Free Sports Picks from Doc's Sports Handicappers
Free Basketball Picks and Basketball Predictions
Free NBA Picks and NBA Predictions MLB Baseball Picks and Predictions
Basketball Handicappers and Betting Strategy
Click Here to Purchase Doc's Picks
Football Picks   |   NBA Picks   |   Baseball Picks
Hockey Picks   |   College BB Picks   |   Horse Picks



NFL Odds

College
Football Odds


NBA odds

MLB odds

NHL Hockey Odds

Boxing Odds

UFC Odds - MMA Betting Odds

WNBA Odds

Week 9 NFL Odds

Sports Odds

Doc's Rotation


NFL

NCAA Football

NBA

NCAA Basketball

MLB

NHL


NFL

NCAA Football

NBA

NCAA Basketball

MLB

NHL

Doc's Rotation


College Football Schedule

College Basketball Schedule

NFL Schedule

NBA Schedule

NHL Schedule

Monday Night Football Schedule


Breeders' Cup Picks






Home

View Picks

Why Doc’s Sports?

Our Betting System

Sports Betting Strategy

Note from Doc

Our Commitment

Customer Comments

Free Picks

Contact Doc’s



Our Commitment

Doc's Sports

Robert Ferringo

Vegas Sports Informer

Strike Point Sports

Allen Eastman

Indian Cowboy

Dave Busk


Bodog Sportsbook

BetUS

Sportsbook.com

BookMaker

Sports Interaction

BetED

5Dimes Sportsbook

JustBet

SuperBook

SPORTSBETTING.COM

JAZZ Sportsbook

Sportsbook Bonus



NFL Power Rankings

NBA Futures Odds

NFL Office Pool Picks

NHL Power Rankings

College Football Power Rankings

Handicapping FAQ

Sports Betting 101

Sports Betting Tips

NFL Sunday Predictions

College Football Weekly Predictions

Weekly NFL Survivor Pool Picks

Second Half Betting Picks

Parlay Calculator

Sports Betting Champ

Parlay Cards

Gambling Terms

2009 Archives

2008 Archives

2007 Archives

Article Archives 2













Crucial Super Bowl Trends
by Robert Ferringo - 01/30/2007

Click Here for 2009 Super Bowl 43 information including Super Bowl Betting Odds, Super Bowl Picks, and Super Bowl Squares

(Note: An adaptation of this article appears in the current issue of Southern Gaming Magazine)

What does it take to bring home the hardware and the cash on Super Bowl Sunday? Is it a Hall-of-Fame quarterback? What about a ravenous and bloodthirsty defense? Do clutch kickers or spread-busting coaches help your cause?

Nope.

This week only 110% signup bonus
Large choice of unique props and deposit options at SPORTSBETTING.COM
Click Here

According to Doc Moseman, a professional handicapper and gambler for nearly four decades, to win on Super Sunday, "you have to be lucky because more information is out there during the two weeks of hype."

Maybe he's right. After all, he's been betting on the Big Game for longer than I've been alive. But he also added that, "trends definitely play a role so keep an eye out for anything that might give you an edge."

Here are five tips and trends that I believe could be useful before kickoff:

1) "If a team shows more than a 10.0-point line swing from a favorite in the conference championship game to an underdog in the Super Bowl I would deem that as very good value," professional handicapper Ross Benjamin said.

An example was the 2005 Super Bowl. Philadelphia was six-point favorites in the NFC Championship Game and was installed as seven-point underdogs in the Super Bowl. That's a 13-point swing, and the Eagles covered the Super Bowl spread.

Super Bowl XLI's line falls perfectly into this scenario. This year, Chicago was a three-point favorite in the NFC Title game against New Orleans. Now they are seven-point dogs against Indianapolis after opening at +7.5.

2) Seven of the last 10 title games were decided by less than one touchdown. In the ten games prior to that only two were determined by less than a touchdown.

Further, the average margin of victory over the past 11 years is just 11.5 points. Over the past five Super Bowls the average margin is just 9.4 points; and that number is skewed by the 27-point beating that Tampa Bay dealt Oakland. Tossing out that game the average margin of the other four games was just five points.

3) The team with more total rushing attempts has won 70 percent of the Super Bowls. This makes sense, considering that the team that runs the ball more is generally the team with the lead.

This season, Chicago outrushed its opponent in 13 of its 18 games. The Bears averaged 7.3 more attempts on the ground than their counterparts. Indianapolis only outrushed their opponents in eight of their 11 games, averaging two fewer rushing attempts per outing.

After completing this article view our Eliminator Pools page. Doc's NFL Season Win Totals resource is a must read for NFL wagering. Doc's Sports Wagering Guide for NFL page is and excellent NFL resource as well. Is there and NFL betting or handicapping topic you would like to see covered? Email service@docsports with your recommendations.

It bears mentioning that the Colts have outrushed all three of their playoff opponents, averaging 15 more attempts on the ground in their three postseason games.

4) Favorites are 6-2 SU over the L8 Super Bowls, but just 3-5-1 ATS in the L9. Also, over that span, favorites of a touchdown or more are 1-3-1 ATS.

5) Even though it is the squarest play on the board, a parlay of the favorite and the over pays out around 2.5-to-1. That combination has hit in nine of the past 24 Super Bowls, meaning if you had wagered $100 on it each year you'd be up $700.

Questions or comments for Robert? E-mail him at robert@docsports.com or check out his Insider Page here.