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2022 NFL Season Win Totals Predictions

by Cameron McQuade - 6/22/2022

NFL season win totals predictions Travis Kelce Kansas City Chiefs

The NFL had its 2022 draft end on April 30, and the full schedule release was on May 12. Now with teams a month way from camp, we are going to update our NFL season win total predictions. Some teams have a received a tougher schedule than others, so it’s always a good idea to adjust the predictions and look at these numbers with a fresh set of eyes. We also know what players were taken at the draft this year, and there will definitely be some rookies that will become major forces on their teams. Let’s see how the schedule release, NFL Draft, and daily roster updates effect our 2022 NFL season win Over/Under predictions.
 

Team

Division

Reg Season Wins

Arizona Cardinals

NFC West

9

Atlanta Falcons

NFC South

5.5

Baltimore Ravens

AFC North

9.5

Buffalo Bills

AFC East

11.5

Carolina Panthers

NFC South

6

Chicago Bears

NFC North

6.5

Cincinnati Bengals

AFC North

9.5

Cleveland Browns

AFC North

9.5

Dallas Cowboys

NFC East

10.5

Denver Broncos

AFC West

10

Detroit Lions

NFC North

6

Green Bay Packers

NFC North

11

Houston Texans

AFC South

4.5

Indianapolis Colts

AFC South

9.5

Jacksonville Jaguars

AFC South

6.5

Kansas City Chiefs

AFC West

10.5

Las Vegas Raiders

AFC West

8.5

Los Angeles Chargers

AFC West

10

Los Angeles Rams

NFC West

10.5

Miami Dolphins

AFC East

8.5

Minnesota Vikings

NFC North

9

New England Patriots

AFC East

8.5

New Orleans Saints

NFC South

7.5

New York Giants

NFC East

7

New York Jets

AFC East

5.5

Philadelphia Eagles

NFC East

9

Pittsburgh Steelers

AFC North

7.5

San Francisco 49ers

NFC West

10

Seattle Seahawks

NFC West

6

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

NFC South

11.5

Tennessee Titans

AFC South

9.5

Washington Commanders

NFC East

7.5

 

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Arizona Cardinals: “Over/Under” 9 Wins: Without DeAndre Hopkins to start the year, a few early season losses could be coming the Cardinals way. Arizona’s schedule is a difficult one, with many tough games in a row. Also, with the history of late-season L’s, 9 may be a game too much for the Cardinals now.

Atlanta Falcons: “Over/Under” 5.5 Wins: My stance stays the same for the Falcons, who lost Matt Ryan and Calvin Ridley.  Going into 2022 with an O/U 5.5, and without their stars, after winning only 7 games last year, looks like a longshot. Even with highly touted 2021 draft pick TE Kyle Pitts, they have an even bigger uphill battle in 2022 than last year. Hopefully 8th overall draft pick Drake London can make up for no Ridley, but it could be a tough start as the young WR may see tons of double teams throughout the year with no other big-time threat.

Baltimore Ravens: “Over/Under” 9.5 Wins: If Lamar Jackson can stay healthy this year, the Ravens have a good shot at beating their over/under at 9.5 wins. Lamar is 37-12 since 2018 and is entering his prime as an NFL QB.

Buffalo Bills: “Over/Under” 11.5 Wins: This prediction stays the same, even with a tough 2022 schedule. Anything short of a Super Bowl this upcoming season for Buffalo is a loss. Josh Allen and crew have one goal and one goal only. Adding Von Miller to the already solid defence will only make Buffalo that much harder to beat. They lost a few gimmies last season, so I currently believe a 12–13-win season is very possible.  

Carolina Panthers: “Over/Under” 6 Wins: Finishing last season with only 5 wins, Carolina was devastated with injuries all season to star Christian McCaffrey and QB Sam Darnold. The last time Carolina had a winning season was in 2017, going 11-5 on the year. With a weaker division, I still believe the Panthers can go over 6 wins.

Chicago Bears: “Over/Under” 6.5 Wins: The Bears selected 11 players in the 2022 draft. However, with such a young team, and not getting a game off until Week 13, they are looking at a repeat of their 2021 season.

Cincinnati Bengals: “Over/Under” 9.5 Wins: Everyone is on the Cincinnati train. Being Super Bowl contenders will do that to your team. The Bengals will need another strong defensive season and for their offense to stay healthy to repeat a double-digit winning season. The added depth and reasonable schedule defiantly helps in their favor.

