NFL Power Rankings Week 13
by Robert Ferringo - 11/25/2025

I’m not going to lie. Thanksgiving week is probably my favorite week of the year. It’s also one of the most difficult weeks of the year for any handicapper. There is a ridiculous amount of high-stakes sports action going on this week across the full gamut of sports. There’s college basketball morning, noon and night all week. There are big NBA and NHL matchups all week, along with Premier League and Champions League soccer.

NFL Power Rankings Week 12
by Robert Ferringo - 11/18/2025

Oh my god, just take the goddamn points. I understand that analytics revolution has forever changed the way that coaches execute game management in football. Teams are going for it on fourth downs at rates that the NFL has never seen and two-point conversions at seemingly odd times are now the norm. I get all of it and I’m cool with it.

NFL Power Rankings Week 11
by Robert Ferringo - 11/11/2025

The facts are the facts: over the last 25 years in the NFL – so we’re talking well over 6,000 games – the team that wins the game outright covers the spread roughly 80 percent of the time. That means that the number only comes into play in one of every five games, or two or three times a weekend.

NFL Power Rankings Week 10
by Robert Ferringo - 11/4/2025

Weeks 7 and 8 were a bounty for the betting public. After Baltimore came through as a hefty favorite on Thursday night, NFL favorites were on a ridiculous 24-6 run against the spread heading into the weekend. Week 8 was one of the worst weekends for the sportsbooks this decade, with favorites going 12-2 and the books getting crushed on straights, teasers, moneyline parlays and all manner of nonsense.

NFL Power Rankings Week 9
by Robert Ferringo - 10/28/2025

See, now this is what I like with my power rankings. I like stasis. Equilibrium. I don’t like big, wild swings in my rankings. I like these power rankings to be more predictive than reactive, so the goal is to have weeks where I only have to make subtle shifts rather than major alterations.

NFL Power Rankings Week 8
by Robert Ferringo - 10/21/2025

In-season trades are rare in the NFL. And impactful in-season swaps are even rarer. Outside of 2022’s Christian McCaffrey trade, which sent the running back from Carolina to San Francisco, I’m hard-pressed to think of another move from the past two decades that really altered the balance of power in any particular season.

NFL Power Rankings Week 7
by Robert Ferringo - 10/14/2025

Through six weeks the field is wide open. Buffalo is currently the team with the shortest odds to win the Super Bowl and they are at a hefty +650. Green Bay (+700) and Kansas City (+700) are right behind them and there are only five teams (Detroit and Philadelphia are the others) that have odds of +1500 or better to win Super Bowl LX.

NFL Power Rankings Week 6
by Robert Ferringo - 10/7/2025

Jacksonville’s final play of the game - Trevor Lawrence falling down then scoring the game-winning touchdown – kind of summed the NFL weekend. The 49ers backups scored the biggest upset of the season to date. Jerry Jones was flipping off fans. Emari Demercado pulled off his best Adonai Mitchell impression and made me question if the NFL is involved in a Chad Powers crossover conspiracy.

NFL Power Rankings Week 5
by Robert Ferringo - 9/30/2025

It’s easy to get excited about making your bets when things are going well. When gamblers are running hot, bets come easy. Preparation doesn’t feel like work. Hours feel like days between games and you can’t wait to get back into the action. When you’re winning you feel like the Smartest Man Alive and everything just flows.

NFL Power Rankings Week 4
by Robert Ferringo - 9/23/2025

The first two weeks of the season saw exactly zero upsets from underdogs of 6.0 or more. There was still just one last week (Cleveland), but Carolina (+5.5) also shocked Atlanta, the Jets (+6.5) nearly knocked off Tampa Bay, and Detroit (which was at +5 earlier in the week) manhandled Baltimore.

NFL Power Rankings Week 3
by Robert Ferringo - 9/16/2025

You always hear bettors talking about “going against the public”. What they are really talking about is being wary of falling victim to groupthink or mental conformity. When Everyone thinks something about sports betting, that general consensus is usually wrong. Or at least overvalued in the betting market.

NFL Power Rankings Week 2
by Robert Ferringo - 9/9/2025

Don’t let the Sunday Night Football and Monday Night Football games fool you. Points were hard to come by in Week 1 of the NFL season. The clearest defining trend through the opening week of the year was that the teams combined to go 4-12 against the total. The ‘under’ was cashing left and right and the majority of the games weren’t even close to the number.

NFL Power Rankings Week 1
by Robert Ferringo - 9/4/2025

One of the great joys of football betting is the honesty of it. Someone wins. Someone loses. Someone is right. Someone is wrong. I don’t care what people think is going to happen. All that matters is what does happen. Your arrogance and bravery for dancing to the NFL’s symphony of savagery will either rewarded with riches or replaced with regret and shame. There’s nothing in between. There’s a purity in that.

NFL Power Rankings Week 18
by Robert Ferringo - 12/31/2024

Welp, another regular season in the books. Week 18 is here to wrap up another wild, wacky NFL regular season. While we still have over a month of playoff action to savor, this is the last full card of the season. And as such, I am going to advise you all the same way I do every year heading into the final week of the season. Tread lightly.

NFL Power Rankings Week 17
by Robert Ferringo - 12/24/2024

It’s a big holiday week (mazel tov to those celebrating Hanukkah and “cool” to those celebrating Kwanzaa) so that means time is short. So rather than wasting your time with one of my witty, yet informative, introductions focusing on a trend, trait or zeitgeist of the NFL at the moment, I will let you get to the rankings.

NFL Power Rankings Week 16
by Robert Ferringo - 12/17/2024

NFL underdogs have covered the number in barely over 47 percent of all NFL games this season. And if you take out the league’s most dominant dog, the Pittsburgh Steelers, then NFL underdogs are beating the number in only 46.7 percent of all games this season. If the season were to end today, then that would be the worst showing for underdog in pro football this decade.

NFL Power Rankings Week 15
by Robert Ferringo - 12/10/2024

Scarcity equals value. The rarer something is, the more valuable it is. That’s one of the real powers (but not the only one) of the NFL and one of the reasons for its gargantuan popularity. Because there are fewer games than any of the other sports, every play, every quarter and every game receive enormous scrutiny and outsized analysis.

NFL Power Rankings Week 14
by Robert Ferringo - 12/3/2024

Mama told me there would be weeks like this. Just because I am a professional doesn’t mean that I am immune to the grotesque and indiscriminate whims of the Gambling Gods. And I have to say, last weekend was a doozy. I’ve had worse weekends. I’ve lost more money. But this one took a particular bite for some reason.

NFL Power Rankings Week 13
by Robert Ferringo - 11/26/2024

It’s Thanksgiving Week, which is the busiest gambling week of the season. As such, I’m going to keep this short and sweet. Also, this week we will be releasing our football picks at 6 p.m. on Wednesday, Nov. 27, to accommodate the Thanksgiving holiday. Happy Thanksgiving to each of you and your loved ones and good luck this week!

NFL Power Rankings Week 12
by Robert Ferringo - 11/19/2024

It is time to pay homage to Mike Tomlin. I’m not going to deep dive into his coaching achievements and his career. I’m not going to stage the debate of whether or not he’s a “great” coach or why if he’s so great he hasn’t won more Super Bowls. I don’t really care about any of that. What I do care about, and what deserves to be recognized, is that Tomlin may be the greatest underdog coach in NFL history.