12 College Football Handicapping Betting Tips from Expert College Football Handicappers
Doc's Sports Services is the most trusted and well-respected sports information company in the United States. Below you will find a list of 12 tips from our group of handicappers. Doc's Sports provides the best team of college football handicappers doing some of the best college football handicapping in the country, and our service is second-to-none in terms of both results and customer relations. We also offer Free College Football Expert Picks for nearly every game, every week. In our fifth decade of existence, Doc's Sports is the gold standard in the sports information industry.
We offer our clients top college football predictions at one fair price. Our college football handicappers release a full slate of college football picks, which come with Doc's expert NFL football picks, at 5 p.m. CST each Thursday. Every one of our college football handicappers has a different style, but all have enjoyed vast success in football.
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Here are 12 college football handicapping tips from our team:
DOC'S SPORTS - Unlike the NFL, emotion plays a much bigger role in college football, and oftentimes teams will play consistent for three of four games in a row. Do not be afraid to lay big numbers at the end of the year against teams that have thrown in the towel or have a lame-duck coaching staff. One could not imagine laying 20+ points against a team that was similar to their opponent at the beginning of the year, but injuries and bad breaks have beaten down a team, and they are just playing out the string and cannot wait for the season to end.
ROBERT FERRINGO - I like to take a very macro, big-picture approach to college football betting. There are simply too many variables on the field with about 70 different players, coaches and referees all factoring into any one game. So for me I like to step back and look at things from a broader perspective. And a big part of that means focusing on a team's schedule above a lot of other factors. Who a team plays, where they play them, and at what point in the season they face them all have a lot bigger impact on a wager for me than how one team's running game matches up with the opponent's run defense. And by extension, that means that in a lot of college football games you have to train yourself to ignore a team's overall record and instead focus on how they got to that point. Schedules are extremely unbalanced in college football. So while the favorite in a game may be 7-2 and the underdog 5-4, the team with the weaker record could be the better squad. Keep things in perspective in this sport and always key on the schedule.
GRIFFIN MURPHY - College football is one of my favorite sports to bet on. Quarterbacks are gigantic when it comes to college football. The matchup is always going to depend on whether the quarterback you are betting on is fast or not. Then it's between how the defense contends rushing or passing quarterbacks. You can find many trap bets in college football. Sometimes the lines are obvious in favor of one team, in which case this causes the public to chase that line. This usually affirms into a mismatch trap bet. I love rushing quarterbacks in college football, and I tend to favor spreads over moneyline plays.
RAPHAEL ESPARZA - Power 5 conferences are not the only conferences. Public bettors love betting the big conferences (SEC, Big 12, Big 10, ACC, Pac 12). But if you are looking for some soft numbers, the rest of the conferences still play football. The oddsmakers tend to look at the big TV games and the big conference matchups, so at times they might be sleeping at the wheel with the other smaller conferences. If you are betting 'over/unders,' look at the smaller conferences as value could be there because of the lack of two-way action. Just like the NFL, also look for the second batch of line movements.
STRIKE POINT SPORTS - The average gambler thinks that they can outsmart the oddsmakers when it comes to football. The best advice that we here at SPS can give when it comes to college is don't think you are better than the pros. The oddsmakers are great at their jobs, and they don't make a whole lot of mistakes - especially in games that they know the public will be betting heavily. Yes, there are definitely spots each and every week that are ripe for the picking, but they typically aren't in the high-profile college games. When the two big-name schools are playing each other during a primetime TV spot, the Vegas oddsmakers typically know they have you right where they want you. The big money can be made on the small-market games and the games in the smaller conferences. Don't shy away Wake Forest vs. North Carolina State when Alabama vs. LSU is on another channel.
INDIAN COWBOY - We want to focus and share one main theory that we use in handicapping college football. It is called the "active underdog over theory". The active underdog theory is essentially taking an underdog that you believe will be an active underdog (either due to revenge against a team from an earlier season loss, coming off a double-digit loss, losing outright to a team they were heavily favored against, etc.) and taking the 'over' with this team. So you expect a team that is looking to exceed expectations over the line currently constructed for them. So anytime that you think a team that is an underdog is going to exceed expectations against a team then take the 'over'. This is because if the underdog is highly motivated as we discussed for revenge, coming off a double-digit loss, or losing outright to a team they were favored straight up against, then certainly they will be motivated to exceed the amount of points they are expected to score in their next game.