Cleveland Browns: “Over/Under” 9.5 Wins: The Browns acquired star QB Deshaun Watson via trade, star WR Amari Cooper via trade, and locked in back up QB Jacoby Brissett to a 1-year deal. If Watson isn’t suspended for the 2022 season, the Browns easily have the roster talent to reach 10 wins.

Dallas Cowboys: “Over/Under” 10.5 Wins: Dallas is tied with Washington for the easiest strength of schedule based off last year’s win percentages. However, with a lackluster draft and losing Amari Cooper, Randy Gregory, Connor Williams, and La’el Collins, 10.5 wins may not be possible for the Cowboys this season.

Denver Broncos: “Over/Under” 10 Wins: It’s tough to break a 6-year playoff drought. And having Kansas City, the Las Vegas Raiders and the LA Chargers in your division doesn’t help. They will have to win most of their home games to be in position to break 10 wins this upcoming season.

Detroit Lions: “Over/Under” 6 Wins: After what many consider a strong draft, Detroit and Jarred Geoff look to bounce back in 2022. With the 2nd and 12th overall picks, the Lions drafted EDGE Aiden Hutchinson and WR Jameson Williams, respectively. They have also acquired DJ Chark, who looks to have a healthy bounce back season on a new team.  In the AFC North, there is a chance to win 3-4 games vs division rivals if their defense holds up. I believe the Lions will win 5 games this season, making them an “under” bet.

Green Bay Packers: “Over/Under” 11 Wins: Well, the Packers are 7-0 without Davante Adams in the past three seasons. And under coach Matt LaFleur, they have had four straight 13-win seasons. I believe they can dig out 12 wins this year, hitting the “over” bet.

Houston Texans: “Over/Under” 4.5 Wins: With an improved offense, and some good experience for young QB Davis Mills, 4.5 wins isn’t too much to ask for, right? I believe Houston muscles out more than 4.5 wins this season and starts heading back in the right direction.  

Indianapolis Colts: “Over/Under” 9.5 Wins: Last year, the Colts finally finished under double digit wins with nine. However, the emergence of Jonathan Taylor was spectacular. They added veteran QB Matt Ryan via trade and signed TE Mo-Alie Cox to a 3-year, $18 million deal. I think the AFC south is sub-par, and this Colts team can get back to a 10-win season.

Jacksonville Jaguars: “Over/Under” 6 .5 Wins: Urban Meyer is gone, Trevor Lawrence is coming into his second year, and the team has added Christian Kirk and Zay Jones to the WR corps. The addition of Evan Ingram at TE also gives Lawrence some more weapons. I believe Jacksonville will improve on their three-win 2021 season, but Lawrence will need to make a big leap this year to allow that to happen.

Kansas City Chiefs: “Over/Under” 10.5 Wins: Losing Tyreek Hill can’t make a team better. But they did add Tik-Tok star WR Juju Smith-Schuster to a 1-year, $10.75 million deal. The Chiefs are still mostly the Chiefs. However, the AFC West is no joke, and Patrick Mahomes and company could be in for their toughest season yet. With one of the toughest loaded schedules out there, they will have to come out firing in the opening six-game stretch that includes two division games plus matchups vs Buffalo and Tampa.

Las Vegas Raiders: “Over/Under” 8.5 Wins: 8.5 seems a little low, especially after finishing last season with 10 wins. With new WR Davante Adams, and an all-around improved roster, the Raiders should be able to at least get 9 wins this season.

Los Angeles Chargers: “Over/Under” 10 Wins: Falling short of 10 wins and the playoffs last season, the Chargers look to bounce back in 2022 under QB Justin Herbert. I think the Chargers are extremely talented on both sides of the ball, with skill at every position and depth. If they can start 2-0 vs a pair of AFC West opponents, they could be in for a big season, easily out-doing 10 wins.

Los Angeles Rams: “Over/Under” 10.5 Wins: Having the second toughest schedule in 2021 and winning 12 games and a Super Bowl says a lot. This year the Rams come into 2022 with the toughest strength of schedule. But with a fully healthy team, including RB Cam Akers, the Rams look to have another 12+ win season.  

Miami Dolphins: “Over/Under” 8.5 Wins: The Dolphins have made some great trades and signings this offseason. With new coaching and better talent, it is defiantly possible to see this team reaching the 9-10 win mark and coming second in the division after Buffalo.  There are, in my opinion, seven games Miami should win. And if they take a couple swing games, the 8.5 o/u should be a doable over.

