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Last Release of Expert NFL Picks from our handicappers.
Just so the public knows we are always transparent and honest with our reporting, in this spot we will list all of the previous weeks NFL football picks and analysis.
This page will be updated each Thursday at 5AM Eastern.
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Doc's Sports
passRobert Ferringo
THURSDAY FOOTBALL SELECTIONS1-Unit Play. Take #308 Dallas (-8.5) over Tampa Bay (8 p.m., Thursday, Oct. 8)
2-Unit Play. 7-POINT TEASER: Take #308 Dallas (-1.5) over Tampa Bay (8 p.m.) AND Take ‘Over’ 41.5 Tampa Bay at Dallas (8 p.m.)
I actually like Jalon Daniels. I think he has potential. But this Bucs offense is a disaster. Chris Godwin is the shell of himself after injury. Emeka Egbuka is having a sophomore slump. The line is just OK. They can’t run the ball or protect the quarterback and the Bucs have scored over 20 points just twice in their last 11 games. The Dallas defense is pathetic. But it should get the smallest bump from playing at home against a rookie quarterback. The Cowboys have scored 34 points per game over their last three. Tampa’s defense has been very good. But they have also faced the Browns, Vikings and Packers offenses, still allowing 21 points per game in those three. Tampa won’t be able to shut down the Cowboys (especially without Antoine Winfield) and they won’t be able to score enough to keep up.
SUNDAY NFL SELECTIONS
2-Unit Play. Take #452 Jacksonville (-7.5) over Philadelphia (9:30 a.m., Sunday, Oct. 11)
I hate being on the wrong end of the market with this one. But I really don’t know that the line movement is going to come into play. This is either going to be a field goal game because the Eagles dig deep and play out of their minds as gritty underdogs or it is going to be a blowout for the Jaguars. This Jacksonville team is legit. A superhuman Josh Allen playoff effort and Denver’s unfathomable September home field advantage (70-24 SU since 1979) are the only two things that have beaten the Jaguars in their last 13 games. Throw in their epic collapse at Houston (up 29-10 in the fourth quarter) and those are their only three losses in 15 games over the past 12 months. So if we lose this game it will take something bizarre. Kick out the fourth quarter of that Houston game and the wins have come by 19, 29, 3, 22, 17, 28, 14, 6, 34, 24, 29 and 5 points. That’s an average of 19.2 points per game and only three of those 12 wins would’ve come by fewer than two touchdowns.
Carpe diem. Good luck.
Craig Trapp
NFL3-Unit Play. Take #455 Minnesota (-1.5) Over New Orleans (1 pm, Sunday October 110) **FD Odds**
The difference in many NFL games often comes down to great coaching, and Minnesota has a significant edge in this regard. Coach O’Connell has managed well with less-than-stellar quarterbacks and now finally has competent ones to rely on. The Saints were soundly defeated on Monday Night Football and now face a short week, which could lead to another tough game. Take the Vikings to win and cover the spread.
6-Unit Play. Take #469 Over (45.5) San Francisco vs Seattle (4:25 pm, Sunday October 110) **DK Odds**
The Seattle offense has been on fire over the past few weeks, scoring 30 or more points in three straight games. However, the once-stout Seahawks defense has been suspect, allowing 23 and 33 points in the last two weeks. With a very good San Francisco offense coming to town, this matchup is likely to be higher-scoring than the current line suggests. Take the over in the 49ers vs. Seahawks game on Sunday afternoon.
