We first looked at NFL season win totals way back in the spring when they were first posted. Since then a lot has changed, and we know a lot more about each team and what we can reasonably expect from them. In some cases that extra knowledge has given us reason to be more optimistic. In others the summer has not been kind to teams and their hopes.
Here's a look at seven interesting teams and their season win totals from BetOnline as they stand now:
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Denver Broncos (over/under 9 wins): I was doubtful of the hype surrounding this team early on. As things have advanced, that certainly hasn't changed. The QB situation has a chance to be a disaster. With all due respect to Trevor Siemian, if he is making a splash and winning your QB race then you have a bad QB situation. Paxton Lynch will likely be forced into action before he's ready, and the team will be hurt by that. The defense will be expected to carry this team, but I didn't like the Von Miller situation in the offseason at all, and I have concerns that the defense won't be what it needs to be. I liked the under when we first saw the totals. I still do.
Buffalo Bills (o/u 8 wins): Rex Ryan is a bad coach. His brother is a worse defensive coordinator. This team is not in good hands. Add in that everyone who isn't hurt, and that is pretty much everyone it seems, is suspended. I don't have a lot of faith in the QB situation given the tools they have to work with, and I don't expect a lot from the defense given the coaching and all the losses in personnel. Easy under here.
Indianapolis Colts (o/u 9 wins): i wish the team had a better backup QB situation because we have to put faith in Andrew Luck's health being much better than last year. That being said, I like what we have seen from this team this fall. They have just quietly and competently gone about their business. They look exactly like they should, and after the debacle of last season on so many fronts that is a very good thing. I am bullish, and like the over.
Miami Dolphins (o/u 7 wins): This team has been a chronic disappointment in recent years. There are all sorts of reasons, but the biggest is that they have been mentally limp. The hire of Adam Gase as the newest head coach is one I really like, and I like his chances of getting the team in a better place mentally more than the others before him. They have the talent to be .500 or better, and with the Jets and the Bills in their division there are some games for them to win. I quite like the over here.
Jacksonville Jaguars (o/u 7.5 wins): And I really like the over here. I have high hopes for the offense, which was good last year, to be much better this year. Blake Bortles is in his third year, and Allen Robinson is ready for a huge year. Defensively they have a load of talent, and they have a chance for things to come together nicely for them. The over at this number is my favorite play on the board.
San Francisco 49ers (o/u 5 wins): Up to this point the teams that I have looked at have been included because there is some good value, and they are attractive for one reason or another. This is a very different situation. I truly have no idea what to expect here in the first year of the Chip Kelly era. There is some decent defensive talent and some real issues on offense. The QB situation is rough. Kelly didn't exactly dominate in his first go-round in the league, but he can coach. I could see him winning two games, or six. Neither would be a surprise at all. This one makes my head hurt more than any other.
Seattle Seahawks (o/u 10.5 wins): I am not nearly as optimistic about this team as others are. They still have plenty of talent. They have been at the top of the game for a while now, though, and I feel like we are seeing signs of fatigue and fraying around the edges. I don't expect a major step back or a collapse by any means. It takes a lot to win 11 games, though, and I suspect they might not have quite that much to give. It would be more of a lull than a real step back, and many teams go through it. I like the under here.
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