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Last Release of Expert NFL Picks from our handicappers.
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Doc's Sports
passRobert Ferringo
7-Unit Play. Take #264 New England (-7) over N.Y. Jets (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)The Jets are still one of the worst teams in football. Their wins this year have come against fellow dregs, the Browns and Titans. And they shouldn’t have beaten the Browns! If not for a high snap over the punter, Cleveland wins that game last week and this spread is probably closer to 10. New England is a wagon. They should’ve beaten Seattle on opening night. If they had they would be 4-1 and considered among the best teams in the AFC. The Patriots defense is dominating. They held Sam Darnold and Aaron Rodgers to a combined 16 points and the Patriots are one of only two teams to hold Josh Allen below 36 points. (The Chargers did so; but that was only because the Bills turned the ball over five times.) New England is 4-1 ATS this season and they have faced real competition. The Jets haven’t. They hosted a weak Green Bay team and weren’t competitive and they got physically mauled by Tyson Bagent and the Bears. Aaron Glenn is one of the worst head coaches of the past decade and he isn’t going to have his team ready for this one. The Jets broke out for 134 rushing yards last week. In the three weeks prior – against three defenses significantly weaker than New England’s – the Jets combined for 59 rushes for 184 yards. The Patriots will make them one-dimensional and should force Geno Smith into some turnovers. New England’s -8 turnover differential is masking what is one of the top teams in the AFC. This is an absolute coaching mismatch. And Mike Vrabel, who also played for the Patriots, has no love for the Jets and would love the embarrass this team. That’s exactly what the Patriots did last year, winning 27-14 at home and 42-10 in New York. I see another blowout here.
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL SELECTION
6-Unit Play. Take #286 San Francisco (-7.5) over Washington (8 p.m., Monday, Oct. 19)
I just don’t see how Washington picks itself up off the mat after that tie against the Giants. The Bears had a similar situation a couple years ago versus that same Washington team, losing on a Hail Mary because of Tyrique Stevenson talking trash to the crowd. The Bears never recovered that season. They had to go on the road the following week and got trucked 26-6 at Arizona. The head coach was fired a few weeks later. I see a similar track for this Commanders team. Remember: they were in London two Sundays ago (and were blown out), came home and had that happen against New York, and now have to go out West and face one of the best teams in football. San Francisco is a backdoor TD from Arizona away from being 5-0 ATS and I think they lay into this shaky Washington team (and defense) here.
Carpe diem. Good luck.
Craig Trapp
NFL3-Unit Play. Take #273 Carolina (-3.5) Over Philadelphia (1 pm, Sunday October 18) **FD Odds**
The more rested Panthers decisively defeated a tired and banged-up Eagles team returning from London. The Eagles will likely be without QB Hurts and two of their top three WRs/RBs, just too much for Philly to overcome this week. Take Carolina to win and cover the spread.
4-Unit Play. Take #281 Over (42) LA Chargers vs Kansas City (4:15 pm, Sunday October 18) **BetMGM Odds**
The Chargers are going to be more creative and take more chances on offense this week, resulting in a much higher-scoring game than we've seen from LA so far. Kansas City's offense is primed for a big outburst, as their running attack sets up significant play-action passing opportunities. Take the over in the KC/LAC game on Sunday afternoon.
6-Unit Play. Take #286 San Francisco (-7.5) Over Washington (8:15 pm, Monday October 19) **BetMGM Odds**
The 49ers were fortunate to secure a win against Seattle last week, but that has SF focused for MNF this week. Expect no letdown as the elite San Francisco offense will score 38 or more points. Even more impressive is their defense, which we believe will hold Washington to 24 points or less. Take the 49ers to win and cover the spread.