5 Unit Play for MNF - Check Back Sunday AM update at 11:30 AM EST
Craig
Scott Rickenbach
NFL 3-Unit Play. Take #307 Tampa Bay +9.5 at Dallas (8:15 p.m., Thu, Oct. 8)The Buccaneers are 0-4 this season but all 4 losses have been by 7 points or less. Dallas is only 2-2 SU this season and their most recent win was by just 4 points at Houston. That being said, I am happy to challenge the Cowboys to win this game by a big margin. The Dallas defense continues to be suspect to say the least. Also, Tampa Bay rookie QB Jalon Daniels should be better here after being able to get his feet wet in last week's action versus Green Bay. From a situational standpoint I like the fact the Bucs have a non-conference game on deck and also will be playing with desperation after their 0-4 start. The Cowboys have big games on deck against a Packers team that has a rivalry with them plus then the division rival Eagles are next. Those are road games too which are early season key games in the Cowboys schedule. All factors considered, this is a big dog value spot for the Bucs. 3* TAMPA BAY +9.5
NFL 2-Unit Play. Take #451 Philadelphia +7.5 vs Jacksonville (9:30 a.m., Sunday, Oct. 11)
Great spot for a shocker and I love the value here with the Eagles getting more than a TD. Yes I am aware of all that is going on in Philly and I got the win last week going against the Eagles and playing the Rams. This week the value is with an Eagles team catching big points and with all the bashing they have been receiving. They will come out in London with an "us against the world' mentality and they could shock the Jaguars with an upset. There is still a ton of talent on this Philly team and this is a lot of points to be given to a team that is ready to explode with success after feeling they have been left for dead by many after Lane Johnson's retirement and the Cam Jurgens trade. 2* PHILADELPHIA +7.5
NFL 3-Unit Play. Take #456 New Orleans +2.5 vs Minnesota (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 11)
If you look at the stats of the Vikings they are nowhere close to looking like those of a team that is off to a surprising 4-0 start. That said, this is a hidden gem here Sunday as who would back a 1-3 New Orleans team over a 4-0 Vikings team? The answer is US when we know the value is there. The Vikes do have the better defense in this match-up but the Saints have the much better offensive production. I know there is a chance that Justin Jefferon could be back this week but this team has other injury issues and again they are simply over-valued right now based on a flukey hot 4-0 start to the new season. The Vikings also have had trouble in pass protection this season and I expect the Saints to give them plenty of trouble in that area again this Sunday. Don't let this line fool you. The home dog is the play in this one. 3* NEW ORLEANS +2.5
NFL 6-Unit Play. Take #471 Detroit -5.5 at Arizona (4:25 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 11)
Great spot for the Lions to roll big on the road. Detroit is off a loss and both QB Goff and HC Campbell have some strong ATS numbers when off a loss. Overall, the Lions also have performed very well ATS as a road favorite. Breaking this one down, the Lions are off a loss last week and they have a bye week on deck. That makes this game extra important for Detroit and though their defense has not performed well, neither has the Cardinals. The key difference in this one is the Lions offensive unit has been performing at a much higher level than the Arizona offensive unit has. Also, the Cardinals are 1-3 on the season and they have lost 3 straight games and their only win was over the now 0-4 Chargers! Arizona just does not have the offense to keep up in this one and Cardinals QB Jacoby Brissett is struggling with turnover issues at imes. The Cards are 2-14 in the starts he has made since coming to Arizona. Also, this is a Cardinals team that has not won a home game in a year. Long-term Arizona is on an overall 2-17 SU run and each of their last 8 losses have been by at least 6 points. This one will do as Goff and the Lions bounce back big here. 6* DETROIT -5.5
NFL 2-Unit Play. Take #477 Buffalo Bills +3.5 at Los Angeles Rams (8:15 p.m., Mon, Oct. 12)
This spot sets up well for the Bills. I love taking good teams off losses across all sports when the situation is right and the NFL is certainly no exception. The Rams are already 2-0 SU this season when they are off a loss but now they enter this game off a dramatic hard fought win across the country in Philly. The Bills are the team off a loss in this particular situation. Buffalo was a perfect 3-0 this season but then came up just short last week. That home loss to New England sets this one up well as the Bills are on a strong ATS run of 4 in a row when off a loss and also their QB Allen is on a fantastic long-term ATS run when he and his Bills are entering a game off a loss. I also like the fact this line opened up at less than a 3 and now is above a 3 in a lot of books as of Thursday mid-afternoon. I am grabbing the added value here and look for another Bills bounce back off a loss. 2* BUFFALO +3.5
Arun Shiva (Indian Cowboy)
6-Unit Play. #476. Take Under 44 Baltimore Ravens vs. Atlanta Falcons (Sunday @ 8:20pm est)This is a great test for my Falcons. Yes, we won in blowout games scoring over 80 points in the last 2 games but now they face a mind like Jesse Minter who coaches the Ravens who will take this up as a big challenge. Why is the total 43.5 despite Atlanta putting up so many points. Atlanta is no longer the hunter but the hunted at this point. The Ravens still have a great defensive front and I think Atlanta will have a big let down here at home as now they have something called expectations on them. The only way that Baltimore keeps this game close in my opinion is through their defense, not through their offense. They have to keep that Atlanta offense off the field. Regardless if Jackson or Huntley starts in this game, like the Under. Would like Jackson to start frankly to help the Under, but if Huntley starts, that's fine too, still like the Under.
