NFC Odds to Make the Super Bowl: Best Bets and Predictions

The NFC playoff field has been set, and now is the perfect time to make your picks and predictions for which team will reach the Super Bowl next month. You can still secure plus money odds with all seven teams, which gives you the potential upside of a future without tying up your bankroll for months on end. The Super Bowl favorites, the Seahawks and Rams, appear destined for a collision course in the divisional round, but there is still plenty of football to be played. Here are all seven NFC contenders broken down, with a value rating to help guide you on where to place your hard-earned cash with the playoffs looming.
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Seattle Seahawks +175
The Seahawks earned the top seed and the bye that goes with it thanks to their Week 18 win over the 49ers. Extra rest for this dominant unit has turned them into Super Bowl favorites, but unfortunately, the ship has sailed in terms of getting value on them to win the NFC. It is hard to imagine, but the Seahawks actually had longer odds to win the NFC (+3300) than to finish with the league’s worst record (+3000) at the start of the season. Their turnaround has been remarkable, but even with the bye, there is no value left at +175. There is approximately a 40% chance the Seahawks and Rams will face off in the Divisional round, where Seattle would only be a marginal home favorite in that potential matchup. This +175 price implies the Seahawks would be -150 favorites in their playoff games, which isn't realistic with a matchup against the Rams looming.
Odds aside, the Seahawks are worthy of the title of Super Bowl favorites heading into the playoffs. Their defensive dominance has taken the pressure off Sam Darnold, which is exactly what the Seahawks needed to do with Darnold’s big game confidence a real concern. Getting a historic season from Jaxson Smith-Njigba certainly helped, but that doesn’t take away from the smart decisions Darnold has made in the pocket all year long. A running back duo of Kenneth Walker III and Zach Charbonnet rounds out this offense, which really has no holes heading into the playoffs.
On defense, Seattle allowed a league-low 17.2 PPG, holding opponents to just a 32.1% conversion rate on third down. They are adept in the passing game, they can shut down the run, and they have held their opponents to 10 or fewer points in four of their last six games. Sam Darnold’s reputation prevented the Seahawks from climbing to the top of the Super Bowl odds list sooner, but no one can deny that this is the best team in the league. There isn’t much value left, but it still wouldn’t be surprising to see Seattle go all the way.
Value Rating: 3/5
Los Angeles Rams: +240
Winning three road playoff games isn’t easy. Matthew Stafford may be the MVP, and the Rams may have a strong defense, but taking them with odds like these when they face an uphill battle to the Super Bowl makes them an automatic fade. They are monstrous -700 favorites on the road in Carolina, which I think is too heavy a price tag. Assuming they win that one, this line still implies they will be road favorites in both other road games, which is unjustifiable. The Rams have been excellent this year, with Stafford putting together an all-time season at 37 years old, but that doesn’t mean we are running to the window to bet them at this price.
On defense, the Rams have been a flat-out average team. They are 19th in passing yards allowed and 12th in rushing yards, with their red zone stops and fortunate special teams plays allowing them to stay inside the top ten in points allowed. Their promising rookies from last year haven’t taken the next step, and we have seen the Rams' defense collapse on multiple occasions this season. The high-flying offense is usually able to bail them out, but a double-digit deficit on the road in the playoffs may be a hole too big to climb out of. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Rams put up 30+ points in every game en route to the Super Bowl, but even that may not be enough with this defense. The Rams are good, but they aren’t head and shoulders better than the other contenders like these odds suggest.
Value Rating: 1/5
Philadelphia Eagles: +420
The reigning Super Bowl champions will find themselves in the underdog role against either the Rams or Seahawks later in the playoffs. While it is hard to count out the Eagles, given their playoff track record, Philadelphia still feels fragile heading into the playoffs. They fell short against the Commanders with a chance to clinch the No. 2 seed in the NFC, and have limped over the line after taking advantage of a dreadful NFC East. While the Philly defense is still a dominant unit, their offense has completely fallen off a cliff this season. Saquon Barkley has been very average in the backfield this year, Jalen Hurts still has plenty of doubters to prove wrong, and offensive line injuries have disrupted their rhythm. Their inability to move the ball down the field has resulted in a few ugly losses, but it isn’t quite time to count this team out just yet.