CRAIG
Scott Rickenbach
NFL 3-Unit Play. Take #109 Seattle -2.5 at Denver (8:15 p.m., Thu, Oct. 15)The Seahawks Smith-Njigba is available for this game and having the WR as good to go for this game is great news after he practiced fully Wednesday. As for the Broncos, the fact that cornerback Pat Surtain is out is certainly bad news for this one for Denver. From a situational standpoint I like the fact the Seahawks are off a loss last week while the Broncos are off a win. Denver had to rally for that win at LA and that was against a winless Chargers team. Even though the Broncos are home for this game they are off B2B road games while the Seahawks are off B2B home games. From a situational standpoint and based on injury updates too, the value here is with the road side. Lay it. 3* SEATTLE -2.5
NFL 3-Unit Play. Take #261 Houston +2.5 vs Jacksonville (9:30 a.m., Sunday, Oct. 18)
This one taking place in London and I am going to keep this write-up short and sweet. Look at this one this way...the Jaguars are 4-1 and the Texans are 1-4 and yet Jacksonville is barely favored here. Keep in mind the Jags were already in London to face the Eagles so that favors them as well since they were already here for that game last Sunday. So why is Jacksonville barely favored here? Exactly! It is not a mistake and the Texans solid passing attack and against a weak Jaguars pass D is going to be the key here in this one. Don't let the line fool you as they Texans get the call here. 3* HOUSTON +2.5
NFL 3-Unit Play. Take #273 Carolina -3.5 at Philadelphia (1:00 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 18)
This is a horrible scheduling spot for the Eagles. They are off a trip to London last weekend plus it ended in huge disappointment as they lost the game on a long FG after it looked like they had won the game. Philly is a mess right now and things just went from bad to worse with Jalen Hurts having a medical issue and he is now out for this week. The Eagles had just released veteran QB Dalton so that means it is likely McKee getting the start here. Not a good situation for an Eagles team that also is dealing with a lot of injuries. So with all this factored in plus the fact the Panthers are getting healthier plus coming off a bye week, the pendulum definitely appears to be swinging toward Carolina in a big way here. This Eagles team continues to have issues and last week's heartbreaking loss to the Jaguars could finish them off. It was an inexcusable way to lose a game in the final seconds and I see the Eagles struggling to get back on track this week so lay it with the Panthers. 3* CAROLINA -3.5
7-Unit Play. Take #284 Green Bay Money Line -115 vs Dallas (8:20 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 18)
As of late afternoon Thursday this is being posted. That said, I know all the injury question marks both ways have fully settled out here. But I like a couple of key factors plenty and that is why this is my first 7-Unit of the NFL season. One of the factors is that Dak Prescott and the Cowboys so often lose the bigger games. The long-term with Prescott is that he gets his big stats versus weaker teams and struggles in the big-game situations. The second factor is defense. Once again the Cowboys defense is bad this season while the Packers defense has been strong. In fact, in Green Bay's season opening loss to Minnesota, they held the Vikings to just 239 yards. The 39-22 final was deceiving to say the least. Also, since that game the Packers have had the one ugly loss to the Falcons which was just one of those 'did not show up' games, but also 3 wins. In the 3 wins Green Bay has allowed an average of only 13 points. That included last week's blowout win over the Bears. The Cowboys, on the other hand, have allowed 29 ppg their last 3 games and their only 2 wins this season were over a pair of teams that each have just 1 win in their 5 games this season. Dallas also just lost to a TB team that was previously winless on the season. I know the Cowboys just hired a defensive advisor after the loss to the Buccaneers but I doubt he can work magic in his first game. This Dallas defense has issues and the Packers are rolling with confidence after last week's big win over the Bears and that was also at Lambeau so this is a nice B2B spot of home games for the Pack. The better D wins out in the long run in this game. 7* GREEN BAY Money Line -115
NFL 2-Unit Play. Take #285 Washington +7.5 at San Francisco 49ers (8:15 p.m., Mon, Oct. 19)
This spot sets up well for the Commanders getting more than a TD here. San Francisco off the huge win versus the Seahawks and that was in Seattle. Of course I know the 49ers are undefeated but this is a tricky game for a 5-0 team versus a 1-3-1 team. The Niners have two tight wins by less than 7 points in the last 3 weeks. Off a big divisional win against the defending champs (and their division rival) the 49ers could fall flat here against an NFC East team that has been struggling. The Commanders are like the snake laying in the weeds and they will be fired up to respond off their disappointing tie with the Giants. Jaylen Daniels was back, and other than very poor time management at the very end of OT, he had a solid performance in his return. Look for the big dog to hang around in this one. 2* WASHINGTON +7.5
Arun Shiva (Indian Cowboy)
4-Unit Play. #109. Take Seattle Seahawks -140 ML over Denver Broncos (Thursday @ 8:15pm est)The Seahawks come off a loss and I think that will more than motivate this team here as they are furious for two reasons, for one, they lost at home and for two, they lost at home to a rival while giving up 30+ points. Getting Coach Macdonald off a loss is great here and Denver is very fickle and have trailed in the 4th quarter of every game so far and as Seattle rolls into Denver, they will be all business here and we like them for a big win.
