2026 Super Bowl Predictions with Futures Odds and Best Bets
The Super Bowl odds have seen plenty of movement compared to the preseason prices, and now is the perfect time to take a look at the contenders and find which have value heading into Week 4. Some preseason favorites have seen their odds plummet after slow starts, while others have shot up the list thanks to a couple of wins. A total of 16 teams have Super Bowl odds at +3200 or shorter, and here is the value rating out of five on whether or not you should dive in at the current price.
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Buffalo Bills: +650
The Buffalo Bills are the new Super Bowl favorites after getting off to a 3-0 start while the preseason favorites, the Rams, are 1-2. Just when you thought Josh Allen couldn’t get any better, the beloved Bills star has found a new gear. He has run in two touchdowns in each of the first three games, passing for five more with two interceptions. The Bills defense looks as good as they have in years, but there are still question marks surrounding the rest of the offensive cast. DJ Moore and Keon Coleman have been dealing with injuries, while the Bills rely on Allen to play like an MVP every week. It is hard to argue with their place at the top, but locking in at +650 would be buying high on Buffalo. We are likely to get a better price at some point during the regular season, cutting down on the current value.
Value Rating: 2/5
Los Angeles Rams: +700
The Rams 1-2 start has seen them knocked off the throne, and another few losses could see them fall out of the playoff picture altogether. The injuries to Myles Garrett and Puka Nacua have taken away their star power, and both appear unlikely to return in the near future. With the Eagles and Bills up next, even a 1-1 record would see them drift further from a playoff spot. The talent is there, but there is also no guarantee Matthew Stafford survives a full season at this stage of his career. There is more value now than at the start of the season, but we need to see this team string some wins together before we can justify this price.
Value Rating: 1/5
Baltimore Ravens: +900
The Ravens offense led by Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry has been fun to watch, and they bounced back nicely from their Week 2 loss against the Saints. The playoff demons could come back to haunt Jackson and company, but it is clear this team is a legitimate AFC threat in their first season without John Harbaugh. As long as they keep playing complementary football, the top seed in the AFC is certainly within reach.
Value Rating: 4/5
San Francisco 49ers: +1000
The 49ers have been dealt bad news with injuries to Nick Bosa, Mike Evans, and Trent Williams, but time and time again they continue to deliver. The ‘next man up’ philosophy from Kyle Shanahan is clearly working, and their stars should be back in the coming weeks. Brock Purdy is the big question at quarterback, but he is silencing the critics after becoming the first 49er to throw nine touchdowns in the first three games in franchise history. A tough division means San Francisco may have to qualify for the playoffs through the Wild Card, but they still deserve a spot near the top of this list.
Value Rating: 4/5
Seattle Seahawks: +1000
The reigning Super Bowl champions suffered an upset at the hands of the Commanders last week, but this team still looks pretty damn good. They outgained the Commanders by 179 yards and only lost thanks to three turnovers, putting up 6.8 yards per play on offense. Once you couple that with a defense that allowed just 8.5 PPG in the first two games of the year, it is clear why the Seahawks won it all last season. Jaxson Smith-Njigba is looking like the best wide receiver in the league, Sam Darnold is cooking, and there are really no flaws with this team. This price is a bit disrespectful given that this team has already proven they can win in the playoffs.
Value Rating: 4/5
Kansas City Chiefs: +1100
The Chiefs are one of the biggest movers after starting the year at +1600, which has unfortunately evaporated their value. Patrick Mahomes is clearly healthy, Kenneth Walker III is the best running back the Chiefs have had in a decade, but this defense looks vulnerable and they lack pass catching options. Travis Kelce has averaged 77 yards per game so far, but that is an unsustainable number for the tight end in the twilight of his career. The Chiefs have the ‘it factor’ with Mahomes, but they offer absolutely no value at this price.
Value Rating: 0/5
Philadelphia Eagles: +1600
The Eagles are fresh off an embarrassing defeat at the hands of Case Keenum after barely scraping by in the first two games of the season. Losing AJ Brown is proving to be a massive blow, and this team was one or two plays away from an 0-3 start. Their offense is a disaster, their defense is not looking like the dominant unit it has in the past, and Nick Sirianni continues to make bone-headed moves in clutch situations. A dreadful NFC East means the Eagles probably make the playoffs, but anything resembling a deep playoff run is quite the stretch.
