upset, and take the points with the Owls.
FRIDAY FOOTBALL SELECTION
3-Unit Play. Take #320 Arizona (-3) over Colorado (10:30 p.m., Friday, Nov. 2)
Arizona has a losing record on the season. The majority of the action from the public is on Colorado. Yet the Wildcats are still favored in this game. Those are some red flags to me. Arizona is better than its record. They definitely should've won at UCLA (which would put them at 5-4) and this team is still harboring bowl hopes. Arizona is coming off its best game of the year, a 44-15 whitewashing of Oregon, and now they get a primetime home game. I think they will come to play. Colorado has dumped three straight games. And the more you look at their schedule the more you see zero impressive wins. Not only did they lose last week, but they had one of the biggest collapses in Pac-12 history, losing outright at home to Oregon State as a 25-point favorite after blowing a 31-3 lead with nine minutes left in the third quarter. Losses like that have a way of lingering. And now they are on the road in a place they don't play well, facing a team on an upswing. Arizona went on the road and beat a better Colorado team last season. And the Wildcats have won five of the last six meetings in this series. I like Arizona to get it done again.
SATURDAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTION
2-Unit Play. Take #329 Georgia (-8) over Kentucky (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
I'm not buying Kentucky. You are high if you think that the Wildcats are the ninth-best team in the country, as the college football playoff rankings have them. That's insane. What have they done to garner that ranking? Barely beat Missouri and Vanderbilt by a combined eight points? Or was it their loss at Texas A&M, in a game in which they were outgained by 200 yards, that so impressed the voters? SEC football is the most overrated thing in sports. I don't love Georgia. But they have a roster full of top recruits. They are big and strong and physical and they have absolutely manhandled teams this year. Every win they have had has come by double-digits. In fact, over the last two years their only two wins by fewer than 10 points came at Notre Dame and against Oklahoma in the Rose Bowl. Kentucky isn't Notre Dame or Oklahoma! Sorry, but I'm not buying UK and I think they will get squashed somewhere in the 26-10 range.
3-Unit Play. Take #347 Michigan State (-2.5) over Maryland (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 3)
Maryland is an absolute mess right now. I don't know how this team could be focused on a very good Michigan State team after all the distractions they have been dealing with this week behind D.J. Durkin. He was reinstated, then fired two days later amidst a possible player mutiny. It is chaos. This team has held things together pretty well this season, all things considered. But Michigan State is not screwing around. They are 5-3 and desperate and they don't give a damn about Maryland's issues. Maryland's win over Texas in the opener was an absolute fluke. And past that their conference wins have come against Minnesota, Rutgers and Illinois. That's pretty gross. Michigan State is the far superior team here and they should be able to hold their focus and get a road win.
3-Unit Play. Take #358 Illinois (+9.5) over Minnesota (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
Illinois is a joke. Lovie Smith has been terrible as a coach at Illinois. This is one of the worst football programs in the country. But all that being said, I still don't see how they are nearly 10-point home underdogs to Minnesota. The Golden Gophers aren't any good. And they certainly aren't any good on the road (1-6 ATS in L7 road games). Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last five games and that win came over Indiana, at home. Illinois has played a much tougher schedule than the Golden Gophers. And, really, the Illini have beaten the teams they were supposed to and lost to the teams that they were supposed to this year. I think this is too many points here and the underdog is 6-3 ATS in this series.
1-Unit Play. Take #386 Washington (-10) over Stanford (9 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
1-Unit Play. Take #373 California (+10) over Washington State (10:45 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
Again, Washington State is not the No. 8 team in the country. They just aren't. I don't care what the CFP Poll says. As such, this is just a blind play against an overrated team. I will be betting against the Cougars the rest of the way. And the only reason this isn't a bigger play is because Cal is in a letdown spot here after pulling an upset over Washington last week.
3-Unit Play. Take #402 Connecticut (+18) over Tulsa (7 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
Whoa. Who the hell is Tulsa going to beat by three touchdowns? I know Connecticut is bad. But look at their schedule. These guys have played one of the most difficult schedules in the country. It's no wonder they have just one win. But Tulsa only has one win too! Both teams have beaten one FCS opponent this year and Connecticut actually beat Tulsa in the matchup of these teams last year. Both teams play terrible, horrible defense. But that gives these points some more value. Tulsa is not big or strong. They aren't going to just push Connecticut around and manhandle them. And if the Huskies can move the ball a little bit and put some points on the board I think they will find a way to hang around in this one. About 75 percent of the action on this game is on Tulsa. Why? I don't see it and I think that this is way too many points.
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #332 Cincinnati (-6) over Navy (3:30 p.m.) AND Take #337 Missouri (+13) over Florida (4 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #355 Notre Dame (-2.5) over Northwestern (7 p.m.) AND Take #329 Georgia (-1) over Kentucky (3:30 p.m.)
Carpe diem. Good luck.
Indian Cowboy
8-Unit Play. #386. Take Washington Huskies -9.5 over Stanford (Saturday @ 9pm est)The Washington Huskies remember last year's loss to the Stanford Cardinal and will be absolutely fired up here and will likely do very well this weekend. Remember, you have a squad here that comes off it's worst offensive output of the year scoring just 10 points at Cal. Remember, this team scored just 16 points against Auburn in the opening week and then bounced-back nicely with over 40 points in their next game. As this team comes off scoring just 10 points last week, look for them to be angry and motivated to do well here against a Cardinal team who they lost to 22-30 last year. Washington is the same team that beat BYU 35-7, Colorado by 2 touchdowns and still sports a top 15 defense and still top 60 in passing yards in the nation. This team is top 30 in stopping the run as well. You combine that with Stanford who is outside the top 100 in overall offense and top 115 in passing defense and outside the top 80 in defense in general and it sets up for a great opportunity for Washington to do well here on the bounce-back and with revenge.
6-Unit Play #327. Take Syracuse -6.5 over Wake Forrest (Saturday @ 12pm est)
Syracuse gave up 60+ points to Wake Forrest last year and has lost back to back years to Wake and will be more than motivated to do well here. This is a Wake Forrest team that comes off scoring 50+ points last week as well and they are in for a classic let down here as they return home to face a Syracuse team looking for a little payback and a Syracuse team that sports a top 15 offense and top 10 in points scored. Wake Forrest can certainly run the ball but they are outside the top 80 in passing and at the end of the day, I think Syracuse just scores a few times more and that will make the difference in this high scoring affair here. Remember, Wake lost 17-38 to FSU, lost 27-56 to Notre Dame, lost 3-63 to Clemson and they are not a stranger to gettign blown out. Syracuse probably wins this game by 10-13 points this weekend.
