Cincinnati vs Xavier Expert NCAA Basketball Picks 12/7/2019

Game: Cincinnati Bearcats vs Xavier Musketeers

Date: Saturday, December 7, 2019

Location: Cintas Center in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Xavier -5

Total/Over-Under: 136

The Cincinnati Bearcats head to Cintas Center to take on the Xavier Musketeers on Saturday, December 7, 2019. The opening line for this game has Xavier as 5 point favorites.

Cincinnati comes into this game with an overall record of 6-2. They currently have a point differential of 7.5 as they are averaging 75.9 points per game while giving up 68.4 per contest. Xavier has an overall record of 8-1. They are averaging 73.7 points per game and surrendering 62.4, good for a point differential of 11.2.

Valuable Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Bearcats are 2-6-0 against the spread this season

The Cincinnati Bearcats are 4-4-0 against the over/under this year

Important Xavier Musketeers Betting Trends

The Xavier Musketeers are 2-6-1 against the spread this season

The Xavier Musketeers are 4-5-0 against the over/under this year

Key Cincinnati Bearcats Injuries

12/03/19 G Jarron Cumberland Ankle left last game, is questionable
11/23/19 C Jaume Sorolla Foot is out 3-4 weeks
11/05/19 G Trevor Moore Achilles is out indefinitely
11/05/19 F Prince Toyambi Heart is out indefinitely

Key Xavier Musketeers Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Jarron Cumberland comes into this game averaging 16.5 points per contest while playing 27.7 minutes per night this year. He grabs 3.0 rebounds per contest and distributes 2.0 assists per game. His FG percentage is 43% while his free throw percentage is 65%. Chris Vogt averages 12.9 points per contest in 28.8 minutes per game. He averages 1.5 assists per game and 6.9 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 68% for the season while his free throw percentage is 61%.

Player Spotlight

Naji Marshall scores 15.4 points per contest while playing 33.3 minutes per game. He hauls in 5.8 rebounds per contest and has 3.8 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is at 72%. Paul Scruggs averages 15.1 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 33.8 minutes per game. He also brings in 4.3 rebounds per game and has 2.9 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is 83%.

Useful Team Statistics

Cincinnati averages 75.9 points per contest, which is 104th in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 7.5 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a unit, which has them ranked 151st. From 3-point territory they shoot 33%, which is good for 205th in the nation. They average 40.3 boards per contest and 14.5 assists per game, which ranks them 51st and 108th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 55th with 15.8 per game. The Bearcats allow 68.4 points per contest, which is 174th in the NCAA. They also surrender a 38% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 45th and 215th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 35.5 rebounds a game which ranks 194th, and they allow 11.9 assists per game which puts them in 142nd place in the country. They force 14.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 190th in Division 1.

Useful Team Statistics

Xavier is 146th in the nation with 73.7 points per contest this season. They are 219th in the country in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is 11.2. They shoot 28% from beyond the arc, which is good for 324th in the NCAA. They are 38th in D-1 in rebounding with 40.7 boards per contest and 134th in assists per game with 14.0. The Musketeers are 132nd in turnovers per contest with 14.2. The Musketeers give up 62.4 points per game, which ranks them 62nd in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 39% shooting percentage and a 28% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 52nd and 43rd in those defensive statistics. They rank 34th with 9.7 dimes allowed per game and 180th with 35.3 boards surrendered per contest. The Musketeers are 272nd in the nation in forcing turnovers with 16.0 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Bearcats are 188th in the nation in offensive rating with 101.2. In terms of pace they are 138th in the country with 71.6 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 162nd. As a team they are 146th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shots, ranking 211th in Division 1. Cincinnati is 79th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 18.4 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Xavier is 198th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.5 times per 100 possessions. The Musketeers have an offensive rating of 101.4, which is ranked 181st. They are 215th in D-1 in pace with 69.8 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 48% is 251st. As a unit they are 255th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 51% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shot attempts, ranking 191st in the country.

Who will win tonight's Cincinnati/Xavier college basketball game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Cincinnati +5

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