Expert NBA Picks
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Yesterday's Expert NBA Picks from our handicappers.
Just so the public knows we are always transparent and honest with our reporting, in this spot we will list all of the previous days picks and analysis. This will be updated daily at around 5AM Eastern Time.
Get free NBA Picks including expert parlay picks for betting tonight's NBA games against the spread.
Results for Thursday 4th of December 2025
| Handicapper | Units | Dollars |
| Doc's Sports | 3 | $300.00 |
| Craig Trapp | 3 | $300.00 |
| Scott Rickenbach | -7 | $-770.00 |
| Scott Spreitzer | 3 | $300.00 |
| August Young | 7 | $700.00 |
Thursday 4th of December 2025
Doc's Sports
3-Unit Play Take New Orleans +11.5 over Minnesota (8 p.m. EST, Thursday December 4)
This is a quick revenge spot for the Pelicans, who lost in OT to the Timberwolves in Minnesota on Tuesday. That was New Orleans seventh cover in nine games, and it’s obvious that the oddsmakers are behind on this team for the level of play they are bringing to the court. They have only won one of those games, so this is the best kind of team to wager on; one that can retain their betting value with covers instead of wins. Minnesota has been winning more but not covering as much, and they are a sorry 8-13 ATS on the season and for sure overvalued by the oddsmakers. The Pels showed already they can hang with Minnesota and they will be extra motivated here in the rematch. It’s hard to beat any team twice in the NBA in three days, no matter how bad the opponent may be. We aren’t sure that New Orleans can win here, but we expect them to keep this one close.
Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
Robert Ferringo
2-Unit Play. Take #504 Philadelphia (-3) over Golden State (7 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 4)
The Warriors have been streaky as hell. They’ve also lost four of their last five home games. But they are favored here. Not only that, but the line is shifting upwards. We’re going to follow the money on this one.
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 228.5 L.A. Lakers at Toronto (7:30 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 4)
2-Unit Play. Take #510 New Orleans (+11.5) over Minnesota (8 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 4)
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 234.5 Minnesota at New Orleans (8 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 4)
These two teams just scored 291 combined points on Tuesday. What defensive adjustments are they really going to make? New Orleans has allowed at least 125 points in four of hteir last five and six of their last nine. The Pelicans are actually 7-2 ATS in their last nine games and even though they are losing they are scoring points and keeping games within reason.
Carpe diem. Good luck.
Craig Trapp
3-Unit Play. Take #505 Over (228) LA Lakers vs Toronto (7:40 p.m., Thursday, December 4)
The Lakers offense has been playing so well this year, LAL are averaging 119 ppg. Toronto offense has been on fire too going for 117 ppg. Take the Over as Lakers and Raptors get it done tonight.
Craig
Scott Rickenbach
7-Unit Play. Take #504 Philadelphia (-3.5) vs Golden State (7:10 p.m., Thu, Dec. 4)
The 76ers have some injury issues but the big ones are what they are used to already. George and Embiid have hardly played this season. Also, Oubre has been out for 3 weeks now. As for Grimes, he could be back tonight and that will be a boost. The Warriors injury situation is different as they have some new problems cropping up including star Jimmy Butler who could miss this game or at least be quite limited if he does play. Lets not forget that the Warriors just got to enjoy a 5-game home stand and yet still only won 2 of the 5 games. Now they are back on the road where they have lost 8 of their last 11. By the way, all 11 Warriors losses this season have been by at least 4 points so the spread should not be an issue here. As for the Sixers, they bounced back from a double-OT loss by then blasting the Wizards. With that being a blowout game it really benefited the Sixers too as they were able to rest their starters and then of course also were off yesterday plus this is a 3rd straight home game for Philly so it is a nice setup all the way around. Golden State was in action Tuesday night at home and then had to travel all the way to Philly yesterday and prepare for this game. With the line coming down from 4 to as low as a 2 this also is an additional market value that enhances this spot in favor of the 76ers. Lay the small number. 7* PHILADELPHIA -3.5
Arun Shiva (Indian Cowboy)
5-Unit Play. #501. Take Over 230.5 Boston vs. Washington (Thursday @ 7:10pm est)
We roll with the Over here as we like this contest to be relatively high scoring. Note, we have a 7*NCAAF Selection tomorrow and 3 of our 5 football plays actually go on Friday which we are excited about and we are expecting a great week in Football and every week in December quite frankly. Boston won this game 136-107 last time earlier this year and I think what happens here, even without Jaylen Brown, the Celtics will be effective today coming off a monster win over the Celtics. Losing Brown hurts, but guess what the Celtics will do without Tatum or Brown, run, run, run, shoot, shoot, shoot and then you have a Washington team that seeks revenge from an earlier season loss to this team, a Washington team that runs 10 deep right now as they can score at relative will and had some big wins recently including against my Hawks and Wizards. As Washington comes off a big loss, having revenge and the Celtics antennae up today with Brown being out, look for an Over today. By the way, great 21-7 start to College Basketball for +7400, let's keep rolling with a big win today.
