NFL Power Rankings Week 7
by Robert Ferringo - 10/15/2024

The North remembers. Last year the best division in the NFL was clearly the AFC North. The division sent three teams to the playoffs, including the conference’s No. 1 seed, Baltimore. All four teams in the 2023 AFC North finished above .500, and the group combined to go 43-25 straight up and 41-27 against the spread. This year the league’s best division is clearly the NFC North. And they may surpass all the gaudy numbers the 2023 AFC North produced.

NFL Power Rankings Week 6
by Robert Ferringo - 10/8/2024

Experience matters. When it comes to the NFL, I want adults at the helm. It leads to a more stable product and more consistent outcomes. NFL owners and executives have proven over and over and over again over the last quarter-century that they really don’t know what they are doing when it comes to finding and grooming head coaches and quarterbacks, with quick-tempered owners and know-nothing fan bases usually driving decision-making.

NFL Power Rankings Week 5
by Robert Ferringo - 10/1/2024

Last week we touched on the prevalence of ‘unders’ in the new, lower-scoring NFL. Quite naturally, the ‘under’ went just 7-9 last week. That’s how regression and the market works. By the time that bettors lock on to a trend, the books have already adjusted the numbers the other way. So just when natural statistics revert toward the mean, the odds have already gone in the opposite direction. This week I wanted to touch on the other marquee early season trends: underdogs.

NFL Power Rankings Week 4
by Robert Ferringo - 9/24/2024

Don’t let Monday Night Football’s two high-scoring results fool you. Scoring is still way down in NFL games this year. Through three weeks, the ‘under’ has gone 29-19 in all NFL games. Over the last two weeks, the ‘under’ is 22-10 (68.8 percent), and I don’t expect to see an eruption of scoring across the league any time soon. There are plenty of analysts that have tried to break down why scoring is down across the NFL. The proliferation of the Shanahan Offense – which is more about efficiency than big plays – and the comeback of the Cover-2 defense with two deep safeties are two major league-wide trends that have depressed scoring. Pathetic quarterback play (due to lack of proper development) is another culprit.

NFL Power Rankings Week 3
by Robert Ferringo - 9/17/2024

I’m going to continue to do this every year. I’m not going to do it as of way of patting myself on the back or showing how smart I am. I’m going to keep bringing this topic up until enough people see it and slowly but surely the general public consensus on NFL rookie quarterbacks changes. I have been talking about it for a decade, and I wrote about this very issue last season. Bottom line: starting a rookie quarterback is a terrible idea.

NFL Power Rankings Week 2
by Robert Ferringo - 9/10/2024

The satisfaction of a full weekend’s worth of NFL action, from the season-opening thriller between the Ravens and Chiefs, through a full Sunday of adrenaline, to the Monday night beatdown, was like a visit from an old friend. The true joy of last weekend was in the familiarity. Getting together with friends. Hanging out with your football-interested kids. Talking about your bets. Talking about your fantasy teams. Complaining about too many penalties. Complaining about (or begging for) Taylor Swift shots. Listening to friends second-guess offensive and defensive play-calls. Drinking. Snacking. Laughing.

NFL Power Rankings Week 18
by Robert Ferringo - 1/3/2024

So, last week I warned you against getting conned into betting on NFL teams that were in “must-win” situations. Cleveland, San Francisco, Jacksonville and Houston all came through with games that they absolutely had to have. However, the Cowboys, Rams, Colts, Eagles, Bucs, Falcons, Bills and Bengals all flopped against the spread in games that they absolutely had to have for one reason or another.

NFL Power Rankings Week 17
by Robert Ferringo - 12/26/2023

We are still in the throes of the holiday season for one more exhausting, family-oriented week, so I am going to keep this short and sweet. My advice over the next two weeks is this: good teams don’t put themselves in must-win situations. One of the primary aspects that bettors and handicappers consider when wagering on any team in any sport is motivation. “What are these guys playing for and how hard are they going to play?”