Raphael Esparza (VSI)
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYS4 Unit Play. Take #330 Kentucky +9.5 over Georgia (3:30p.m., Saturday November 3 CBS)
Lexington Kentucky will host the biggest home game in the history of Kentucky football Saturday afternoon at Kroger Field and this game will have the 'Upset Alert' from kickoff. I know the Georgia Bulldogs beat Kentucky last year 42-13 but this Wildcats defense is so much better then last year and the defense keeps this game close and again we could see an upset in Lexington. Give me the plus points and Big Blue Nation to cover this home underdog number.
2 Unit Play. Take #347 Michigan St -2.5 over Maryland (12:00p.m., Saturday November 3 ESPN2)
The locker room and the outside noise around the Maryland football team is the reason why we are fading the Terps in this home game. Michigan St had a big home win last week beating Purdue 23-13 and the Spartans defense will cause the Terps tons of problems on Saturday. Michigan St takes this game and again defense will bee the big reason!
3 Unit Play. Take #373 Over 49.5 California at Washington St (10:45p.m., Saturday November 3 ESPN)
This play is all on the offense at home that Washington St will produce and lets throw in that the Cougars 8 games this year 6 of them have gone over the total. I know Cal is coming off a big home win against Washington last week winning 12-10 but their last road game they beat Oregon St 49-7 and if the Cal Bears want to hang around in this game they will need to score with the Cougars. Washington St is 7-1 O/U against a team with a winning record and too much offense on the Cougars side for the Cal Bears.
3 Unit Play. Take #382 Oregon -10 over UCLA (7:30p.m., Saturday November 3 FOX)
Ducks QB Justin Herbert is now probable for this home game against UCLA and if Herbert gets hot this game will have the same outcome Utah had against UCLA. Oregon is coming off back-to-back losses but both of those games were on the road and the last time Oregon were at home they beat Washington 30-27. Ducks win and win big at home! UCLA is 5-12 ATS in their last 7 road games and the favorite in this series is 5-1 ATS.
6 Unit Play. Take #418 Florida INTL -2.5 over FAU (7:30p.m., Saturday November 3)
Seems like it was yesterday when FAU at home beat up FIU 52-24 and yesterday was last year and paybacks will be painful this year. It was no secret that Head Coach Lane Kiffin rang up the score last year against the Panthers and with this game being played at Riccardo Silva Stadium home field will hold. FAU has injuries on both sides of the ball and the FAU Owls are only 1-7 ATS this season and last week they lost at home to Louisiana Tech. FIU has won 4-Straight and last week we had the Panthers beating/covering the Hilltoppers and I see the same outcome happening Saturday night. Paybacks are a bitch and wouldn't shock me to see the FIU Golden Panthers pile up the scoreboard at home against the Owls. The Owls are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games and the Golden Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Also, the home team has covered 5-straight meetings and this trend continues tonight.
Tony George
Thursday Nov 1 College Football3 Units - #313 Temple / #314 UCF (Under 60) 11/1 *7:30 EST
Temples defense is solid. They just shut down Cincy. UFC has QB issues as Milton is down and doubtful, and if he plays he will not be at full strength. Temple will run it right at UFC and eat clock to keep the Knights highly versatile spread offense off the field as much as possible. UFC 4-0 ATS on Unders their last 4 games. My Power rating has this line at 55, that is a 6-point overlay which is almost a TD.
FRIDAY 11/2 ? College Football
3 Units ? #317 Western Kentucky / #318 Middle Tennessee (OVER 53) *8EST
Both teams allowing over 400 yards per game and every single trend is over here. MTSU is a decent team but should clean up against Western Kentucky here who has 1 win. This is always a shootout, the last 6 have went over with ease. Most lines higher than this. Over has cashed the last 4 meetings at MTSU as well.
SATURDAY ? November 3rd
4 Units ? #338 Florida (-6) over Missouri *4 EST
Drew Lock and the Tigers had ZERO first downs in the second half at home in a wild loss to Kentucky last week. Drew Lock for all his accolades is 0-9 against Top 25 teams at Mizzou, that will not serve him well in the draft this upcoming year. Add in the fact we are getting a line under a TD against a bad road team because Florida got their doors blown off by Georgia last week. Mizzou 0-3 ATS on the road this year and the Gators have not forgotten the butt kick Mizzou gave them last year 45-16 as a 1.5 point favorite and at home should rebound nicely with a 10-14 point win here.
7 Units - #347 Michigan State (-2.5) over Maryland *12 Noon EST
Maryland coach DJ Durkin who was suspended returned this week in a big surprise to all, and many players were upset and walked out of a meeting this week. Then on Wednesday they fired him, causing a national debate, just a ton off the field going on at Maryland. Lots of distraction. MSU is still a good team despite recent setbacks, just not an elite team and I cannot count on Maryland to have full focus here despite kicking the snot out of Illinois last week. Purdue who has stepped it up lost to the hands of Sparty last week by 10, as Sparty got their feet back under them. Maryland runs the ball and really cannot throw it and MSU is one of the best in the nation at stopping the run allowing 77 ypg. A 7-10 point road win here in my opinion and a weak line.
3 Units - #393 -LA Tech (+23.5) vs Miss St *7:30 EST
All about scheduling spots. We had LA tech earlier this year against LSU and not only covered but outgained them. LA tech was also a free play last week as a dog and won outright on Friday, so an added day to prep. Miss St has Alabama on deck, and just played LASU and Texas AM. Sandwich game no doubt and LA Tech is no joke as a lesser team and are 21-7 ATS as dogs their last 28 games. LA Tech is also 4-1 ATS their last 5 road games.
3 Units ? #335 Georgia Tech (-6) over North Carolina *12:15 EST
The Tarheels just a dumpster fire and the rambling wreck triple option will pose numerous issues for NC. Last year GT beat them 33-7 and laid 9 points. What has changed? GT just lit up Virginia Techs defense for 49 at Blacksburg, what can they put up against NC who already lost to VT this year? I am unclear of the final score but GT should put up 35.
4 Units ? #421 Fresno St (-25.5) over UNLV *10:30 EST
Bear in mind UNLV upset Fresno last year in Fresno and this is payback. UNLV needs no introduction, they are a complete dumpster fire now that Rogers is out at QB, 0-4 SU and just got beat at home by one of the worst teams in CFB in San Jose St last week. Fresno will have no mercy here and clearly are 4+ TDs better here and with revenge on their mind and some payback, we will find a dialed in Fresno steam here, and this is DOUBLE REVENGE spot as UNLV has beat them 2 years in a row and 3 out of the last 4. Fresno has won their last 3 games against better teams by 24,31, and 30. Total blowout. 45-7 type game. Fresno 17-3-2 ATS run under Jeff Tedford, a solid head coach. Bet early ? line will climb.
