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Thursday MLB Free Play from Docís Sports Take #907 Cincinnati Reds (-125) over Miami Marlins (Thursday, 7:10pm EST) The season is slipping away from the Cincinnati Reds and it doesnít appear that they are going to be able stop it. Thatís because two of their best players are on the disabled list in Joey Votto and Brandon Phillips. The Reds have are just 2-10 since the All-Star break and have now fallen below the .500 mark overall. But one guy theyíve been able to consistently rely on is ace Johnny Cueto. The 28-year old checks in at 11-6 with a 2.08 ERA in 22 starts in 2014. Amazingly, the consistent Cueto has allowed more than three earned runs just twice in those 22 outings. The Reds havenít been able to plate many runs lately with their current injury situation, but they shouldnít need many on Thursday. The Miami Marlins will have their work cut out for themselves against Cueto, and that will put the pressure on right-hander Tom Koehler. Heís had a solid season so far, but Koehler isnít going to overpower anyone. Heís your prototypical run of the mill middle-rotation guy with a 3.91 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 21 starts. The Marlins have been playing better of late and have been talking about making some trades to go for it. I donít buy it one bit and Iíd be surprised if Miami stays in contention for much longer. Theyíre playing a bit over their heads this season due to some fortunate outcomes. They are 25-17 in one-run games compared to 17-23 for Cincinnati. Those records tend to regress towards .500 over time, so that means the Reds get better and the Marlins worse. Even with the injuries, this Reds teams is better and they have one of the top pitchers in the game on the mound. Take Cincinnati at a relatively cheap price.
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