2026 Super Bowl Predictions with Futures Odds

by Spencer Toth - 10/22/2025

Super Bowl predictions Daniel Jones Indianapolis Colts

The NFL season is approaching the halfway point, and we have now gotten a good look at each of the Super Bowl contenders. Seven teams have pulled ahead of the chasing pack with +1200 odds or shorter, and it is time to dissect which of the top teams are worthy of a wager at this stage of the season. Unlike most seasons, there is still plenty of value across all 32 NFL teams. The Kansas City Chiefs are the outright favorites, but they still have lengthy +500 odds to lift the Vince Lombardi Trophy. Here are the seven favorites broken down as we decide which contenders are worthy of your hard-earned cash at this stage of the season.

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Kansas City Chiefs: +500

The Kansas City Chiefs were an afterthought after their 0-2 start. In hindsight, losses to the Chargers and Eagles led to big overreactions, and the Chiefs now look like their usual selves midway through October. Patrick Mahomes has led an efficient offense, and the Chiefs have won four of their last five games by multiple touchdowns. Their 4-3 record has them on the edge of the playoff picture, but the Chiefs have gotten most of their challenging games out of the way early.

On the field, Patrick Mahomes continues to put points on the board regardless of who he is throwing the ball to. Travis Kelce is clearly declining, Xavier Worthy missed time due to injury, and Rashee Rice has only just gotten back on the field after serving his six-game suspension. On the ground, Isaiah Pacheco and Kareem Hunt aren’t All-Pro running backs, yet the Chiefs keep finding a way to get the job done. Worthy and Rice are now back in the lineup, and the Kansas City offense is firing on all cylinders with 28+ points in four straight games.

This team’s Super Bowl aspirations will come down to their play on defense. It is no secret what Mahomes can do on offense, and he has had the benefit of a strong Chiefs defense to play complementary football. George Karlaftis and Chris Jones are towering defensive linemen, while the Chiefs' secondary continues to deliver despite a revolving door of injuries. Defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo deserves plenty of credit, and the Chiefs look destined for a fourth straight trip to the Super Bowl. The other AFC contenders have serious problems right now, with the Colts leading the way as the Chiefs' biggest threat. It may seem odd to say the outright favorite has value, but the Chiefs certainly do at +500.

Verdict: Buy at +500

Detroit Lions: +700

Detroit went one-and-done in the playoffs last year after posting a stunning 15-2 record in the regular season. The embarrassing loss to the Washington Commanders was a real shock, but this team is even better prepared for a deep playoff run than last season. The best ability in the NFL is availability, and the Lions are finding it much easier to succeed without a long list of injuries. Detroit may have been able to go on a Super Bowl run last season if they stayed healthy, and there is no reason to doubt them this year either.

Jared Goff isn’t the flashiest quarterback, but his ability to avoid mistakes is what sets him apart. Goff is happy to get the ball out early and allow his talented receivers to make plays in the open field. There is no shortage of offensive talent in Detroit, with Amon-Ra St.Brown and Jameson Williams forming one of the nastiest receiving duos in the league. On the ground, David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs have been electric, and lean on each other for support depending on the game situation. There is a lot to like about Detroit’s offense, but it could be easy to say that they had a very similar team last year and failed to reach expectations. The difference this season is their defense. Aidan Hutchinson’s return alone can tilt the scales in favor of the Lions, who are much better prepared for this season. They are 5-2 and in pole position to win their division again, and are frontrunners for the #1 seed in the NFC. At +700, there is a lot of value in a Lions Super Bowl.

Verdict: Buy at +700

Buffalo Bills: +700

It is hard to doubt Josh Allen’s abilities, but the reality is that the Bills don’t have the roster they need to win the Super Bowl. Allen is truly superhuman. He is the best dual-threat quarterback in the league, and often gets overlooked since he gets his rushing yards by trucking people over rather than highlight reel jukes. When he has time in the pocket, Allen has proven he can deliver accurate strikes down the field with incredible accuracy. A bonus with the Bills right now is that Allen is very durable and rarely gets hurt, meaning you are unlikely to have their odds suddenly tank due to Allen’s unavailability. However, that isn’t enough to take Buffalo at this price.

James Cook is a great running back, but his contract, combined with Allen’s, means the Bills don’t have a lot to spend elsewhere. They have no injuries to report in their wide receiver room, yet their best pass catchers are still Khalil Shakir or Keon Coleman. Through their first six games, tight end Dalton Kincaid leads the way with 287 receiving yards, which is the 58th most in the NFL. Spreading the ball is one thing, but without a true WR1 to lean on, the Bills will struggle in the playoffs. It is not as if their defense is exceptional either, as they have the 2nd worst run defense in the NFL through the first seven weeks. They do have a formidable passing defense, but that still isn’t enough to trust them when teams can just run up the middle to string together first downs. Are the Bills a contender? Sure. But the +700 odds can’t be justified for a team with so many holes on its roster.