Raphael Esparza (VSI)
NFL FOOTBALL WEEK #55 Unit Play. #454 Pittsburgh -2.5 over Indianapolis (1:05p.m., Sunday, October 11)
The Indianapolis Colts are coming off their overseas game against Washington as they won 30-13 but now, they travel to Steel Country to play the Steelers. The Steelers had every chance on stealing that road game on Thursday Night Football against the Browns and I see them getting redemption at home. The Colts got banged up in Tottenham and tons of key players have not practiced all week. With the Colts banged up I see the Steelers rushing attack keeping the Colts defense on the field and that will open the passing attack early. I see this game being tight from the start and I see the Steelers winning by two-field goals. Pittsburgh has covered 4-Straight games following a SU loss and the Steelers are 4-0 ATS as a home favortie.
3 Unit Play. #471 Over 45.5 Chicago at Green Bay (1:05p.m., Sunday, October 11)
The last time we saw the Bears on the road they scored 59 points against the Panthers. Last time we saw the Packers at home they let the Falcons score 35 points and I see both offenses scoring at will. The Bears last 11 road game 9 of them have gone ‘Over’ and the Packers are 5-0 O/U following a SU win.
Tony George
NFLSunday 10/11/26
4 Units
Take #454 Pittsburgh (-2.5) over Indianapolis
We have a rest factor for the Steelers (10 days rest) off a poor performance and a Colts team off a game in London. This is a situational spot and a buy low spot for the Steelers. Pitt lost a hard-fought battle against Cleveland in a game they could have won, and what was more enlightening was WR Metcalf hooked up for a 100+ receiving day and Warren ran the ball well. 10 days to prep and get their act together and I am not yet sold on the Colts. Actually, the Colts body of work should have them favored but bear in mind they won a game against a 3rd string QB last Sunday. I like the Steelers today at home under the fall number of 3.
3 Units
Play #461 / #462 Las Vegas / New England (OVER 45)
*1 EST
I like this Over today, and I think both teams will be in the mid to high 20’s. This should be a good game actually. Vegas is playing well behind Cousins and off an impressive point output against a good KC defense, and Cousins is not turning the ball over. QB Maye came around the last game and as a starter is 12-5 to the Over at home.
Additional 2 Unit Play
Take #472 Arizona (+5.5) over Detroit *3:25 EST
2 Team 6 Point Teaser (-120) *1 EST
2 Units
Tease #469 San Fran UP to (+9) and Tease #465 Houston DOWN to (-1.5)
Vernon Croy
6-Unit Play: #307 Tampa Bay +8.5-110 over Dallas (Thursday, October 8, 2026, 8:15pm ET)Take Tampa Bay ATS as my top NFL pick for Thursday night. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and I really like Tampa Bay a lot in this spot on the road Thursday. I feel like this is a very difficult situational spot for Dallas coming off that victory against Houston and I do expect Tampa Bay to step up defensively in this game Thursday. Tampa Bay has played incredible football over the last 2 weeks considering the injuries they are dealing with, including a three-point loss at home against a very good Green Bay team. Dallas has struggled defensively all season, with opponents averaging 389.5 YD per game against them and 28 points per game which is five points above the league average. Play Tampa Bay ATS.