Vernon Croy
5-Unit Play. Take #318 Middle Tenn State -13.5 over Western Kentucky (Friday, November 2nd at 8:00 PM ET)Take Middle Tenn State ATS as my 5-Unit CFB Smash for Friday night. This pick falls into one of my top CFB systems and I have the Blue Raiders winning this game by 20+ points Friday night. The Blue Raiders are hands down the superior team here and they are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games when playing a team with a losing record on the road. The Hilltoppers are just 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games after a loss and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games played between these two teams. This is a Hilltoppers team that lost to Charlotte by 26 points, which is the same Charlotte team that the Blue Raiders beat by 7 points. Play Middle Tenn State ATS.
8-Unit Play. Take #330 Kentucky +9.5 over Georgia (Saturday, November 3rd at 3:30 PM ET)
Take Kentucky ATS as my 8-Unit CFB Game of the Year for Saturday. This pick falls into one of my top CFB systems and I have the Wildcats pulling off the upset at home Saturday. The Wildcats are the superior defensive team here allowing just 13 ppg overall and 10.8 ppg at home this season. The Wildcats have also allowed just 295.6 ypg and just 272.6 ypg at home this season. The Wildcats have allowed just 2.8 ppg in the second half at home this season and just 4.1 second half points overall this season which shows that this defense does not let up. The Wildcats have averaged 250 rushing yards per game at home this season and 214 rushing yards overall which will also help keep the Bulldogs offense off the field Saturday. The Wildcats have also completed 62.5% of their pass plays this season while holding opponents to completing just 53.6% of their passes. The Bulldogs have allowed 24.7 ppg on the road this season and 369.7 ypg on the road. If the Wildcats can win the turnover battle there is no reason why they can't win outright at home Saturday. Play Kentucky ATS.
Scott Spreitzer
3-Unit Play: Take 331 Navy +14 over Cincinnati (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)I'm taking the double digits with Navy on Saturday. It's virtual must win time for the Midshipmen if they plan on bowling at the end of the year. They've taken their share of lumps but the ground game is improving and they're facing a Bearcats team that doesn't build on leads and has been involved in several close games, including winning their last 2 games but not before going to OT. Navy's attack keeps this one close throughout in our opinion The Middies have been known for turning up the heat in November and Cincy has covered just 4 of their last 18 home games. We're grabbing the points with Navy on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
3-Unit Play: Take 334 Ohio St. -18 over Nebraska (12 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
I'm laying the points with the Buckeyes on Saturday. Urban Meyer has had 2 weeks to prep for the Huskers and more importantly, to get after his team after their ugly loss to Purdue. Nebraska's offense has kicked it into gear, but the defense still lacks the talent it needs to compete with the Big-10's best (see games against Michigan & Wisconsin). The Buckeyes ground game has struggled, but you can bet Meyer and company worked on it during the bye week...and once Haskins rips the Nebraska secondary up top, the ground game should flourish. Ohio State has crushed Nebraska in the last 2 meetings and we expect a wide margin win again. I'm laying the points with Ohio State on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
4-Unit Play: Take 363 Tulane +7.5 over South Florida (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
I'm taking the points with Tulane on Saturday. We are going against the Bulls for the second straight week (won last week with Houston). The Bulls are off a bubble-bursting loss and have to get back on track against a decent and undervalued Tulane team. USF simply plays no defense and were one of the bigger undefeated frauds we've seen in some time. They had close calls against UConn and Tulsa and once the schedule of creampuffs was completed, the Bulls true level reared its ugly head. Tulane is not only undervalued but they need 3 wins for bowl eligibility. They own the ground game to pound away at the suspect USF defense and control the flow of this game. USF enters on a 1-8 ATS slide in conference play and we'll go against them again. I'm grabbing the points with Tulane on Saturday.
7-Unit Play: Take 387 Iowa State -14.5 over Kansas (12 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
I'm laying the points with Iowa State on Saturday. This marks the third time we'll have backed the Cyclones since Brock Purdy took over at QB and so far we're 2-0. They own the best RB in the conference in David Montgomery and have averaged nearly 40 ppg and over 450 yards per game with Purdy at the helm. He can run...and he can be counted on to deliver the pass when needed. Kansas comes in off a misleading win over TCU. The fact is, the Jayhawks are horrible on offense and own an even worse defense. They were out-gained by nearly 200 yards in the 27-26 win over TCU. The Horned Frogs gained 504 yards and held KU to 307. TCU QB Michael Collins completed 23 of 33 passes for 351 yards but the Horned Frogs committed untimely turnovers and that was the difference. Before the win, KU had allowed 134 points during a 3 game losing streak, losing by an average margin of 23 ppg. They're 100th in passing yards per game and 96th running the football. KU gained just 58 yards on 38 carries last week and have averaged just 2.5 yards per carry in their last 3 games. KU was also out-gained by an average of 522-304 in those 3 contests. We're betting Iowa State rolls in Lawrence. The Cyclones enter on a 20-5-1 ATS conference run and they're on an 8-1-1 spread run on the road. I'm laying the points with Iowa State on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
3-Unit Play: Take 393 Louisiana Tech +23.5 over Miss. St. (7:30 p.m., Sat. Nov. 3)
I'm taking the points with Louisiana Tech on Saturday night. If you've ever wondered what a true sandwich spot is in college football, look no further than this game for the perfect example. Miss State is off a big win over Texas A&M last weekend and they have a date with top-ranked Alabama next. Doing enough to win without doing a whole lot more is likely the situation the SEC entry is in this week. The fact they have zero passing game (107th in the nation) means a fast moving ground and pound contest with little chance to extend the lead to a wide enough margin to cover this number. You may recall the scare La Tech gave LSU earlier this season. The Tigers pulled away for a 17 point win, but it was a 3 point game almost midway through the 4th quarter. La Tech actually out-gained LSU. La Tech has been a bankroll building road warrior, entering on a 37-17 ATS run in their last 54 road games and they're on an 8-2 ATS run against SEC opponents. We'll take the points with Louisiana Tech on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Alan Harris
5 Unit Play. Take #309 Ohio -3.5 over Western Michigan (7:00 PM, Thursday, November 1, ESPN U)The Ohio Bobcats will look for their third win in a row and their fifth in their last six games when they hit the road to take on the Western Michigan Broncos at Waldo Stadium in Kalamazoo, MI on Thursday night. Ohio has posted a 6-2 ATS record in their last eight games following an ATS win and they have gone an excellent 7-3 ATS in their last ten MAC games. They have also covered the number in thirteen of their last nineteen road games and they are an impressive 12-2 ATS in their last fourteen Thursday night contests. Western Michigan, on the other hand, has struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone just 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games and they are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games where they faced a team with a winning record on the road. They have also failed to cover the number in six of their last eight games following a straight up loss by 20 points or more and they are an awful 1-5 ATS in their last six MAC games. Throw in the fact that the Bobcats are a lights out 14-2 ATS in their last sixteen games where they faced a team with a winning % of .500 or higher and we?re going to lay the points with them here to get the road win and cover in Michigan on Thursday night.
