2025 NFL Season Win Totals Predictions

There is no better feeling than cashing a season-long win total bet after months of rooting for or against your team of choice. Unlike with single-game markets, the biggest benefit of betting on win totals throughout an NFL season is the lack of bad beats. If you can correctly identify an overvalued or undervalued franchise, you will be able to cash your win total bet more often than not. The season is now just weeks away, and with most of the preseason in the rearview mirror, it is now time to evaluate the current state of all 32 NFL teams after we went 17-15 last season. 

Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.

Arizona Cardinals: 8.5 Wins, Last Season 8-9

The Cardinals have been waiting for Kyler Murray to develop into the quarterback they know he can be for the last several seasons. However, this is the first season that Murray has had a competent group of pass-catchers around him. Arizona has the offensive talent to support Murray, the offensive line to protect him, and a competent defense on the other side of the ball. The Cardinals will hover around the .500 mark once again this year, but the real game-changer is their 7th-easiest schedule. They finished one game under .500 last season, and an easier schedule will see them finish one game over .500 but just outside the playoff picture. OVER

Atlanta Falcons: 7.5 Wins, Last Season 8-9

The Falcons are still handcuffed by their dreadful Kirk Cousins contract extension last season and were unable to make the offseason moves they wanted to. There are still serious holes in their secondary, and the Falcons are full of unproven talent. An easy schedule could be their saving grace, but even still, Atlanta won’t be a sure thing against anyone in the league. On offense, Michael Penix Jr. looked solid last season, but he is still developing and now faces the pressure of being the undisputed QB1. Maybe this is the year the Falcons can put it all together, but odds are they finish short of expectations once again. UNDER

Baltimore Ravens: 11.5 Wins, Last Season 12-5

The Ravens are entering the year as one of the Super Bowl favorites, but this win total is too high for the regular season. Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry were able to stay healthy last season, and the Ravens still barely cleared this total. They have a tough division and difficult schedule, and there aren’t many easy games for Baltimore. This is still one of the best teams in the league, but this 11.5 win total doesn’t take into account the hurdles they will have to jump over. The Ravens don’t have a ceiling this season, but expecting them to win a majority of their tough matchups is simply unrealistic. UNDER

Buffalo Bills: 12.5 Wins, Last Season 13-4

The Bills have an incredibly easy schedule, they have the reigning MVP, and there aren't too many clear-cut losses on their schedule. Taking an over on 12.5 wins is always a tall task, but Buffalo has the roster needed to make it happen. Josh Allen is durable in the pocket, making potential injuries not too much of a concern. The Bills' contract with James Cook could age poorly, but it will certainly help the Bills win this season. The only concern is if the Bills lock up the division too early with a hot start and take their foot off the gas, but their search for the top seed in the AFC should keep them fighting hard. OVER

Carolina Panthers: 6.5 Wins, Last Season 5-12

The Carolina Panthers are a mess on both sides of the ball heading into the new season. Bryce Young showed signs of life last year, but it is hard to count on him to deliver throughout a 17-game season. Not only that, but Young doesn’t have the offensive weapons around him to lean on, and will struggle anytime he is not on his A-game. On the other side of the ball, the Panthers put together a historically bad defensive performance last season, and didn’t do too much to fix it. They allowed 31.4 PPG last season and will likely be hovering around the 30 mark again this year. Young isn’t the guy to go shot-for-shot with the league’s best offenses, and this one is an easy UNDER. 

Chicago Bears: 7.5 Wins, Last Season 5-12

Caleb Williams was the first overall pick for a reason, and he is poised for a fantastic season in Chicago. A new head coach has arrived in the form of Ben Johnson, and that should unlock Williams’ potential. The Bears' season will hinge on his play, and I am expecting a massive step up for the Bears this season. Williams has the offensive pieces he needs to thrive, and this will be his breakout season in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, the Bears brought in proven talents on the defensive line to join trade deadline acquisition Montez Sweat. Not only will the Bears fly over this win total, but this is one of the best win totals to attack this year, as I have the Bears finishing with 10+ wins. OVER

Cincinnati Bengals: 9.5 Wins, Last Season 9-8

Joe Burrow had an incredible season last year with 43 touchdowns and just 9 interceptions. The Bengals offense was unstoppable, but they finished just 9-8 thanks to poor play on defense. They lost four games where they scored 33 or more points, while the rest of the league combined only had 8 losses of that nature. Cincinnati made some offseason changes to patch up its defense, but they are far from perfect. However, as long as they don’t start 0-3 again like last season, it is hard to count out a healthy Joe Burrow. Don’t start planning the parade, but the Bengals will squeak into the playoffs with a double-digit win total. OVER

