2025 NFL Season Win Totals Predictions
The NFL Draft and the schedule release are now in the rearview mirror as the upcoming 2025-26 season continues to creep closer and closer. Some NFC East and NFC North teams have lofty expectations, as Green Bay, Minnesota, Dallas, and Washington all took big steps forward, while Detroit is getting healthy and Philadelphia remains a top threat in the NFC. The 49ers will benefit greatly from the easiest schedule in the NFL, while the Saints, Titans, and Panthers will not be able to take advantage of their easy draws due to their rebuilding state. Let’s take a look at how the schedule release has impacted the win totals around the league. We will offer NFL season win totals for every team.
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Arizona Cardinals – O/U 8.5 Wins
Arizona drafted well and boosted their defensive line into a unit that should be one of the higher producing lines in the NFL. Walter Nolen and Will Johnson should have all the opportunities in the world to become breakout stars with their instant playing time and if those two can adjust to the big-league level quickly, Arizona might have one of the most underrated defenses in the league. It also helps that they have the sixth easiest schedule in the league. Arizona might just win the NFC West this year.
My Pick: Over 8.5, -110
Atlanta Falcons – O/U 7.5 Wins
The Falcons appear ready to put all their eggs in the basket of Michael Penix Jr. and it could prove incredibly beneficial that they were able to fully invest in the defense this offseason and in the draft. Their division got a whole lot weaker with the Saints QB situation and the rebuilding Panthers. Atlanta could sneak away with a double-digit win season.
My Pick: Over 7.5, -140
Baltimore Ravens – O/U 11.5 Wins
Malaki Starks is going to prove to be a huge difference maker in the Ravens secondary and he will pair nicely with Kyle Hamilton. Mike Green was perhaps the steal of the draft, and they boosted their offense with the addition of DeAndre Hopkins. The Ravens do have the ninth toughest schedule, and a hot start is key for their win total, but they will win 12 games and maybe more as this is the team to beat in the AFC.
My Pick: Over 11.5, -110
Buffalo Bills – O/U 11.5 Wins
The defense got a makeover, with Joey Bosa being the biggest addition on defense. A step back does not seem to be in the cards for Buffalo thanks to a weak AFC East. If they can find a way to boost the secondary before the offseason ends, they could have one of the best defenses in the league. It also helps to have the 23rd hardest schedule.
My Pick: Over 11.5, -140
Carolina Panthers – O/U 6.5 Wins
Carolina drafted their wide receiver of the future in Tetairoa McMillan, but they still have a long ways to go before they are considered to be a threat in this league. The Panthers could benefit from the fall of the Saints, but I still expect another bad season here.
My Pick: Under 6.5, +120
Chicago Bears – O/U 8.5 Wins
Ben Johnson will look to bring the Bears back to their winning ways, and they added a lot of weapons to the offense in order to do so. Colston Loveland is an incredible addition to the offense while Luther Burden III will join Rome Odunze as an upcoming dynamic duo. The problem is they have the second toughest schedule this season and their division is the best division in football. Give me the under 8.5 here.
My Pick: Under 8.5, -135
Cincinnati Bengals – O/U 9.5 Wins
Cincinnati drafted terribly, and the outlook on the draft class is bleak. Shemar Stewart could turn into a solid everyday player, but the defense will take a step back and an even bigger one if Trey Hendrickson is traded. They have their offensive core locked in, but they do have to play defense at some point too. Nine wins is the ceiling.
My Pick: Under 9.5, +105
Cleveland Browns - O/U 5.5 Wins
Mason Graham certainly boosts the defensive line, but this team still has a lot of holes. The QB room contains a lot of characters and a lot of question marks. There seems to be too many distractions surrounding this team and it is hard to see this team take a big step forward.
My Pick: Under 5.5, -140
Dallas Cowboys – O/U 7.5 Wins
The Cowboys could find themselves back in the playoff picture solely because of the incredibly high ceiling of their draft class. They added three players who could have all been taken in the first round and their secondary looks like it could be the best unit in the league. Adding George Pickens as a running mate for Ceedee Lamb certainly doesn’t hurt. Give me the over here. Dallas should have no problem hitting the over.