Verdict: Pass

Green Bay Packers: +800

Green Bay made headlines when they acquired Micah Parsons from the Dallas Cowboys, and they were expected to run the NFC after the move. However, Parsons has been relatively invisible compared to the lofty standards he set in Dallas, and the Packers haven’t been able to put it all together. They are still riding the high of their first two wins over the Lions and Commanders, but have been an average team since. Green Bay lost to the lowly Browns, gave up 40 points in a tie against the Cowboys, and needed a miraculous comeback to beat Arizona last week. There is still a lot to like about the Packers on both sides of the ball, but something is missing before they can elevate themselves among the true Super Bowl threats.

Jordan Love is a serviceable quarterback, but nothing he has done makes it obvious the Packers are +800 favorites to win the Super Bowl. He’s 14th in the league in passing yards and has only 110 rushing yards on the season. Green Bay’s run game, led by Josh Jacobs, has been solid but nothing spectacular in terms of efficiency or volume. This is a good, not great, football team with sky-high Super Bowl odds. The Packers will likely make the playoffs and could even win a game or two, but making and winning the Super Bowl is far too much to ask from a squad that is still figuring things out on both sides of the ball.

Verdict: Pass

Philadelphia Eagles: +950

The Eagles picked up right where they left off to start the new season, starting 4-0 since winning the Super Bowl. Their offense looked great on the ground, while their defense was able to make the stops they needed to. However, things have taken a turn for the worse in Philadelphia, and the Eagles now look human again since losing to the Broncos and Giants.

Jalen Hurts is a quarterback who gets a lot of criticism for his playstyle, but it is hard to argue with his efficiency. The infamous Tush Push wasn’t banned this offseason, and continues to be a key part of the Eagles' offense. Even without the Tush Push, Philadelphia has been able to move the ball down the field and spread the ball among its receivers. Locker room issues coupled with their primetime loss to the Giants bumped them out of the favorite role, and this is a great time to buy low on the Eagles. Philadelphia came into the season with odds in the +600 range, and has gone 5-2 so far this year. The wins haven’t all been pretty, but Philadelphia is once again in a position to secure a top seed in the NFC. At +950, we can get behind the defending champions.

Verdict: Buy at +950

Los Angeles Rams: +1200

The Rams have been quietly piling up the wins this season, and find themselves now knocking on the door of the top contenders. Los Angeles has two defeats this year, a loss to the 49ers in overtime and a special teams disaster against the Eagles led to their other defeat. They have been playing excellent football on both sides of the ball, as Matthew Stafford leads a confident offense. Davante Adams and Puka Nacua form a lethal wide receiver duo, while Kyren Williams continues to dominate in the red zone. Their offense has been impressive, but what has truly transformed this squad is their defense.

Drafting impactful players is crucial for success in the salary cap era, and the Rams have done well with a few of their defensive selections. They had two players nominated for DROY last season, as Jared Verse ended up taking home the award. Verse and Braden Fiske are just two of several emerging stars in Los Angeles, as the Rams have a nice balance of young prospects and veteran superstars. Matthew Stafford has already led this team to a Super Bowl before, and there is no reason he can’t do it again with an arguably more talented squad. As long as the 37-year-old doesn’t suddenly decline in the middle of the season, the Rams deserve shorter odds than this.

Verdict: Buy at +1200

Indianapolis Colts: +1200

The surprise of the season has been Daniel Jones and the Indianapolis Colts. They are the only 6-1 team through the first seven weeks of the season, and most of their wins frankly haven’t even been close. Indianapolis has a stranglehold on the AFC South, and it is hard to imagine them slowing down now. Daniel Jones’ turnaround has been nothing short of remarkable, while Jonathan Taylor has been dominant on the ground. The Colts have been able to move the ball effectively both through the air and on the ground, but this team feels like a reincarnation of the Minnesota Vikings from last year. What Daniel Jones has done this season has been impressive, but we can’t justify a bet at these odds until we see some postseason success. The Colts' odds have already shrunk dramatically since the start of the season, and I don’t imagine them going much lower than this in the coming weeks. The public still has its doubts about Indianapolis, and so do I. I’m not yet a buyer at +1200, but the upcoming Colts schedule will give us a better idea of how good this team really is. Games against the Steelers, Falcons, and Chiefs will be tough tests, but if they can win two of those three games, the +1200 price may be something we revisit then.

Verdict: Pass

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Start:	October 23, 2025 @ 10:10 PM
Expert:	Strike Point Sports
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2026 Super Bowl Predictions with Futures Odds

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