We are in the sixth week of this NFL season already, so it is high time to revisit our 2015 Super Bowl predictions and see what we know and where the value
might be. The one and only thing I know for sure at this point ó this is a very tough season. It is much tougher at this point in the year to get a real
sense of which teams are really good and which ones are pretenders. All the top teams have shown cracks. Some of the more surprising successes are hard to
really believe in ó Iím looking at you, Dallas. We can only hope that things become clearer, because unlike this time last year when Denver and Seattle
were already clearly in charge, there are a lot of questions to ask.
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Hereís where I see the value right now and which team I am most impressed with ( odds to win the Super Bowl are from Bovada):
Seattle Seahawks (4/1):
A lot of you will probably take exception with my negativity towards the Seahawks right now. After all, they are 3-1 and seem poised to win their division.
While I have respect for the team, I just donít believe that they have yet looked like a team ready to pull off the immense challenge of repeating as
champions. Their loss at San Diego was a concern ó they just plain got outplayed, and they still havenít dealt with their road issues. They had the game
against the Broncos won easily, but then they tried hard to lose it and needed overtime to come out on top. Itís the Washington game that was the biggest
concern, though. Coming off a bye week I would have liked to have seen them crush an opponent that didnít belong on the same field as them. Instead, what I
saw was arrogance. The Seahawks knew that they were going to win the game, and they seemed content to only do as much as they needed to do to win. That
meant that the game was closer than it had any right being. When this team was at their best last year they had two things going for them ó a precise
commitment to excellence and a relentless hunger. I havenít seen either yet. They could easily still win it all, but I sure donít see any value at this
Denver Broncos (17/4):
In large part I have the same concern with this team that I have had for the last two years ó their quarterback, though brilliant, is old and fragile, and
they have no backup plan. For that reason alone there is no value here. Beyond that, though, this team just has not been as good as they should be so far.
Aside from beating up on an Arizona team playing their third-string quarterback, they have only looked marginally better than the two teams they beat, and
aside from the last few minutes they looked outclassed by the Seahawks. There is upside here, but not enough to get me excited.
Green Bay Packers (10/1):
The best I can do here is reserve judgment because the information is incomplete. If they play like they did in their last two games then they are a real
threat ó though those games came against Chicago and Minnesota, and neither team is in great form right now. Their first three games, though, were just
plain awful. Really, really bad. I need to see more of this recent form before I can be a believer.
New England Patriots (10/1):
If this team played in Omaha and their quarterback was named Joe Smith then there is no way their odds would be where they are. This is a clear display of
how blindly loyal the public can be at times. The team has played two terrible games and one pretty bad one so far. They donít have receivers who scare
anyone, and there are personnel issues in too many other places as well. There is horrible value here.
San Diego Chargers (10/1):
I was optimistic about this team heading into the season. I have liked what I have seen enough that the Chargers are now my Super Bowl pick. If you had
told me two years ago I would be saying that now I would have called you crazy. Of course, Norv Turner was there back then, and he sure wasnít going to win
anything. After a very tough fight in their opener, they have won four in a row and have been dominant in doing so. They have talent where needed, but what
I like more than that is their passion and focus. They want to win, and they have bought into completely to their coaching staffís direction. That unified
commitment makes them fearless ó they werenít even slightly intimidated by Seattle, and it showed. Things always change in the NFL, but at this point this
is the team to beat in my eyes.
Cincinnati Bengals (14/1):
Is Marvin Lewis still coaching the team? Then they arenít going to win. They are only good enough when their opponents arenít.
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Read more articles by Trevor Whenham