Minnesota Vikings: “Over/Under” 9 Wins: The Vikings average 9 wins a year over the past 9 seasons. Take the over with this talented, high-ceiling team.

New England Patriots: “Over/Under” 8.5 Wins: I was personally surprised with how well the Patriots played last season, getting 10 wins on the year and having a 6-2 away record. Impressive. I believe this year the Patriots take a step back in the division, don’t beat Buffalo during the regular season, and hit around 7-8 wins. Under.

New Orleans Saints: “Over/Under” 7.5 Wins. Many are skeptical about the Saints. Without Drew Brees, and head coach Sean Payton, it’s a brand-new team essentially. Alvin Kamara can only do so much. But with Jameis Winston used to the system, and Michael Thomas back healthy and adding the first round pick of Chris Olave, the offense may be alive.  

New York Giants: “Over/Under” 7 Wins: Last year was another sad season for Daniel Jones and the Giants. I’ve always believed in the talent in New York, and I personally believe Jones is a talented QB with Josh Allen-like upside (minus the arm strength). They have improved their OL with Bills Jon Feliciano and Commanders Hamil Douglas to help Saquon Barkley out. This year is truly sink or swim for the Giants and Jones, so I believe they should be able to pull together 7+ wins in the NFC East this season. The new coaching staff can help towards improving that 4-win 2021 season too.

New York Jets: “Over/Under” 5.5 Wins: Let’s be honest, the Jets don’t have what it takes to compete in the AFC East, and it’s going to be a few years until Zack Wilson becomes the QB they envision. The Jets’ over/under 5.5 is greater than their average win total over the past 6 seasons at 4.5. Shrug.

Philadelphia Eagles: “Over/Under” 9 Wins: Prior to the draft and schedule release, I didn’t believe in the Eagles winning more than 9 games. But since then, they’ve also added star WR A.J. Brown, who, in my opinion, is one of the top 3 best wideouts in today’s game.  They have a solid schedule and should be able to win at least 9 games again like they did last year.

Pittsburgh Steelers: “Over/Under” 7.5 Wins: The Steelers somehow made the playoffs last year. WR Diontae Johnson is the consensus best route runner in the NFL.  Rookie RB Najee Harris is a beast. Of course, coach Mike Tomlin is a genius. You can never count out the Steelers, and that’s the same coming into 2022. With a small 7.5 over/under, I like the over and the Steelers finding a way like always. With Big Ben being as bad and inconsistent as he was last year, I can’t see any NFL QB being “worse,” whether that’s Mitch Trubisky manning the offense or rookie QB Kenny Pickett starting.

San Francisco 49ers: “Over/Under” 10 Wins: San Francisco, much like the Steelers, seem to always find a way to win in recent years. Deebo Samuel is a monster. They are in a tough NFC West division, and winning 10 on the dot last season yells stay away for me. Could be a push on the over/under 10 wins.

Seattle Seahawks: “Over/Under” 6 Wins:  No Russ, no identity. The Seahawks have their lowest over/under total in years at 6 wins. Drew Lock will really have to hope DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett make him a better starting QB in the NFL. Adding Noah Fant at TE does help, too, if he can stay healthy. I believe the Seahawks muscle out 7 wins this year.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: “Over/Under” 11.5 Wins: My opinion prior to the schedule and draft stays for Tampa. Tom Brady is back, head coach Bruce Arian has retired, and the roster is mostly the same. With the NFC South being weak, and Brady looking to show why he came out of retirement, look for a division title and a 12–13 win season in 2022 for the Bucs.

Tennessee Titans: “Over/Under” 9.5 Wins: The Titans have had a strong team in recent years. They’ve won at least nine games in each of the past five seasons. This year’s schedule features duels with the AFC West and a visit to Buffalo to play the dangerous Bills. Losing A.J. Brown hurts a lot, and there seems to be some QB locker room drama since the draft. This could be the year the steady Titans fold and win only 8-9 games. 

Washington Commanders: “Over/Under” 7.5 Wins: Just a half-win better o/u than last season, the Commanders and new offence look to repeat and hopefully win 8+ games this season.  They don’t have as difficult as a schedule than last year, facing much lower-tiered quarterbacks in 2022.

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