2 Unit Play. Take #311 Northern Illinois -6 over Akron (7:00 PM, Thursday, November 1, CBS Sports Network)
4 Unit Play. Take #313 Temple +11 over Central Florida (7:30 PM, Thursday, November 1, ESPN)
2 Unit Play. Take #313/314 Temple vs Central Florida Over 58.5
Temple has posted a perfect 5-0 ATS record in their last five road games where they faced a team with a winning record and home and they have gone an excellent 41-18 ATS in their last 59 road games overall. They have also covered the number in seven of their last eight Thursday night games and they are an impressive 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win. UCF, on the other hand, has struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have failed to cover the number in five of their last six games played in the month of November. They also haven?t been as good over the last month or so compared to how they were in the beginning of the season as their yards per game are down about 100 yards over their last four games. Throw in the fact that the Owls are an insane 22-5 ATS in their last 27 AAC games and we?re going to take the points with them here in a game that we have a bit closer than the odds makers do in Orlando on Thursday night.
2 Unit Play. Take #313/314 Pittsburgh vs Virginia Over 48.5 (7:30 PM, Friday, November 2, ESPN 2)
4 Unit Play. Take #317/318 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee St Over 53 (8:00 PM, Friday, November 2)
3 Unit Play. Take #318 Middle Tennessee St -13.5 over Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky has posted a 5-1 record to the over in their last six conference games and they have gone an excellent 6-1 to the over in their last seven Friday night games. Middle Tennessee has been an over team as well in the spot they are in here on Friday as they have gone 5-1 to the over in their last six games following a straight up win by 20 points or more and they are 8-1 to the over in their last nine games following a game where they scored 40 points or more. Throw in the fact these two teams are a perfect 6-0 to the over in their last six head to head meetings and that?s where we?ll have our play as we expect both teams, especially the Hilltoppers to have a hard time getting defensive stops in Murfreesboro on Friday night.
As for the side, the Blue Raiders have posted a 4-1 ATS record in their last five games where they faced a team with a winning record and they have that same 4-1 ATS record in their last five home games. Western Kentucky, on the other hand, has struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Friday as they have gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five conference games and they have that same 1-4 ATS record in their last five versus a team with a winning % of .500 or higher. Throw in the fact that Middle is 6-1 ATS in their last seven at home when facing a team with a losing record on the road while Western is just 4-11-1 ATS off a straight up loss and we?re going to lay the points here with the Blue Raiders in a game that our numbers have them winning by 20+ at home on Friday night.
2 Unit Play. Take #320 Arizona -3 over Colorado (10:30 PM, Friday, November 2, FS1)
3 Unit Play. Take #327 Syracuse -6 over Wake Forest (12:00 PM, Saturday, November 3)
Syracuse has posted a 6-2-2 ATS record in their last ten games following an ATS win and they have gone an excellent 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games. They have also covered the number in four of their last five games following a game where they scored 40 points or more and they are a perfect 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. The Demon Deacons, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five ACC games and they have failed to cover the number in five of their last six home contests. They have also gone an awful 2-8 ATS in their last ten games overall and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five versus a team with a winning record. Throw in the fact that the Orange are an impressive 5-2 ATS in the last seven head to head meetings between the two schools along with the fact that the favorite is a perfect 6-0 ATS in the last six and we?re going to lay the points here with Syracuse to get the road win and cover in Winston-Salem on Saturday afternoon.
4 Unit 7-Point Teaser (-130). Take #329 Georgia -2 AND #355 Notre Dame -3 (3:30 PM, Saturday, November 3)
We don?t normally play college teasers but we like the spot for both teams here. Kentucky has been winning with smoke and mirrors all season long and it?s an absolute joke that the committee thinks that they are the 9th best team in the country. As for the Fighting Irish, they are currently in the playoff as the #4 seed and we don?t expect a slip up from them here Saturday night on the road against Northwestern. Thought about a ML Parlay here with these two but we think both cover this teaser easily and we?re getting better odds
3 Unit Play. Take #338 Florida -6 over Missouri (4:00 PM, Saturday, November 3, SEC Network)
Florida has posted a 4-1 ATS in their last five SEC games and they have gone an excellent 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. The Tigers, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five SEC games and they have failed to cover the number in each of their last four road games. Throw in the fact that the Tigers have also gone an awful 4-13 ATS in their last seventeen following a game where they allowed 20 points or less along with the fact that they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games versus a team with a winning record at home and we?re going to lay the points here with the Gators to get the home win and cover in Gainesville on Saturday afternoon.
3 Unit Play. Take #339 Duke +9.5 over Miami (FL) (7:00 PM, Saturday, November 3, ESPN 2)
Duke has posted a 4-1 ATS record in their last five road games where they faced a team with a winning record at home and they have gone an excellent 5-1 ATS in their last six road games versus a team with a winning record overall. The Hurricanes, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have gone just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss and they have failed to cover the number in six of their last seven ACC games. Throw in the fact that Miami is also an awful 0-4 ATS in their last four games versus a team with a winning % of .500 or higher while Duke is 5-2 ATS in that same spot and we?re going to take the points here with the Blue Devils in a game that we think they have a decent chance to win outright in Miami on Saturday night.
6 Unit Play. Take #345 Boston College -2 over Virginia Tech (3:45 PM, Saturday, November 3)
The Boston College Eagles will look for their third win in a row and their fourth in their last five games when they hit the road to take on the Virginia Tech Hokies at Lane Stadium in Blacksburg, VA on Saturday afternoon. The Eagles have posted a perfect 4-0 ATS record in their last four games where they faced a team with a winning record and they have gone an excellent 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games. They have also covered the number in five of their last six games following a straight up win and they are an impressive 12-3-1 ATS in their last sixteen ACC games. The Hokies, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall and they are an awful 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games following a double-digit loss at home. Throw in the fact that BC is a lights out 14-3-1 ATS in their last eighteen games overall and that they are 5-2- ATS in their last seven head to head meetings with the Hokies and we?re going to lay the points with them here to get the road win and cover in Blacksburg on Saturday afternoon.
4 Unit Play. Take #348 Maryland +2.5 over Michigan St (12:00 PM, Saturday, November 3, ESPN 2)
Tons of turmoil surrounding this Maryland team and the reinstatement and then firing of their head coach. They finally did the right thing after a student-athlete died on his watch and now we expect to see a spirited performance at home for the Terps. They have posted a 4-1 ATS record in their last five home games and get to face a Michigan St team that frankly, isn?t very good. They have only gone 1-5 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win and they are 0-4 ATS off a straight up victory. Maryland hasn?t been great by any stretch of the imagination this season but this line is fishy and really hasn?t moved much off the opener even with everything that went down. That leads us to believe the Terps are the right side and we?re going to take them plus the points in a game that we think they win outright in College Park on Saturday afternoon.
