Air Force Falcons vs Colorado State Rams Prediction, 2/27/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs Colorado State Rams

Date: Saturday, February 27, 2021

Location: Moby Arena in Fort Collins, CO

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Air Force (+18)

The Colorado State Rams (14-4) host the Air Force Falcons (5-17) at Moby Arena on Saturday. Air Force opens this contest as 18-point dogs. The over/under opens at 135.

Air Force enters this contest with a win-loss record of 5-17 for the campaign. They are turning it over 14.2 times per contest and as a unit are committing 16.4 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Air Force is pulling down 23.6 boards per game and is sitting with 276 assists for the year, which is 151st in the country in terms of passing the ball. The Falcons are shooting 34.6% on 3-point shots (162 of 468) and 69.9% from the charity stripe. They average 60.1 points per game (343rd in Division 1) while connecting on 45.3% from the field. On the defensive end, the Falcons are forcing 13.6 turnovers every game while drawing 16.9 fouls. The Falcons are giving up a shooting percentage of 49.6% (575 of 1,159) and they relinquish 34.3 rebounds per game as a squad. They are currently ranked 305th in Division 1 in allowing assists to their opponents with 320 relinquished on the year. They are relinquishing 36.9% on shots from beyond the arc and they are 216th in the country in opponents PPG (71.5).

The Air Force Falcons played the New Mexico Lobos and notched a win by a score of 62-55 in their last game. Air Force finished the game having earned a 42.3% field goal percentage (22 out of 52) and made 4 of their 13 shots from 3-point land. At the free throw line, the Falcons buried 14 of their 20 attempts for a percentage of 70.0%. With respect to grabbing rebounds, they collected 28 with 4 of them being offensive. They also dished out 14 assists for this game in addition to forcing 21 turnovers and having 10 steals. In relation to defending, Air Force let their opponent shoot 40.0% from the field on 20 out of 50 shooting. New Mexico distributed 10 assists and had 4 steals for the contest. Moreover, New Mexico collected 35 rebounds (9 offensive, 26 defensive) and added 3 rejections. New Mexico shot 55.6% at the charity stripe by making 10 of 18 tries. They converted 5 of 20 shots from beyond the arc.

Joseph Octave is one player who was a major contributor for this contest. He recorded 18 points on 7 out of 9 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 18 mins and snagged 5 rebounds. Octave finished 77.8% from the field and also dished out 1 assist. Another guy that came through in the game for the Falcons was A.J. Walker. He had 4 rebounds in his 34 minutes played on the night. He ended up going 36.4% from the floor in the matchup via 4-of-11 (16 points). When the final whistle was blown, Walker had accumulated 1 assist.

Colorado State has a record of 14-4 on the season. Colorado State has tallied 1,354 points on the campaign (75.2 per game) and they pull in 34.4 boards per game. The Rams are committing 16.8 personal fouls per game and they shoot 77.7% from the free throw line. On the offensive side of the court, the Rams are shooting 48.1% from the field, which is ranked 41st in college basketball. They are earning an assist 14.8 times per contest (80th in the nation) and they are losing possession via turnover 14.2 times per game. The Rams on the defensive side of the court are 77th in D-1 in points per game surrendered with 66.4. They are forcing 13.9 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 41.3% from the floor (77th in Division 1). The Colorado State defense gives up 29.8% on 3-pointers (141 of 473) and opponents are making 62.9% of their shots from the free throw line. They have given up 12.7 assists and 33.3 total boards per game, ranking them 155th and 108th in college hoops.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Colorado State Rams went home victorious with a score of 68-59 against the Wyoming Cowboys. The Rams snagged 28 defensive boards and 7 offensive rebounds totaling 35 in this contest. They also coughed up the ball 16 times, while getting 8 steals for this game. The Cowboys were called for 19 fouls in this matchup which got the Rams to the free throw line for a total of 25 shots. They were able to knock down 19 of those for a rate of 76.0%. When discussing shooting from beyond the arc, Colorado State converted 3 out of 17 tries (17.6%). When the final whistle blew, the Rams went 23 out of 45 from the floor which had them sitting at 51.1%. The Rams permitted the Cowboys to bury 21 out of 54 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 38.9% in the game. They shot 23.1% from three-point range by shooting 6 out of 26 and finished the game at 11 out of 16 from the free throw line (68.8%). When it comes to how they cleaned up the glass, Colorado State allowed Wyoming to grab 23 in total (5 offensive).

David Roddy ended up having an impact for the Rams for this game. He made 5 out of 7 in the game for a field goal rate of 71.4%, and tallied 11 rebounds. Roddy had 15 points in his 26 mins on the court and earned 1 assist in this game. An additional guy that was important for Colorado State was Isaiah Stevens. He accumulated no assists in his 37 mins on the court, and he put in 4 out of 12 from the floor. Stevens ended up shooting 33.3% from the floor while also earning 14 points and 4 boards.

Who will win tonight's college basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Colorado State (-18)

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