7-Unit Play. #283 Take Dallas Cowboys +1.5 over Green Bay Packers (Sunday @ 8:21pm est)
The Cowboys just lost to a winless Bucs team on national television and they have staff in the tunnell mocking them - their own staff - and that too, to their quarterback. It's terrible. They face Parsons as well who finds himself injured. We love Green Bay coming off a big win against a Bears team that does not have their QB and the Bears were due for a big let down. The Cowboys are mad and the same team that beat Houston and nearly beat Baltimore. Dallas put up 30+ points in its 3 previous games before dropping just 16 on Tampa Bay - at home. Terrible. Maybe they were looking ahead to this game. Also, Dallas has not beaten Green Bay since 2016 it seems and we love Dallas to step up big here after a loss and these Packers to have a massive let down.
Raphael Esparza (VSI)
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK #73 Unit Play. #170 Baylor -6 over TCU (7:00p.m., Saturday, October 16)
It’s so nice to see a college team to commit on playing defense and boy do the Baylor Bears play some outstanding ‘D’. Baylor hasn’t allowed a single team more than 19 points this season and I don’t see TCU run game being the first team. Baylor wins this home game by double-digits and show out another outstanding defense performance.
2 Unit Play. #180 BYU +10.5 over Notre Dame (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 16 NBC)
Why not take the plus points with the home underdog! BYU is 15-2 SU & 15-2 ATS in their last 17 home games as a home underdog.
7 Unit Play. #213 Over 52 Washington St at Oregon St (6:00p.m., Saturday, October 16)
This play is all on the offense that the Beavers have produced in the last couple of weeks. Oregon St has won four-straight games and in those 4 wins they are averaging 51.7ppg. The Beavers love to stack the stats if they are up big and wouldn’t shock me to see them score 50 plus points themselves.
NFL FOOTBALL WEEK #6
6 Unit Play. #265 Over 39.5 Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay (1:05p.m., Sunday, October 17)
Who would of thought that the Pittsburgh Steelers would score 24 points or more in three straight games heading into Tampa. Steelers are using a well balance attack on offense and it all starts from the run game. Tampa is coming off a big Primetime win over Dallas in their last game and with Bucs able to run the ball I see both teams scoring early and often. The Bucs last 8 home games 6 of them have gone ‘Over’ the total and if the Steelers continue to have success on the ground and the air this low total will have no issue going ‘Over’.
3 Unit Play. #471 Green Bay -1.5 over Dallas (8:05p.m., Sunday, October 17)
Every time I believe the Cowboys defense or team looks to be turning things around, they lay a fat egg. The Cowboys were embarrassed at home against the Buccaneers and the Boys defense made Jalon Daniels look like a Pro Bowl quarterback. The Packers welcome the Bears last week in Green Bay and home underdog Pack had no issue winning. Sunday night I see the Packers exposing the Dallas ‘D’ just like everybody else in the league.
Tony George
NFL Sunday
12/18/26
3 Units
Play #263 / #264 New York Jets / New England (UNDER 43.5)
*1 EST
New England has injuries on offense including RB Henderson, and the Jets have injuries as well on that side of the ball. The Jets average 18 ppg this season. This may be closer than some think and the Pats are due for some regression on offense. The Jets have played 5 games and 4 went under and that was against some bad defenses as well including Detroit. I see this as a lower scoring game between division rivals and honestly I do not expect much out of the Jets offense at all.
6 Units
#267 Baltimore (-4) over Cleveland
*1 EST
I doubt QB Jackson plays and I doubt the Ravens need him. Huntley against Atlanta ran the offense well, and went 24 / 32 and 3 TDs and no turnovers. The Browns came back down to earth in a loss to the lowly Jets, and are dealing with offensive issues and injuries on both sides of the ball. WR Flowers back to Detroit and RB henry provides a big challenge for anyone. Cleveland lost their RB and one of the their WRs last week to injuries and I do not trust at any point and time the Browns putting the game on QB Watson to carry them. Cleveland cannot run the ball already and if they play from behind and Watson starts throwing it all over the pace, I expect some turnovers while trying to play catch up.
