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Odd Super Bowl Bets and Strange Props 2014
by - 1/27/2014

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Denver Broncos QB Peyton Manning

Every year for the Super Bowl, sportsbooks get more and more creative with their prop bets. They also offer more and more every year — a clear sign that the props are lucrative for the books. While they make lots of money, some of these odd Super Bowl bets and strange props can offer some nice value if you are on the lookout. Here are eight of the more interesting novelty Super Bowl props being offered by Bovada this year:

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Will it snow during the game?: This prop is interesting in part because it has never before been relevant for a Super Bowl. “No” is strongly favored here at -140. This makes sense given the forecasts — as of now they are indicating that the chance of snow is 40 percent or lower on the day. It is somewhat surprising, though, that the public is acting logically on this one. The weather has been such a big story up to this point, and the coverage has been sensational and almost universally negative. In the face of coverage like that, the public rarely acts with their head. It’s a bit of a miracle, really. The public is being similarly logical when it comes to the temperature — something over freezing at kickoff is solidly favored as well.

Which coach will be mentioned by name first after kickoff?: Both coaches are at -120 here. If this was essentially a coin toss — if it required a random guess to determine which side to bet on — then it would be very unattractive at this price. So, is there any reason to believe that one coach is more likely to be named first than the other? Not that I can see. Pete Carroll is higher-profile and is returning to where he once coached — both of which could be storylines worthy of early comment. John Fox is leading his second team into the biggest of battles, though, and that will get attention as well. If anything, I would suspect that the coach that is on offense first would be more likely to be mentioned. That, of course, is determined by a coin toss. That means that I don’t see any value at all in this prop.

How many times will Archie Manning be shown?: The price isn’t great, but the bet here is obvious in my eyes. The total here is set at just one. Given his profile, the fact that this game is being played in Eli’s home stadium, and the lack of really compelling stories on the Broncos beyond the massive shadow of Peyton, it seems like all but a lock that we see Archie more than once. The “over” sits at -160, but it still feels like a fair bet even at that price.

How many times will Peyton Manning say ‘Omaha’ during the game?: This is yet another storyline that has garnered a lot of attention through these playoffs. The total here is set reasonably high at 27.5. The over is favored at -130. I like the “under”. In fact, I actually like way, way under. He has used the word a whole lot the last couple of games, and it has been effective for him. The Seahawks have a very strong defense, though, and they have had two weeks to study Manning and figure his tendencies out. Given that, I would be surprised if Manning uses the same word for the same purpose again this game — no matter how effectively he has been able to use it.

Will the announcers say the word ‘marijuana’ during the game?: Here’s another prop that hasn’t been relevant before, but is very interesting here. Washington and Colorado are the two states that have recently legalized marijuana, and that has been a minor storyline heading into the game. Given the tremendous amount of time that the commentators have to fill during the game, it seems like a good bet that they will have this in their arsenal of time wasters. The “yes” sits at +400, and it is quite attractive at that price in my eyes. It would be even more interesting if we could see a price for the chances that one of the announcers will use marijuana during the game.

Will any member of the Red Hot Chili Peppers be shirtless during their performance?: “No” sits at -140 here, with yes at even money. Doing a quick Google Image search showed at least one band member shirtless in 15 of the first 20 pictures of the band. The cold is a factor here, but even considering that, this is clearly a band that enjoys going without a shirt, and they aren’t likely to miss this opportunity to show off on the biggest stage they have enjoyed. Yes is attractive.

Will Michael Crabtree mention Richard Sherman in a tweet during the Super Bowl from kickoff to the final whistle?: This is the latest sign that the world is a strange place. Yes is at +300. I can’t imagine that it is worth a look at all. I’m certain Crabtree just wants the whole story to go away, and he isn’t going to want to stir anything else up. His Tweet history indicates he doesn’t want to say much, either. In the week between his loss and when I am writing this he tweeted just twice, and not since Monday, the 20th. He’s far from a prolific tweeter at the best of times, so the no seems like the right side — though hardly attractive at -500.

What color will the Gatorade (or liquid) dumped on the winning coach’s head be?: This one’s a classic that appears every year in the Super Bowl. Water is favored at 2/1, with orange and yellow tied next at 3/1. I think the whole debate is likely moot, though. By late in the evening when the game ends it is all but certain to below freezing. Winning the Super Bowl is great and all, but no coach is going to be happy about being sent into an instant hypothermic state and missing out on the celebration. There will be no action and money will be returned if nothing is dumped. It’s a shame, because nothing would be an attractive bet at even a very small return.

Doc’s Sports is offering $60 worth of member’s picks absolutely free – no obligation, no sales people – you don’t even have to enter credit card information. You can use this $60 credit any way you please for any handicapper and any sport on Doc’s Sports Advisory Board list of expert sports handicappers. Click here for more details and take advantage of this free $60 picks credit today.

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