JASON SHARPE - Getting an extra half point here and there is usually is the top thing that separates a winning bettor from a losing one. Many times during a CFB season you will notice that one of your sportsbooks will be offering a +14 on a game that is lined +13 everywhere else. This place is usually either begging for some two-way action on the game to help reduce some of their risk or they feel strongly that the bettors will still bet the favorite even at -14 and, so they're 'shading them'. Whatever the reason is, if you notice a point spread that is off by a point or more and is at the typical -110 juice, it's a good idea to look towards betting the 'off line' as your getting very good line value at this price. Most of the time you will see this happen on the day of a big game and usually closer to kickoff. Be sure to make sure to double check that you are seeing things correctly, and if the game is off by a point or more from what the other sportsbooks are offering then you can blindly place this bet knowing that this is a long-term winning strategy betting college football.
DOUG UPSTONE – Here is a betting tip for college football that I would recommend. Devise personal power ratings. And once completed, see how they align with the sportsbooks and mark the ones that stand out. Next, head-to-head comparisons in any given contest, seeking the nuts and bolts aspect of finding college football winners and looking for very specific edges on yardage differentials and how they relate to each team’s style of play. Next up is team-specific angles that are truly useful and that have held up over a reasonable time period. That is followed by finding historic system plays that are relevant to all teams, along with home-made systems that could be useful in any one given season where there is unique intel one year like road underdogs covering at an unusual rate. Put the entire package together, grind down the teams to a select few, and generate another winning college football Saturday. Final thought, if you only have time for a couple of conferences, follow the same methodology and use it for conference games only.
AUGUST YOUNG - The No. 1 piece of obvious advice I have is to line-shop. The market is extremely efficient, and every bit of juice, or half point, matters over the course of a season. For handicapping advice -- when it comes to college football (and almost any other sport), it’s essential to create your own line based on a variety of factors BEFORE looking at the odds screen. Utilizing simple power-ratings will not be enough. You need to calculate for player matchups, injuries, motivational factors, situational trends and other small details such as travel, weather, and so on. Once you have your true line, it’s then time to check the odds-screen and look for discrepancies. Then assess the situation. Don’t just assume your line is correct. Try to find out why the market has priced a particular game a certain way and dig deeper to gather all the information you need to be equipped with making the smartest decision.
VERNON CROY - Stay away from featured games of the week and most big conference games as those lines are normally very tight and instead handicap the games not in the spotlight. You will find some great value every week since there are too many games for the books to keep tight lines on. The biggest mistake a bettor can make is to wager on only the big TV games. Unless you know exactly what to look for in these big conference games and have countless hours to handicap them, leave the big games to the professional handicappers to pick for you.
TONY GEORGE - My rule in college football is that specialization is the key to success. I tend to concentrate on three major conferences for about 60 percent of my action: Big 12, Big 10, and the SEC. This limits the number of games I need to hone my skills on and dial in my concentration. That also tends to keep it at a lower volume that I put out as selections and I personally bet. You get to know team tendencies and coaching angles and some trends that develop between teams that play each other every year. I follow every beat sportswriter for every team in terms of his articles, daily takes from practice leading to a game, and follow their social media as well.
SCOTT SPREITZER - My best piece of advice is learn to make your own power ratings and learn to make lines a week in advance. My first set of power ratings are ready to go by July. I then spend August catching up on injuries, suspensions, depth chart changes, and so on. I have a good idea who I'll be looking to bet the first two to three weeks of action by mid-August then adjust accordingly. Make lines a week in advance by having a line for an October 15 game, for example, before the previous week's games are played. This allows you to stay away from getting influenced too much by what you just saw. You tend to think about the body of work (macro) of a team rather than one week's results (micro). Getting familiar with doing this allowed me to become the only handicapper/bettor to advance to 3 straight Finals in the Station Casinos handicapping contest.
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