Philadelphia is getting healthy at the right time. Landon Dickerson is back, Lane Johnson could be returning as soon as the divisional round, while Jalen Carter has recovered from his shoulder injuries. Beefing up their line has always been the identity of the Philadelphia Eagles, and that will give them lots of confidence they can get back on track. If the Bears lose to the Packers in the Wild Card Round, the Eagles will get another home game against whichever other Wild Card team prevails. While a home game against the Rams and a road game against the Bears are probably equally difficult for the Eagles, coming back to Lincoln Financial Field will be their hope. It’s hard to say the Eagles are bursting with value given the state of their offense, which makes +420 NFC odds pretty accurate for this side.
Value Rating: 3/5
Chicago Bears: +950
I have been all over the Bears since they were +3000 to win the NFC a few weeks ago, and they now have at least two home playoff games on the horizon. Chicago has -110 pick ‘em odds against the Packers in the Wild Card Round, and already has underdog odds against the Eagles and Rams in the Divisional round lookahead lines. This has allowed the Bears to maintain long odds to win the NFC, and you will not find more value than this heading into the playoffs.
On offense, Ben Johnson has unlocked the potential of Caleb Williams. Williams had flashes of brilliance in his rookie year, but that doesn’t compare to what he has done this season. He has been responsible for the football, he has trusted his running back tandem, and has made the clutch plays that haunted him previously. The Chicago offense is fearless; they earned the No. 2 seed in the NFC and were a dominant team for much of the season after starting 0-2.
On defense, the Bears have been ball hawks through the air and on the ground. Their 22 turnovers are more than double the total of 27 of the other 31 NFL franchises, but that is no fluke. Their cornerbacks consistently jump routes, they are always trying to punch out the ball, and can usually take advantage of the short fields they create. The Bears won’t make a deep run if their turnover luck dries up, but at +950 odds, they are absolutely worth a stab.
Value Rating: 5/5
Green Bay Packers: +1000
The Packers were looking like legitimate Super Bowl threats a few weeks ago, but that is no longer the case. They have lost four games in a row, both of their quarterbacks are injured, and Micah Parsons is out for the season. They have slipped into the 7th seed in the NFC, meaning their path to the Super Bowl will be road games against the Bears, Seahawks, and whoever else emerges in the NFC. Winning three straight road games with injured quarterbacks is next to impossible, especially when their defense is no longer the dominant unit it once was. There isn’t a point in breaking down the Packers' season stats, as the current edition of the Green Bay roster is a shadow of its former selves. The Packers will be a team to watch next season, but even at +1000 odds, we can’t take a shot.
Value Rating: 1/5
San Francisco 49ers: +1500
The 49ers were one win away from the No. 1 seed in the NFC, but these odds don’t reflect that fact. This is a well-rounded 49ers side that can make waves in the playoffs, and I am loving them at +1500 odds. A first-round matchup against the Eagles won’t be easy, but a healthy Brock Purdy is capable of slicing apart the Philly defense. A strong showing from the 49ers will remind the world that this team won six in a row before falling to the Seahawks, and a 12-5 record with their very tough schedule is still very impressive. The 49ers have been here before, and they know what it takes to make the NFC championship game and even reach the Super Bowl. This could be the season where everything finally falls into place for the 49ers, and I am willing to lay a few bucks with a team this talented at odds like these.
Value Rating: 4/5
Carolina Panthers: +8000
These are some of the longest NFC odds for a playoff team in recent memory. The Panthers finished 8-9 to win the NFC South, and limped into the playoffs after the Falcons beat the Saints to allow the Panthers to win the division. The Carolina run game has disappeared after a strong stretch for most of the season, and the Panthers' defense isn’t among the best in the league either. However, with odds at +8000, you shouldn’t need too much convincing to lay a few dollars for a potentially huge payout. Bryce Young has needed a fourth-quarter comeback in 14 of his 18 career victories, as he knows how to rise to the occasion if things are close in the final stages. I won’t call for a Panthers Super Bowl run, but stranger things have happened before, and they did already beat the Rams once this season.
Value Rating: 3/5
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