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Free NBA Pick for Friday from Doc’s Sports (Doc is 7-0-1 this season for picks rated 5-Units or higher and will have a Game of the Week coming Friday – a one-day package is only $29 – also a 7-1 NBA Free Picks run!)
#802 Take Philadelphia +2 over Miami (7 p.m. EST, Friday)
This Sixers team continues to be underestimated by the oddsmakers. This is a team that doesn’t have star power like the Heat, but what they do have is depth, athleticism, coaching and strong defense. That is the recipe for success in this lockout-shortened season. This is one of the top teams in the NBA against the spread at 15-6-1 and they are a very impressive 11-3 ATS at home. This team is also No. 1 defensively in the NBA for points allowed and they allow only 81 PPG at home this season. Points are going to be hard to come by for the Heat on Friday.
Miami is probably the biggest public team in the NBA this season now that the Lakers are not playing as well as expected. Even though this team is great and a deserving favorite to win it all, they have been saddled with too many points too often by the oddsmakers. Miami is just 9-13 ATS on the season and a sorry 3-7 ATS on the road. This team is coming off an eight-point loss to a Milwaukee team that is missing its best player. They had only 37 points in the second half of that game. Bad games normally come in waves in the NBA, and we could see the Heat playing another sub-par game on Friday. This team has had a very home-heavy schedule lately. However, they have lost four of five on the road and their only win in that span was by three against a really bad Detroit team.
While we think “revenge” is a way overrated angle for NBA handicapping, we do believe that it holds true in some instances. This game is one example where we think it will be a factor. The Sixers only bad loss of the season, by double digits, came against Miami on the road. Every time the Heat play they get the best from their opponent and they always have a bullseye on their collective backs. We think the Sixers will be even more motivated than normal to come out and play a strong game on Friday.
The Sixers can score with Miami. They have shown the ability to put a lot of points on the board and trade baskets when needed. We think this team can hang with Miami on the offensive end. However, Miami hasn’t played well defensively on the road. They have allowed 105 PPG in limited road action this season. They did have some OT action on the road and part of that high number is due to the faster pace they are playing at this season, but there is no doubt that Philly is the better defensive team right now and we think that will be the difference in this game on Friday.
NBA betting is becoming more popular each year. This is known
as one of the sports where a smart bettor who practiced proper money management
can make some really huge profits. Once a bettor begins to study and understand
NBA Odds, he or she can gain a better understanding of how the bookies
set their numbers. The bookies set a lot of these NBA Odds with
the public in mind. They know the public is going to bet the Lakers and Bulls
(and other public teams) every week so there are some great situations to
get good numbers by going against teams like that.
It is always best to shop around when looking for the best NBA Odds.
Many different books release different numbers and NBA Odds always
tend to differ at each sportsbook. If you are truly interested in finding the
best NBA Odds, it is always best to have funded accounts at at least
five sportsbooks.
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