Cleveland Browns: 5.5 Wins, Last Season 3-14

This feels like low-hanging fruit, but it is hard to see the Browns staying competitive in the second half of the season. Joe Flacco was named their Week 1 starter, and I agree he gives them the best chance to win. On the other hand, when the losses start piling up, the Browns will turn to one of their rookie quarterbacks, and who knows how that will turn out. Oh, wait, we all do. Cleveland doesn’t have the offensive talent to support their rotation of quarterbacks this season, and they don’t have an easy schedule to fall back on either. The wins will be few and far between for this side, and they will not be competing for the Super Bowl as Myles Garrett predicted. Maybe they can beat the Titans or Raiders to save themselves from an 0-17 season, but that is as much credit as we will be giving them. UNDER

Dallas Cowboys: 7.5 Wins, Last Season 7-10

Hating on the Cowboys has become a national pastime, but this line is a win or two too low for this squad. Their off-field issues aside, the Cowboys have assembled a talented roster that can compete in the playoffs when healthy. Those last two words are the key, as Dallas was forced to deal with numerous injuries last year. Despite that, they still finished 7-10 on the season, and can certainly pick up an extra win with Dak Prescott having made a full recovery. Prescott is still a top-10 quarterback in the league, and this is a disrespectful win total. Hate on the Cowboys all you want, but the clear choice for this win total is OVER.

Denver Broncos: 9.5 Wins, Last Season 10-7

The Denver Broncos flew over their 5.5 win total last season and are expected to challenge for a playoff spot once again. Rookie quarterback Bo Nix has been impressive, but what made this team great is their defense. Denver gives up no easy yards through the air or on the ground, and the Mile High City can expect another dominant season on that side of the ball. However, if Nix has anything resembling a sophomore slump, this team will quickly fall apart. This is a fair win total given what we saw last season, but too many things had to go right to get to 10-7, and I am not sure if everything will fall into place again. UNDER

Detroit Lions: 10.5 Wins, Last Season 15-2

The Detroit Lions had an excellent season last year, but lost both of their coordinators as a result. OC Ben Johnson and DC Aaron Glenn both took head coaching jobs, but there is still reason for optimism in Detroit. They suffered devastating injuries on defense last season, and a healthy Detroit team can certainly replicate their 15-2 showing. They have a balanced offense, a dominant defensive line, and Dan Campbell is still at the helm. Detroit will be able to secure 11+ wins and finish on top of the NFC North for a third consecutive season. OVER

Green Bay Packers: 9.5 Wins, Last Season 11-6

The Packers were able to stay healthy last season with not a single starter heading to the IR. As a result, they finished inside the top 8 on both sides of the ball and were able to navigate a tough NFC North division. Jordan Love has followed in the footsteps of Aaron Rodgers nicely, but it is hard to have confidence in Green Bay’s defense. They got picked apart in free agency, losing longtime Packers Jaire Alexander and Eric Stokes. They didn’t draft anyone to replace them in the secondary, nor did they pick up anyone in free agency. Green Bay will get off to a strong start, but they are one injury away from complete disaster. UNDER

Houston Texans: 9.5 Wins, Last Season 10-7

The Texans have been blessed with another easy path to the postseason in the AFC South, and a double-digit season is on the horizon. A soft schedule combined with a healthy roster will help Houston look even better than it did last season. CJ Stroud was unable to follow up his incredible rookie season, but he will look far more mature in his third year in Houston. There are at least 7 games on the Houston schedule that will be a complete cakewalk, and a couple of other impressive victories will have them surpass this total. OVER

Indianapolis Colts: 7.5 Wins, Last Season 8-9

This is one I have flipped back and forth on, but the Colts' recent decision to name Daniel Jones as their starter reminds me of what this franchise is reliable for. Making bad off-field choices. Their quarterback room is a mess, they haven’t re-signed the players they needed to, and have completely ignored the defensive side of the ball. Maybe Jones will succeed, maybe they will turn to Anthony Richardson after a few games. Either way, too much drama and not enough defense to expect a respectable season in Indianapolis. UNDER