5-Unit Play: #451 Philadelphia +7.5-110 over Jacksonville (Sunday, October 11, 2026 , 9:30am ET)
Take Philadelphia ATS as my top NFL pick for Sunday. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and I think we are getting a great line here with Philadelphia who look to bounce back after back-to-back losses at Chicago and at home last week against Los Angeles in a game they should have covered the spread against a very good Los Angeles team. Jacksonville has looked great over the last couple weeks. However, I think this is a very tough spot for them and I would not be shocked to see Philadelphia win this game outright. Philadelphia has won five straight games against Jacksonville, dating back to 2024. Play Philadelphia ATS.
7-Unit Play: #474 Green Bay +1.5-110 over Chicago (Sunday, October 11, 2026 , 1:00pm ET)
Take Green Bay ATS as my top NFL pick for Sunday. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and I really like Green Bay at home. In the spot is they are a much better team than we have seen so far this season. Green Bay is coming off that three-point victory against Tampa Bay on the road in what really should have been a dominant victory for them. Meanwhile, I feel like this is a very tough spot for Chicago. And yes, I did have the Jets last week against Chicago and Chicago did cover the number. This Chicago team is not for real and I do look for Green Bay to step up defensively in this matchup. Love completed 73.3% of his passes last week against Tampa Bay and Chicago is still dealing with injuries on both sides of the ball. Play Green Bay ATS
4-Unit Play: #458 New York -2.5-110 over Cleveland (Sunday, October 11, 2026 1:00pm ET))
Take New York ATS as my top NFL pick for Sunday. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and I really like New York at home. A lot in the spot here Sunday as they are the superior team. New York is one of the best defensive teams. New York is one of the best defensive teams in the NFL and this is a big bounce-back spot for them at home here Sunday. Meanwhile, I think this is a very tough spot for Cleveland coming off three straight victories. Keep in mind the New York Jets have five touchdown passes this season and zero interceptions averaging 225.5 YD per game and they will bounce back after falling against Chicago in the game. I believe they could have won and should have. Play New York ATS
6-Unit Play: #477 Buffalo +3.5-110 over Los Angeles (Monday, October 12, 2026 8:15pm ET))
Take Buffalo ATS as my top NFL pick for Monday night. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and I really like Buffalo on the road in this bounce back spot. I did give you New England against Buffalo last week on my video as that was a very tough spot for them. However, Buffalo will bounce back this week. They are the superior team on both sides of the ball and for Los Angeles this is a very tough spot coming off that four-point victory at Philadelphia. Back-to-back road games for the Rams against Philadelphia and Denver before facing this Buffalo team. Los Angeles has six touchdown passes so far this season, but they also have six interceptions coming into this game. I do expect Buffalo to be much better defensively here Monday. Play Buffalo AT
Scott Spreitzer
4-Unit Play: Take Buccaneers +8.5 over Cowboys (8:15 p.m., Thursday, Oct. 8)I’m taking the points with Tampa Bay. The Cowboys are 2-2, including a win over the Commanders and a win in the final minute last week over Houston. 2-2 and praise is being heaped on this team. This means we have an inflated number, especially when you combine the Dallas hype with Jalon Daniels at QB for the injured Baker Mayfield. I don’t see a drop-off and Daniels is an incredible athlete who can run. The next time Dallas stops a dual-threat QB will be the first time this season. The Dallas offense has been effective and then some, but they’re middle of the pack in offensive plays because opponents are moving the chains. Dallas gave up 7.94 yards per play last week after allowing 6.52 per play to the Ravens two weeks ago. I’m taking the points with Tampa. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
7-Unit Play: Take 462 Over 45 Raiders-Patriots (1 p.m., Sunday, October 11)
We won our 7-Unit last week when the Patriots & Bills went Over the total. I expect more of the same this week from New England. Mike Vrabel gets the most out of this New England offense. They’re on an 11-2 Over run at home after the first month of the season and the Over cashed in nine of their final 11 regular season games last year. The Raiders are allowing 337.3 yards per game on 5.6 yards per play and the Patriots are also on an 11-2 Over run against teams that allow more than 5.5 per play. In fact, to illustrate how good Vrabel’s Pats have been against those defenses, New England has averaged 20.5 points per game in the first half alone. We know the Raiders can move the ball through the air with outstanding coaching and QB Kirk Cousins, who has 11 TD passes to seven different players. There may be some rain on Sunday but the winds are expected to be minimal and that helps the receiver routes even more. I’m playing the Over. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
