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2014 NFL Season Win Totals Predictions
by - 6/2/2014

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Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Andy Dalton

Now that the draft is past and we know for the most part what NFL teams are going to look like next season, it only makes sense that NFL season win totals are again a topic of discussion. Hereís some quick NFL season win totals predictions for each team for the 2014-15 pro football season ( odds are from Sportsbook.ag):

Arizona Cardinals (ďover/underĒ 7.5): We start with one of the best bets on the board. I really like the coaching and the direction this team is moving in. The quarterbacking is decent, and the talent on both sides is strong. The division is tough, but the over is still the right play.

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Atlanta Falcons (o/u 8.5): I have come around on this team. I was negative earlier, but they have had a solid offseason, have addressed some issues, and they have the potential to take a big step forward. The over is the play, but not an enthusiastic one.

Baltimore Ravens (o/u 8.5): I donít like the offseason the team has had, and I donít feel like they have accepted how much they need to rebuild. I like the under.

Buffalo Bills (o/u 6.5): I donít know if it is the right thing or not, but I like a lot of things about this team. The coaching is strong, Manuel is promising, and they have made some aggressive moves. It could just work. Take the over.

Carolina Panthers (o/u 8.5): One of the hardest teams to judge. They did so many things well last year, but they have had a lousy offseason. Most confusing, they seem to suddenly hate wide receivers ó despite having an excellent passer taking snaps. Iíll take the over, but I donít feel good about it.

Chicago Bears (o/u 8.5): Over. Definitely. I really like coach Marc Trestman, and so do his players. He is an excellent coach, and his team is poised to take a strong step forward here.

Cincinnati Bengals (o/u 9): Just on principle I take the under with the Bengals. I donít trust Andy Dalton, and Marvin Lewis is a truly terrible coach. Iím not sure that they are going to be in a good mental place after the playoffs last year, and Jay Gruden is a loss as offensive coordinator.

Cleveland Browns (o/u 6.5): Under. This team won four games last year, has uncertainty at quarterback, is welcoming their umpteenth new coaching regime, and has roster issues galore. They won four games last year, and they didnít exactly underachieve to do so. This is very inflated do to Johnny Mania, and that means value.

Dallas Cowboys (o/u 7.5): Jerry Jones is rich, but heís not necessarily football smart. It has been another underwhelming offseason for a team that is mired in mediocrity. Hard to get excited about anything other than the stadium. Take the under.

Denver Broncos (o/u 11.5): Under. This is the only play. The Super Bowl hangover is a real threat, and they are still relying on an older and fragile quarterback for all of their success. If Manning gets hurt they are done. The risk doesnít justify them having the biggest number on the board.

Detroit Lions (o/u 8.5): I like the over here. Jim Caldwell is a good choice at coach, and he should be a good fit with Stafford. They made a few odd choices in the offseason, but they are still better than they were.

Green Bay Packers (o/u 10.5): I guess I lean to the over if Aaron Rodgers can stay healthy. However, they have had a forgettable offseason, and I find them hard to get excited about. They would be a really easy team to pass on.

Indianapolis Colts (o/u 9.5): They won 11 games last year, and itís not hard to imagine Andrew Luck taking another step forward this year. There are some concerns, but I just canít justify betting that they will lose at least two fewer games.

Jacksonville Jaguars (o/u 4.5): Itís a tough one to call here because we donít know how they are going to deal with Blake Bortles. I would be more optimistic if they were going to redshirt him, but I like the over either way. They finished their season well and have room for growth in a lot of players.

Kansas City Chiefs (o/u 8.5): Another tough one to call. The under is likely the way to go because they didnít have a great offseason and donít seem as committed to their QB situation as they should be. I wouldnít be surprised to be wrong, though.

Miami Dolphins (o/u 8): I hope that the drama is behind the team and they can focus on the field. There are still some roster concerns ó though not at quarterback. Iíll take the under, but there isnít a lot of value here.

Minnesota Vikings (o/u 6): I like Teddy Bridgewater long term, but itís hard to know what their plans are for him right now or what he is going to be able to do with the talent around him. Their division is tough as well. I like the under.

New England Patriots (o/u 10.5): Iím not enthusiastic about the over, but there is no upside in fading Tom Brady, especially when his division isnít exactly overpowering. Not a lot of value, but the over is the play.

New Orleans Saints (o/u 9.5): They made some odd choices in free agency ó Byrd is worth just a fraction of what they paid for him. There are distractions galore, the division will be tougher, and Brees isnít getting any younger. The value is in the under.

New York Giants (o/u 8): Under. Way under. Their offseason has been laughable, and the core of the team is not strong right now. They arenít mentally tough, and they arenít built to win. Of course, I was really bearish on them the last time they won the Super Bowl, too, so take my opinion on this team with a grain of salt.

New York Jets (o/u 7): Rex Ryan is still in charge. Thatís a terrible idea. I donít need another reason to go under, but there are more ó talent woes, uncertainty at quarterback, and mental issues that havenít been adequately addressed are all just the tip of the iceberg.

Oakland Raiders (o/u 4.5): Under. They have done surprisingly little in free agency given what was possible, and there are some real concerns about their ability to do some important things for football teams ó like score.

Philadelphia Eagles (o/u 9): Over. Iím optimistic here. I really like Nick Foles, and like that the team has committed to him. There is talent around him, they have got rid of some unneeded pieces, and Chip Kelly is going to have a lot of success in this league.

Pittsburgh Steelers (o/u 8.5): Under. It used to be that the Steelers were just a model for how to run a team. You didnít even have to look closely at what they were doing ó you just knew that it was the right thing. Thatís not the case now, They are in a franchise-wide funk, and they arenít going to shake it here.

San Diego Chargers (o/u 8): Definitely over. Lots of value here. I like the direction they moved in last year, and I really like this coaching staff. They have offensive talent and some nice pieces defensively.

San Francisco 49ers (o/u 10.5): Not much value here, but I have to take the over. There is some concern around the drama concerning Aldon Smith, as well as whether Harbaughís message is getting a bit old. Still, they were a very good team last year and have taken steps to get better in the offseason.

Seattle Seahawks (o/u 11): Have to take the under ó or pass at the very least. They are built for long-term success, but it is very tough to be a defending champion, and guys like Russell Wilson and Richard Sherman have to deal with being much bigger celebrities than they were this time last year. Distractions abound.

St. Louis Rams (o/u 7.5): Iíll happily take the over here. They had a strong draft, and I like the coaching staff and the direction they are moving in. I still believe in Sam Bradford, and I hope that this is finally the year that he rewards that faith.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (o/u 7): Iíll take the over. They were a big disappointment last year, but the whole team continued to be a circus. The third coach in short order is a concern, but this is a much safer choice and could return things to normalcy. Quarterback is an obvious concern, but I am reasonably optimistic.

Tennessee Titans (o/u 7): Under. This seems like a real transition year for this team, and they donít seem completely committed to Jake Locker. This could seem like a very long season for the team and their fans.

Washington Redskins (o/u 7.5): Under. This is a tough team to judge, but I donít like hiring of Jay Gruden, and I donít believe that RGIII is going to get back on track ó not yet, anyway.

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