Raphael Esparza (VSI)
NBA BASKETBALL
3 Unit Play. Take #504 Philadelphia -3 over Golden St (7:10p.m., Thursday December 4)
Tony George
NBA
12/4/25
3 Units
Take # 506 Toronto (-2.5) over LA Lakers
*7:40 EST
Simple handicap for me. 35% of the Lakers offensive production is out with Luka Doncic not playing. LeBron and Reeves cannot carry the team against a damn good Raptors team on a roll at home. Plain and simple handicap. Raptors are good across all metrics here too.
Additional 2 Unit Play
Take #508 Brooklyn (+5) over Utah *7:40 EST
Utah 1 road win all year. The Nets off a big win last night and their defense matches up well against Utah. Utah off an huge upset 2 days ago against Houston. The entire universe is going to be on them since the Nets beat up on Chicago last night. I am going contrarian here.
Vernon Croy
Passing for today.
Scott Spreitzer
3-Unit Play: Take 505 Lakers +2 over Raptors (7:40 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 4)
Los Angeles lost to Phoenix in their most recent game and they’ve been bounce back city off a loss this season, going 4-0 SU/ATS. The Suns hit 57% of their shots so there aren’t too many teams that would have beaten Phoenix in that one. It’s also worth noting Luka Doncic received no help from LeBron and Reaves. The Lakers are the most accurate team in the NBA, connecting on 51.3% of their FGA and only six teams have a higher offensive efficiency rating. I expect the Big-3 to take care of business tonight. I’m backing the Lakers. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
August Young
7-Unit Play - (509) Minnesota Timberwolves/New Orleans Pelicans o233 -110 (12/4 | 8:00PM EST) We saw the insane 149-142 final in this same game a few days ago (129-129 in regulation) and believe there is ample reason to back the over again. The total in that game was 229.5, and has immediately re-opened here at 234 but the historic data loves this spot. For example, anytime we have two teams playing each other immediately again after going over the previous total by more than 25 points, the over in the next game is 203-135 (60.1%) for a +14.7% ROI. However, when we look at games that also went to overtime, the over is then 66-36 (64.7%) for a +23.5% ROI and a PERFECT 100% to the over for a +90.9% ROI when the total is now above 230. The average combined points in those games has been 250.5 ppg! The Timberwolves have gone over in three-straight after scoring an average of 131 ppg, and the Pelicans have gone over the total in four of their last five due to allowing 129.8 ppg. Lots at work here, but we love the over and will be looking for our 5th straight NBA winner and 8th straight 7-Unit winner across all sports. LFG!
Strike Point Sports
Passing for today.
Jason Sharpe
Thursday December 4th 2025-
3 Unit Play Take #503 Golden State +3.5 over Philadelphia (7:10pm est):
Both teams are down their star players in this one but I feel this Golden State team is overall the better team and they are expected to get back De'Anthony Melton tonight as he makes his season debut. Overall the Warriors have played a top 5 hardest schedule in the league this year while the Sixers have played a bottom 5 schedule so I am much more impressed with their season resume.
Take Golden State in this one.
Thank you and good luck,
Jason Sharpe
Griffin Murphy
2 Unit Play - Take #503 Golden State Warriors (+3.5) Over PHI 76ers. (7:00p.m, Thursday, December 4th)
Golden State comes into this game 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games, so we can expect the public to be running away from this team at this point. Golden State is 500 on the year with an 11-11 record. Philadelphia is 11-9 on the year and coming off a 121-102 win over Washington on Tuesday. Golden State is a brutal 4-8 on the road and 5-5 in their last 10 games. Philadelphia is 6-6 at home, 5-5 in their last 10 games, and coming off a win. If this game is going to be wagered, the money is flowing in on the 76ers. We believe Golden State comes in tonight and pulls off the upset. Let’s roll with the Warriors here +3.5.