4 Unit Play. Take #363 Tulane +7 over South Florida (3:30 PM, Saturday, November 3, CBS Sports Network)
Tulane has posted a 3-1-1 ATS record in their last five games played in the month of November and they have gone an excellent 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games following a game where they allowed 20 points or less in their previous contest. South Florida, on the other hand, has struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five games versus a team with a losing record and they are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games. They have also failed to cover the number in each of their last four AAC games and they are just 1-6 ATS off a straight up loss by 20 points or more. Throw in the fact that the Bulls are also an awful 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 home games versus a team with a losing record on the road and we?re taking the points here with the Green Wave in a game that we have a bit closer than the odds makers do in Florida on Saturday afternoon.
3 Unit Play. Take #375 Marshall -2.5 over Southern Mississippi (3:00 PM, Saturday, November 3)
Marshall has posted a 4-1 ATS record in their last five games following a game where they rushed for more than 200 yards and they have gone an excellent 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games. Southern Miss, on the other hand, has struggled in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a game where they scored 20 points or less and they have failed to cover the number in ten of their last fourteen games following an ATS loss. Throw in the fact that the Thundering Herd are 6-1 in the last seven head to head meetings between the two schools and we?re going to lay the field goal or so with them here to get the road win and cover in Hattiesburg on Saturday afternoon.
4 Unit Play. Take #385 Stanford +10 over Washington (9:00 PM, Saturday, November 3, Pac-12 Network)
Stanford has posted a 4-1 ATS record in their last five road games and they have that same 4-1 ATS record in their last five road games versus a team with a winning record at home. Washington, on the other hand, has struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Saturday night. Even though they are ranked in the Top 20 or so, it?s really been kind of a lost year for a team that had playoff aspirations coming into the season. They are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss and they have failed to cover the number in four of their last five games where they faced a team with a winning record. Throw in the fact that Stanford is 4-1 ATS off a straight up loss while the Huskies are 0-5 ATS in their last five Pac-12 games and we?re going to take double digits here with the Cardinal in a game that we think they lost by seven at most in Seattle on Saturday night.
4 Unit Play. Take #393 Louisiana Tech +23.5 over Mississippi St (7:30 PM, Saturday, November 3, SEC Network)
Louisiana Tech has posted a 4-1 ATS record in their last five games where they faced a team with a winning record and they have gone an excellent 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games. They have also covered the number in five of their last seven games following a straight up win and they are an impressive 8-3 ATS in their last eleven games overall. Mississippi St, on the other hand, has struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a game where they allowed less than 100 yards on the ground and they have failed to cover the number in five of their last seven games played in the month of December. Throw in the fact that LA Tech is a lights out 8-2 ATS in their last ten games versus a team from the SEC and we?re going to take the bit number with them here with the thought that they aren?t going to get blown out in Stark Vegas on Saturday night.
4 Unit Play. Take #399 Kansas St +8.5 over TCU (3:30 PM, Saturday, November 3, FS1)
Kansas St has posted a perfect 5-0 ATS record in their last five games following a straight up loss and they have gone an excellent 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games following a game where they failed to cover the number. The Horned Frogs, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have gone just 3-8 ATS in their last eleven games where they faced a team with a losing record and they are just 1-8 ATS at home versus a team with a losing record on the road. They have also failed to cover the number in each of their last five games following a straight up loss and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall. Throw in the fact that TCU is an awful 0-7 ATS in their last seven Big 12 games and we?re going to take the points here with Kansas St in a game that we think they can win outright in Ft Worth on Saturday afternoon.
3 Unit Play. Take #401 Connecticut +18 over Tulsa (7:00 PM, Saturday, November 3, CBS Sports Network)
Tulsa has posted a 2-5 ATS record in their last seven games following a straight up loss and they are just 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. They have also failed to cover the number in six of their last eight games played on FieldTurf for whatever reason and they are an awful 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 home games where they faced a team with a road winning % of .500 or lower. Throw in the fact that for as bad as UConn has been, they have gone an impressive 10-4-1 ATS in their last fifteen road games versus a team with a losing record at home and we?re going to take the big number with them here in a game where we don?t believe a 1-7 Tulsa team should be laying this many points to anyone.
3 Unit Play. Take #406 Michigan -10.5 over Penn St (3:45 PM, Saturday, November 3, ESPN)
Michigan has posted a 4-1 ATS record in their last five games played in the month of November and they have that same 4-1 ATS record in their last five games versus a team with a winning % of .500 or higher. They have also covered the number in five of their last six Big 10 games and they are an impressive 7-1 ATS in their last eight games at the Big House. Throw in the fact that the favorite is a perfect 4-0 ATS in the last four head to head meetings between the two schools along with the fact that the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six and we?re going to lay the points here with Michigan in a game that we have them winning by 14+ in Ann Arbor on Saturday afternoon.
3 Unit Play. Take #414 Arkansas St -15 over South Alabama (3:00 PM, Saturday, November 3)
The Red Wolves have posted an 8-3 ATS record in their last eleven games played in the month of November and they have that same 8-3 ATS record in their last eleven home games where they faced a team with a losing record on the road. South Alabama, on the other hand, has been really bad in the spot they are in here as they have gone just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six following a straight up loss and they are an awful 7-19 ATS in their last 26 road games. Throw in the fact that Arkansas St is 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings between the two schools and we?re going to lay the wood here in a game where we have the Red Wolves winning by 21+ in Jonesboro on Saturday afternoon.
5 Unit Play. Take #420 LSU +15 over Alabama (8:00 PM, Saturday, November 3, CBS)
The LSU Tigers will look to hand the Alabama Crimson Tide their first loss of the season when the two teams meet at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, LA on Saturday night. The Tigers have posted a perfect 4-0 ATS record in their last four games following a game where they scored 20 points or less and they are also a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five games played in the month of November. They have also covered the number in seven of their last ten home games and they have that same 7-3 ATS record in their last ten games where they faced a team with a winning record. The Crimson Tide, for as good as they have been straight up all season, have struggled against the number in the spot they are in here on Saturday night. They have gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a game where they allowed less than 275 total yards and they have failed to cover the number in five of their last six games played in the month of November. Throw in the fact that LSU is a lights out 10-1 ATS in their last eleven SEC games and we?re going to take the big number with them here in a game that we think they lose outright but stay within the spread in Baton Rouge on Saturday night.