2-Unit Play: Take 456 Saints +2.5 over Vikings (1 p.m., Sunday, October 11)
The worst team in the NFL in yards per play (4.4) is 4-0. The Minnesota Vikings are also dead last in passing yards per game and 31st in total yards per game. They’ve been winning with defense and faced three soft opponents. The Saints were terrible last week. They’re 2-2 and have dropped two straight, but while the Vikings have faced an ideal schedule, the Saints have faced the Falcons, Raiders, Ravens, and Lions. I played against Minnesota last week in the Circa and Westgate contests and the Vikings had to settle for five field goals in a 15-10 win, non-cover against a Miami defense that had allowed an average of four TD per game in their previous three games. The Saints catch a break on defense this week, finally. I’m taking the points with New Orleans. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
2-Unit Play: Take 458 Jets -2 over Browns (1 p.m., Sunday, October 11)
The Browns have won three in a row outright as an underdog and these teams have not been too sexy ATS next time out over the years. All three wins were close, one-score games and could have gone either way. The Jets have lost three straight, yet they’re laying points. These are the kind of scenarios I’ve enjoyed betting over the years. The overall stats are not that much different between these teams. In fact, the Jets allow 32 fewer total yards per game. Finally, note that teams off an outright underdog win at home over a divisional rival have covered just 43 of their last 136 games provided they have a winning season-long record. I’m backing the Jets. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
August Young
4-Unit Play (308) Tampa Bay Buccaneers/Dallas Cowboys UNDER 49.5 -110 (10/8 @ 8:15 PM ET) Tampa Bay's defensive performance and uneven offensive finishing give this under a sound foundation. Through four games, the Buccaneers rank fourth in yards allowed and have held their last three opponents to 285 yards or fewer. Opponents convert just 32.7% of third downs against Tampa and score touchdowns on only 45.5% of red-zone trips, providing two ways to interrupt Dallas scoring drives. Tampa Bay's own offense has converted only 41.7% of its red-zone opportunities into touchdowns, ranking 31st in the league. Baker Mayfield is ruled out with a thumb injury, and Jalon Daniels is expected to make his second start. In his debut, Daniels threw for 148 yards as Tampa scored 14 points against Green Bay; protection problems stalled a potential winning drive late. The Buccaneers have a recent record of restricting sustained offense while still searching for consistent scoring production themselves. Take UNDER 49.5 tonight.4-Unit Play (456) Minnesota Vikings/New Orleans Saints UNDER 42 -110 (10/11 @ 1:00 PM ET) Minnesota's scoring defense and modest offensive output provide the foundation for UNDER 42.5 in New Orleans. Through four games, the Vikings allow an NFL-best 12.8 points per game and rank seventh against the pass at 194.8 yards allowed. That passing defense is central to this matchup: New Orleans averages 278.5 passing yards but just 88.5 on the ground, placing much of its production against Minnesota's strength. Dallas Turner adds disruption at the line, with 29 pressures and 5.5 sacks through four games. Minnesota's own offense averages 262.8 total yards, 31st in the league, and has produced seven touchdowns in those four contests. This under has support on both sides of the game: a Vikings defense equipped to interrupt the Saints' main source of yardage and a Minnesota offense that has generated limited production. Back the defensive matchup and take UNDER 42.5.
4-Unit Play (464) Washington Commanders -3.5 -115 over New York Giants (10/11 @ 1:00 PM ET) Washington's rushing foundation and ability to limit the opposing ground game give the Commanders useful advantages at home against the Giants. Through four games, Washington averages 124 rushing yards, eighth in the NFL, while allowing only 93.5 per game on the ground, sixth in the league. That combination provides a way to sustain its own drives and push New York toward less comfortable passing situations. The protection matchup also favors Washington's ability to operate: the Commanders have allowed just five sacks, while the Giants have recorded only three through four games. New York has also allowed opponents to convert 48.89% of third downs, creating an opportunity for Washington to extend possessions and turn field position into points. These are concrete strengths at the line of scrimmage and in drive continuation. With the game at Northwest Stadium, back the Commanders to use that rushing and protection foundation to cover the 3.5-point spread.