Additional 2 Unit Play
Take #266 Tampa Bay (+2.5) over Pittsburgh *1 EST
2 Units
2 Team 6 Point Teaser -120 *1 EST
Tease #276 NY Giant UP to (+7.5) and #282 Kansas City DOWN to (-2)
Vernon Croy
6-Unit Play: #110 Denver +2.5-110 over Seattle (Thursday, October 15, 2026, 8:15pm ET)Take Denver ATS as my top NFL pick for Thursday night. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and I really like Denver a lot at home in this spot. I also feel like this is a very tough spot for Seattle coming off that loss at home against San Francisco. Denver has played great at home this season beating Jacksonville and the Los Angeles Rams two teams that I believe are the best in the NFL. Darnold has struggled the last couple of weeks with three touchdowns and three interceptions and he had a passer rating of just 64.6 at home against San Francisco. The average quarterback rating against Denver is 77.1 this season and I definitely look for them to step up defensively at home. This is a Seattle team that has converted just 29.8% of their third downs overall this season which ranks second last offensively in the NFL. Denver has also played much tougher opponents so far this season than Seattle has faced. Play Denver ATS
5-Unit Play: #264 New England -7-110 over New York (Sunday, October 18, 2026, 1:00pm ET)
Take New England ATS as my top NFL pick for Sunday. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and I really like New England at home in this spot now. I did give you the Jets last week as that was a very good situational spot for them but this is not this week. New England is starting to fire on all cylinders coming into this game and Maye is coming off his best game of the season completing 76.5% of his passes for 374 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions leaving him with a passer rating of 150.9. I do expect another big game from Maye and I also expect the Patriots defense to step up once again at home. This is also a very tough spot for the Jets who have averaged just 284 yards per game this season and just 18.6 points per game. Play New England ATS
4-Unit Play: #271 Tennessee +7-110 over Indianapolis (Sunday, October 18, 2026, 1:00pm ET)
Take Tennessee ATS as my top NFL pick for Sunday. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and I would not be shocked to see Tennessee win this game outright Sunday as they look for their first victory of the season. Keep in mind this is a Tennessee team that almost knocked off Baltimore as 11.5-point underdogs along with Philadelphia as 7.5-point underdogs. I also feel like this is a very tough spot for Indianapolis coming off that 12-point loss at Pittsburgh. Jones has 3 TD passes and 4 interceptions on the season not throwing a touchdown pass over their last two games. Opponents have averaged 27.6 points per game against Indianapolis this season averaging 384.2 yards per game against them. Tennessee is the better team defensively here as well with opponents averaging just 331 yd per game against them and more importantly just 21.8 points per game against them. Play Tennessee ATS
4-Unit Play: #281 Los Angeles +8-110 over Kansas City (Sunday, October 18, 2026, 4:25pm ET)
Take Los Angeles Chargers ATS as my top NFL pick for Sunday. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and I really like Los Angeles a lot in this spot on the road as they look to get their first victory of the season. This Los Angeles team is much better than their record indicates and I definitely look for them to step up defensively on the road Sunday. Los Angeles has had an absolutely brutal schedule to start the season. Meanwhile, Kansas City has not, so you cannot put too much on Kansas City stats. The Chargers opponents have a passer rating of just 89.1 against them overall this season and more importantly, opponents have converted just 31.3% of their third downs against the Chargers this season. Play Los Angeles ATS
8-Unit Play: #283 Dallas +1.5-110 over Green Bay (Sunday, October 18, 2026, 8:20pm ET)
Take Dallas ATS as my top NFL pick for Sunday. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and I really like Dallas in this bounce back spot on the road. Dallas has converted 49.2% of their third downs overall this season. Meanwhile, Green Bay has converted just 27.6% of their third downs which ranks last offensively in the NFL. I definitely expect Dallas to put up a big number in this game Sunday night and I also expect them to step up defensively. Opponents have converted 44.3% of their third downs against this Green Bay defense this season. Keep in mind I gave you Green Bay as my 7-Unit Play since that was a very good situational spot for them and a bad one for the Bears. However, this week I firmly believe that Dallas wins this game by at least 10 points as it is a very good bounce back spot for them. Dallas did win their last road game against a very good Houston team that has underperformed this season. Houston has a great defense and Dallas put up 34 points against them. Play Dallas ATS.
