Toledo vs Notre Dame Expert NCAA Basketball Picks Against the Spread 11/21/2019

Game: Toledo Rockets vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Date: Thursday, November 21, 2019

Location: Purcell Pavilion in Notre Dame, IN

TV: ACCN

Odds/Point Spread: Notre Dame -8.5

Total/Over-Under: 141.5

The Toledo Rockets travel to Purcell Pavilion to play the Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Thursday, November 21, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Notre Dame as 8.5 point favorites.

Toledo heads into this matchup with a mark of 3-1. They currently have a point differential of 20.5 as they are averaging 88.8 points per contest while giving up 68.3 per game. Notre Dame has an overall mark of 4-1. They are averaging 74.6 points per contest and giving up 60.0, which is a point differential of 14.6.

Valuable Toledo Rockets Betting Trends

The Toledo Rockets are 2-2-0 against the spread

The Toledo Rockets are 3-1-0 against the over/under

Important Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Trends

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are 2-3-0 against the spread

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are 1-4-0 against the over/under

Key Toledo Rockets Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Notre Dame Fighting Irish Injuries

11/19/19 F John Mooney Flu missed last game, is questionable

Player Spotlight

Marreon Jackson comes into this contest averaging 18.8 points per game while playing 31.5 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 2.8 rebounds per game and dishes out 8.0 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 86%. Luke Knapke averages 15.8 points per game in 31.8 minutes per contest this season. He averages 2.3 assists per contest and 8.3 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 50% for the year while his free throw percentage is 73%.

Player Spotlight

John Mooney averages 16.5 points per game while playing 30.0 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 12.5 rebounds per game and has 2.3 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 50%. Temple Gibbs averages 12.4 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 33.0 minutes per contest. He also averages 3.6 rebounds per contest and 3.6 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 34% and his free throw percentage is 86%.

Useful Team Statistics

Toledo averages 88.8 points per contest this season, which ranks them 15th in the NCAA. Their average scoring margin is 20.5 and their shooting percentage is 52% as a team, which has them ranked 18th. Behind the arc they shoot 47% which is good for 2nd in the nation. They average 38.8 rebounds per game and 17.3 assists per game, which ranks them 135th and 42nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 133rd with 14.5 per game. The Rockets allow 68.3 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 178th in the country. They also allow a 40% shooting percentage and a 30% average from behind the arc, ranking them 139th and 132nd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 35.3 rebounds a game which ranks 165th and they give up 13.3 assists per contest, which puts them in 237th place in Division 1. They force 14.0 turnovers per game which ranks them 149th in D-1.

Useful Team Statistics

Notre Dame is 148th in the country with 74.6 points per game this year. They are 234th in Division 1 in shooting at 42%, while their average scoring margin is 14.6. They shoot 31% from 3-point range, which is good for 231st in the nation. They are 89th in the NCAA in rebounding with 40.8 boards per game, and 59th in assists per contest with 16.6. The Fighting Irish are 335th in turnovers per game with 9.8. The Fighting Irish surrender 60.0 points per contest, which ranks them 59th in D-1. Their defense allows a 38% shooting percentage and a 32% average from 3-point range, ranking them 96th and 181st in those defensive statistics. They rank 223rd with 13.0 assists allowed per contest and 241st with 37.4 rebounds surrendered per game. The Fighting Irish are 224th in country in forcing turnovers with 15.6 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Rockets are 10th in the nation in offensive rating with 121.6. In terms of pace they are 127th in the country with 73 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 61% is 8th. As a team they are 4th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 64% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shots, ranking 129th in Division 1. Toledo is 146th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 17.4 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Notre Dame is 336th in college basketball in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.1 times per 100 possessions. The Fighting Irish are 119th in the country in offensive rating with 106.3. In terms of pace they are 212th in Division 1 with 70.3 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 49% is 218th. As a team they are 209th in D-1 in true shooting percentage with 52% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shots, ranking 82nd in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Toledo/Notre Dame college basketball game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Notre Dame -8.5

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