Jacksonville Jaguars: 7.5 Wins, Last Season 4-13

Call me a fool, but this is the season Trevor Lawrence finally gets his act together and leads the Jaguars to the playoffs. Jacksonville has finally solidified its offensive line while giving Lawrence the pieces he needs to succeed. They may find themselves in their fair share of shootouts thanks to some questionable defense, but their offense is capable of overcoming that fact. Once you factor in a soft schedule for the Jaguars, they will be able to double their win total with an 8 or 9-win season. OVER

Kansas City Chiefs: 11.5 Wins, Last Season 15-2

The Chiefs have been long overdue for a regression, and this may be the year it finally comes. Patrick Mahomes will be playing motivated football in Kansas City, but the question remains of who he will throw the ball to. Rashee Rice is on the brink of suspension, Travis Kelce isn’t getting any younger, and the Chiefs were just mediocre on offense last season. Their defense is menacing, but expecting another 12+ win season with a difficult schedule might be a bit too much to ask. Kansas City will make the playoffs, but they will fall just short of this lofty total. UNDER

Las Vegas Raiders: 6.5 Wins, Last Season 4-13

Las Vegas will see a major improvement with Geno Smith at quarterback. They have always had the line and offensive talents to succeed, and were just missing someone to deliver the football. Smith doesn’t have a long career left, but he will be effective for a couple of years in Las Vegas. Additionally, their defense was underrated after they had to deal with countless short fields from poor offensive play last year. Once this team starts playing complementary football, a 7-win season will be more than within their reach. OVER

Los Angeles Chargers: 9.5 Wins, Last Season 11-6

The Chargers have been able to stay competitive thanks to the inspired play from Justin Herbert over the last few seasons. However, the loss of left tackle Rashawn Slater has dented their offensive line, and I don’t see how they can recover. A subpar defense with no protection for Herbert is a recipe for losses, and they will be unable to replicate their double-digit win total. In fact, I’m calling for Los Angeles to miss out on the playoffs altogether. UNDER

Los Angeles Rams: 9.5 Wins, Last Season 10-7

The Rams made a splash to bring in Devante Adams as a Cooper Kupp replacement, but I am not so sure that is as big an upgrade as the public may think. Los Angeles still lacks the depth on offense outside of their big names, and is one injury away from disaster. Everything fell into place for the Rams last season, and unless that happens again, they will fall well short of expectations. A difficult schedule as a reward for topping the division doesn’t make things easier either. UNDER

Miami Dolphins: 7.5 Wins, Last Season 8-9

It’s hard to imagine why a team with Tua Tagovailoa throwing the ball to Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle has been struggling. Injuries have played a role, but something is seriously wrong with this team. Until Miami blows up this offense, it is hard to trust them in the clutch. It is not as if their defense is something to get excited about either, and a surging Patriots team will leave them even further down the AFC East standings. UNDER

Minnesota Vikings: 8.5 Wins, Last Season 14-3

The Minnesota Vikings were one of the surprise teams last season. Even though they are unlikely to secure 14 wins again with JJ McCarthy under center, this team can certainly finish above .500 and reach the playoffs. They have the best wide receiver in the game with Justin Jefferson, and McCarthy has been turning heads at training camp. Let’s not forget a big reason this team thrived was their fourth-quarter defense, and I expect the Vikings to squeak out several more one-possession games this season. OVER

New England Patriots: 8.5 Wins, Last Season 4-13

I was ready to take the Patriots over at 7.5 wins, but now that it has crept up to 8.5, the under is the way to go. New England will look a lot better than they did last season, but more than doubling their wins is too much of an improvement to ask for. Drake Maye still has his weaknesses, and he is the type of quarterback that having a year of game film to comb over can make a massive difference. The Patriots are on the right track in their quest for relevancy, but they are still one year away from competing for a playoff spot. UNDER

New Orleans Saints: 4.5 Wins, Last Season 5-12

You will be hard-pressed to find a franchise with less optimism heading into the season… aside from maybe the Cleveland Browns. New Orleans was forced to move on at quarterback after Derek Carr retired, and is now left with Spencer Rattler and Tyler Shough to choose from. However, the front office remains hellbent on winning now while kicking the salary cap can down the road even further. A few defensive signings coupled with a soft schedule will allow the Saints to replicate their 5-12 record last year. Maybe even 6-11 if everything falls into place. Either way, a 4.5 win total is too low for any NFL team given the parity of the league. It’s an ugly one, but OVER