2 Unit Sides:
2 Unit Play. Take #323 Iowa +3 over Purdue (3:30 PM, Saturday, November 3, ESPN 2)
2 Unit Play. Take #329 Georgia -9 over Kentucky (3:30 PM, Saturday, November, CBS)
2 Unit Play. Take #331 Navy +14 over Cincinnati (3:30 PM, Saturday, November 3, ESPN U)
2 Unit Play. Take #336 North Carolina +6 over Georgia Tech (12:15 PM, Saturday, November 3)
2 Unit Play. Take #349 Oklahoma -13 over Texas Tech (8:00 PM, Saturday, November 3, ABC)
2 Unit Play. Take #371 San Jose St +14 over Wyoming (2:00 PM, Saturday, November 3)
2 Unit Play. Take #377 Georgia Southern -7.5 over UL-Monroe (3:00 PM, Saturday, November 3, ESPN 3)
2 Unit Play. Take #379 Utah -7 over Arizona St (4:00 PM, Saturday, November 3, Pac-12 Network)
2 Unit Play. Take #387 Iowa St -14.5 over Kansas (12:00 PM, Saturday, November 3)
2 Unit Play. Take #389 Texas A&M +4 over Auburn (12:00 PM, Saturday, November 3, ESPN)
2 Unit Play. Take #398 Massachusetts -2 over Liberty (3:30 PM, Saturday, November 3)
2 Unit Play. Take #411 UL Lafayette +10.5 over Troy (3:30 PM, Saturday, November 3)
2 Unit Play. Take #416 UAB -22 over Texas-San Antonio (7:30 PM, Saturday, November 3)
2 Unit Play. Take #422 UNLV +26 over Fresno St (10:30 PM, Saturday, November 3, CBS Sports Network)
2 Unit Totals:
2 Unit Play. Take #361/362 Air Force vs Army Over 42 (12:00 PM, Saturday, November 3, CBS Sports Network)
2 Unit Play. Take #363/364 Tulane vs South Florida Under 59.5 (3:30 PM, Saturday, November 3, CBS Sports Network)
2 Unit Play. Take #371/372 San Jose St vs Wyoming Over 39.5 (2:00 PM, Saturday, November 3)
2 Unit Play. Take #383/384 USC vs Oregon St Over 61 (10:00 PM, Saturday, November 3, FS1)
2 Unit Play. Take #387/388 Iowa St vs Kansas Over 46 (12:00 PM, Saturday, November 3)
2 Unit Play. Take #403/404 Louisville vs Clemson Over 61 (12:00 PM, Saturday, November 3)
Mike Davis
7-Unit Play. Take #419 Alabama -14.5 over LSU (Saturday, November 3rd at 8:00 p.m)I'm going to keep this short and sweet. Alabama is 14.5 points better than any team in the country -- any team. And LSU is not a top-tier team -- in my opinion. They don't have the offensive firepower to stay with Bama throughout the course of this football game. Yes, they have a great home field advantage but that is the only advantage they have in this game. Bama has the best college quarterback since Tim Tebow and Tua will exploit this LSU defense. His offensive line is a lot better than UGA's and he will have time to throw the football. LSU will take some chances and play the Bama receivers one-on-one and that will lead to some big plays in this football game. Bama will force LSU to throw the ball to beat them and that simply isn't going to happen ... consistently. Bama will take control of this game and pull away to win by 20+ points.
Take Alabama
4-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 44.5 UGA at Kentucky (Saturday, November 3rd at 3:30 p.m)
This is a big game for both teams -- huge game. The winner goes to the SEC championship game and has a chance to play in the college football playoffs. The truth is: Georgia isn't very good defensively -- especially along the front 7. They don't have good defensive line play and their linebacker play is pretty bad. They don't stop the run very well at all and I look for the Wildcats to exploit this Georgia defense. Kentucky has been awesome on the defensive side of the football but I really like the way Georgia's offense matches up with Kentucky. The Dawgs found their stride last week offensively and I look for them to build upon that this week. They will run the ball at UK and use the play-action pass for big plays. Georgia is loaded offensively and they will test this Kentucky defense in a big, big way. This game could see a lot of scoring early and it won't shock me at all to see both teams have 20 points by halftime.
Take Over
Allen Eastman
7-Unit Play. Take #318 Middle Tennessee (-13.5) over Western Kentucky (8 p.m., Friday, Nov. 2)I see a blowout in this game. WKU has lost nine of its last 10 games. They were blown out at home by Florida International last week. Now they have to go on the road and face a hot MTSU team. Western Kentucky has beaten Middle Tennessee three straight years. The last two wins have been heartbreakers, with WKU winning in overtime the last two seasons. Four of the last six meetings have gone to overtime, with the Hilltoppers winning three of them. But I think that Middle Tennessee will get revenge in this one. The Blue Raiders have won four of their last five games. That includes big wins over Florida Atlantic and at Marshall. This team is coming off a 34-point win over Old Dominion. And that Old Dominion team beat Western Kentucky by three points on the road two weeks ago. The Hilltoppers lost their quarterback early in the season and they have not been the same since. Middle Tennessee is still fighting for the CUSA East title and a spot in the league championship. The home team is 4-0 ATS in this series and the Blue Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. Western Kentucky is 1-4 ATS in its last five league games and they are 1-4 ATS against teams that are above .500. Middle Tennessee will play one of its best games of the season and they should get a 30+ point win.
4-Unit Play. Take #351 West Virginia (+2) over Texas (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
Ths line jumped out at me. The public loves Texas. But I think this team is overrated. The Longhorns are just 1-3 ATS in their last four games and they are coming off a tough 38-35 loss at Oklahoma State last week. That game ruined any chance Texas had of making the college playoffs. West Virginia blew out Baylor 58-14 last week. They have one of the top offenses in the Big 12 and I think they will be able to score enough to win a shootout with Texas. West Virginia has won two of the last three meetings and the road team has won back-to-back games in this series. The Mountaineers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning record. Texas is dealing with some injuries, including their quarterback. I think they will be flat in this one and I think that West Virginia will be able to score enough to run away with this one in the second half.
3-Unit Play. Take #371 San Jose State (+14) over Wyoming (2 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
These are two of the worst teams in the Mountain West. But I do not think that Wyoming deserves to be this big of a favorite. I think that the Cowboys will win this game. But I think it will be close to the final seconds. San Jose State beat Wyoming last year. That Cowboys team had NFL first round draft pick Josh Allen at quarterback. San Jose State has actually beaten Wyoming in three straight meetings since 2013. The Spartans are coming off their first win of the season, beating UNLV. The week before that they only lost by three points at San Diego State. SDSU is one of the best teams in the league. San Jose State also has close losses to Colorado State, Hawaii and Oregon. Wyoming is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games. They are 1-4 SU in their last five games. I do think they will win. But I do not think that this game will be a blowout at all and I will take the points with the Spartans.