2-Unit Play (475) Baltimore Ravens +3.5 -115 over Atlanta Falcons (10/11 @ 8:20 PM ET) Baltimore's running game and defensive front give the Ravens a way to keep this Sunday night matchup within reach. Derrick Henry has scored a league-leading seven rushing touchdowns through four games, and Baltimore's blocking has supplied him with two yards before contact per carry. That ability to create room at the line of scrimmage supports sustained drives and gives the offense a dependable way to finish scoring opportunities. Lamar Jackson's ankle status remains unresolved, so the emphasis here is on that rushing foundation. Defensively, the Ravens are allowing 100 rushing yards per game and 3.9 yards per carry. Competing at the line against Atlanta can create longer passing situations, where a front credited with 58 quarterback pressures through four weeks can disrupt possessions. Take Baltimore with the three-and-a-half-point cushion for this 2-Unit Sunday night selection.
7-Unit Play (478) Los Angeles Rams -3 -120 over Buffalo Bills (10/12 @ 8:15 PM ET) The Rams' combination of efficient rushing and timely defensive stops gives Los Angeles the tools to control this Monday night matchup at home. Through four weeks, the Rams are averaging 4.8 yards per carry, tied for fifth in the NFL. That productive ground game can keep the offense ahead of the chains and create manageable situations instead of asking every possession to survive a difficult passing down. Their defense supplied the other half of that formula in last week's 24-20 win at Philadelphia, holding the Eagles to 0-for-12 on third down and 1-for-4 on fourth down. Those stops repeatedly returned the ball to the offense, and a fourth-and-goal stand helped launch the comeback. Byron Young then finished the final Philadelphia possession with a sack and strip sack. With a reliable rushing foundation and a defense coming off decisive possession-saving plays, back the Rams laying three at SoFi Stadium.
Strike Point Sports
NFL Plays released on Sunday.Jason Sharpe
NFL-Monday October 12th 2026-
8 Unit Play Take #478 Los Angeles Rams -3 over Buffalo (8:15pm est):
Everyone felt this Los Angels Rams was the clear cut best team in the NFL coming into this season. The Rams lost their season opener in what was an odd traveling spot but since then have looked very good and that's despite winning 2 of their last 3 games and I think they should be 3-0 by my numbers. This team is extremely talented and kind of quietly have played very well in each of their last three contests including last week's 24-20 win over Philadelphia where that game wasn't nowhere that close on the field. This game also sets up nicely from an overrated/underrated perspective as the Rams having played back to back tough road games while Buffalo is coming off a terrific spot having played three straight games while at home.
Play Los Angeles minus the points in this one.
Sunday October 11th 2026-
4 Unit Play Take #468 Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 over Denver (4:05pm est):
This is a buy low spot on LA. The Chargers are off to an 0-4 start to the season but keep in mind they have faced three straight opponents that are a combined 9-3 on the year and two of those games were on the road. LA very easily could have covered the spread in both of these contests failing to do so by just a half point in each game. They face off here against a Denver team expected to be down a couple of key pieces in their secondary as well in this one. It's a profitable strategy to look to back home underdogs in divisional matchups like this game and the home team in this matchup has covered 8 of the last 10 head to head battles.
Take Los Angeles Chargers and the points.
3 Unit Play Take #454 Pittsburgh -2.5 over Indianapolis (1:00pm est):
This is a horrific travel spot for Indianapolis who played last week in London and now must go to Pittsburgh for this one a week later. The Colts caught a huge break last week facing Washington's 3rd string quarterback for much of that contest. I don't like what I have seen from this Colts offense also this year as it's struggled. On the other side of things I kind of like the Steelers team and didn't think I would this season. They have moved the football the last couple weeks and have wins this year over decent teams like Atlanta and Cincinnati.
Play Pittsburgh.