Value Rating: 0/5
Detroit Lions: +1800
The Lions Super Bowl odds haven’t budged since Week 1, as they look like a team capable of doing great things, but just creatively falling short on defense. Detroit has given up 31.7 PPG this year while allowing at least three touchdowns in every game, which is not a recipe for success against the best teams in the league. However, the weapons at the disposal of a reliable Jared Goff cannot be overlooked, and they certainly have the upside to make a deep run. I’d rather hold off on this one, as it seems like a fair price we will neither tail nor fade.
Value Rating: 3/5
Cincinnati Bengals: +1900
Can the Bengals actually play defense? Cincinnati has looked great on offense whenever Joe Burrow has been healthy, and it looks as though they are finally getting the defensive support they need to win games. Their offense will be near the top of the league by the season’s end, as Burrow is too talented to struggle with Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins as his weapons. Now that the defense has caught up, Cincinnati may be able to replicate their 2022 run to the Super Bowl.
Value Rating: 4/5
Jacksonville Jaguars: +1900
Jacksonville is off to a perfect start and Trevor Lawrence is playing the best football of his career. Their defense looks great, their offense is very balanced, and a struggling AFC South has paved the way to a seemingly straightforward division title. Jacksonville is unlikely to see their odds drop in the coming weeks, and this could very well be the lowest price we get all year. However, I am struggling to pull the trigger with minimal playoff experience on the roster, as the lights may end up being too bright as they were last year. There is some value here, but it’s hard to run to the window after turning down +3000 preseason odds.
Value Rating: 3/5
Denver Broncos: +2000
This has been a team of two halves so far this year. They have only put up 10 points in the first half of their three games, but have stormed back to win two of the three thanks to big second half showings. Bo Nix and company clearly believe they can, at the very least, go back to the AFC Championship, and a strong defense will help them stay on the field. It is only a matter of time before the Broncos start waking up earlier, and when they do, the league will be in trouble.
Value Rating: 4/5
Minnesota Vikings: +2200
The Vikings have seen their Super Bowl odds move swiftly thanks to a 3-0 start, and they are likely going to keep the momentum alive with a Week 4 matchup against Miami. Brian Flores has created a daunting defense despite not having any blue-chip defenders, while Kyler Murray has looked good through a small sample size in a new uniform. However, does this team really have enough offensive talent to win the Super Bowl? A strong defense will let them beat up on bad teams, but turning that into a string of playoff victories is a different story.
Value Rating: 2/5
Chicago Bears: +2200
The Bears needed seven fourth quarter comebacks to make the playoffs last year, and had the best turnover differential in the league. While some of that comes down to the mentality in the locker room, there is also a lot of luck in that equation. Now that Caleb Williams is going to miss time and the Bears have already knocked off some easy games on their schedule, they could quickly fall out of the playoff race if they don’t keep finding unique ways to win. Chicago would need lightning to strike twice if they are to replicate their 12-5 record from last season, which isn’t taken into account with +2200 odds.
Value Rating: 1/5
Dallas Cowboys: +2700
The Dallas defense has been the worst unit in the league through the first three weeks of the season, and it is hard to expect anything different going forward. The offense will be able to bail them out during the regular season, but it is nearly impossible to win the Super Bowl with a bottom-half unit on either side of the ball. Will the Dallas defense get out of last place? Probably. Will they climb into the top-half? Unlikely.
Value Rating: 0/5
Houston Texans: +3000
The Texans started 0-3 last year as they have this season, but ripped off a nine-game win streak to close out the season and make the playoffs. CJ Stroud is currently crumbling, but a defensive unit like this only needs an average offense to win most of the time. The last four games including their playoff loss last season have not buoyed the public with confidence, but a few dominant defensive displays will see this price quickly fall. At +3000, the Texans have far more upside than others ahead of them on this list.
Value Rating: 4/5
New England Patriots: +3300
Last but not least are the New England Patriots. A 1-2 start is not what the doctor ordered, nor was a 1:6 touchdown to interception ratio for Drake Maye. However, this team has proven it can win in the past, and a strong defense will keep them in games. Once Drake Maye figures out how to replicate his MVP runner up performances from last year and the Patriots get AJ Brown off of IR, they will be right back in contention. A win against Buffalo this week would see this price drop dramatically, which means we have no choice but to ‘buy the dip’ on New England right now.
Value Rating: 5/5
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