3-Unit Play. Take #387 Iowa State (-14.5) over Kansas (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 3)
Iowa State is hot. They have won three straight games. They are on a 4-0 ATS run. This team is coming off wins over Oklahoma State, West Virginia and Texas Tech. They are stepping down to face Kansas. The Jayhawks are coming off a huge win over TCU. That was a bit upset for the Jayhawks as 13.5-point underdogs. But Kansas is still one of the worst programs and one of the weakest teams in college football and I don't think that they will play well in back-to-back weeks. Before they had lost to TUC they had lost four straight games by an average of 22 points per game. The Jayhawks are just 3-10 ATS after a win. They are not used to winning games and this team struggles to play well in back-to-back weeks. They are 8-21 ATS after an ATS win. Kansas is 8-20 ATS against teams with a winning record and Iowa State is 7-3 ATS against teams with a losing record. The Cyclones are 23-6 ATS in their last 29 games overall and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. They will take care of Kansas here. Lay the points.
4-Unit Play. Take #389 Texas A&M (+4) over Auburn (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 3)
I like the underdog in this game. Auburn has been one of the most disappointing teams in college football this season throughout the whole country. This is a team that was hoping to compete for the college football playoffs. They have lost two of their last three games and that includes an ugly home loss to a terrible Tennessee team, 30-24. Auburn is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven games. They are coming off a bye week but I think that they will be rusty. Texas A&M had won three in a row before taking a tough loss at Mississippi State last week. Jimbo Fisher has turned this team around quickly and they are now 7-2 ATS in their last nine games. The road team has been the play in this series. The road team has won six straight meetings outright! The road team is 6-0 ATS. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings and Auburn is just 1-4 ATS in its last five home games. I think this will be a close game. I will take the points and look for the Aggies to get another win.
6-Uni Play. Take #397 Liberty (+2.5) over Massachusetts (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
The wrong team is favored in this game! I like Liberty to win this one outright. This line opened with Massachusetts at +3 and the line has dropped. That tells me where the sharp money is coming in this game. Massachusetts has won just two of its last 10 games. They are coming off a big win over Connecticut last week. That was one of their biggest games of the year and they played one of their best games of the season. Two weeks ago this team was favored over Coastal Carolina at home and they lost 24-13. I think they will have a letdown in this game after beating the Huskies. Liberty has won three of its last four games. They are playing their best football right now. The Flames are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games. Massachusetts is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight games. This game is not on many people's card this week. But I think there is a lot of value with the road team and I like Liberty to win this one outright. Take the points.
3-Unit Play. Take #420 LSU (+14.5) over Alabama (8 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
I will take the points in this one. This is the biggest game in college football this week. Alabama is No. 1 and LSU is No. 4. These teams are too close in talent for a two touchdown spread. And the sharp action in this game is taking the points. LSU pulled the upset over the last Top 10 team that they faced in Baton Rouge when Georgia came down and the Tigers beat them 36-16 as 7-point underdogs. LSU also went on the road and beat Auburn as a 10-point underdog and they blew out Miami 33-17 as a 3-point underdog. This team has been undervalued this year and they are going to play tough in this game. Alabama has played a terrible schedule this year. They have played one of the easiest schedules in the country. The only two teams they have played that will go to a bowl game are Missouri and Texas A&M. Their other six opponents are some of the worst teams in the country. Over the last 15 years only one game in this series has been decided by more than two touchdowns. The last four meetings have been decided by two touchdowns or less and I think that will continue here. LSU is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 SEC games and 7-3 ATS at home. They are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games. Take the points.
Allen Eastman
Strike Point Sports
3-Unit Play. Take #330 Kentucky (+9) over Georgia (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)This Kentucky team is solid on both sides of the ball and they will give Georgia all they can handle this weekend. The team from the blue belt has only given up more than 19 points twice all season long and that was only 20 points each time. Kentucky knows how to defend and they know how to get teams to play at their pace throughout a football game. The Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record which bodes well in this matchup. Look for this game to be much closer than the line says.
3-Unit Play. Take #327 Syracuse (-6) over Wake Forest (12 p.m., Saturday, November 3)
The Orange are ranked for the first time in seemingly forever (2001) and they deserve to be. They are 6-2 but could very easily be undefeated this season. Their losses are to Clemson and Pittsburgh but Cuse was in both games until literally the final seconds. Dino Babers has this team humming along offensively and that should continue this week against Wake. The Demon Deacons are fresh off a beating of Louisville last week but they do not have enough on either side of the ball to stay with the Orangemen. This will be as simple as if Syracuse comes to play because if they do they will run away and hide.
5-Unit Play. Take #345 Boston College (-2) over Virginia Tech (3:45 p.m., Saturday, November 3)
Boston College is playing very well right now and with a 6-2 record they are one of the top teams in the ACC so they cannot afford to let down against a mediocre Hokie squad. Going to Blacksburg is never an easy task but the Eagles have a team that can go anywhere and compete so expect a great effort from Steve Addazio's team. Va Tech has dropped two of three and have some ugly performances on this season's resume, including a loss to FCS ODU. This is not the normal Virginia Tech team and with the physicality and effort BC plays with coupled with the 49-0 blasting the Eagles took last time they came to play here this should be an easy BC W.
2-Unit Play. Take ##351 West Virginia (+2) over Texas (3:30 p.m., Saturday, November 3)
This is one of the best games on the College slate this weekend and has a ton of Big 12 implications. WVU is 6-1, ranked 13th and in a tie with Oklahoma for the conference top spot so a game in Texas is huge for Will Grier and company and the veteran gunslinger will be ready. Grier lost his chance to get a win in this game last year when a broken throwing hand sent him to the bench early in the game so he will have so extra incentive this time around. Texas is coming off a tough 38-35 loss to Oklahoma State and need to keep pace with WVU and OU in the standings so they will be a little tight. This game will have a postseason New Years Day type of vibe so take the points but don't be shocked if the mountaineers take this one outright.
Jason Sharpe
CFB-Saturday November 3rd 2018-
7 Unit Play Take #397 Liberty +2 over Massachusetts (3:30pm est):
This is game being overlooked by most bettors which means even more reason to look to bet on it as the line is likely off which I feel is the case in this one. Liberty has a shot at a bowl game and they know they need a win in this one if they want to go bowling. The Flames are a decent 4-3 overall currently on the season and a closer looks shows this team hasn't looked bad either. They crushed an Old Dominion team 52-10 in their season opener and that ODU squad is about as good as this UMass squad that Liberty plays against in this game. Liberty got beat in their 2nd game by what's turned out to be a very good Army team but Liberty did finish -3 in turnovers in that game and they were in that game until the 4th quarter. Liberty did split a very difficult two game road stretch against New Mexico and New Mexico State in consecutive weeks but what made that even tougher was all the travel Liberty had to deal with going back and forth each time to play in the elevation plus both of those of teams had the additional advantage of having had a bye and two weeks to prepare and rest up for what was likely a fatigued Liberty squad. The Flames have won their last two contests coming into this one with one over a solid Troy team and the other over what is a very good FCS team in Idaho State. Making things even better for Liberty is the fact they now have the big advantage of the late season bye week to get rested and healed up before this game here.