Griffin Murphy
4 Unit Play - Take #508 Brooklyn Nets (+4.5) Over Utah Jazz. (7:30p.m, Thursday, December 4th)
Brooklyn comes into this game 5-16 on the season and just pulled off an upset outright win over Chicago last night in a 113-103 final. This is back-to-back games for the Nets, so the public incentive is they will be fatigued tonight. Utah is 7-13 on the year and also pulled off an upset win in their most recent matchup over a dominant Houston team. That game landed in a 133-125 final on Monday. Utah comes into this game with a rest advantage and what some would call momentum. Brooklyn is 4-6 in their last 10 games and 1-9 at home. Nobody is backing the Nets tonight, and we see this as a very strong variant. All angles point to taking the Jazz tonight, and that scarcity is what gives us our strongest confidence with Brooklyn tonight. Let’s ride with the Nets here as our stronger NBA position.
Griffin Murphy
Nick Menken
7 Unit – NBA Take #510 NO Pelicans (+11.5) over MIN Timberwolves (-110) (8:30p.m, Thursday December 4th)
We have an intriguing matchup tonight as the Timberwolves and Pelicans run it back in New Orleans. These two just played Tuesday night in the same building, a game that went to overtime with Minnesota winning 149–142. Even though the Pelicans have just three wins on the year, they’ve played the Timberwolves tough in both meetings. This is a classic let-down spot for Minnesota: same opponent, same arena, less than 48 hours later, coming off an emotional overtime win. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are coming off that loss and now catching double-digit points at home. And over the past year, teams in that situation, home underdogs off a loss of 10+ facing the same opponent, have covered at a strong rate. If you’re New Orleans, the game plan is simple: slow down Ant-Man and keep this game ugly and competitive. And the Pelicans have shown they’ll fight, even without Zion tonight. They battled wire-to-wire Tuesday night, and I expect another spirited effort again here. Everything about this spot screams Timberwolves letdown. Minnesota has the Clippers on deck at home Saturday, and these back-to-back, same-opponent scenarios are historically tricky for favorites to dominate. I like the way New Orleans competes, and based on last night’s effort, they should hang around again. Wouldn’t shock me if this one comes down to the wire or even sneaks into overtime again. Take the Pelicans +11.5 at home.
NBA Take #510 NO Pelicans (+11.5) over MIN Timberwolves (-110)
Nick Menken
Expert NBA Picks History:
Doc's Sports
3-Unit Play Take New Orleans +11.5 over Minnesota (8 p.m. EST, Thursday December 4)This is a quick revenge spot for the Pelicans, who lost in OT to the Timberwolves in Minnesota on Tuesday. That was New Orleans seventh cover in nine games, and it’s obvious that the oddsmakers are behind on this team for the level of play they are bringing to the court. They have only won one of those games, so this is the best kind of team to wager on; one that can retain their betting value with covers instead of wins. Minnesota has been winning more but not covering as much, and they are a sorry 8-13 ATS on the season and for sure overvalued by the oddsmakers. The Pels showed already they can hang with Minnesota and they will be extra motivated here in the rematch. It’s hard to beat any team twice in the NBA in three days, no matter how bad the opponent may be. We aren’t sure that New Orleans can win here, but we expect them to keep this one close.
Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
Robert Ferringo
2-Unit Play. Take #504 Philadelphia (-3) over Golden State (7 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 4)The Warriors have been streaky as hell. They’ve also lost four of their last five home games. But they are favored here. Not only that, but the line is shifting upwards. We’re going to follow the money on this one.
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 228.5 L.A. Lakers at Toronto (7:30 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 4)
2-Unit Play. Take #510 New Orleans (+11.5) over Minnesota (8 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 4)
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 234.5 Minnesota at New Orleans (8 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 4)
These two teams just scored 291 combined points on Tuesday. What defensive adjustments are they really going to make? New Orleans has allowed at least 125 points in four of hteir last five and six of their last nine. The Pelicans are actually 7-2 ATS in their last nine games and even though they are losing they are scoring points and keeping games within reason.
Carpe diem. Good luck.
Craig Trapp
3-Unit Play. Take #505 Over (228) LA Lakers vs Toronto (7:40 p.m., Thursday, December 4)The Lakers offense has been playing so well this year, LAL are averaging 119 ppg. Toronto offense has been on fire too going for 117 ppg. Take the Over as Lakers and Raptors get it done tonight.
