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2023 College Football Regular Season Win Totals Best Bets

by Matt Zitt - 6/22/2023

College football season win totals predictions Drew Allar Penn State Nittany Lions

Believe it or not, we are only two months away from the start of the 2023 college football season. Last month the sportsbooks trickled out the over and under win totals for the 130 teams in the FBS. The win-total markets only count the 12 regular-season games played by each team. Conference championships and bowl games do not factor into the over/under totals. There are a handful of numbers that jumped out on the list, so let us dive in to see if we can find some value for some of these squads.

Doc’s Sports offers college football expert picks for every game on our college football predictions page.

Clemson Tigers regular season win total

Over 10 (+105)

Under 10 (-125)

I will take plus value at double-digit wins with the possibility of a push and getting my money back. The Tigers have won at least 10 regular season games in 10 of the last 12 seasons. That includes last year, which was a down season by Dabo Swinney’s standards. I am expecting some significant improvements offensively with the addition of new offensive coordinator Garrett Riley. The two toughest teams on Clemson’s schedule are Florida State and Notre Dame. Both contests are at home. Clemson could very well be favored in all 12 games this upcoming season, and that is good enough for me to hammer the over 10-win total.

Pick: Over 10 wins

Florida State Seminoles regular season win total

Over 10 (-105)

Under 10 (-115)

The Seminoles have not won 10 regular season games since 2015 but are coming off a solid 2022 campaign. Florida State went 9-3 in the regular season and then beat an average Oklahoma team in the bowl game to reach 10 wins. With LSU, Clemson, and a few challenging road games on the schedule, FSU would have to go 11-1 for you to lose money on the under. I just do not see that happening.

Pick: Under 10 wins

Penn State Nittany Lions regular season win total

Over 9.5 (-135)

Under 9.5 (+115)

James Franklin enters his ninth season in Happy Valley, and there is a ton of pressure to perform up to standards. PSU is coming off an 11-win season that saw them defeat the Utah Utes in the Rose Bowl. The Sean Clifford era is over -- and enter Drew Allar, who performed well last year when given the opportunity to play under center. Abdul Carter will be the anchor on the defense after a stellar freshman season. If Penn State can split with Ohio State and Michigan, this team will hit 10 wins.

Pick: Over 9.5 wins

Alabama Crimson Tide regular season win total

Over 10.5 (+150)

Under 10.5 (-175)

The under is easy in my opinion for a heavy wager that will return a profit. Looking at their 2023 schedule, Bama can only afford one loss to hit the over. This looks extremely unlikely considering they play five preseason top-25 teams. They get No. 5 Texas, No. 16 Ole Miss, No. 12 Tennessee, and No. 4 LSU at home. The Tide also travels to No. 19 Texas A&M. Saban is returning the least amount of production in his entire tenure as coach and will have an inexperienced quarterback. Hammer the under.

Pick: Under 10.5 wins

LSU regular season win total

Over 9.5 (-115)

Under 9.5 (-105)

The LSU Tigers are a 10-win team in my book. The surprise defending SEC West champs return the bulk of their production on both sides of the football. Jayden Daniels, LSU’s starting quarterback and leading rusher, is back, along with the entire offensive line. There are multiple talented running backs, and LSU’s front seven is led by Maason Smith and Harold Perkins. Add in a pair of intriguing transfers, including 5-star corner Denver Harris and former Alabama receiver Aaron Anderson, this team has the make of double-digit victories.

Pick: Over 9.5 wins

Colorado regular season win total

Over 3.5 (+130)

Under 3.5 (-150)

I must admit this is more of a fun wager for me and buying into the Deion Sanders hype. Colorado was one of the worst teams in all of football last year, and they are receiving the most bets from sportsbooks so far. Former “Prime Time” now deemed Coach “Prime” has been pushing the right buttons. He has been winning recruiting battles and brought over a very talented transfer portal class. The Buffaloes play a hard schedule the first month of the season that includes TCU, Nebraska, USC, and Oregon. With a win total so low, and juiced at +130, the Buffaloes could rise to the occasion and get four wins for plus money.

Pick: Over 3.5 wins

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TEAM OVER UNDER

Air Force

8.5 +125

8.5 −150

Akron

3.5 −120

3.5 −105

Alabama

10.5 +150

10.5 −175

Appalachian State

6.5 −110

6.5 −115

Arizona

5 −120

5 +100

Arizona State

5 +120

5 −140

Arkansas

7 +100

7 −120

Arkansas State

4.5 −145

4.5 +120

Army

6 +105

6 −130

Auburn

6.5 −135

6.5 +115

Ball State

4.5 −120

4.5 −105

Baylor

7.5 +135

7.5 −160

Boise State

9 +140

9 −170

Boston College

5.5 −120

5.5 +100

Bowling Green

5 +105

5 −130

BYU

5.5 −120

5.5 +100

California

5 +110

5 −130

Central Michigan

5.5 −110

5.5 −115

Charlotte

2.5 −120

2.5 −105

Cincinnati

5.5 +110

5.5 −130

Clemson

10 +105

10 -125

Coastal Carolina

8 −120

8 −105

Colorado

3.5 +130

3.5 -150

Colorado State

4.5 −115

4.5 −110

Duke

6.5 +115

6.5 −135

East Carolina

5.5 +125

5.5 −150

Eastern Michigan

6.5 −145

6.5 +120

FIU

2.5 −145

2.5 +120

Florida

5.5 −105

5.5 −115

Florida State

10 −105

10 −115

Fresno State

8 −105

8 −120

Georgia

11.5 +130

11.5 −150

Georgia Southern

6 −110

6 −115

Georgia State

5.5 +105

5.5 −130

Georgia Tech

4.5 +120

4.5 −140

Hawaii (13 Games)