UMass comes in 3-6 overall on the season. The big story for the Minutemen here is they lost their starting quarterback Andrew Ford to a season ending injury two weeks ago. That loss is huge as Ford was a three year starter who's thrown for nearly 7,000 career yards. In their game last week without Ford the UMass offense struggled scoring just 22 points against an awful Connecticut defense that's ranked 130th out of 130 teams in yards per game. Speaking of bad defenses, the Minutemen aren't much better than that as they come into this game 122nd overall defensively.
Take Liberty plus the points here.
5 Unit Play Take #417 Florida Atlantic +2.5 over Florida International (7:30pm est):
Florida Atlantic should be a motivated and angry team coming into this one as they are off back to back losses and their head coach Lane Kiffin has been very upset with how they have been playing of late. FAU was a team that was picked by all to win the Conference USA title before the season yet come into this game at just 3-5 overall on the season but overall this is a team that isn't as bad as they've looked either. Their first two losses came on the road against two of the top teams in the country (Central Florida and Oklahoma). They also lost a one point game on the road to a decent Middle Tennessee State team, in another defeat they were -5 in turnovers on the road at Marshall and last week they were without their starting quarterback in their loss to Louisiana Tech. The Owls actually gained more yards than the opposition in each one of those last three defeats. On a good note FAU also expects their starting quarterback to be back for this one.
Florida International comes in a very surprising 6-2 overall on the season BUT don't be impressed by their record as a much deeper dive into FIU shows there are lots of things to question here about this team. The five FIU wins are over FBS teams with a combined 12-31 record on the season along with getting a victory over one of the worst FCS teams in the country. Incredibly all five of the FIU wins this year over FBS foes came in games where the opposing team was without it's better quarterback for major portions of the game due to an injury. The only win that FIU has over a team with a winning record this year was at home against a Middle Tennessee State team that led that game for the majority of the contest and who also lost their very good quarterback for the game in the 2nd quarter. Plus that game set-up beautifully for FIU also as they came in off a bye week, well rested with two weeks to prepare while MTSU was off back to back hard fought wins over conference powers Marshall and FAU the previous two weeks. Even the FIU losses are worse than the final scores as they scored a late meaningless touchdown against Indiana to cover the spread and their 31-17 defeat to Miami was in a game that was actually 31-0 in the middle of the 4th quarter. Also of note in that one, Miami Florida lost their starting quarterback to injury in the 1st quarter of that contest as well.
Keep in mind also these two teams are bitter rivals separated only by an hour drive time so I doubt there's much of a home field edge here for FIU in this one. Take Florida Atlantic plus the points here.
4 Unit Play Take #393 Louisiana Tech +23.5 over Mississippi State (7:30pm est):
Louisiana Tech won't be intimidated in this one as they've already played at LSU earlier this year and they covered the point spread in that game. In fact LA Tech was only getting 20.5 points in that one and they were up against a better team too than the one they face here in this contest. This is a decent program under Skip Holtz as they come into this one 6-2 on the year and have covered the spread 7 of the last 9 times that they've went up against a power five team over the years.
SEC teams have struggled in these big out of conference favorite roles over the last five years, failing to cover the spread 70% of the time they are favored by 20 points or more. Mississippi State has been no different as they have covered just 38% of the time the last 13 times in this type spot. This is also an awful sandwich game for the Bulldogs as they come in off an emotionally charged win last week over Texas A&M (at LSU the week before that) and next week they are on the road in Alabama. They had a similar situation last year playing a non-league game between Texas A&M and Alabama late in the season and they ended up only beating Massachusetts by 11 points despite the fact they were favored by 33 points in the contest.
Take Louisiana Tech plus the points here.
4 Unit Play Take #347 Michigan State -2.5 over Maryland (12:00pm est):
This is a matchup nightmare game for Maryland. The Terrapins are the ultimate bully team as they have no problems with lesser foes but when they are punched back in the mouth against bigger teams they tend to fold. When Maryland can run the football they look very good but when they've had to face a good run defense (Temple, Michigan and Iowa) they've barely put up a fight losing by 21 points or more in all three contests. Now they are up against one of the top run defenses in the country here in Michigan State.
The Spartans got a nice spark last week from their new starting quarterback while giving their starter a chance to heal up. Doesn't matter who starts this one as they now have two experienced options for this contest and if need be can go with the hot hand. The Spartans excel in these kind of street fight type games that this one is expected to be. You also have to wonder how much all of the turmoil around the Maryland program has effected their preparation for this game.
3 Unit Play Take #389 Texas A&M +4 over Auburn (12:00pm est):
Simple handicap here as we have the better team getting more than a field goal. Texas A&M fell short last week but they were in that game until the end. They have the much better resume of these two teams this season overall. I like 1st year head coaches later in the season also like we have here with the Aggies as this is one you seen them improve especially after a week or two after their bye. Auburn hasn't looked right all season as they've failed to live up to expectations this year and have been overvalued most of the season.
Take Texas A&M plus the points here.Take Michigan State in this one.
3 Unit Play Take #378 Louisiana Monroe +7.5 over Georgia Southern (3:00pm est):
This one sets up perfectly for Louisiana Monroe as they comes into this one winners of back to back games and off a bye week. They will have a very important extra week here to prepare for Georgia Southern's option offense. Georgia Southern comes in off their big upset win last week at home over Appalachian State. The Eagles caught a big break in that game as App State lost it's star quarterback in the 1st half of that contest due to an injury to go along with their big +5 turnover margin in the contest.
Take Louisiana Monroe plus the points here.
3 Unit Play Take #339 Duke +9.5 over Miami Florida (7:00pm est):
I still like this Duke team a lot despite their loss last week at Pittsburgh. That was a very difficult spot for the Blue Devils as they faced a physical Pitt team who was rested off a bye and a loss in their previous game. Duke had their chances in that one but ran out of gas late as they were outscored 19-3 in the final quarter. This is the role that head coach David Cutcliffe gets the most out of his team as they are 20-10 ATS the last six years as an underdog including 3-0 this season so far and winning all three games outright. Miami Florida has underachieved most of this season. The Hurricanes come into this one having covered just once in their last five games and they caught some major breaks in that one winning the turnover margin by +4 in that game.
Take Duke plus the points.
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