PGA Picks: Wyndham Championship Odds and Expert Betting Predictions
After a cool, damp and sometimes windy PGA Championship on the West Coast, the final stop of the regular season goes all the way across the country to Greensboro, NC, for Wyndham Championship.
This is a very important tournament for players right along the cut line. To advance to next week’s tourney, you have to finish in the Top 125 of the FedEx Cup standings. Those that are 126 or lower have to up their game this week to cross into the upper portion of the standings, and those from about 110 to 125 are trying to put together four solid rounds and stay exactly where they are.
Sedgefield Country Club took over hosting duties in 2008 for what used to be the Greater Greensboro Open. Other than switching from bentgrass to Bermuda grass greens back in 2012, the course is virtually the same. The course this week is listed at 7,131 yards at a par of 70.
Because the layout has so many blind tee shots, the driver stays in the bag most of the time. This week will not be about power, rather positioning the tee shots in the proper places to enable all professional golfers to hit the irons of choice into greens. This is where the tournament will be won; accurate iron shots to set up birdie opportunities.
This course will yield a vast number of birdies, as the last four winners have shot at least -21. However, one note: when tee shots reach the rough of Sedgefield, only 53 percent of the field has reached greens in regulation recently. The greens are smaller than normal, and six different holes have water. Undoubtedly, some golfers will splash, which will jack up their scores.
An Above Average Field in Greensboro
This group of contestants is not the same as the last couple of weeks, but it is better than what this tourney usually attracts. Here are the golf odds for those favored to win, and there are an ample number of names any golf bettor will recognize.
Webb Simpson +950 - Brooks Koepka +1100 - Patrick Reed +1600 - Tommy Fleetwood +1600
Justin Rose +2000 - Paul Casey +2000 - Harris English +2500 - Billy Horschel +3300
Brendon Todd +3300 - Jordan Spieth +3300 - Kevin Kisner +3300 - Ryan Moore +3300
Si Woo Kim +3300 - Sungjae Im +3300
Simpson is a very deserving favorite. In his last 10 trips to this course, he has eight Top 11’s, and in the group is a third, two second’s and win in 2011. He’s an assassin at places where length does not come into play, and you have to knock down pins to score.
Koepka served himself a large slice of humble pie last Sunday with a final round 74 that included six bogeys. Does he bring the mental part of his game after such a disappointing finish?
Rose and Casey returned to the form we have grown to expect from them. Both are capable of posting low numbers. And if they do, each could be a factor not only here but until the end of the season.
If you are making golf picks, you wonder if Reed and Fleetwood are really capable of being contenders. Reed has four Top 25’s in eight starts since the Tour returned, nonetheless, he's been very up and down. Fleetwood is known as an elite ball-striker. However, he has missed greens on second shots from the middle of the fairway more than he should. Neither is playing like Top 10 material.
Medium-priced plays, Horschel and Kisner, are both worth your consideration. Horschel was T7, T13 and T25 before last week’s T43, and in his last four efforts at Sedgefield he has two Top 6’s and a Top 11. Since July, Kisner has had a T3, T25 and T19 in four tourney’s and he’s posted two Top 10’s here recently.
Golf Picks: Who to Consider This Week
Simpson is a very logical choice to win, Top 5 and Top 10 and with more consideration in head-to-head matchups against players that don’t thrive at layouts like this.
For other Top 10’s, Casey (+200) and Horschel (+325) have to be thought of. We can also make a case for Harris English (+250) and Brendon Todd (+375).
Sergio Garcia sits at 134 in the standings and needs a big week after not making the cut in the PGA last weekend. Wouldn’t be shocked if he ups his level of play for a Top 20 finish. His odds on this are +200.
I had to chew on saying Rose would not make the cut last week and see him as a reasonable wager for a Top 10 at +225 and Top English player at +300.
Lastly, I would stay away from Jordan Spieth, Brandt Snedeker, Sungjae Ima and the defending champion J.T. Poston. None of them are in good form in the last month or more.
Doug Upstone of Doc’s Sports has 21 documented No. 1 titles and finished in the Top Ten 80+ other times in a distinguished career. Doug as a professional handicapper/writer has written for various well-known sports betting websites and several of the football newsletters you have read before.
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