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2021 Super Bowl Predictions

by Chris Vasile - 10/21/2020

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes

We are now seven weeks into the NFL Season, and the bigger picture is starting to take shape. We have just three undefeated teams left in the league. And after this week there will be two as the Steelers and Titans play each other. The bottom of the league is chock-full of terrible teams all vying for the first overall draft pick and the honor of taking Trevor Lawrence in the upcoming draft. In the middle, the teams are all interchangeable based on results. One week Team X looks good and then the following week they lay an egg and lose. It’s a tough proposition for futures bettors as the value on the upper end of the board is non-existent given how much better those handful of teams are than the rest of the league. Time will tell how the futures market plays out. However, for now, here are my Week 7 Super Bowl predictions.

Super Bowl LV Odds

The Favorites:

Week 7: Kansas City +350, Baltimore +550, Seattle +700, Green Bay +900, Pittsburgh +900

Previous (Week 3): Kansas City +375, Baltimore +650, Seattle +1000, Green Bay +1100

As you can see by the odds heading into Week 7, the Chiefs are still the team to beat according to Las Vegas. Despite one blip in the radar – a Week 5 loss to the Las Vegas Raiders -- the Chiefs are still the most complete team on both sides of the ball. Patrick Mahomes continues to dazzle each and every time he takes the field. And with Andy Reid calling the plays and the imagination he brings to the table, the Chiefs’ only true foe is themselves. The addition of Le’Veon Bell to the roster only bolsters their attacking options and gives opposing defenses nightmares. The Chiefs showed us on Monday why they are the team to beat, as they came out and dominated a Buffalo team that believed it was ready to take the next step. They would still get my money if I was in the market to play the futures.

As for the Ravens, they are not alone in the AFC North as the Pittsburgh Steelers are quietly having themselves a great start to the season. The Ravens have won three straight after losing to the Chiefs, but they’ve beat teams with a combined record of 3-13-2. The Ravens are still a dangerous football team when the offense gets rolling, but so are the Steelers. And the Steelers can complement the offense with a top-ranked defense. For my money, Pittsburgh is the smarter bet at +900 to win the Super Bowl since there is more value and they are in the driver’s seat right now in the AFC North, which could get them one or two home playoff games, depending on what happens the rest of the way.

Over in the NFC, the Seattle Seahawks are still legitimate contenders this year thanks in large part (again) to Russell Wilson. He will win MVP this year. And the only thing he’d probably trade that in for is another Lombardi Trophy. With the NFC being a weaker conference this season, the Seahawks should be able to sew up home field throughout the playoffs… and that would do them wonders come January. The defense still remains the only blemish on this team as they ranked dead last in total yards allowed and passing yards allowed. If they find a way to get back to average, they will be a scary team to meet in the playoffs.  

And lastly, just like the Chiefs, Green Bay suffered what they hope is a blip in the radar as they got trounced last week to the Bucs. The defense looked atrocious, and the offense looked out of sync despite the return of Davante Adams. Because of that, the Packers are not in first place in the NFC North, and a road playoff game is something the Packers would rather not entertain. Home field advantage (whatever is left of it) means so much to the Packers, that I’d like to be certain they win the NFC North before I bet them to win the Super Bowl.

The Contenders:

Week 7: Tampa Bay +1100, New Orleans +1200, Tennessee +1500, Buffalo +1800, Los Angeles Rams +2200, Chicago Bears +3000, San Francisco +3000, Indianapolis +3300, New England +4000, Arizona Cardinals +4000

Previous (Week 3): Tampa Bay +1200, San Francisco +1400, New Orleans +1400, Pittsburgh +1600, Buffalo +1600, New England +1800, Tennessee +2200, Dallas +2200, Indianapolis +2200, Los Angeles Rams +2500, Arizona Cardinals +2500

Out of these 10 “contenders”, the Bucs are the team I’d be looking to back if I was looking to play a live long shot for the sole reason being they are in the NFC and don’t have to go through Kansas City, Baltimore or Pittsburgh to reach the Super Bowl.

For the Bucs, the offense is finally starting to mesh together, and Tom Brady is enjoying having plenty of weapons at his disposal. The rushing game is starting to produce thanks to Ronald Jones, which keeps the defense honest and allows Brady time to make the throws he needs to make on passing downs. Perhaps what’s most surprising is the defense. This unit ranks second in total yards, sixth in passing yards, first in rushing yards and eighth in points allowed. If they can keep that level of play up, there are very few offenses in the NFC that have what it takes to beat that. 

The Rest:

Week 7: Las Vegas +4500, Cleveland +5000, Dallas +6600, Philadelphia +6600, Carolina +10000, Denver +12500, Detroit +12500, Miami +12500, Minnesota +15000, Los Angeles Chargers +15000, Houston +25000, Atlanta +25000, Washington +60000, Cincinnati +60000, New York Giants +60000, Jacksonville +75000, New York Jets +150000.

Previous: Chicago +3300, Cleveland +4000, Las Vegas +4500, Los Angeles Chargers +6600, Philadelphia +6600, Minnesota +6600, Detroit +8000, Houston +10000, Atlanta +12500, Carolina +15000, Miami +17500, Denver +17500, Jacksonville +175000, Washington +17500, Cincinnati +20000, New York x2 +25000.

As I wrote out each team and their respective odds, I was thinking to myself… what’s the point? I know that’s a bit of a cop-out, but every team in this category is miles behind the top teams in this league. And for the most part, maybe one of these guys finds themselves in a playoff spot come January.

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