6-Unit Play: #286 San Francisco -7.5-110 over Washington (Monday, October 19, 2026, 8:15pm ET)
Take San Francisco ATS as my top NFL pick for Monday night. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and I really liked San Francisco at home in this spot, especially coming off that victory at Seattle. San Francisco is hands down the superior team on both sides of the ball coming into this game and opponents have a passer rating of just 82 against San Francisco this season. San Francisco has held opponents to just 297 yd per game against them overall this season and just 18.6 points per game which ranks third defensively in the NFL. This is a San Francisco team that has averaged 30.8 points per game this season with a passer rating of 118.9 and they are very well balanced on offense. Opponents have a pass rating of 102.4 against Washington this season averaging 29.8 points per game against them. San Francisco has converted 51.9% of their third downs overall this season, which ranks first offensively in the NFL. Play San Francisco ATS
Scott Spreitzer
2-Unit Play: Take 271 Titans +7 over Colts (1 p.m., Sunday, October 18)It’s tough to resist betting on a winless road dog this deep into the season and there are a couple on Sunday and we’ll back this one. The Colts’ defense is not going to intimidate anyone, ranked in the bottom-five in every metric / statistic I use in my handicapping. Offensively, they’re bottom-third on the ground and through the air. Tennessee catches a break from the schedule maker, finally. I’m taking the points with the Titans. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
2-Unit Play: Take 275 Saints -1 over Giants (1 p.m., Sunday, October 18)
The Saints haven’t looked good the last two weeks but they’re nine points and a blown double digit lead to the Raiders from a winning record. They can go up top with success through the air, while the Giants’ offense has sputtered when it’s needed to kick into gear. New York escaped Tennessee then trailed by double digits in each of their last two games. If Washington and Arizona were coached in a halfway decent manner, the G-men would have two more losses rather than a 1-0-1 record in those games. Tyler Shough was shaken by Brian Flores Viking’s defense last week but I expect the Saints’ offense to bounce back here. I’m backing New Orleans. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
7-Unit Play: Take 283 Cowboys +1.5 over Packers (8:20 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 18)
Here’s the thing: I expect Green Bay WR Christian Watson to put up a lot of receiving yards in this one. Having said that, I don’t believe Green Bay will slow down the Cowboys’ offense. In fact, we saw an example of this a few weeks ago when Watson had seven receptions for 96 yards against Atlanta but the Packers lost 35-14. Green Bay should get yardage up top but they’re a one-trick pony, dead last on the ground. Dallas QB Dak Prescott might have the best receiving corps in the NFL. The Cowboys average 270 passing yards per game. Dak went into last week with eight TD passes and one INT but Tampa’s defense forced mistakes. Green Bay doesn’t have that kind of defensive ability. An angle for us: NFL teams have covered just 43 of their last 137 off an upset win at home over a division rival, provided they have a winning record. We played ON Green Bay last week (comp play) and against the Cowboys (premium play) and both plays cashed. This week, I’m backing Dallas. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
August Young
2-Unit Play (110) Denver Broncos +2.5 +100 over Seattle Seahawks (10/15 @ 8:15 PM ET) Denver's home-field record and recent ability to finish close games give the Broncos the route we want with the points. They enter Thursday having won 15 of their last 16 home games and both appearances in Denver this season. Sunday's 23-17 victory over the Chargers was another comeback, with Courtland Sutton and J.K. Dobbins each scoring his first touchdown of the year as the Broncos improved to 3-2. Bo Nix has helped Denver win three of its last four while the offense continues to work toward a more consistent performance. A short week keeps the Broncos in familiar surroundings after that home victory, and another competitive fourth quarter would put the points to work. This is our smaller two-unit selection: take Denver at home.7-Unit Play (282) Los Angeles Chargers/Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 41.5 -105 (10/18 @ 4:25 PM ET) The Chargers' strongest work is coming on defense, and that imbalance points toward a lower-scoring divisional game in Kansas City. Los Angeles ranks seventh in defensive EPA per play, while its offense sits 30th in success rate and last in EPA per play. The defense held Denver to one third-down conversion in 12 attempts last week, ending many possessions on third down and giving the offense another chance to regain control. Moving the ball has been the harder part. Four rookies appeared on the offensive line against the Broncos, with three making their first NFL starts, and Justin Herbert has already thrown seven interceptions through five games. Los Angeles has a clear incentive to protect possessions and lean on the unit playing best. With defensive stops more dependable than offensive efficiency, take the Under.