3.5 +115

3.5 −140

Houston

4.5 −110

4.5 −110

Illinois

6.5 −135

6.5 +115

Indiana

3.5 −135

3.5 +115

Iowa

7.5 −145

7.5 +125

Iowa State

5.5 −145

5.5 +125

Jacksonville State

5.5 −110

5.5 −115

James Madison

7.5 −140

7.5 +115

Kansas

6.5 +130

6.5 −150

Kansas State

8.5 +110

8.5 −130

Kent State

2.5 −120

2.5 −105

Kentucky

6.5 −145

6.5 +125

Liberty

9.5 +140

9.5 −165

Louisiana Tech

6.5 −135

6.5 +110

Louisiana-Lafayette

5.5 −110

5.5 −115

Louisville

8 +125

8 −145

LSU

9.5 -115

9.5 −105

Marshall

7 −110

7 −115

Maryland

7 −105

7 −115

Massachusetts

1.5 −180

1.5 +145

Miami FL

7.5 +120

7.5 −140

Miami OH

6.5 −110

6.5 −115

Michigan

10.5 −105

10.5 −115

Michigan State

5.5 +130

5.5 −150

Middle Tennessee

6.5 −125

6.5 +100

Minnesota

6.5 −125

6.5 +105

Mississippi State

6.5 +115

6.5 −135

Missouri

6.5 +125

6.5 −145

Navy

6.5 −135

6.5 +110

Nebraska

6 −120

6 +100

Nevada

3 −160

3 +135

New Mexico

4 +130

4 −155

New Mexico State (13 Games)

5 −120

5 −105

North Carolina

8.5 −125

8.5 +105

North Carolina State

6.5 −145

6.5 +125

North Texas

6.5 −115

6.5 −110

Northern Illinois

6.5 −110

6.5 −115

Northwestern

3.5 −125

3.5 +105

Notre Dame

9 +110

9 −130

Ohio

7 −120

7 −105

Ohio State

10.5 −105

10.5 −115

Oklahoma

9.5 −115

9.5 −105

Oklahoma State

9.5 −115

9.5 −105

Old Dominion

3.5 −120

3.5 −105

Ole Miss

6.5 +100

6.5 −120

Oregon

9.5 +100

9.5 −120

Oregon State

8 −135

8 +115

Penn State

9.5 −135

9.5 +115

Pittsburgh

6.5 −145

6.5 +115

Purdue

5.5 +105

5.5 −125

Rice

5 −115

5 −110

Sam Houston

4 −125

4 +100

San Diego State

7 −105

7 −120

San Jose State

5.5 −145

5.5 +120

SMU

8 −110

8 −115

South Alabama

8 −105

8 −120

South Carolina

6.5 −105

6.5 −115

South Florida

3.5 −120

3.5 −105

Southern Miss

5 +100

5 −125

Stanford

3 +100

3 −120

Syracuse

6.5 +105

6.5 −125

TCU

7.5 −125

7.5 +105

Temple

5 −140

5 +115

Tennessee

9.5 +130

9.5 −150

Texas

9.5 −115

9.5 −105

Texas A&M

7.5 −150

7.5 +130

Texas State

4.5 +110

4.5 −135

Texas Tech

7.5 +120

7.5 −140

Troy

8 −140

8 +115

Tulane

9.5 +120

9.5 −145

Tulsa

4 −115

4 −110

UAB

5 −130

5 +105

UCF

6.5 −150

6.5 +130

UCLA

8.5 +110

8.5 −130

UConn

5.5 +105

5.5 −130

ULM

3.5 +125

3.5 −150

UNLV

6 −105

6 −120

USC

9.5 −165

9.5 +140

Utah

8.5 +125

8.5 −145

Utah State

6 +130

6 −155

UTEP

5.5 +100

5.5 −125

Vanderbilt

3.5 −145

3.5 +125

Virginia

3.5 −115

3.5 −105

Virginia Tech

5 −115

5 −105

Wake Forest

6 −120

6 +100

Washington

9 −105

9 −115

Washington State

6.5 −120

6.5 +100

West Virginia

4.5 −140

4.5 +120

Western Kentucky

8.5 +125

8.5 −150

Western Michigan

3.5 +110

3.5 −135

Wisconsin

9 +125

9 −145

Wyoming

6.5 −125

6.5 +100

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