NFL Power Rankings Week 16
by Robert Ferringo - 12/19/2023

The only certainty in the NFL is constant change. Nowhere is this truism better reflected than the yearly turnover of NFL playoff teams. Dating back over the last 30 years, an average of five teams that make the playoffs one season do not make it back the next year. Usually, about half of the playoff teams don’t return. And that number is rarely, if ever, below one-third.

NFL Power Rankings Week 15
by Robert Ferringo - 12/12/2023

Instead of using this space for my normal insightful-yet-entertaining introduction, I thought I would do some house cleaning. OK, so Doc’s clients know that all of our handicappers release their football plays at 6 p.m. EST every Thursday and that covers games through to the following Wednesday, with college football and the NFL included in one package.

NFL Power Rankings Week 14
by Robert Ferringo - 12/5/2023

And here comes the weather. NFL offenses have done a great job of tripping over their own d!#ks all season long. The current average of 43.4 points per game would make this year the lowest scoring season of the last 14 years, and it has been absolutely brutal to watch.

NFL Power Rankings Week 13
by Robert Ferringo - 11/28/2023

Take that, sportsbooks. In the Eternal Struggle between The Bettors and The Books, there are rarely decisive blows struck either way. Most of the time sports wagering and this bettor/book battle is a grind, a slow, mathematical slog for supremacy over the long term.

NFL Power Rankings Week 12
by Robert Ferringo - 11/21/2023

It’s Thanksgiving Week, which is the busiest gambling week of the season. As such, I’m going to keep this short and sweet. Also, this week we will be releasing our football picks at 6 p.m. on Wednesday, Nov. 22 to accommodate the Thanksgiving holiday. Happy Thanksgiving to each of you and your loved ones and good luck this week!

NFL Power Rankings Week 11
by Robert Ferringo - 11/14/2023

Next week is the week of Thanksgiving. Our handicappers always release our full football cards (college football and NFL combined) at 6 p.m. EST on Thursdays. However, to accommodate the holiday, we will be releasing our picks at 6 p.m. EST on Wednesday. That way you will have time to get your action in on Wednesday and can kick back and relax during one of the best weekends of football all year.

NFL Power Rankings Week 10
by Robert Ferringo - 11/7/2023

Bet every game ‘under’. That is really the only trend you need to follow, as the ‘under’ continues to dominate NFL betting this season. The ‘under’ went 11-3 again last week and is now hitting at a dominating 61.5 percent this season (83-52 against the closing number).

NFL Power Rankings Week 9
by Robert Ferringo - 10/31/2023

The trade deadline in any given sport can be one of the most impactful moments of the season for sports bettors. But not for the reasons most people think. The big news this week has been deadline deals in the NFL (and, to a lesser extent, the trade of James Harden in the NBA). The public loves trades in professional sports. It’s fun! It’s exciting! It’s different! And these maneuvers have a very direct impact on sports betting lines and odds.

NFL Power Rankings Week 8
by Robert Ferringo - 10/24/2023

This is the grind. That initial excitement of the return of the NFL wore off weeks ago. The honeymoon is over. Now we find ourselves midway through the gauntlet of the regular season. That familiar Tuesday-Saturday routine is starting to calcify, and the space between NFL weekends shrinking.

NFL Power Rankings Week 7
by Robert Ferringo - 10/17/2023

You can’t mess with Isaac Newton. You know Newton. Famous scientist. Was a big fan of the pooch punt and the shovel pass. Newton’s Third Law states that for every action there is an equal and opposite reaction. The universe is all about adjustment. Give and take. Forces acting against one another.

NFL Power Rankings Week 6
by Robert Ferringo - 10/10/2023

It is an age-old handicapper dilemma: do you trust your eyes, or do you trust The Numbers? Last week, my two top NFL totals involved the Saints-Patriots and Jets-Broncos games. And I was faced with a choice: do I follow my systems and follow the mathematics for my top play, or should I throw the stats out the window and go with what I’ve seen on tape?

NFL Power Rankings Week 5
by Robert Ferringo - 10/3/2023

Everyone knows everything after the fact. If you learn anything in the Gambling World, it is that everyone is a genius after a game is played. Everything seems so obvious after it happens. So clear. What you should’ve done. Who you should’ve bet. Which lines were ridiculous and which ones you were smart to stay away from.