by Mike Hayes - 01/17/2006
Aug 5th NFL Live Lines
Spreads and Totals
Your team doesn't have a coach yet and training camp is more than seven months away but after years of futility you just know 2007 is the year they reach the Promised Land and thanks to Sportingbet USA you can put your money where your heart is. 2007 Early Super Bowl odds are now posted.
Hell, the coin hasn't even been tossed for Super Bowl XL and Sportingbet USA has posted odds on the 2007 game in Miami.
The favorites are the Colts, of course, though the 5-2 being offered doesn't look all that appealing after their loss to Pittsburgh. After all, this was the year the stars were aligned for the Colts and the year that Peyton Manning was supposed to silence the critics. You know the story. Home field throughout, playing on the turf in a dome all the way to Detroit. Well, so much for the Colts.
The second choices at 10-1 are the Patriots and Chargers, for whom 10-1 seems a little light considering they failed to qualify for the post season this year and there are questions about Drew Brees' health.
The Steelers and Big Ben Roethlisberger, who in his second year in the league will at the very least appear in his second conference title game, are 12-1, the Seahawks, who like the Steelers hope to be seeking a repeat in 2007 are 14-1.
Here's a look at the rest of the field with some thoughts about the wisdom of tying up your money for 13-months in search of a score.
15-1 -- Cincinnati, Denver and Kansas City
The Bengals without Carson Palmer are the Bengals with Jon Kitna and there is a huge difference between the two. It will be some time before we see how or whether Palmer recovers from an injury described as devastating and career threatening by his doctor. Until then, it would be hard to justify a wager on the Bengals at this price.
Broncos backers might not get better odds than these, especially if they respond favorably to their sudden Super Bowl favorite status this year.
The Chiefs? Herman Edwards managed the game clock as poorly as anyone in the NFL and a change it time zones won't help him. If the Chiefs don't improve under Edwards and advance to the playoffs look for him to do what he did in New York and blame his coordinators.
20-1 -- Carolina, Dallas, Washington, Chicago, Giants, Eagles
You have to think each of these teams can improve next year and have a legit chance at the post season. The odds might be right, especially on the Bears if Rex Grossman emerges as a competent QB and the Panthers, who are quietly working toward their second Super Bowl appearance in three years.
30-1 -- Jacksonville, Tampa Bay, Atlanta
Why not? The Jaguars and Bucs were playoff teams this year and the Falcons weren't far off. A healthy Byron Leftwich next season might make the Jags especially attractive at this price.
40-1 -- Miami, Baltimore
Now you're talking. If I'm going to tie up money for a year and most likely lose I at least want the chance to dream about that 50-inch plasma television or that Hawaii vacation so these are my kind of odds and the Fish actually might be a nice pick considering their strong finish this year especially if they can solve their QB problems. I find it pretty difficult to make a case for the Ravens unless you believe they can't be as bad as they were this season.
50-1 -- Oakland
The Raiders were bad this year. No, very bad. In fact, surprisingly bad considering their offensive prowess. In the wide-open world of the NFL though, anything is possible and this is a nice price.
60-1 -- St. Louis
The Rams figure to improve and 60-1 is decent but they will have to pass a lot of teams.
75-1 -- Detroit, Arizona
These teams never win. The Super Bowl? How about the playoffs first. Forget it.
100-1 -- Buffalo, Cleveland, Jets, Green Bay, Houston, Tennessee
You get what you pay for and this is what you get for 100-1. The Texans were a huge disappointment this season and Reggie Bush and a new coach should help so a playoff appearance would not be a complete shock. . The Jets entered last season as one of the favorites to win the AFC and now find themselves among the bottom feeders of the NFL. If you think Chad Pennington can return healthy enough to regain his 2003-04 form and Curtis Martin can rush like he did in 2004 this might be a good pick but you also might be delusional.
200-1 -- San Francisco, New Orleans
The displaced Saints get a pass for their miserable season but if you are willing to plunk down any money and wait a year on either of these teams you really ought to be getting more than 200-1.
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