My Pick: Over 7.5, -135
Denver Broncos – O/U 9.5 Wins
Denver did win 10 games last season and now their defense is much improved. Their SOS ranks 15th in the league and a hot start will be key for their win total pursuits as they have a nice slate to ease into the season. Look for them to repeat their double-digit win total again this season.
My Pick: Over 9.5, +110
Detroit Lions – O/U 10.5 Wins
The Lions improved in the trenches on both sides of the ball in the draft while also reconstructing their secondary. They do have the third toughest schedule in the NFL this season, but most NFC North teams have tough schedules because it’s the best division in the league. Detroit should not regress with an improved secondary and a boost in the trenches.
My Pick: Over 10.5, +100
Green Bay Packers – O/U 9.5 Wins
After adding Matthew Golden and Savion Williams in the draft, Green Bay suddenly looks like they could be the new face of the league. Their offensive line got a boost with the addition of Anthony Belton and if they can somehow handle the Jaire Alexander situation, Green Bay should dominate.
My Pick: Over 9.5, +105
Houston Texans – O/U 9.5 Wins
Houston’s offense added some big developmental pieces to age with the rest of their younger offensive core. Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel dominated the Big 12 last season and will now look to make their mark with C.J. Stroud and company in the NFL. The offensive line has a new look after some big moves and it helps to have one of the easier schedules in the league.
My Pick: Over 9.5, +105
Indianapolis Colts – O/U 7.5 Wins
Tyler Warren falling to number 14 in the draft was the biggest win Indianapolis could have wanted during the offseason. They added some stability to their rather questionable offense. The QB situation is going to be a storyline to follow early in the season, but there isn’t enough there to make you hopeful of this team reaching the eight-win mark even with one of the easiest schedules in the NFL.
My Pick: Under 7.5, -110
Jacksonville Jaguars – O/U 7.5 Wins
Travis Hunter found himself headed to Jacksonville after the front office made a bold move to acquire the two-way star. Hunter and Jourdan Lewis will be a shutdown pair in the secondary, but the offense remains the issue. Hunter will have an impact on offense as well, but the ceiling seems rather low for this offense and it will limit their success in the season to come.
My Pick: Under 7.5, +100
Kansas City Chiefs – O/U 11.5 Wins
Josh Simmons is a wild card pick for Kansas City that could pay off in a huge way as the tackle was once considered a Top 10 prospect before injuries. He will bring some stability and anchor an offensive line that struggles mightily when it mattered last season. Kansas City and Baltimore will compete for the top spot in the AFC this season.
My Pick: Over 11.5, +100
Las Vegas Raiders – O/U 7.5 Wins
Las Vegas got Ashton Jeanty to improve their offense overnight. However, the Raiders have a lot of holes to fill on either side of the ball and the defense will be especially weak. Their schedule isn’t overly tough, but they will be a step behind the playoff bubble teams this season.
My Pick: Under 7.5, -155
Los Angeles Chargers – O/U 9.5 Wins
Omarion Hampton and Tre Harris give the Chargers a boost on offense. Ladd McConkey’s game will improve as Harris will command more attention. Hampton and Najee Harris will be a dominant duo out of the backfield. If the defense can be serviceable, the Chargers will win a lot of games and could push the Chiefs for the top spot in the division.
My Pick: Over 9.5, +100
Los Angeles Rams – O/U 9.5 Wins
The NFC West division remains a head scratcher. The Rams did avoid a tough draw on their schedule reveal, but they seem to be totally at the mercy of Matthew Stafford’s production. The division is a mess, so things could fall the Rams way, making this win total a difficult one to pick, but they should reach 10 wins here.
My Pick: Over 9.5, -140
Miami Dolphins – O/U 8.5 Wins
Miami will benefit from the weakened state of their division, but they struggled against the good teams last season. The Patriots improved and the Bills should be another elite AFC team. The Dolphins have the 12th easiest schedule this season thanks to four games against the Patriots and Jets, plus others. We will see if the offensive line can keep Tua Tagovailoa healthy enough to produce. Too many questions to feel confident in the over.
My Pick: Under 8.5, -150
Minnesota Vikings – O/U 8.5 Wins
If J.J. McCarthy plays and produces at the level that the Vikings believe he can, Minnesota will once again be one of the best teams in the league. The NFC North is tough with the Packers improving and the Lions getting healthy. However, Minnesota could have an answer at quarterback and the offensive line got a boost with Donovan Jackson. They do have the easiest schedule of any NFC North squad, though it is the seventh toughest in the NFL.