3 Unit Play Take #473 Chicago -1.5 over Green Bay (1:00pm est):
This Chicago Bears team is starting to look like a fine tuned machine. They are off to a 3-1 start this season using a different starting quarterback in each of those wins. Still doesn't seem like the betting markets have caught up to just how good this team has been of late as the Bears are quietly 15-6 their last 21 games overall. While on the other side of things Green Bay comes into this game just 2-7 their last 9 games and this despite the fact they were favored to win 7 of those 9 contests.
Play Chicago in this one.
Griffin Murphy
1 Unit Play - Take #473 Chicago Bears (-130) Over GB Packers. (1:00p.m, Sunday October 11th)Chicago has been one of the most dominant teams in the league again, including last week's slugfest against the Jets, which they won 23-12. Chicago took down Green Bay last year in huge spots, and we believe this carries over to this season. Chicago is still without Caleb Williams, which gives us the chance to take this game on a short -130 moneyline as opposed to having to play a spread. Chicago has rolled out 2 different QBs in 2 weeks and has shown zero signs of slowing down. We believe Chicago controls the run game and utilizes the pass the way they have all season. We are not going to overlook the spot; we are taking the better team in this one with a strong belief they will come in and dominate. Take the Bears straight up in this one.
Griffin Murphy
6 Unit Play - Take DEN Broncos @ LA Chargers (UNDER 42 Total Points). (4:05p.m, Sunday, October 11th)
Denver is known for having a very intense defense, and we have a spot here. Denver is laying 3.5 points in this game, which tells us it should be tight. Denver is also a team that lives on tight games and defensive battles. The Chargers scored 23 points last week in Seattle, but 17 of those points were scored in the 2nd half. LA was getting blown out the entire game, yet the game was back and got the cover. Denver’s defense will not allow big spots like this, and we believe it sticks. LA has an okay defense but Bo Nix really hasn't had Denver's offense labeled as a dangerous threat. We believe LA steps up in this game and locks down on defense. We believe LA will roll offensively, but the Broncos' defense will most definitely keep this tight. We are taking UNDER 42 total points, with a strong belief the defense is the key ingredient in this game. Take the UNDER.
Griffin Murphy
Nick Menken
6-Unit NFL: Take #456 NO Saints (+2.5) over MIN Vikings (-110) (Sunday, October 11th, 1:00p.m)This line is built entirely on public perception, setting up a classic sell-high, buy-low opportunity. The Saints are coming off an embarrassing 45-24 blowout loss to Atlanta on Monday Night Football, leaving them at 1-3. But teams returning home after getting embarrassed on national television routinely respond with maximum focus and urgency, especially inside the dome. Meanwhile, Minnesota enters at 4-0, but their record looks far cleaner than their actual play. The Vikings' offense looked clunky and disjointed last week against Miami, failing to find the endzone once and scraping by on 15 total points. Minnesota lacks a consistent running attack to control the clock, which plays right into New Orleans' hands. Even with Justin Jefferson demanding attention, expect the Saints' secondary to tighten up, force Minnesota into long down-and-distance spots, and make life uncomfortable. Take the Saints as home underdogs to keep this tight and potentially win it outright.
Nick Menken
3-Unit NFL: Take #462 NE Patriots (-3.5) over LV Raiders (-110) (Sunday, October 11th, 1:00p.m)
This is a classic West-to-East travel spot that heavily favors the home team. The Raiders are coming off an exhausting, emotionally draining loss to the Kansas City Chiefs, and now they have to cross three time zones for an early 1:00 PM Eastern kickoff. That body-clock disadvantage often leads to flat starts, leaving the door wide open for a disciplined opponent to dictate terms early. Meanwhile, New England carries all the momentum into Foxborough after pulling off an impressive road win against Buffalo. The Patriots proved last week that when they stick to their physical, mistake-free brand of football, they can control the line of scrimmage against quality teams. With the Raiders ripe for an emotional hangover on the road, lay the wood with New England to take care of business and cover the spread by more than a field goal.
Nick Menken
2-Unit NFL 6-Point Teaser: Take #469 SF 49ers (+9) over SEA Seahawks / Take #475 BAL Ravens (+9) over ATL Falcons (-130) (Sunday, October 11th)
Nick Menken
Expert NFL Picks History:
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