Scroll below this article for the most current NFL season win totals odds.
It's probably too early to form strong opinions about win totals for the NFL. After all, training camps haven't started yet, and there is enough fluidity in rosters that we can't be sure of how at least a few teams are going to look and play. Still, you'd be missing an opportunity if you didn't at least take a look at the odds that are being offered right now. The sports betting public isn't yet paying a lot of attention to football, so there is at least a chance that there will be some real value in some of the prices if you look hard enough. Here's a look at six that stick out to me as being, at the very least, interesting:
Arizona over 8.5 (+115) - The oddsmakers aren't very bullish on the defending NFC champions. They won nine games last year, the coaching staff has a year more experience, and most of the cast is returning, so there's a least a chance that they could meet or exceed their total of last year. They still have perhaps the best receiving corps in the league even if Anquan Boldin isn't entirely happy. Their schedule could be easier, but they still play in a reasonably weak conference, so there are wins to be had. I understand why the total is set where it is - teams that lose the Super Bowl have a bad track record of performance the next year. This team could be the exception to that rule, though, and at this price it might be worth a gamble that they are.
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Baltimore under 8.5 (+145) - Don't get me wrong - I like Baltimore as much as anyone. I just think that this team could go .500 or worse. The defense is good as always, but it's getting older, too. My bigger concerns center around the offense, though. I like Joe Flacco quite a bit, but it certainly isn't uncommon for a guy to take a step back in his second trip through the league. His receiving corps could be better, and it is in a state of flux right now. Willis McGahee has been around for a while now, and each year it gets harder and harder to believe that that repaired leg is going to hold up. Baltimore will possibly win nine or more, but this price could make a gamble worthwhile.
Denver over 7 (+150) - The Broncos have the potential to be a train wreck. Their coach is stupidly young and inexperienced, and he's already shown a disturbing lack of people skills. They've chased a Pro Bowl QB out of town, and their Pro Bowl receiver is looking to follow him to a lower altitude destination. This could get ugly, and that could be fun to watch. Still, it's not out of the realm of possibility that they could match their eight win total of last year. Kyle Orton is no Jay Cutler, but management obviously believes in him. Even without Brandon Marshall there is a fair amount of receiving talent for him to throw to. The running back battalion isn't outstanding, but it's very deep. Their schedule is pretty rough, but this price is fat enough to catch your attention.
Detroit under 4.5 (+115) - I find this one surprising. This team was winless last year, and it's not like they entirely replaced their squad with better talent this year. They think they have their quarterback of the future, but he's in for a period of adjustment, and he doesn't exactly have a superstar receiving corps to help make his life easier. This team will almost certainly be better than they were last year, but a four win gain is good for any team, and that would still put them under. The oddsmakers are clearly more optimistic than I am, or at least they expect that the public will be. That provides an opportunity.
Philadelphia under 9.5 (+120) - Philly is a pretty good team and in normal conditions I expect them to go over this number. There is one obvious thing that could derail them, though - an injury to Donovan McNabb. It's not hard to imagine him going down for an extended period, and if he does then the quarterbacking situation is a bit scary. They only won nine games last year, and the division is so strong that the margin for error is small. It could be worth a gamble at this price that things aren't going to go as well as the public expects them to.
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San Francisco under 7 (+115) - I have long been a Niners fan, and I am an eternal optimist when it comes to this team, but even I don't understand this one. The team doesn't have a quarterback that they seem to truly believe in. The front office is a mess. The division is reasonably solid, and their schedule isn't easy. If everything went perfectly then this team could win nine games. It also wouldn't be a surprise to see them win five or six, though. At this price it pays to be a pessimist.
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