Craig
Scott Rickenbach
7-Unit Play. Take #504 Philadelphia (-3.5) vs Golden State (7:10 p.m., Thu, Dec. 4)The 76ers have some injury issues but the big ones are what they are used to already. George and Embiid have hardly played this season. Also, Oubre has been out for 3 weeks now. As for Grimes, he could be back tonight and that will be a boost. The Warriors injury situation is different as they have some new problems cropping up including star Jimmy Butler who could miss this game or at least be quite limited if he does play. Lets not forget that the Warriors just got to enjoy a 5-game home stand and yet still only won 2 of the 5 games. Now they are back on the road where they have lost 8 of their last 11. By the way, all 11 Warriors losses this season have been by at least 4 points so the spread should not be an issue here. As for the Sixers, they bounced back from a double-OT loss by then blasting the Wizards. With that being a blowout game it really benefited the Sixers too as they were able to rest their starters and then of course also were off yesterday plus this is a 3rd straight home game for Philly so it is a nice setup all the way around. Golden State was in action Tuesday night at home and then had to travel all the way to Philly yesterday and prepare for this game. With the line coming down from 4 to as low as a 2 this also is an additional market value that enhances this spot in favor of the 76ers. Lay the small number. 7* PHILADELPHIA -3.5
Arun Shiva (Indian Cowboy)
5-Unit Play. #501. Take Over 230.5 Boston vs. Washington (Thursday @ 7:10pm est)We roll with the Over here as we like this contest to be relatively high scoring. Note, we have a 7*NCAAF Selection tomorrow and 3 of our 5 football plays actually go on Friday which we are excited about and we are expecting a great week in Football and every week in December quite frankly. Boston won this game 136-107 last time earlier this year and I think what happens here, even without Jaylen Brown, the Celtics will be effective today coming off a monster win over the Celtics. Losing Brown hurts, but guess what the Celtics will do without Tatum or Brown, run, run, run, shoot, shoot, shoot and then you have a Washington team that seeks revenge from an earlier season loss to this team, a Washington team that runs 10 deep right now as they can score at relative will and had some big wins recently including against my Hawks and Wizards. As Washington comes off a big loss, having revenge and the Celtics antennae up today with Brown being out, look for an Over today. By the way, great 21-7 start to College Basketball for +7400, let's keep rolling with a big win today.
Raphael Esparza (VSI)
NBA BASKETBALL3 Unit Play. Take #504 Philadelphia -3 over Golden St (7:10p.m., Thursday December 4)
Tony George
NBA12/4/25
3 Units
Take # 506 Toronto (-2.5) over LA Lakers
*7:40 EST
Simple handicap for me. 35% of the Lakers offensive production is out with Luka Doncic not playing. LeBron and Reeves cannot carry the team against a damn good Raptors team on a roll at home. Plain and simple handicap. Raptors are good across all metrics here too.
Additional 2 Unit Play
Take #508 Brooklyn (+5) over Utah *7:40 EST
Utah 1 road win all year. The Nets off a big win last night and their defense matches up well against Utah. Utah off an huge upset 2 days ago against Houston. The entire universe is going to be on them since the Nets beat up on Chicago last night. I am going contrarian here.
Vernon Croy
Passing for today.Scott Spreitzer
3-Unit Play: Take 505 Lakers +2 over Raptors (7:40 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 4)Los Angeles lost to Phoenix in their most recent game and they’ve been bounce back city off a loss this season, going 4-0 SU/ATS. The Suns hit 57% of their shots so there aren’t too many teams that would have beaten Phoenix in that one. It’s also worth noting Luka Doncic received no help from LeBron and Reaves. The Lakers are the most accurate team in the NBA, connecting on 51.3% of their FGA and only six teams have a higher offensive efficiency rating. I expect the Big-3 to take care of business tonight. I’m backing the Lakers. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
August Young
7-Unit Play - (509) Minnesota Timberwolves/New Orleans Pelicans o233 -110 (12/4 | 8:00PM EST) We saw the insane 149-142 final in this same game a few days ago (129-129 in regulation) and believe there is ample reason to back the over again. The total in that game was 229.5, and has immediately re-opened here at 234 but the historic data loves this spot. For example, anytime we have two teams playing each other immediately again after going over the previous total by more than 25 points, the over in the next game is 203-135 (60.1%) for a +14.7% ROI. However, when we look at games that also went to overtime, the over is then 66-36 (64.7%) for a +23.5% ROI and a PERFECT 100% to the over for a +90.9% ROI when the total is now above 230. The average combined points in those games has been 250.5 ppg! The Timberwolves have gone over in three-straight after scoring an average of 131 ppg, and the Pelicans have gone over the total in four of their last five due to allowing 129.8 ppg. Lots at work here, but we love the over and will be looking for our 5th straight NBA winner and 8th straight 7-Unit winner across all sports. LFG!Strike Point Sports
Passing for today.Jason Sharpe
Thursday December 4th 2025-3 Unit Play Take #503 Golden State +3.5 over Philadelphia (7:10pm est):
Both teams are down their star players in this one but I feel this Golden State team is overall the better team and they are expected to get back De'Anthony Melton tonight as he makes his season debut. Overall the Warriors have played a top 5 hardest schedule in the league this year while the Sixers have played a bottom 5 schedule so I am much more impressed with their season resume.