4-Unit Play (283) Dallas Cowboys/Green Bay Packers OVER 52.5 -110 (10/18 @ 8:20 PM ET) The receiving talent on both sides gives this Sunday-night matchup several routes to quick scoring drives. CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens have combined for 66 catches, 857 yards and five touchdowns through Dallas' first five games. Green Bay has its own productive pairing, with Christian Watson and Matthew Golden combining for 871 receiving yards. Dallas scored 102 points over the three games before its Thursday meeting with Tampa Bay, showing how dangerous that offense can be when its receivers are consistently involved. Dak Prescott has taken only six sacks and thrown three interceptions, limiting two of the main ways promising possessions end early. With established production from multiple targets on each side, neither offense has to rely on one receiver winning every matchup. Back a game with enough explosive completions to get Over.
4-Unit Play (285) Washington Commanders/San Francisco 49ers OVER 51.5 -105 (10/19 @ 8:15 PM ET) Jayden Daniels' return gives Washington the ability to contribute points with both its passing game and quarterback runs. Back from his elbow injury, Daniels completed 17 of 25 passes for 199 yards and added 103 rushing yards with two touchdowns against the Giants. Runs of 38 and 26 yards showed how quickly he can create a major gain on the ground. San Francisco brings its own variety after a 32-29 win over Seattle. Mike Evans scored early, Brandin Cooks added a touchdown reception, and Brock Purdy guided the late drive that produced the deciding field goal. Those different scoring routes make this more than a one-offense total: Washington can answer through Daniels' mobility, while San Francisco can sustain drives and create plays through the air. Take the Over on Monday night.
Strike Point Sports
NFL plays released at 11:30 am EST Sunday 10/18Jason Sharpe
Thursday October 15th 2026-NFL-
4 Unit Play Take #109 Seattle -2.5 over Denver (8:15pm est):
I still feel this Seattle team is one of the best teams in the NFL. They come into this game with a 3-2 record but very easily could be 5-0 on the season as both losses were by 3 points or less. The Seahawks come out of the best division in football and they went 4-0 last year against the spread when favored by 3 points or less versus teams outside the NFC West.
I think this Denver team is once again overrated. The Broncos are 3-2 this year straight-up but I haven't been impressed with them in any game this year. They were overmatched by Kansas City in the opener and in their other loss to San Francisco as both defeats were by double digits. It was their three wins though that left me scratching my head. Denver beat Jacksonville in week two in a game they Jaguars ran out of gas in the altitude of Mile High Stadium. They also beat the LA Rams with less than a minute remaining in a game they gained 200+ fewer yards than their opponent and last week the Broncos got what I felt was an ugly win over a bad LA Chargers team in a game that could have went either way.
Play Seattle in this one.
Sunday October 18th 2026-
NFL-
6 Unit Play Take #280 Las Vegas +5 over Buffalo (4:25pm est):
This is an awful spot here for Buffalo who comes in off a war on Monday Night Football overtime battle. The Bills have played back to back very difficult games (New England and LA Rams) and now will stay out west this week and are being asked to win by a decent sized margin here in this one on the road.
On the other side of things it's always smart to look to back teams in the NFL off a blowout loss and we have that here with Las Vegas who was hammered last week on the road in New England. The Raiders return home here in this one where they've covered the point spread both of the time times they've played there so far this season. Las Vegas has a decent offense this year and I think they can get in thru the backdoor if not win this one against what is a very bad Bills defense.
Play Las Vegas plus the points.
4 Unit Play Take #281 Los Angeles Chargers +8.5 over Kansas City (4:25pm est):
The LA Chargers aren't as bad as their 0-5 record this year. They still have average talent so this makes this point spread over inflated. Keep in mind it's been good idea to back winless teams later in the season like we have here with LA in this one. The Chargers went toe to toe with a decent Denver team last week only to once again give away that game late and not only blow the win but also the cover. This game is a divisional underdog that's getting more than a field goal which is also a good idea to look to back over the years plus Kansas City has struggled to win by margin over the last few years.
Take Los Angeles plus the points.