New York Giants: 5.5 Wins, Last Season 3-14

The Giants are stuck in a division with the Eagles, Commanders, and Cowboys, and can pretty much kiss their season goodbye before the first snap. Russell Wilson is a shadow of his former self, and the unpredictability of Jameis Winston leaves the Giants without any other options. Maybe Jaxson Dart starts for this team in the second half, but none of their quarterback options will allow them to pile up the wins. A strong defensive line will let them steal a game or two here and there, but this win total is a tad too high. UNDER

New York Jets: 5.5 Wins, Last Season 5-12

Justin Fields will finally get his chance to start in the NFL again, and the Jets' strong defense will keep them far more respectable than this win total implies. New York was hit with numerous injuries last season that dampened their expectations, and the same win total as their crosstown rivals is not an accurate representation of this team. They have the quarterback, offensive line, and pass-catchers needed to succeed on offense. There has never been a shortage of defense with the Jets, and this is a team to keep an eye out for as a late playoff sleeper. OVER

Philadelphia Eagles: 11.5 Wins, Last Season 14-3

Philadelphia has been blessed with a consistent pipeline of draft talent to fill in the holes of its departing veterans. A strong season for the Eagles led to several key members of their defense testing the open market. Philadelphia has prioritized winning now by pushing back its salary cap hits, and it already paid dividends last season. However, another year for teams to study the Tush Push, combined with an unusually healthy regular season last year, makes replicating their 14-win season a tall task. They will still probably win the NFC East, but will do so with 10 or 11 wins instead of in dominant fashion. UNDER

Pittsburgh Steelers: 8.5 Wins, Last Season 10-7

Aaron Rodgers has come to town, but it is far too late for him to do anything meaningful. Rodgers is fragile, immobile, and ineffective in the pocket. The conservative play-calling from Mike Tomlin’s side will not allow the former Packer to thrive, and this will be the first losing season in two decades for the Steelers. Their defense is still led by T.J. Watt, but the rest of his supporting cast hasn’t been getting better as of late. It won’t be a complete disaster, but an 8-9 season is on the cards for Pittsburgh. UNDER 

Seattle Seahawks: 7.5 Wins, Last Season 10-7

I am a little confused as to why the oddsmakers expect Seattle to take a dramatic step back. Swapping out Geno Smith for Sam Darnold is a pretty negligible move, and the Seahawks also replaced DK Metcalf with Cooper Kupp. This was a team with a very strong defense that played safe football on offense, which was able to secure 10 wins last year. Has much changed? I don’t think so. Seattle is a well-built team that will feel robbed by their lack of participation in the postseason last year. They will come out firing and easily surpass this total. OVER

San Francisco 49ers: 10.5 Wins, Last Season 6-11

The 49ers are expected to challenge for the Super Bowl this year, but I am not even sure they will make the playoffs. Brandon Aiyuk and Jauan Jennings are both hurt, and they shipped out Deebo Samuel to the Washington Commanders. That leaves Brock Purdy with few options on offense. Purdy isn’t the kind of quarterback who will single-handedly win his team football games, and even the mighty McCaffrey will struggle. San Francisco was bitten by the injury bug last season, and they still aren't healthy coming into 2025. No doubt about this one. UNDER

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 9.5 Wins, Last Season 10-7

The Buccaneers have been able to consistently outperform expectations with Baker Mayfield at quarterback. Mayfield effortlessly took over from Tom Brady, and the Buccaneers have a physical team that can beat up on bad teams. Lucky for them, they have six easy games against their NFC South competitors and will be able to reach double-digit wins and the postseason this year. OVER

Tennessee Titans: 5.5 Wins, Last Season 3-14

There will always be new hope with a first overall quarterback joining the ranks, and Cam Ward has been turning heads at training camp. Ward won’t lead this team to the Super Bowl in his first season, but he will be able to navigate the Titans' cakewalk of a schedule. Tennessee splashed some cash in free agency to bring in competent receivers, and this team is destined for a positive season that leaves them just outside the playoffs. OVER

Washington Commanders: 9.5 Wins, Last Season 12-5

What a season in Washington. Jayden Daniels has given life to a franchise devoid of anything joyful for decades with his spectacular regular season, followed by a pair of playoff wins. While the offseason rumors have dominated the Commanders' headlines, let’s not forget they have one of the best quarterbacks in the league. Daniels will make everyone around him look better, and the Commanders' defense got significantly better, too. They may not be able to defy expectations like last year, but a 10-win season can be expected in the nation’s capital. OVER

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