Take Golden State in this one.
Thank you and good luck,
Jason Sharpe
Griffin Murphy
2 Unit Play - Take #503 Golden State Warriors (+3.5) Over PHI 76ers. (7:00p.m, Thursday, December 4th)Golden State comes into this game 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games, so we can expect the public to be running away from this team at this point. Golden State is 500 on the year with an 11-11 record. Philadelphia is 11-9 on the year and coming off a 121-102 win over Washington on Tuesday. Golden State is a brutal 4-8 on the road and 5-5 in their last 10 games. Philadelphia is 6-6 at home, 5-5 in their last 10 games, and coming off a win. If this game is going to be wagered, the money is flowing in on the 76ers. We believe Golden State comes in tonight and pulls off the upset. Let’s roll with the Warriors here +3.5.
Griffin Murphy
4 Unit Play - Take #508 Brooklyn Nets (+4.5) Over Utah Jazz. (7:30p.m, Thursday, December 4th)
Brooklyn comes into this game 5-16 on the season and just pulled off an upset outright win over Chicago last night in a 113-103 final. This is back-to-back games for the Nets, so the public incentive is they will be fatigued tonight. Utah is 7-13 on the year and also pulled off an upset win in their most recent matchup over a dominant Houston team. That game landed in a 133-125 final on Monday. Utah comes into this game with a rest advantage and what some would call momentum. Brooklyn is 4-6 in their last 10 games and 1-9 at home. Nobody is backing the Nets tonight, and we see this as a very strong variant. All angles point to taking the Jazz tonight, and that scarcity is what gives us our strongest confidence with Brooklyn tonight. Let’s ride with the Nets here as our stronger NBA position.
Griffin Murphy
Nick Menken
7 Unit – NBA Take #510 NO Pelicans (+11.5) over MIN Timberwolves (-110) (8:30p.m, Thursday December 4th)We have an intriguing matchup tonight as the Timberwolves and Pelicans run it back in New Orleans. These two just played Tuesday night in the same building, a game that went to overtime with Minnesota winning 149–142. Even though the Pelicans have just three wins on the year, they’ve played the Timberwolves tough in both meetings. This is a classic let-down spot for Minnesota: same opponent, same arena, less than 48 hours later, coming off an emotional overtime win. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are coming off that loss and now catching double-digit points at home. And over the past year, teams in that situation, home underdogs off a loss of 10+ facing the same opponent, have covered at a strong rate. If you’re New Orleans, the game plan is simple: slow down Ant-Man and keep this game ugly and competitive. And the Pelicans have shown they’ll fight, even without Zion tonight. They battled wire-to-wire Tuesday night, and I expect another spirited effort again here. Everything about this spot screams Timberwolves letdown. Minnesota has the Clippers on deck at home Saturday, and these back-to-back, same-opponent scenarios are historically tricky for favorites to dominate. I like the way New Orleans competes, and based on last night’s effort, they should hang around again. Wouldn’t shock me if this one comes down to the wire or even sneaks into overtime again. Take the Pelicans +11.5 at home.
NBA Take #510 NO Pelicans (+11.5) over MIN Timberwolves (-110)
Nick Menken
Expert NBA Picks History:
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Scott Rickenbach is the newest addition to the Doc’s Sports team. With over two decades of experience, Rickenbach has a well-earned reputation and ranks among the most popular and sought after handicappers in the industry. Rickenbach has been a top earner in plenty of his 22 years as an NBA handicapper and there will be no better time to catch him than the 2025-26 pro hoops season!
The 2025-26 NBA season starts on Oct. 21. Be sure to check out Doc's football, hockey and college basketball picks as well.
Please note all of our NBA picks are against the spread (NBA picks ATS) or totals plays.