Guesswork. Conjecture. Speculation.

Am I talking about NFL betting? I could be. But in this instance I’m talking about Doc’s Sports 2010 NFL Mock Draft. There is nothing more frantic, more inaccurate, and nothing full of more guesswork than a February mock draft. Free agency hasn’t kicked into full swing, the combine hasn’t occurred yet, and there are still trades, individual workouts, and plenty of behind the scenes “buzz” between now and the actual draft.

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So with that in mind, keep my initial 2010 NFL Mock Draft in perspective.

This year the NFL will hold the first round of the NFL Draft on Thursday, April 22. The second and third rounds will take place on Friday, April 23 and then the rest will occur on Saturday, April 24. You know, because the NFL Draft needed more hype. So with over two months to go, here is Doc’s Sports 2010 NFL Mock Draft:

1. St. Louis - Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska
This team needs, well, everything. But Suh is the consensus No. 1 player in the field and they could do a lot worse. They can’t get it all back with one pick so it will be nice to see them just lay a foundation. And a defensive lineman who almost won the Heisman is a heck of a block.

2. Detroit – Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma
More than likely my next projection will have them taking an offensive tackle to finally replace Jeff Backus. But for now I’m going to say that Grady Jackson won’t be back with this team and, at 36, wouldn’t hold up even if he were. Some people actually like McCoy more than Suh. So the chance to get an impact player on the interior would be a nice piece for the Lions.

3. Tampa Bay – Eric Berry, S, Tennessee
A critical component of a great Cover-2 defense is a stellar safety. Berry is the best on the board and has the skill and potential to be one of the elite secondary players in the NFL. Tampa’s secondary was one of the worst in the league last year, especially in terms of giving up big plays. That needs to be addressed.

4. Washington – Russell Okung, OT, Oklahoma State
The offensive line has been a decaying mess in Washington over the last two years and was the real problem that led to weak offensive production last year. There is no doubt that Mike Shanahan is going to shake up the line and implement his zone-blocking running attack. Okung is a powerful and athletic player and a little more mobile than the other OT’s, so he gets the nod.

5. Kansas City – Anthony Davis, OT, Rutgers
Brandon Albert hasn’t gotten the job done and if this team is going to have any chance at improving they need to build their foundation up front. They couldn’t run the ball, couldn’t protect the passer, and as a result couldn’t sustain drives and take the pressure off their weak defense. It all starts up front and Davis has the chance to be a bookend. This will also allow them to either move Albert to the right side or move him to guard, where he could be effective.

6. Seattle – Bryan Bulaga, OT, Iowa
Seattle has a lot of pressing issues, especially on defense. And the thought is that they will go after one of the top quarterbacks to groom under Matt Hasselbeck. But Walter Jones’ retirement and the shaky position of their offensive line make this area a priority.

7. Cleveland – Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma State
The Browns went through last year with one of the worst collections of skill players that I can remember. They are desperate for impact players on offense and especially need help in the passing game. Bryant is a stud. And if he can stay healthy he has the chance to be an 80-90-catch guy for the Browns.

8. Oakland – Rolando McClain, LB, Alabama
Who the hell knows what the Raiders are going to do? They obviously don’t, because if they did they wouldn’t be picking in the Top 10 every year. All I know is that all four of their top linebackers are free agents. And you are crazy if you think that at least two of them aren’t jumping ship.

9. Buffalo – Trent Williams, OT, Jacksonville
This team is a wreck. They brought in a new coach so I could see them grabbing a new quarterback to really make this a “new regime”. The problem is that as the Bills sit this offseason they have one of the worst offensive lines and one of the worst receiving corps in the league. This team is switching to a 3-4 so defensive help is a priority as well. They are just a mess.

10. Jacksonville – Brandon Spike, LB, Florida
The Jags could go a lot of different ways here. But I think that they were soft in the middle last year and definitely could use a linebacker upgrade. They have invested a lot in a young defensive line and have an up-and-coming secondary. This gives them a proven winner, a quality player, fits a need, and is a chance to keep a marquee guy in state.

11. Denver – Carlos Dunlap, DE, Florida
Everyone and their sister are predicting a receiver for the Broncos. But I’m not going that route until the Broncos actually trade Brandon Marshall. And if they do trade him they could end up with another first round pick, which would change their entire strategy. Instead I think that they bulk up the defensive front and try to get more production out of their ends.

12. Miami – Sergio Kindle, OLB, Texas
Bill Parcells has a strong track record of drafting linebackers with high picks (Carl Banks, Willie McGinnest, James Farrior, DeMarcus Ware) and has yet to go that route in Miami. The Dolphins could use an injection of youth and athleticism at this position, and if Spikes and McClain are off the board I see them going after multi-dimensional Kindle.

13. San Francisco – Joe Haden, CB, Florida
The Niners have some issues in the secondary and need both corners and safeties. Haden is considered a slam-dunk prospect and the best secondary player on the board so he gets the check.

14. Seattle – Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma
Again, the Seahawks are in an interesting spot and I think a lot of what they do will be determined by how they grade out the OT’s. If they like Trent Williams over Bryan Bulaga then they could take Bradford at No. 6 then get their OT at No. 14. If they like Clausen or another QB over Bradford they could take their OT then get a QB. Or they could go defense, and bring in one of his USC guys in Taylor Mays. Really tough to tell at this point.

15. N.Y. Giants – Earl Thomas, S, Texas
This team has to go defense. And for all of the discussion about their pass rush I think any Giants fan will tell you that their biggest problems last year were in the secondary. They simply couldn’t cover anyone. The Giants scored with Aaron Ross out of UT a couple years ago. I think they take another shot with the small, but athletic, Thomas, unless they think that they need veteran help in the back.

