New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 7/30/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, July 30, 2022

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

LoanDepot Park is the site where the Miami Marlins (47-52) will compete against the New York Mets (61-37) on Saturday. The pitchers taking the mound are Carlos Carrasco and Trevor Rogers.

As a squad, the New York Mets are notching 4.7 runs per game, which puts them at 6th in MLB. They have accounted for 456 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .324. The Mets have earned 157 doubles as a unit and have knocked 96 baseballs out of the park. They have compiled 433 RBI's and 839 base knocks this year, and their batting average comes in at .253. New York is slugging .397 and have struck out 753 times, while taking a walk on 300 occasions.

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Mets pitchers have yielded 107 home runs in addition to 370 runs (4th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 277 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.67 as a team for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.38 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.19. The Mets are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.58 this year (6th in MLB), and they have struck out 936 batters.

The Mets relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 66.7% and has come into the game in 99 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 122 runners for the year with 38.5% of those runners ended up scoring. Mets pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 92 times and also have had 90 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 294 relievers to the mound for the year. The bullpen are sitting with 56 holds on the year (11th in the league). They have tallied 28 saves for the year and have blown 14 of 42 save opportunities.

The New York Mets have notched a total of 2,624 putouts for the season, in addition to 832 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .988 which has them sitting 5th in pro baseball, and they have turned 83 double plays. The Mets have converted 69.8% of baseballs in play into outs in their 7,872 innings, which ranks them 15th in the majors.

Carrasco has taken the ball for 1,400 innings and has earned 1,456 punch outs during his MLB career. Carrasco (99-82 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.49 while he has faced 5,792 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.88 (603 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.216. He has given up 1,336 base hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 367 free passes.

The Marlins hold a team slugging percentage of .378 and they earn 4.03 runs per outing (24th in baseball). They have 149 doubles, while walking 269 times as well as racking up 399 runs. Miami has accumulated 96 home runs on the year as well as 377 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 864 occasions (9th in MLB) and have recorded 794 base hits. The Miami Marlins have accumulated a team OBP of .302 as well as a batting average of .239 so far this season.

The Miami pitching staff have given up 421 runs on the season while having an ERA of 3.85 (375 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 102 homers and they allow 4.32 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.239 in addition to having a FIP of 3.87 as a pitching staff on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.83 (873 strikeouts against 309 free passes). They are sitting at 8th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 778.

With 94 save situations, the Marlins have 48 holds and 18 blown saves. Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 44 save chances and they have tallied 26 saves. Their relievers have come in 107 times in high leverage situations and on 81 occasions with runners on base. Miami relievers hold an inherited score rate of 34.8% out of their 115 inherited base runners. They are ranked 21st in the league with a save percentage of 59.1%, and they have dispatched 333 relievers to the hill on the season.

In 7,899 innings on the field, the Marlins hold a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (14th in the majors). The Miami Marlins have gotten 77 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (12th in professional baseball). The Marlins have racked up 905 assists, 51 errors and have a tally of 2,633 putouts over the course of the season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Rogers has conceded 238 hits while he has tallied 279 punch outs in 248 innings pitched. Rogers (12-20 mark in his career) holds a 4.16 ERA while conceding 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 115 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.359 and a FIP of 3.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.79 and he has gone up against 1,080 batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York

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