North Texas Mean Green vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 12/4/2020 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: North Texas Mean Green vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Friday, December 4, 2020

Location: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS

TV: SECN+

Odds/Point Spread: North Texas (+3)

The North Texas Mean Green (1-1) go to Humphrey Coliseum on Friday where they'll meet the Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-2). North Texas opens this game as 3-point dogs. The total has been set at 135.

North Texas comes into this game with a win-loss record of 1-1 this year. They average 85.0 points per outing (53rd in D-1) while hitting 51.2% from the floor. The Mean Green are shooting 50.0% on 3-point shots (23 of 46) and 82.1% from the charity stripe. As a team, North Texas is grabbing 39.5 rebounds per game and has earned 38 assists this season, which has them ranked 113th in college basketball in terms of passing the ball. They turn the ball over 16.5 times per game and as a basketball team they are committing 17.0 fouls on a nightly basis. On defense, the Mean Green are able to force 19.0 turnovers every game while drawing 16.5 personal fouls. They are ranked 49th in college basketball in giving up assists with 17 relinquished on the year. The Mean Green defensively are allowing a field goal percentage of 39.0% (46 of 118) and they surrender 32.0 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They are conceding 30.9% on 3-pointers and they are 94th in college basketball in opponents points per game (65.5).

The North Texas Mean Green faced off with the Arkansas Razorbacks and went home with a loss by a final score of 69-54 in their last game. North Texas wrapped up the contest with a 36.2% FG percentage (21 of 58) and buried 2 out of their 13 shots from beyond the perimeter. When they shot from the free throw line, the Mean Green knocked down 10 of 13 tries for a rate of 76.9%. Regarding hauling in rebounds, they collected 35 with 10 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 10 dimes for the matchup while getting 5 steals and 2 blocks. In terms of the defense, North Texas allowed their opponent to shoot 36.2% from the field on 21 of 58. Arkansas dished out 10 dimes and 9 steals in the matchup. Moreover, the Razorbacks collected 37 rebounds (10 offensive, 27 defensive) and earned 2 rejections. Arkansas finished shooting 65.4% at the free throw line by converting 17 of their 26 attempts. They buried 6 of their 22 shots from distance.

Zachary Simmons is a guy who had an impact for the contest. He walked away with 10 points on 5 out of 10 shooting. He saw the court for 28 minutes and also collected 7 rebounds. Simmons finished 50.0% from the field and dished out 2 assists. One more player that was a determining factor in this contest for the Mean Green was Thomas Bell. He grabbed 3 boards and also had 2 dimes. He ended up shooting 50.0% from the floor for this contest by going 4-of-8 (8 points). Overall, Bell played 17 min.

Mississippi State has a mark of 1-2 so far this year. As an offense, the Bulldogs are shooting 43.2% from the floor, which has them ranked 229th in the nation. Mississippi State has scored 183 pts on the season (61.0 per contest) and they pull in 39.0 boards per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 13.3 times per game (147th in college basketball) and they are losing possession via turnover 15.7 times per game. The Bulldogs are committing 18.7 fouls per contest and they connect on 55.2% from the free throw line. The Bulldogs on the defensive end are ranked 70th in college hoops in points given up per game with 62.7. They have conceded 14.0 dimes and 27.7 boards per game, which is 184th and 17th in those defensive categories. The Mississippi State defense gives up 35.4% on 3-pointers (28 of 79) and their opponents are making 68.1% of their free throw attempts. They are forcing their opponents into 9.3 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 40.0% from the floor (99th in D-1).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Mississippi State Bulldogs went home victorious with a score of 68-51 when they played the Texas State Bobcats. The Bulldogs recorded 30 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive rebounds totaling 42 in the game. They also rejected 7 shots while recording 2 steals for the contest. The Bobcats committed 14 personal fouls for this contest which got the Bulldogs to the charity stripe for a total of 12 shots. They were able to knock down 9 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 75.0%. When it comes to 3-point shots, Mississippi State made 9 of their 23 attempts (39.1%). In all, the Bulldogs went 25 out of 58 from the field which had them at 43.1%. The Bulldogs permitted the Bobcats to make 17 out of 53 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 32.1% in this matchup. They shot 26.7% from 3-point land via 4 out of 15 and finished the game at 13 of 18 from the free throw line (72.2%). When talking about rebounding, Mississippi State permitted Texas State to pull down 26 in all (7 on the offensive glass).

D.J. Stewart saw the court a lot for the Bulldogs for the game. He knocked down 9 of 14 for this game giving him a field goal percentage of 64.3%, which had him sitting at 23 points. Stewart had 3 boards in his 30 mins played and had 2 dimes in this game. Another guy that ended up being a major factor for Mississippi State was Tolu Smith. He racked up 12 points in 30 minutes on the hardwood via 3 out of 6 from the floor for the game. Smith walked away from this one going 50.0% from the field as well as earning 2 assists and 5 total rebounds.

Who will win tonight's college basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Mississippi State (-3)

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