My Pick: Over 8.5, -110
New England Patriots – O/U 7.5 Wins
The Patriots drafted well and improved their offense drastically. Drake Maye should settle nicely in year two, though the team will miss the playoffs once again. However, if Miami struggles the Patriots could find themselves in second place in the AFC East. They also benefit from having the third easiest schedule this season. Take the over.
My Pick: Over 7.5, -150
New Orleans Saints – O/U 5.5 Wins
Derek Carr has now retired and the tank for Arch Manning is officially underway and is at the forefront of every single front office member, whether they want to admit it or not. Tyler Shough could emerge as a reliable quarterback, but he is not going to lead this offense to new heights. The defense is atrocious, and the offense is mediocre at its best.
My Pick: Under 5.5, -125
New York Giants - O/U 5.5 Wins
The Giants improved on both sides of the ball, but not as much as Washington and Dallas did, and Philadelphia still remains as the team to beat in the NFC East. The Giants have the toughest schedule in the NFL and are still a year or two away from competing.
My Pick: Under 5.5, -145
New York Jets – O/U 5.5 Wins
The Jets answered their biggest question mark by drafting Armand Membou. He and Olu Fashanu will anchor the offensive line in front of Justin Fields. Adding a wide receiver like Amari Cooper could really improve the offense, but they are still a ways away from reaching the playoffs. However, I am down on Miami this season and I think the Jets could steal a win or two and reach the six-win mark.
My Pick: Over 5.5, -135
Philadelphia Eagles – O/U 11.5 Wins
The Eagles reloaded on defense as they used their first five picks in the draft on defensive players. However, they are not as impressive in the trenches anymore. Their secondary is the best in the league, and they will continue to improve. The Eagles do have the fourth toughest schedule in the league, which could hold them back from reaching last year’s win total of 14. Expect the Eagles to win a tough division race with Washington and Dallas pushing them all season, and the under on the win total to hit.
My Pick: Under 11.5, -115
Pittsburgh Steelers – O/U 8.5 Wins
Kaleb Johnson is a huge dark horse candidate for offensive rookie of the year as he could earn the top spot at the position on the Steelers depth chart to start the season. Derrick Harmon improves the defensive line. However, the quarterback situation remains unsolved as they have yet to bring in Aaron Rodgers. Until they do so, the Steelers will not have the potential to have a winning record.
My Pick: Under 8.5, -145
San Francisco 49ers – O/U 10.5 Wins
The 49ers have parted with a lot of their big-name players throughout the offseason as this will be a new look squad. However, they are still the top dogs in the NFC West if they can stay healthy and they drew the easiest schedule in the NFL for the upcoming campaign. Give me the over thanks to the draw.
My Pick: Over 10.5, +115
Seattle Seahawks – O/U 7.5 Wins
The Seahawks appeared to be selling before they ended up adding Sam Darnold, Cooper Kupp, and Demarcus Lawrence. Once again, the NFC West has had a lot of moving parts this offseason and it is hard to predict, but the Seahawks are looking like they will find themselves in the division’s basement despite the veteran additions.
My Pick: Under 7.5, +110
Tampa Bay Buccaneers – O/U 9.5 Wins
Atlanta is the team to beat in the NFC East this season, especially if their first-round picks live up to their potential. Adding Emeka Egbuka adds an exciting weapon on offense and Benjamin Morrison should be a solid piece in the secondary, however this is an aging roster, and it is hard to see them beat out Atlanta for the division title.
My Pick: Under 9.5, -120
Tennessee Titans - O/U 5.5 Wins
The Titans still have a long way to go, and they will be looking at constructing their roster for the years to come, not this upcoming season. They could find themselves back inside the Top Five in next year’s draft which would be better than any win this season. They have an incredibly easy schedule, but I still think they will be held back by Ward’s growing pains.
My Pick: Under 5.5, +105
Washington Commanders – O/U 9.5 Wins
Washington and Green Bay have to be the two most improved teams in the NFC and maybe even the league. The offensive line is much improved, and they added do it all weapon Deebo Samuel. Washington is a true threat to the Eagles division title hopes and they have the easiest schedule amongst NFC East teams.
My Pick: Over 9.5, -105
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