2023 PGA Picks: AT&T Byron Nelson Odds and Expert Betting Predictions
The PGA Tour heads back to Texas this week for the AT&T Byron Nelson at TPC Craig Ranch just outside of Dallas. This is the final tune-up before next week’s PGA Championship, and the field is led by Scottie Scheffler as the overwhelming favorite at almost 4-1 odds. He is one of four players in the top-25 rankings competing this weekend after Jordan Spieth withdrew with a wrist injury. K.H. Lee is looking for a three peat as he has won this event in 2021 and 2022. We will take a look below at who could be in contention and take home the grand prize on Sunday.
Get sports picks for every league and nearly every matchup on Doc’s free picks page.
Look at the Field
Here is a look at the Top 12 and ties with the lowest golf odds to win it all at online sportsbooks.
Scottie Scheffler +360 – Tyrrell Hatton +1200 – Jason Day +1400 – Tom Kim +1600
Hideki Matsuyama +2000 – Matt Kuchar +2500 – K.H. Lee +2500 – Adam Scott +2800
Taylor Montgomery +3500 – Si Woo Kim +3500 – Min Woo Lee +3500 – Seamus Power +3900
Course Characteristics of Those Who Can Win or Secure Winning Golf Bets
Craig Ranch is hosting for a third straight year and has proven to be one of the easiest courses on the PGA Tour. The past two years, Lee has won with scores of 25 and 26 under-par to secure his victories. That could be more difficult to hit this year as the course has changed the 12th hole from a short par-5 to a long par-4. The course now plays at a par 71 and measures a little over 7,400 yards. It is a Tom Weiskopf design with wide, Zoysia grass fairways and large, flat, bent grass greens. Thunderstorms and winds are predicted for all four days with temperatures in the low 80s. The rain softening up the course could make players adjust to longer play than usual. I think ultimately it will come down to strong approach, long iron-play, and par-5 scoring.
Scottie Scheffler +360
Scheffler is a massive favorite and will be on home turf starting on Thursday. A native of Dallas, TPC Craig Ranch is only 25 miles outside its perimeters. Following The Masters, he has only played in the RBC Heritage and registered a T11 finish. He has been a model of consistency, with only one finish outside the top-15 out of 13 starts. He also has two victories in the 2023 season so far. Scheffler has finished T47 and T15 at TPC Craig Ranch in the past and no doubt will be in contention on Sunday.
Tyrrell Hatton +1200
Hatton has been playing very well since his 6th-place finish at TPC Scottsdale for the WM Phoenix Open in February. He has tallied up finishes of 4th at Bay Hill, 2nd at the Players Championship, and third last week in Charlotte. Over the last 36 rounds, he is 6th in this field for SG Off the Tee, third for SG Approach, 4th in Birdies or Better Gained, and 11th in SG Par-5s. Hatton can make some noise this weekend with a weaker field.
Tom Kim +1600
I see some serious value at 16-1 for Tom Kim this weekend. This kid has a lot of swagger, and playing in a weaker field should enhance his killer mentality. He showed he is back in form last weekend with a top-25 finish in Charlotte. It is public knowledge that he has been working hard on getting longer off the tee, and this course is not tight, so he can swing away with the drive full force. He has missed only one cut since the start of January, and I love this weekend for him to be a major factor.
Seamus Power +3900
Power started the 2023 campaign on a roar but cooled down once the PGA swung over to Florida. He had a nice finish last weekend in Charlotte, ending up in 18th place. He won the Bermuda Championship earlier this year and has top-10 finishes at both Detroit Golf Club and Pebble Beach. History is also in his favor, as he has finished 17th and 9th at the Nelson the two times it has been played at TPC Craig Ranch. Power is a top-20 bet this weekend as well as a potential victor.
Golf Picks: Who to Consider This Week:
Players to win: Scottie Scheffler +360, Tyrrell Hatton +1200, Tom Kim +1600
Top 5: Tyrrell Hatton +280, Tom Kim +350
Top 10: Seamus Power +360