2019 Super Bowl Predictions
We are halfway through a preseason that never seems to end. That means that the regular season in the NFL is drawing closer. With every passing day we learn a little more, and our opinions about the strong teams and the challenged ones grow stronger. It's a good time, then, to look at the Super Bowl futures odds available at Bovada and do one of our regular revisits of our Super Bowl predictions. Agree or disagree as you will - just remain committed to value:
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New England Patriots (+700): I am getting uneasy about this team. The latest hit to them this offseason was the loss of their first-round pick to injury in training camp. It feels like the hits are coming often, and the depth is challenged. There are more areas of concern on this team than we have seen for a while now. They could very easily still be as dominant as usual - and their division sure helps them out. But to see this team fall into the nine-win range wouldn't be that much of a surprise to me, either. They are going to make the playoffs almost for sure, and that's all that really matters, but it is hard for me to get excited about this price in any way at all.
L.A. Rams (+850): It seems as we have gotten closer to the season that the enthusiasm around this team has dimmed somewhat. I'm not entirely sure why. I really liked the offseason they had, I am a believer in the coaching, and I think they are moving in the right direction with a strong core on both sides of the ball. I really like where the team is at, and they are my top pick without hesitation.
Philadelphia Eagles (+1000): Carson Wentz has not come back quite as seamlessly from his injury as might have been ideal, and Nick Foles has looked awful in his last preseason action. Is this just a little blip along the way or the first signs that defending a title isn't nearly as easy as it might seem? I remain a little lukewarm about the team. I respect them and what they did last year, and the offseason was pretty solid, but defending is really tough, and they don't have a lot of prior playoff experience to draw on to help guide them. I would buy or hold their stock over the next three to five years, but I would be braced for a bit of a dip in the performance this year.
Pittsburgh Steelers (+1000): A good friend of mine has it in for Mike Tomlin almost as much as I like attacking Marvin Lewis. Well, no one hates anyone as much as I hate Marvin Lewis, but you get the idea. He believes that Tomlin represents mediocrity in every way and that he stands in the way of what this team could be accomplishing. He is killing their vibe, in the eyes of my buddy. I'm not sure I entirely buy in, but I do agree that the Steelers of the last couple of years, haven't quite lived up to the sum of their parts - especially in crunch time. Will this year be different? I'm not entirely convinced, but I'm not unconvinced either. Either way, I don't see a lot of value here.
Minnesota Vikings (+1200): I like the Rams a little more than the Vikings, but not by much. The addition of Kirk Cousins is something I am really high on, I like the coaching changes they made, there aren't a lot of holes in talent, and they have success to build on from last year. There is a lot to like here, and the difference between their price and the Rams makes them playable as well. A Minnesota and L.A. NFC Championship Game would be a whole lot of fun. The biggest knock against both of these teams, though - or at least the biggest challenge to the value of them - is that the NFC is deep and tough this year, so coming out of it unscathed will be not easy, and some really good teams will go home too early.
Green Bay Packers (+1200): I know I am coming off as negative about a lot of teams, and I don't often like being negative, but I just can't help it. I am not nearly as excited about the Packers as some. While Aaron Rodgers is as good as they come, he is also very fragile, and I don't trust him - or the ability of the team to be competitive without him. And I don't think their roster is as deep as others. If they win then I will lose.
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