16. Tennessee – Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia Tech
Tennessee really has issues all over their defense. But a lot of people are really high on Morgan as a pass rusher. And if he were to fall this far I think that the Titans would have to bite. Their secondary was poor last year but that was mainly because of injuries. I don’t see them drafting there. A linebacker would be a close second to a D-lineman as a necessity.

17. San Francisco – Mike Iupati, OL, Idaho
I really wrestled with Taylor Mays here and a chance for the Niners to revamp their secondary in one fell swoop. But Mays’ stock is slipping. I also find it hard to believe that Mike Singletary wouldn’t want at least one big, nasty, physical player with two first round choices.

18. Pittsburgh – Dan Williams, NT, Tennessee
I think that the Steelers would really want Iupati and they desperately need to upgrade their offensive line. But if he gets nabbed in front of them I don’t think that the Steelers will reach for Bruce Campbell. It’s close though. Williams is a bear and the Steelers can groom him to replace Casey Hampton at the critical nose tackle.

19. Atlanta – Kareem Jackson, CB, Alabama
I think that the Falcons really have to pray that one of the top safeties fall to them. The bottom line is that this team absolutely has to have secondary help. But this isn’t a great year for top-end back line help. The Falcons also need linebackers. But something tells me that if the top three are all gone that the Falcons will balk at getting one of the guys out of the Big Ten (Nav Bowman, Sean Lee or Brandon Graham). This is SEC country. They don’t want no Big Ten ‘backer.

20. Houston – Taylor Mays, S, USC
Stop me if you’ve heard this one: Houston needs help on defense. They have slowly but surely built a strong starting front seven. They definitely need depth up there but I think that they try to address that shaky secondary. Mays has seen his stock drop (he might have been a Top 10 or Top 15 pick had he come out last year) but he could be worth the risk here. If they don’t go to Mays I think that they go after one of the top running backs here.

21. Cincinnati – Bruce Campbell, OT, Maryland
The Bengals really, really need to hope that Campbell slips past Pittsburgh and Houston. They definitely need offensive line help. Rumor has them making a move for T.O. and right now their defense is in a good place. But last year they had big problems protecting the quarterback and if they want to take the next step they need to rebuild that O-line.

22. New England – Brandon Graham, LB, Michigan
The Patriots are another team with a roster that’s a mess. They have a load of free agents this year and they have a lot of tough decisions to make as far as who is staying and who is going. But there is no doubt that their back seven stunk for a good part of last year and that this group can always use linebacking depth for their 3-4 scheme.

23. Green Bay – Navarro Bowman, LB, Penn State
The Packers are another really intriguing team in the first round. They need help at offensive tackle but the value isn’t there. Their corners are aging and their two safeties are free agents so they could definitely use some help there. They could also pull a surprise and go with C.J. Spiller or Jahvid Best to give themselves a game breaker in the running game. But instead I think that they keep building the depth at linebacker to help with that 3-4 transition.

24. Philadelphia – Sean Weatherspoon, LB, Missouri
Three of the Eagles’ top five linebackers are free agents that might not be back. Weatherspoon has a lot of buzz right now and because of his size and speed is exactly the type of defensive player that the Eagles like.

25. Baltimore – Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma
Baltimore is desperate for help in the passing game and could lose all four of their top receivers this year. And oft-injured Todd Heap is not the player he once was. Baltimore could also use help with their linebackers (surprising but true) but won’t reach. Instead they will likely take the top tight end on the board and try to give Joe Flacco a new weapon.

26. Arizona – Kyle Wilson, CB, Boise State
Their secondary is a joke. They didn’t address the back seven even after it cost them a Super Bowl two years ago. Well, now it’s time. Wilson is kind of a first round sleeper but he is the type of playmaker that the Cardinals need.

27. Dallas – Maurkice Pouncey, OL, Florida
At first glance there are no glaring weaknesses on the Cowboys. Which is good. They are drafting for depth. And considering the relative age of their offensive linemen I think Pouncey would be a great pick. He could step in at any of the five line spots and I think could become a beast at guard for the Cowboys.

28. San Diego – C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson
Jonathan Dwyer might fit better because he could be an every down back. But I don’t see Spiller falling out of the first round. I’m just not sure who else is going to go after him. LT is on the way out and the Chargers need someone that they can use in tandem with Darren Sproles.

29. N.Y. Jets – Jason Pierre-Paul, LB, South Florida
I’m not going to lie: I’m not that familiar with Pierre-Paul. He only played one year at D-I but everywhere I look on draft boards they have this guy in the Top 15. I’m not buying it. That said, the Jets could use some more linebackers and I definitely see them continuing to stock up that dominating defense. They don’t need receivers as much as everyone would make you believe.

30. Minnesota – Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame
Regardless of whether Favre comes back or not this team doesn’t have a long-term solution at quarterback. Better to start planning now, especially when they don’t have a lot of holes elsewhere. A linebacker is a possibility, as is a corner, but I don’t think that there is anyone out there to justify this spot in the first round.

31. Indianapolis – Jared Odrick, DT, Penn State
Stop me if you’ve heard this one: the Colts need help on the defensive line. Odrick is a smart, tough, versatile object that can do some different things for the Colts. Don’t sleep on Ricky Sapp in this spot either, as the Colts are always stockpiling quality ends.

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32. New Orleans – Everson Griffen, DE, USC
There isn’t enough value here to justify going after a linebacker, which I think that they could definitely use. Instead I think that they will draft either Griffen as insurance for aging (and injury-prone) Charles Grant and Will Smith or UCLA DT Bryan Price.