3 Unit Play Take #268 Cleveland +4 over Baltimore (1:00pm est):
Cleveland at home comes to play especially on the defensive side of the football and have went 8-3 against the spread their last 11 home contests. The Browns have played some complimentary football to begin the year and have quietly posted a 3-2 straight-up record so far this season. Cleveland 1st year head coach comes over from the Ravens organization which should add some extra motivation for him and his Browns team in this one.
Baltimore is dealing with a ton of injuries right now not to mention quarterback Lamar Jackson who if he plays likely won't be 100% coming into this game which likely limits his effectiveness. This is also a divisional home underdog situation here for the Browns which is the way one should be looking in these matchups.
Play Cleveland plus the points.
3 Unit Play Take #275 New Orleans -1 over New York Giants (1:00pm est):
I think this New York Giants team is the biggest fraud team in the league right now. They come into this one with a 3-1-1 record but I would argue they should only have one win this season. The Giants come out of the NFC East which I also think is the worst division in the NFL as evidenced by their -49 point differential.
New Orleans has just one win this season but they have faced teams with a combined 17-8 record overall. The Saints are off another tough game last time out losing to the 5-0 Minnesota Vikings and their owner talked about how embarrassing this team has played. I expect we see them come out and play much better in this one.
Play New Orleans.
Griffin Murphy
6 Unit Play - Take #264 NE Patriots (-7) Over NY Jets. (1:00p.m, Sunday, October 18th)The Patriots are back in action, and all seems to be clicking again. The Patriots have won 2 games straight and just ripped the Raiders in a 45-17 final. The run game has been efficient, the pass game has been efficient, and we think they are back up to speed. New York is 2-3 on the year and led by Geno Smith, who we are not high on whatsoever. New York is also 1-2 on the road, and we just don't see any variables for this team to hang in this game. We are backing the Patriots here—the points, as we expect a blowout in this game.
Griffin Murphy
1 Unit Play - Take #279 Buffalo Bills (-4.5) Over LV Raiders. (4:25p.m, Sunday, October 18th)
Buffalo is far superior to the Raiders, and we think this is a bad line. We see this as a spot where bettors will tease the Raiders from 4.5 to 10.5 and get over the key number of 10. We believe this is another wipeout play, and bettors on ATS and the moneyline will get rinsed. Buffalo is a strong 4-1 this season with strong wins under their belt. We believe they come in and dominate this Raiders team here by a large margin.
Griffin Murphy
Nick Menken
6-Unit NFL: Take #283 DAL Cowboys ML (+1.5) over GB Packers (-110) (Sunday, October 18th, 8:20p.m)The public narrative heading into this game is entirely skewed by last week's results. Green Bay is fresh off a dominant 31-7 blowout win over the Bears, while Dallas is looking to wash the taste out of their mouths following a flat home loss on Thursday night. But that exact discrepancy creates a classic bounce-back spot. The Cowboys benefit from extra days of rest and preparation, giving a veteran coaching staff plenty of time to scheme up explosive plays and fix the self-inflicted mistakes that doomed them last time out. When desperate, highly talented rosters step under the Sunday night lights on national television, pride takes over. Expect Dallas to attack Green Bay's secondary aggressively and turn this game into an up-tempo, high-scoring shootout. Take the points with the Cowboys on the spread, with a very live look at them pulling off the outright upset on the frozen tundra.
Nick Menken
4-Unit NFL: Take #275 NO Saints ML (-110) over NYG Giants (Sunday, October 18th, 1:00p.m)
The Giants enter at 3-1-1 following an overtime tie against Washington, with former Saints starter Jameis Winston currently under center. Winston is coming off an explosive 326-yard, 3-touchdown performance, but his aggressive, high-variance playing style always leaves the back door wide open for crucial defensive takeaways under pressure. While New Orleans sits at 1-4, that record fails to capture how battle-tested this group really is. The Saints just survived a brutal stretch against elite defensive units like Minnesota, and making the trip into MetLife provides their offense with a significantly more forgiving matchup to exploit downfield. Expect the Saints' defense to force Winston into game-altering mistakes while their offense establishes a steady rhythm to secure the road win straight up.
Nick Menken
2-Unit NFL 6-Point Teaser: Take #261 HOU Texans (+8.5) over JAX Jaguars / Take #281 LA Chargers (+14.5) over KC Chiefs (-125) (Sunday, October 18th)
Nick Menken
Expert NFL Picks History:
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